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BTC/USD: Hero's Quest to the Boss Treasure BTC/USD: Hero's Quest to the Boss Treasure Price Action Deep Dive: BTC/USD has formed a powerful SPAWN POINT breakout on the 4H timeframe, characterized by three consecutive blue candles with minimal wicks, indicating strong buyer control Prior to the breakout, we observed a period of tight consolidation (level 15-20 grinding phase) where price was building energy for the current upward thrust The breakout volume significantly exceeds previous candle volumes, confirming legitimate player interest in this upward move Recent price structure shows higher lows and higher highs, establishing a clear uptrend path toward our target zones Current candle formation suggests momentum continuation rather than exhaustion, with minimal upper wicks indicating buyers absorbing all selling pressure Market Structure Context: The breakout has successfully cleared the previous resistance zone (ELITE LvL 2 HP: 2), transforming it into support for future pullbacks The Treasure Hunter color shift preceded this move, acting as an early warning signal for observant traders Major support trendline from previous lows remains intact, providing a "regeneration shield" for any temporary retreats Each pullback has been increasingly shallow, demonstrating growing reluctance from sellers to engage the hero's advance The most recent consolidation formed a bull flag pattern before the continuation, classic "power-up charging" price action With our Hero at Level 159 with full health and the Wizard's Journey already 53% complete, all technical indicators align for continued progress toward BOSS TREASURE around $94,000-$95,000, though we should remain vigilant for temporary pullbacks to the HEALTH POTION zone around $84,000.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by CognitiveAlpha
Are You Backtesting or Backfilling Your Ego?You build the setup. You run the test. It’s not quite what you hoped for… So you tweak it. Then tweak it again. Then again. And again. Before you know it, you’re not testing a strategy anymore you’re editing reality until it flatters you. That’s not refinement. That’s backfilling your ego. The urge to make it look right We’re human. Nobody likes drawdowns. Inconsistency feels uncomfortable. And let’s be real.. win-rates under 50% just look bad. We don’t want to see our promising idea fall apart in the data. So instead of facing it, we start sculpting the results to make them easier to accept. We don’t want to see our promising idea fall apart in the data. So instead of facing it, we start sculpting the results to make them easier to accept. Widen the stop just a little. Tighten the take-profit, Perfect! Now my win-rate is 60% Add a filter that “feels logical.” Nudge the indicator setting. Remove the choppy day, “that was news anyway.” And just like that, the curve is smoother. The stats are cleaner. You feel better. But here’s the problem: You’re not building a strategy that works. You’re building a strategy that looks like it works. Optimization isn’t the enemy, but your intentions might be Of course, tuning is part of the process. You should test different inputs and variables. But stop and ask yourself: why are you doing it? If you're refining to understand the behavior of your system, that’s good. If you're changing things to avoid discomfort? That’s not testing. That’s denial. The market doesn’t care how hard you worked. It doesn’t reward effort. It rewards resilience. If your strategy only performs when everything’s perfectly aligned when the moving average is exactly 13.53661, and the RSI is 42.122 instead of 40, and your entry is two bars after a wick touch… Then you don’t have a strategy. You have a sandcastle. And when the tide shifts, it’s gone. All because you wanted it to work so badly, you sculpted the data until it told you what you wanted to hear. A strategy worth trading doesn’t just survive the good times Anyone can build a system that performs in a trending market. Or when volatility is ideal. Or when the dataset ends right before the storm hits. But markets don’t hand out clean conditions on demand. So ask yourself: Have you tested your strategy in stress conditions? Have you run it through market noise, sideways action, volatility spikes, and traps? Have you studied its worst stretch and still said, “Yes… I’d take these trades”? Because if the answer is no, your system isn’t ready. You’re not building a strategy to trade. You’re building one to feel safe.. and that’s far more dangerous. Break it before the market does The best traders do the opposite of comfort: They try to break their systems before live money does it for them. Run a Monte Carlo simulation. Shuffle the order of trades. Randomize outcomes. Apply slippage or missed entries. If your equity curve collapses under that pressure, if your belief in the system evaporates when the trades aren’t perfectly sequenced, then you didn’t build robustness. You built a lucky curve. Loss streaks aren’t a bug, they’re the cost of playing Too many traders design systems that avoid losing… instead of building ones that know how to lose.. Every real edge has pain points. Every equity curve has drawdowns. Every stretch of performance has some ugly days. If your backtest doesn’t show that? Be suspicious, because the market will definitely do. So stop trying to eliminate every loss, and start asking better questions: Where does this strategy actually break? What’s the worst losing streak I can expect? Can I survive that financially and emotionally? bottom line: It’s truth over comfort. Clarity over illusion. Edge over ego. Test it honestly, or the market will ..
