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CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & Overlay - DETAILEDThis post is intended to be used with an earlier interactive companion post, crated to observe BTC's interactions in prior cycles so we can take learnings into cycle 4 with respect to BTC's under and over extensions of the calculated Realised Price. A quick refresher - What is Realized Price? Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com "Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price." The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies. Historic Observations As per the above prior post, we see BTC enters a cycle topping and bottom phase when BTC's 'Realised Price' enters the top red and bottom green over extended regions of the normalised Oscillator and the Red and Blue Extension lines of the Overlay indicators. We see historically the Oscillator shows the region where price moves with high volatility and other indicators that rely on divergence can extended much further than in other periods in the cycle before a true change in trend is achieved. In 2021 Overlay indicator (RED Line) was breached many times before we put in a significant trend change and the ultimate cycle top was realised at the second peak interestingly at the lower 'Purple' extension line November of that year. CYCLE 4 Update Where are we now according to the Realised Price Overlay and Oscillator indicators... Based on historic review of BTC relationship suggests we are about to enter the parabolic region of this cycles (Oscillator is about to enter into the 'RED' zone and Overlay indicator has breached the Purple line and is between the Red and Purple line). Interestingly this relationship aligns with our cycle mapping posts, looking at BTC historic behavior since cycle bottoms and tops and BTC price targets based on Fibonacci extensions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
BTCUSDWelcome Baaaack!!!! Here I am with another Full Top-Down Analysis of what Price is doing, based on what Price did, to determine what Price is going to do. Come Tap In! You most def gonna love this drop & I'm not talking about a Sell. _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & OverlayThis post is intended as an interactive companion post with a 'to follow' detail post for historic analysis. I want to explore the relationship with BTC and Realised Price, and historically where we have seen cycle over bought and sold regions based on extensions from calculated realised price values. What is Realized Price? Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com "Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price." The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies. I will follow this post with a zoomed version for detailed discussion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Brodie
BTC analysis of current upward momentum vs past bullrunsLooking at the current upward momentum, indicators such as RSI etc. are overbought yet price keeps moving upwards. Seems these indicators are severely lagging in a very bullish market and cannot be used to reliably determine when price will likely turn around. In this analysis, I am simply looking at past bull-runs and hypothesizing that if we are in the beginnings of a new bull-run, where would price likely go to based on fib patterns alone. Using the past bull-runs as examples and projecting from the major build up before the run, I am measuring fib of the overall buildup and projecting a fib extension of 4.414 as this has been a historic extension for past runs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by jod45m
Bitcoin Breaks Record, Shrugs Off Risk-On Label Gold extended gains for a third consecutive session, crossing $2,650 per ounce, as investors sought safety following an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also performing well and doesn't appear to be acting totally as a risk-on asset in this environment, surging to a fresh record high. President-elect Donald Trump’s administration is reportedly considering a dedicated cryptocurrency policy role within the White House, Bloomberg reported. Adding to Bitcoin's momentum, the Financial Times revealed that Trump Media and Technology Company is in advanced talks to acquire crypto trading platform Bakkt. Bitcoin remains above key technical levels, including the 50- and 100-day EMAs, while the RSI hit overbought territory at 80.
BLACKBULL:BTCUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
BTC weeklt charts (bullish and bearish targets)So on the weekly chart we have a black trendline that one is taken from the tops of april 2021 and Nov 2021. If btc can cros that trendline around 95500 and use it like a support, there's nothing in the way to reach the red trendline. The red trendline was a support line what was broken and after it became a resistance, Now again? IF the target 95500 is the top, and btc is going into a bear market (i know it sounds unbelievable, but still consider it), than we have 2 bleu support trendlines 1st one is a copy taken from the black trendline, so it will become an uptrend channel. the channel bottom was around the 15300.And it's depending when and where btc will hit that trendline ( i have mark it with 20397) 2nd bleu support line IF that 1st bleu line is crossed then and only then will that lowest bleu support line probably becoming a support or called it the bottom That lowest bleu support line is taken from the low of dec 18 and the coronalow at 2020. Can see a bearish divergence on the weekly BUT on the monthly it's almost gone.... Very exciting weeks in progress. bullish bullish for the moment. The strange part is: btc is bullish and the dollar is bullish, should be the opposite. One is wrong, but which one???
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ronbaten
BTC Reverse Head & Shoulders patternBTC seems to continue its trend of dying off, frustrating investors and media, and then rapidly increasing to new highs. We see a chart almost like a cup and handle pattern above, called a 'reverse' head and shoulders pattern. Each shoulder is created by the dips from the trend line, making a large head (taller than both shoulders), coming back up to the trend line before dipping down again to form the last shoulder. My personal opinion is the projected price of around 125k. It is my belief, that this will more than likely will go higher given enough time.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Shwayze