BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout this week’s trading session, Bitcoin has demonstrated an upward trajectory and is positioned to achieve the specified targets of Mean Resistance 110300 and Key Resistance 111700. This progression may ultimately culminate in the realization of the Outer Coin Rally 114500 and beyond. Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline from the current price to the Mean Support level of 104900 before a definitive upward rebound.
BTC Bento Box Analysis 6.28.25So far so good, I am back after 2 years of hibernation (been studying forex charts.) My analysis remains true to what BTC has done for the past 2 years. So much to learn in analyzing charts from crypto to forex to blue chips.
Again, we follow the tops and bottoms of the boxes. Minor and major boxes will suggest major and minor high and low reversals.
In a couple of weeks, i will study the charts and draw new Bento boxes for a year or two predictions as to where the most probable BTC ATH and ATL will take us to a new level.
Get ready to open buy/sell positions in the months to come.
BTC/USD: Breakout Watch - short setup BTC/USD 15-min: Watching for a potential long opportunity. Price is pressing against a key descending trendline, with recent internal 'bos' and 'ChoCh' indicating a shift in momentum.
Plan:
* Entry: Targeting a retest around 107,509 after a confirmed trendline breakout.
* Target: 108,971
* Stop Loss: 106,885
Risk management is key! What are your thoughts?
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 106,865.57.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 112,099.80 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bitcoin Structurally Momentum Bullish – On-Chain Confirmed.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 4H) – (June 27, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $106,840.15.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (4H):
▦ EMA(9) – ($107,126.95):
∴ Current price is slightly below the EMA(9), indicating the beginning of intraday buyer fatigue;
∴ EMA(9) still curves upward, sustaining the recent bullish momentum, but showing signs of deceleration.
✴️ Conclusion: Short-term strength is weakening; potential micro-shift in sentiment underway.
⊢
▦ EMA(21) – ($106,574.03):
∴ EMA(21) acts as immediate dynamic support, now closely tested;
∴ Still sloping upward, suggesting buyers are attempting to defend the structure.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical support remains intact - this is the battlefield line.
⊢
▦ EMA(50) – ($105,651.25):
∴ Mid-range structure confirms trend stability as price remains well above the EMA(50);
∴ EMA(50) direction remains mildly bullish, reinforcing medium-term control by buyers.
✴️ Conclusion: Medium trend unshaken; pullbacks remain controlled within bullish context.
⊢
▦ EMA(200) – ($104,890.51):
∴ Long-term baseline remains untouched, with price notably above;
∴ The slope of EMA(200) is stable and slightly positive.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural bullish foundation remains intact. No long-term threat detected.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud (9/26/52/26):
∴ Price remains above the Kumo cloud; Tenkan and Kijun are aligned in bullish formation, though beginning to flatten;
∴ Chikou Span remains free and clear above historical price — no conflict.
✴️ Conclusion: Structure is still bullish, but compression in the cloud signals potential pause in directional conviction.
⊢
▦ Volume (BTC) + MA(21):
∴ Volume sits below its 21-period moving average, indicating waning buyer participation;
∴ No breakout or capitulation candle - sentiment is reserved.
✴️ Conclusion: Lack of conviction - volume confirms indecision and pause in impulse.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA9 – (RSI: 54.78 / EMA9: 59.70):
∴ RSI curves downward from the upper-neutral zone - momentum is retreating;
∴ RSI has crossed below its EMA(9), which typically signals fading bullish strength.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum has weakened - buyers are hesitating.
⊢
▦ Stoch RSI – (K: 9.72 / D: 10.22):
∴ Oscillator is deep in the oversold region, preparing a bullish cross;
∴ No confirmation of reversal yet - early signal.
✴️ Conclusion: Setup for potential rebound exists, but signal remains unconfirmed.
⊢
▦ MACD – (MACD: 725.17 / Signal: 883.72 / Histogram: –158.55):
∴ MACD histogram turns increasingly negative, suggesting decay in momentum;
∴ Though MACD line remains above signal, curvature favors a bearish crossover soon.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum fading; risk of technical crossover if weakness persists.
