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BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs. A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Adefxc
Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD ### **📉 Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD** **Bias**: Bearish **Context**: Daily DR (Dealing Range) is broken, and price is rejecting premium level. --- ### 🧠 **Narrative:** Price traded into a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) near **premium zone**, then formed a lower high. The daily **DR (Dealing Range)** was broken to the downside, showing bearish intent. We also see rejection from a marked supply area (pink zone), confirming seller presence. --- ### 📌 **Entry:** Sell entry around **84,600** (near retest of daily FVG & imbalance zone) --- ### 🎯 **Targets:** - **TP1**: 76,555 (Recent low / liquidity pool) - **TP2**: 74,000 (Clean imbalance area) - **TP3**: 73,383 (Final liquidity draw) --- ### 🛑 **Stop Loss:** Above recent high / supply zone **SL**: 88,762 --- ### 🔢 **RRR**: Approx. **1:4** (Excellent reward-to-risk) --- ### 🧩 **Extra Confluences:** - Daily FVG (imbalance) filled and rejected - Supply zone respected - DR broken - Momentum shifted bearish
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by Asif_Brain_Waves
BTCUSD Short Setup (15min) – Smart Money & Fib RetracementStructure remains bearish with a clear lower high formed after a deep retracement to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, aligned with prior liquidity and premium zone. 🧠 Analysis Highlights: Market structure: Bearish, with BOS to the downside. Price retraced to the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~82,400), signaling a potential exhaustion of buyers. Internal structure shifted bearish after breaking the corrective trendline. Entry idea is based on confirmation below the trendline with a clean R:R setup. 🔻 Trade Plan: Entry: Below 82,200 (confirmation after structure shift) Stop Loss: Above 83,380 (invalidates the short idea) Target: 79,770 (aligned with previous low and 0% Fib) ⏰ Confluences: 0.786 Fib + Previous Supply NY Killzone active – watching for volume + manipulation Internal BOS + Trendline Break Clean liquidity resting below 81,500 and 80,600 ⚠️ Potential Risks: Possible liquidity sweep above 82,600 before final drop. Strong short-term support at 81,250 may cause temporary bounce. Confirm entry during high-volume session (preferably NY open). ✅ Bias: Bearish Let the market confirm the shift – don’t rush in without a proper entry model (like M5 CHoCH or engulfing after mitigation). 📌 Reminder: This is not financial advice – just a structural and fib-based idea within a bearish context.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by hmdnazari76
Why We Are Expecting a Short Position in BTCUSD: Detailed Analys1. Breakout from Consolidation Phase BTCUSD has recently broken out of a prolonged consolidation phase, which is a strong indicator of a potential shift in market sentiment. Consolidation typically occurs when price moves within a narrow range, as buyers and sellers remain in equilibrium. This phase often acts as a buildup for a significant breakout in either direction. Recent Price Action: BTCUSD was trading in a tight range, forming a horizontal consolidation zone with well-defined support and resistance levels. This range was consistently tested, but no decisive movement occurred until the recent downside breakout. Significance of Breakout: The breakout below the consolidation zone signals that the sellers have gained control, leading to an increase in bearish momentum. A decisive breakout from consolidation often results in strong directional movement, favoring the breakout direction. 2. Break of Previous Low – Confirmation of Bearish Trend One of the most compelling reasons to initiate a short position is that BTCUSD has broken below a significant previous low. Previous Low as Support: The prior low acted as a critical support level that was tested multiple times during the consolidation period. When price decisively breaks below this level, it suggests that the support has failed, indicating increased selling pressure. Breakout Confirmation: A confirmed breakout below the previous low typically attracts more sellers and triggers stop-loss orders placed by buyers, leading to a further downward push. This kind of price action is a strong confirmation that the bearish trend is likely to continue. 