Bitcoin Part2: Bullish Trade longBad economy,global inflation,recessive U.S. economy,hypes,uncertainly, the white house policy.
All these facts matter:They put the markets under massive pressure
Where is the chance: To plan different scenarios and models that have benn working in such similar scenarios. 202 is a good example, as the markets suddenly experienced big pressure.
Last not least, the FED transistory inflation, that wasnt real inflation, now indeed is becoming a dangerouse reality: We will have higher inflation, and global risks increasing.This will impact global liquidity inflow into markets.
Additionally we are noticing an outflow of the US stock markest, and increasing inflow of capital in foreign countries stock markets.
This are not good news for Bitcoin nor for crypto at all.
The chane in my opinion is just to think reverse.like 2020
Sell when positive news from the Whitehouse andpositive tone from FED.
Buy when White house talking and announcing threadful tariffs and if FED talks negatively.
Why?Because we have indieed real thread of inflation, and FED is the more competent team, who really now does everything to tame the inflation.Therefor i beleive them more.
Also short term contarian trade is just planned for max 24-48 hours. not longer
As the volatility rises.
Helding positions for more periode of time means increasing the risk.Upwards and downwards.