⊢
▦ OBV – (71.13M):
∴ OBV is flat and shows no divergence, suggesting balanced pressure;
∴ Movement remains parallel to EMA21, confirming neutrality.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume flow is not supporting a continuation; neutral.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴The structure remains bullish at the macro and medium levels;
∴ As evidenced by EMA alignment and Ichimoku posture. However, momentum signals are fading, and the current 4H candle lacks conviction;
∴ A breakout requires stronger volume and RSI reacceleration - until then, the tactical stance is suspended.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (CryptoQuant):
▦ 1. Exchange Netflow Total – (All Exchanges):
∴ Current readings show net outflows dominating, indicating coins moving out of exchanges - typically interpreted as holding behavior and bullish bias;
∴ No recent spike in inflows that would suggest imminent selling pressure or dump risk.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange behavior is structurally bullish - environment favors accumulation.
⊢
▦ 2. Exchange Stablecoins Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ The ratio remains low and stable, meaning high stablecoin reserves vs. Bitcoin on exchanges - suggesting potential buying power in standby;
∴ No spike in the ratio - no immediate conversion from stablecoins into Bitcoin.
✴️ Conclusion: Stablecoins on standby confirm latent demand - supportive for bullish continuity if triggered.
⊢
▦ 3. Funding Rates – (All Exchanges):
∴ Funding is positive but mild, indicating long interest, yet not overheated;
∴ No excessive leverage detected - absence of speculative imbalance.
✴️ Conclusion: Derivatives market supports a healthy uptrend with no signs of crowd euphoria.
⊢
▦ 4. Estimated Leverage Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ Leverage ratio remains within neutral bounds, not expanding aggressively;
∴ Suggests market is currently not dominated by overleveraged positions.
✴️ Conclusion: The structure is stable - no systemic risk from forced liquidations.
⊢
▦ 5. Taker Buy/Sell Ratio – (All Exchanges):
∴ The ratio is slightly above 1.0 - meaning more aggressive buying than selling, but without dominance;
∴ Reinforces sentiment of cautious buying, not yet euphoric.
✴️ Conclusion: Taker flow confirms moderate bullish sentiment, no reversal pressure.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ On-chain metrics align with structural bullishness;
∴ Netflows, leverage, and taker activity all support continuation;
∴ Importantly, stablecoin ratios signal dry powder remains available, meaning the market holds the potential energy for further upside - if volume and technical confirmation align.
⊢
⧈ Codicillus Silentii Strategic Note:
∴ In the discipline of silence, one waits as price tests its dynamic zone. The wise act after structure, not inside uncertainty;
∴ The chain speaks in whispers. Smart liquidity waits. The structure is armed - but momentum requires ignition. Not fear, not hope - signal.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish - (Tactically Suspended);
∴ The core architecture remains intact, but the absence of volume and declining oscillators justify a suspended stance for entry;
∴ On-chain and chart-based structures are aligned in bullish posture, but technical indicators remain in a suspended tactical phase. Awaiting breakout or deeper pullback for positioning.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Watch $106,574 (EMA21) and $105,651 (EMA50) for reactive buying;
∴ Below $104,890 (EMA200) - structure weakens;
∴ Upside breakout requires volume reclaim above $107,330;
∴ Resistance: $107,330 / $108,200.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Cautionary tale on BitcoinI decided to temporarily depart from my usual trade ideas to wave a cautionary finger at the chart of Bitcoin, where I have noticed a rather worrying pattern within the weekly charts. However, before I delve in, I would like to stress that I am a very rigid believer in the long-term prospect of our monetary saviour and what I am supposed to write about only concerns the usual, inevitable cyclicality that always entails the otherwise upward-sloping trajectory of Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD )
Although overall this has not felt like much of a crypto bull run given the apparently absent performance of altcoins (apart from an occasional 1000x on a well-targeted memecoin), Bitcoin has, in the meantime, trod its usual path upwards. Since the '22 lows, it has mimicked its regular pattern where after a devastating plummet lower, it has spent several long months accumulating until it has burst out of its cocoon to provide a 6x return to its strong believer. However, the mimicking is almost too good as we have now started painting a very similar picture to what eventually transpired to be the '21 top. We have reached a strong above >100k top only to hit a vicious correction (announcement of tariffs), similar to what Bitcoin did in May of 2021 (China crackdown, tech selloff). The price then quickly consolidated - which I am not an avid fan of as a formation of a more robust base would be more preferable (though would take longer ) - and bitcoin shot back up again, quickly reclaiming the previous highs; just like it did in October/November 2021. This creates an unfortunate setup best represented by the series of lower highs on an RS I while the price keep climbing higher - creating the probably best-know bearish signal with higher highs built on weaker and less robust momentum.
We know how this ended in 2021, and I am not suggesting that Microstrategy should blow up, go bankrupt and sell all its bitcoin (though definitely a possibility) - however, one must admit that there are currently quite a lot of uncertainties that could unwind at any time (one such coming on July 8th with the second version of the lets-blow-up-the-stock-market day). With a stock market priced to perfection, and with what seems like a large pile of uncertainties hovering in the air, it seems like any one of these could light up the fire underneath these lovely valuations we have reached, and although I would love for cryptocurrency prices to be completely independent of the stock market, we usually know how this goes.
So, what to do about this? Preferably nothing . If you are as much of a believer as I am in the necessity of bitcoin in today's financial world, this is just another blip in an otherwise long and profitable ride. So, I won't be any selling any of it - hopefully only adding once we decline. I would also add that I am not expecting as much of a bloodbath as last time. I think Bitcoin has reached a point where the 80-90% declines become very rare. However, regarding my other allocations in crypto assets, I am not as optimistic, hence I decided to sell most of everything else. Although I love the premise of Ethereum, the chart looks pretty horrific, currently drawing a perfect head-and-shoulder on a 4h chart (which I might write about as well as a short idea).
I will end this essay the same way I started it - I know absolutely nothing, and maybe I will come back at the end of the summer, beautifully tanned and relaxed as we all are in Europe, and find everything at all-time highs. I just currently believe the risk-reward ratio is not skewed in my favour, and I don't know how about you, but I tend to listen to my probability gods, especially on the eve of another strong SPAC year .
BTCUSDTPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
BTC/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Ahead?Bitcoin shows signs of a potential bearish reversal as price forms a rising wedge beneath a key supply zone. After a recent drop, price is retesting the 106k area (green zone), possibly setting up for continuation to the downside.
🔹 Rising wedge pattern near resistance
🔹 Bearish retest at previous support turned resistance
🔹 Potential drop targets: 102,575 and 102,268
🔹 Break below wedge support could accelerate the fall
BTCUSD Analysis | Bearish Setup Unfolding?Bitcoin is trading within a descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a sharp bounce from the $98,600 support zone, but the bigger picture still hints at potential downside.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Descending Channel remains intact – structure suggests bearish continuation.
Price bounced from $98,626 support, but is struggling below key resistance at $108,622.
A possible lower high formation near $106K–$107K could trigger the next drop.
Bearish projection remains valid if price fails to break above the descending trendline.
🟢 Upside Scenario: If bulls manage to break above $109K resistance, we could see a bullish reversal.
🔴 Downside Target: If the bearish setup confirms, we may revisit the $98,000–$99,000 support area once again.
📌 Plan Accordingly:
Wait for price action confirmation near resistance. Patience pays in volatile zones like this!
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Btc top is near. The chart you don't want to see. Based on all the available data and previous pattern, I can conclude that another bullflag is forming. Top in 2-3 weeks. Wick towards 112-115k is the top.
I also believe we ll form another bull flag in few months.
Cycle cannot be over with btc dominance sky high.
Market makers are extracting maximum liquidity and btc from retails.
They scream cycle over at the end of bull flag to make retail sell everything. Then pump it again.
Just my opinion.
NFA#
A very high quality potential of double top pattern A very high quality potential of double top pattern
Neck line already broken , now retest is happened and rejection confirmed by wicks rejecting and the daily candle gonna close bearish for extra confirmation
Entry plan
Entry : 107,100 , up to 107550
Tp 1 102600
Tp 2 : 101, 250
Tp 3 : 99,666
Runners : from 98,500 to 94,000 maximum
SL 108,800
Wish the best for all traders
MG Trader ✅