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Long Scenario Invalidated — Watching for Deeper Correction🚫 Long scenario is canceled! Price started to break down, taking out the early June lows. There's now a high probability of a deeper correction toward the 90,000–95,000 range. I won’t short from current levels. The uptrend remains intact on the weekly chart. There are safer and more asymmetric opportunities in the market from a risk-reward perspective. For example, shorting the S&P 500 or going long on precious metals looks more attractive right now. 💡 General recommendation: Stay away from high-volatility assets like Bitcoin, oil, and natural gas for now. Wait for setups with tight stop-loss levels and clear structure before entering.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by kventinka
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks. Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high. Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest. Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range. Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want. Safe trading
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Maddox_Metrics
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025. Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20). Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900. Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024. So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Lose $100K Support?!On the four-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 and is in its short-term descending channel. One can look for buying opportunities for Bitcoin from the channel bottom. If the resistance level is broken, the path to the rise and its reach to the level of $107,000 will be prepared for Bitcoin. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management will be more important in the cryptocurrency market. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. Bitcoin has been in the spotlight again in recent days, especially as its price fluctuates within the psychologically important range of $101,000-$102,000 and its fundamental indicators are sending mixed signals. The first and perhaps most important element in Bitcoin’s fundamental analysis is the accumulation trend by large financial institutions and corporations. According to data published by websites such as CoinShares and the Financial Times, more than $87 billion worth of Bitcoin is currently held by companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, Block, and ETFs, which is approximately 3.2% of the total BTC supply in circulation. This clearly shows that Bitcoin has established itself as a store of value in the portfolios of professional investors, although there is still no consensus on its function as a “digital gold”. In this regard, analysts such as Román González of A&G have predicted that Bitcoin could reach the $200,000 range by the end of the year; on the other hand, some more conservative analysts such as Jacqui Clarke believe that Bitcoin still lacks measurable intrinsic value and should not be viewed solely as an alternative asset. This conflict of views shows the depth of complexity in analyzing Bitcoin. From the perspective of onchain, or intra-network data, the picture looks a little more cautious. The volume of active addresses last week was in the 1.0-1.1 million range, which is lower than in previous bullish periods (such as late 2021). Also, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) index, which measures the potential profit potential of investors, fell slightly from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating that the market is somewhat cooling off from the short-term heat. Also, on June 22, more than 5,200 Bitcoins were removed from exchanges, which is usually a sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in short-term selling pressure. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s behavior in the face of geopolitical crises shows signs of a change in the dominant market narrative. During the recent tension between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin fell by nearly 4%, unlike gold, which experienced significant growth. This challenges the assumption that Bitcoin is a “hedging” or “safe haven” asset and shows that BTC is still registered more as a risk-on asset in the minds of market participants. This is considered very important as investors look for tools to hedge inflation or protect against economic shocks. In terms of correlation with traditional markets, Bitcoin is also on a path to further integration with classic assets. The 30-day correlation index between Bitcoin and the S&P500 is now around 0.78, and academic studies predict that the correlation will grow to 0.87 at some point in 2024. This means that Bitcoin’s movements are more aligned than ever with the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, interest rates, stock market conditions, and global liquidity flows. Therefore, in the current situation, the impact of US macro data or central bank decisions plays a decisive role in Bitcoin’s volatility. Finally, Bitcoin price prediction models in recent days also reflect this complexity. Websites such as Bitfinex, Changelly, and analysts from institutions such as Brave New Coin have estimated that Bitcoin could reach the $125,000-$135,000 range this summer if macroeconomic conditions remain stable, and even if institutional capital continues to flow and there are no macro crises, reaching $150,000 by the end of the year is not out of the question. However, such scenarios require maintaining the current level of liquidity in the market, the absence of drastic tightening measures by the Federal Reserve, and the control of geopolitical risks. In short, Bitcoin is in a situation where, on the one hand, its supporting fundamentals are stronger than ever; With institutional inflows, accumulation of long-term addresses, and reduction of inventory on exchanges. On the other hand, the market remains highly vulnerable to macroeconomic and political risks and continues to show volatile reactions. This situation has led to Bitcoin becoming not only a speculative tool or growth investment, but also gradually becoming a part of professional portfolios with a carefully composed risk management mix. Its medium-term outlook is positive, but with one important condition: stability in global inflation and continued institutional capital flows.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