3. Retest and Better Entry Opportunity Ideal Short Entry: After the initial breakout, BTCUSD may retest the broken support (now acting as resistance), providing an ideal opportunity to enter a short position. Retests often occur when price temporarily pulls back toward the breakout zone, giving latecomers a chance to enter at a better risk-reward ratio. If the retest is rejected near the previous support level (now resistance), it reinforces the validity of the breakout and provides a high-probability short entry. Low Risk, High Reward Setup: Entering after a retest allows placing a stop-loss slightly above the previous support-turned-resistance zone while targeting the next key support level, enhancing the risk-reward ratio. 4. Increased Bearish Momentum and Volume Confirmation Volume Spike on Breakout: A breakout accompanied by high volume further validates the move. Volume often acts as a confirmation that the breakout is genuine and not a false move. The increase in selling volume confirms that more market participants are aligned with the bearish outlook. Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are showing bearish divergence or have moved below key levels, suggesting that downward momentum is increasing. A break below the consolidation zone with rising bearish momentum adds further conviction to the short trade. 5. Macro and Sentiment Analysis Supporting Bearish Outlook Macroeconomic Factors: Broader market factors, such as increased risk aversion in global markets, regulatory concerns, or bearish sentiment surrounding cryptocurrencies, further strengthen the bearish case. Sentiment Shift: A shift from bullish optimism to bearish sentiment among traders often accelerates the downtrend, as fear takes over and more sell orders flood the market. 🎯 Target and Risk Management Primary Target: Initial target would be the next major support level, which can be identified through historical price levels or Fibonacci extensions. Stop-Loss Placement: Stop-loss should be placed slightly above the retested resistance level to minimize risk in case of a false breakout. ✅ Summary: We are expecting a short position in BTCUSD primarily because: A strong breakout occurred after a prolonged consolidation. Price broke below a key previous low, confirming a bearish trend. A potential retest provides a better entry point with low risk and high reward. Volume and momentum indicators support the continuation of the downtrend. This setup presents an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the bearish momentum in BTCUSD. 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by baladeva
M2 Global Liq/BTC Correlation Coefficient with 108 Day Lag The more money that flows into the system, the more money that flows into assets. Some assets perform better than others. However, over the past 15 years, one asset has consistently outperformed all others. This chart aims to mathematically determine the optimal lag time between global liquidity increases and BTC’s explosive upward movement. The correlation data is as follows: 60-days lookback: 84% correlation 90-days lookback: 83% correlation 180-days lookback: 88% correlation 360-days lookback: 91% correlation It transpires the most optimum lag time is 108 days which puts us mid April. These are the facts. What you choose to do with them is up to you. That said, if I were a betting man and had an 85% mathematical probability of making money on a trade, I’d take it. For generational gains, check out my Altcoin picks in my last post where I accurately predicted our last breakout from FWB:67K to $109K. Keep yourselves (and your Satoshis) safe.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrGoose83
BTCUSDT, ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS This chart represents a technical analysis of Bitcoin based on the Elliott Wave Theory. It appears that the analyst has used this pattern to predict future price movements. Let's break it down: 1. Elliott Wave Pattern: Waves (1) to (5) indicate a large upward movement, typically consisting of five main waves. In this chart, each sub-wave (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) is nested within larger waves, confirming a bullish pattern. Wave (3) is usually the longest and strongest wave, which is clearly visible here. 2. Trend Lines: The two sloping yellow and white lines form an ascending channel. The price moves within this channel, with the upper line representing resistance and the lower line acting as support. 3. Future Projection: Wave (4) seems to be complete, and Wave (5) is forming, typically indicating a final upward move before a major correction. According to this analysis, the price could reach the range of $140,000 to $160,000. 4. Analysis Validity: If the price can sustainably remain above the midline (dashed line), this analysis will be stronger. Breaking below the lower trend line would invalidate the analysis, potentially leading to a deeper correction. ✅ Conclusion: This analysis points to a strong bullish trend that, if realized, could be highly profitable. However, as with any technical analysis, these predictions are not guaranteed, and investments should always be made with caution and risk management. This is a personal analysis and not a recommendation to buy or sell!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ehmopi