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Maaz_BA
Bitcoin could surprise with new ATHs- one of the more tricky analysis since technically BTC could be in a HTF downtrend so looking for very high upside targets is not the best idea - that said, there are some interesting developments here: 1. PA has broken the very clear downtrend line 2. S/R flip just recently confirmed on the 4H time-frame suggests the bull strength is real 3. perhaps most importantly, Bitcoin has traded differently to US equities for the last couple of days with SPX heading sharply lower but Bitcoin not really following and even rallying (something unheard of until this year!) It is too early to tell whether this is a new dynamic between the two and certainly far too early to say that Bitcoin has become a risk-off/alternative asset but with Trump fundamentally changing the flow of goods, services and most importantly capital it may be time to discard all the old, known asset correlations aside. High conviction that Bitcoin heads to at least the 92k - 94k region. Possibility of a surprise run towards previous and perhaps even new ATHs is present and would be confirmed if Bitcoin starts holding the 95 - 96k level. Ultimately, it is rather likely that the upcoming move is fake/nothing but a bear rally and lower prices are expected or at the very least it is unlikely upside PA for Bitcoin gets sustained in the long term UNTIL .. as long as Solana is not trading below 80$, chances are we are still in a bear(ish) market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Mansasuma
BTCUSD 4/22/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you an update of current Price Action based on his previous analysis & call outs. You've NEVER seen transparency like this. You've NEVER seen Precision like this. _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
(BTC) bitcoin "signs"the blue/green line is crossing the purple dotted line. This is a sign representing a transitional phase between moving averages where the short line begins to cross over the patterns of longer time frames. I was looking at this today and though any indicator is never 100% accurate it is always better to see positive signs rather than no signs at all. Could this be the summer of crypto? A positive crypto summer unlike so many previous years? I'm well aware the second quarter just started and summer is not close by 3 months time.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Projection Based on Previous Halving CyclesHistorical Context: After each previous halving, Bitcoin has entered a strong bull market, typically peaking 12 to 18 months later: • 2012 halving → ATH in late 2013 • 2016 halving → ATH in late 2017 • 2020 halving → ATH in late 2021 Assuming the latest halving occurred around April 2024, BTC is now in the early phase of what could be the next major bull run. Current Technicals: • Current Price: $87,273.26 • Weekly Change: +2.46% • The chart shows: • A breakout above descending resistance (yellow trend lines) • A potential bullish continuation pattern • Support around $85,000 holding strong Projection: • If Bitcoin follows the same post-halving trajectory, a new all-time high (ATH) could be expected between $120,000 and $150,000 sometime in late 2025 or early 2026. • The current range between $80,000 and $90,000 may represent a consolidation zone before a major breakout. • The “Up” signal and positive momentum suggest an ongoing upward move.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by raydiaz26
BTCUSD 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar) trading setup on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it's indicating: 1. Pattern Formation: A potential bullish flag or ascending triangle setup is forming after a strong upward move, suggesting continuation. 2. Entry Point: The chart suggests a breakout above the consolidation zone (the horizontal blue line) as a possible buy signal. 3. Take Profit Targets: First Take Profit: Just above the breakout zone. Second Take Profit: At a projected target based on the previous bullish move (the "flagpole" height). 4. Stop Loss: Placed below the support zone (highlighted in red), protecting the trade if price breaks down instead. 5. Current Price: Around $87,106, just below the breakout level. This is a classic risk/reward setup traders use for continuation plays. Do you want help calculating the exact entry, stop loss, and target levels based on this chart?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by money_magnet2
BTC/USD Rallies Above $82,140FenzoFx—Bitcoin has surged past $82,140 resistance and is now trading near $86,800, correcting 1.0% of its recent gains. The bullish trend persists above the 50-period simple moving average, with immediate support at $86,140 offering a potential entry point for buyers. If this level holds, the uptrend could target $89,000. Conversely, a dip below $86,140 might push prices toward $84,000 or $82,811. >>> No Deposit Bonus >>> %100 Deposit Bonus >>> Forex Analysis Contest All at FenzoFx Decentralized Forex Broker
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by FenzoFxBroker