BTC/USD:Intraday Trading Analysis and StrategyI. Daily Chart Trend Analysis On the daily timeframe, BTC/USD closed with a small bearish candle yesterday, forming a consecutive series of bearish candles that clearly indicate a downtrend. The price continues to trade below the moving average system, and the technical indicators have formed a death cross, further confirming the bear-dominated market structure. However, in this clear downtrend, two key risks require attention: 1.Oversold rebound risk: After sustained declines, the market may experience a significant corrective rally. 2.Priority of risk control: Regardless of market movements, strict stop-loss management and position sizing remain core trading principles. II. Hourly Chart Technical Analysis The hourly chart shows that the price fell sharply under selling pressure during U.S. trading hours yesterday, breaking below the key $100,000 level. This morning, the price rebounded strongly after hitting a low, with the breakdown level near $102,700. Currently, the K-line forms a large bullish candle, and the technical indicators have formed a golden cross, suggesting that a corrective rally is likely to continue today. Note that if the price breaks above the breakdown level of $102,700, the short-term downtrend may be disrupted, and the market could shift to a range-bound pattern. BTCUSD sell@102000-102500 tp:101000-100500 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by H_C_02
Bitcoin's Failed 60-Day Cycle: Relief Rally Before More DownsideBitcoin has officially failed its current 60-day cycle by breaking below the previous cycle low on June 5th, touching $100,000. This marks a key structural shift that traders should not ignore. 📉 What’s Next? Likely Scenario: The highest probability setup now is a relief rally toward the Stoch RSI highs on the 1-Day and 3-Day timeframes, followed by a move downward into the 60-day cycle low, projected to form between late July and early August. This aligns with a potential retest of the Value Area Low from April, a key support zone to watch. 📈 Upside Target: If we do see bullish continuation in the short term, the main upside target is $105,000. This level is significant as it clusters three Weekly Point of Control (POC) levels from May and June, making it a high-liquidity magnet for price. Historically, Bitcoin tends to gravitate toward these levels when several align closely. 💼 Current Positioning: I’m currently long BTC and ETH, and I’m watching closely for Stoch RSI to top out on the 1-Day and 3-Day timeframes. I’ll look to reduce or exit those positions as we approach those cycle peaks. 🔔 Pro Tip: Price often seeks out stacked POC levels. If you’re a volume profile trader, keep $105K on your radar. 📌 P.S. For access to my custom indicators and deeper cycle analysis, check the description in my profile.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
BTC /USD 15 MINUTE CHART PATTERNYour BTCUSD 15-minute trade setup is as follows: --- 🟢 Long Position (BUY) Entry: 101.958 Stop Loss: 99.554 Target 1: 103.100 Target 2: 104.500 Target 3: 106.391 --- 🧮 Position Metrics Risk (SL): 101.958 – 99.554 = 2.404 Reward: T1: 103.100 – 101.958 = 1.142 → R:R ≈ 0.48 T2: 104.500 – 101.958 = 2.542 → R:R ≈ 1.06 T3: 106.391 – 101.958 = 4.433 → R:R ≈ 1.84 --- ⚠ Notes R:R at Target 1 is under 1, so consider partial profits only if you're managing risk aggressively. Make sure to monitor price action and volume near resistance zones before committing heavily. Trailing stop strategy can be useful once price approaches Target 2.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mrprofe21
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of ​​105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space. At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Bitcoin: open path to downside?The FOMC meeting and the decision on interest rates, geopolitical tensions and inflation fears are currently the most important topics for investors on financial markets. The crypto market was sort of left behind during the previous week, with some funds outflows as of the end of the week. Current chart looks like seeking the downside, however, the question is whether it is just a short term correction or the market is indeed setting the stage for the higher move toward the downside? At the beginning of the previous week, BTC tried for one more time to make a push toward the higher grounds, and tested the $108K level. Since there was no strength to sustain this level, the BTC spent the rest of the week looking at the downside. The lowest weekly level was reached on Friday, at $102,6K, but BTC recovered a bit on Saturday till levels modestly above the $103K. The RSI continues to move below the level of 50, indicating that investors are still eyeing the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come soon. As previously noted, charts are pointing to the probability of a higher move toward the downside for BTC. Lows from the beginning of June might be the first target in this scenario. This would lead BTC toward the price range between the $100K - $101K. There is also some probability for the move toward the opposite side, where BTC will again test the $105K resistance. At this point charts are not pointing to probability for reaching levels higher from the $105K.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