Bear cycle begins if this happens. Not the time of buy the dipI have been thinking this Bitcoin cycle has already peaked.   I am using a weekly chart here because I can fit in three BTC cycles on the screen, but it is more clear if you look at it in the Daily chart.  I am analysing the chart by using VWAP - Volume weighted moving average. When you place VWAP (orange line) at the peak of each cycle you can see the pattern as below: 1) The price goes down steadily from the suspected peak price but eventually breaks above the descending trendline.  (please check it in daily chart).  2) The price moves and closes above the descending trendine but the upside move is limited and price gets trapped and consolidate in the sideway for a few months (blue rectangular box).    3) VWAP acts as resistance line and eventually resumes the downside move. 4) By then, all momentum indicators are deep in the bear zone, and the bear cycle begins. When I look at weekly and daily chart, I can see the same scenario is unfolding now.  I don't think the price will go straight down from here. There are good small swing trade opportunities in lower time frame for the next few months. However, if the price struggles to move above VWAP, the end of cycle scenario becomes more and more convincing. It is just my humble opinion based on one style of analysis. Final note: Bitcoin price action has been very similar to NASDAQ100 and US500, and these charts are looking very dire. If US indices go down in the the next few months, Bitcoin will go with them.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EbonyFalcon
Check out my Week 14 Trade Analysis for 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! How was your trading this week? For me i did a couple of trades, namely on the EurNzd, Usdjpy and snp500. Took a lost on snp500. Usdjpy was so so Eurnzd was not bad :) Which are the pairs you have traded? NFP for this week, do take note. What should we keep an eye on? Do check out my recorded video for more insights! Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
ICMARKETS:BTCUSD
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
BTC to move into continuous downspin if uptrend brokenIf Bitcoin breaks below the uptrend that has been in play since Sep 2023, I believe that said uptrend could start to act as resistance and that moves down to 52K are possible. Possibility of a rally into latter part of April shortly following by a significant move down to one of these levels: - the 618 - the downtrend that began to form in Mar 24 - the support region 49-52k Projected flight path for "trough" est. Jun-Jul 25 A new ATH is usually printed Nov-Dec of the year following the BTC halving event: - Dec 2013 - Nov 2017 - Nov 2023 Conclusion (provided the uptrend is broken): - Rejection late Apr - Trough in Jun - New ATH Nov/Dec 🤷‍♂️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Cryptarch_
1
Behavorial ScienceI want to caveat this post with the fact that I've never read any Gann books and only privy to the bare minimum knowledge in how to use Gann tools. First off, I don't really subscribe to the "mystical" aspects of Gann's work, but to me that doesn't invalidate the other aspects of his work. In fact most Gann tools are just visual depictions of market sentiments. After all, isn't that what technical analysis mostly is? A visual/quantitative study of human behavior and reaction? Gann angles = sentiment. Gann boxes/intervals = patience/time. And so we use Gann tools not like some mystical pentagram chart to wealth, but simply as a ruler to quantify and measure sentiment and patience. For reference sakes I'm going to label the current Bitcoin chart as an a-b-c-d-e expanding diagonal wave I (maybe it is, maybe it isn't... not relevant for this chart). An observation I made was that wave e seems to be similar in characteristics to a wave d but played in reverse... so why not model the upcoming wave as a flipped version of wave c (adjusted for time)? Using Gann angles from the most recent local bottom (dashed lines) we see a bounce off the 1/8 angle. 1/8 to me represents euphoria so IMO a continuation upwards cannot be ruled out here... however given the broad market's aversion to risk right now, an intermediate term corrective wave seems more likely. So we model a flipped wave c to prepare for entry points. TLDR; bullish long term, neutral to bearish short term
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by chinawildman