BTC To new ATH, Let's bet!For my followers, they know I dont usually write out the reasons for a trade during the week unless on weekends, reason been the nature of my trades. I enter on market orders and then I post, any time wasted to be outlining reasons will make them not to enter the trade. BTC is still bullish, I know the bears are coming, they always do, I know the cycle will end, it always does but now is not the time. Main reason is, everyone is now bearish. The chart hasn't also showed bearish signs, just retracement. I highlighted below 100k as my next POI because of the liquidity there, I've been buying since yesterday, I hope you do too. If not, this is another opportunity. For those that said R:R is big, Learn to hold your winning trades please, in that way you'll maximize profit and also reduce frequency of trades. If you can't, just open a new account, fund $100 and then trade my signals there. The account will be bigger than your main account by this years ending. I trade forex too, if you've any question regarding how you'll do this, ask away in the comment section I will show you how I do it Now someone said we wont be seeing a new ATH. I think he is very wrong and knows nothing. I will attach a post I made when BTC went below 77k and I was bullish and I outlined the reasons there. Enjoy Please, hold this trade. Follow me as my trades are market orders, so you'll see them no time and enter them on time.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by UGBOR
Bitcoin full analysis, what's going on?Bitcoin has been trading horizontally since May 8th, with occasional breakouts both upward and downward. This trend is largely attributed to two factors: institutional buying and miners selling. The low trading volume on exchanges, combined with a decrease in daily trades from its recent peak in February 2024, has led to increased volatility, although these fluctuations have been relatively small compared to past swings. In my opinion, the bull run began in October 2023, as evidenced by increasing volumes and a steady rise in prices. Unlike previous cycles, this market has priced in the halving in advance, leading to gains year-to-date from approximately 15800 USD to a new all-time high (ATH) of approx 112,000 USD. By any standards, this is an excellent return and shows that Bitcoin is performing well and should be held. However, it's worth noting that this bull run has lasted 590 days, which is longer than previous cycles that typically lasted less than 585 days, depending on how one defines the start and end. What is keeping Bitcoin from skyrocketing? The answer seems to be that the bears are currently in control, with major overhead resistance at 112k. Bitcoin has struggled to stay above 108k for any significant period. Additionally, the accumulation/distribution metrics are leveling off, daily trading volumes are decreasing, and the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is high, indicating that profits are being taken. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows signs of bearish divergence, and we are observing a flag pattern that appears to be forming a descending triangle following a double top. All these indicators suggest we may be nearing the end of this cycle. On a positive note, Bitcoin short positions are not particularly high, nor are long positions, indicating market uncertainty about the direction. Geopolitical tensions, a weak U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), and tariff chaos could act as catalysts for price movement. The successful Circle IPO demonstrated that there is market appetite for crypto. Bitcoin has also built considerable support in the 95k-107k range, and the flag pattern suggests a potential rise to 115k in the next breakout. In my analysis, the bearish outlook feels stronger. Although there are positive signals for the upside, the return on investment this next upward move could only be 115k. As a result, I have stepped out of Bitcoin and into other assets that I deem more stable during this global period. I plan to re-enter Bitcoin when it reaches around 44k or lower (50-70% correction, depends on when and I will DCA), which would present a more attractive entry point. More importantly, if Bitcoin is maturing and behaving like gold or another stock, I will treat it as such. Legislation remains uncertain, and I have experienced being on the wrong side of crypto in too many cycles. When FOMO kicks in, it's often the right time to exit. As I look at the charts and say the phrase "moon BABY," I realize my spaceship is not yet ready. Safe trading, everyone! These are my thoughts on Bitcoin. Let me know if you agree or if you think I am completely off the mark. Not trading advice.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Discombobulate1
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 98,383.98 1st Support: 94,101.85 1st Resistance: 108,545.92 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bitcoin H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 103,844.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 107,000.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 99,546.32 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDShort
by Tradu
Bitcoin Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 062225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 99,063/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by fibonacci6180
$BTC Lost $100K Support – Retesting From Below Bitcoin broke CRYPTOCAP:BTC Lost $100K Support – Retesting From Below Bitcoin broke the key $100K support and dropped to $98,200, but has now bounced slightly and is trading near $100,800. However, the situation remains bearish. 🔸 Key Support Zone at 99,763 – 103,112 (Broken & Retesting): This zone is now being tested from below. If BTC fails to reclaim it, downside pressure continues. 🔸 Upside Target: 110,324 (Invalidated) Only a strong move back above $103K can revive bullish momentum. 🔸 Risk Level at 100K: If today’s daily candle closes below $100K, expect more downside — next major target is around $92,000. 🔸 Outlook: BTC is in a bearish retest phase. If $100K holds as resistance → expect further dump to $92K. If reclaimed with strength → structure may stabilize. Shorts still in profit — manage wisely. Stay alert. Global tension keeps markets highly reactive. Keep risk tight and follow the trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal