Fade The News You have to fade the news because it's all technical. As you can see we have a strong hidden divergence on the 1hr TF. The bears did not succeed in trying to wipe out the low of 74,483. Instead price found it's ground at 74,588. The news articles/billionaires who control the news are trying to convince traders to sell but HODL or you will regret the biggest profit potential in history.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Bullish setup for Bitcoin for coming 6 monthsIf we look at pure technicals. Basic technicals, things couldn't be more bullish. The sentiment is at extreme fear, but look at this beautiful chart.
Maybe we chop here for a bit, but once the MACD flips in momentum weakness, then I suspect massive upwards move for Bitcoin.
CHECK BTCUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINTrade Type: Long (Buy)
Entry Zone:
Around $76,100, as indicated by the horizontal entry box (blue zone).
Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: Around $77,000
2. TP2: Slightly above $77,000 (approx. $77,400
3. Last Target: $77,900
Stop Loss
Placed at $75,300
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT ✅
BTC Double Tops Trap or Trump BreakoutAs noted on the charts BTC has reached a critical point in its journey. Altcoins are already hammered into the weekend, is this an early indication of a rug pull?
BTC on the 8H time frame is showing rejection of higher prices into previous all time high with most indicators sounding a warning. I am only sharing my thoughts on whether this is a market maker's trap or Trump Breakout Trade.
Personally, I have a bias that even if US congress and White house would designate BTC as a Reserve asset (That's a Big iF), my question is would the US government with it's mountain of debt and DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) buy BTC at over $100,000 per coin? Where is the taxpayer money to accumulate BTC at this price. I suspect the insiders will pull the rug before such an event.
Let the chart print!!!
These are just my thoughts I am sharing with the world. Cheers to profitable trades!
2024-? Deathcross Goldencross Pattern for BTCDeathcross then Goldencross then Deathcross creating a zone indicates a bearish move.
The time to sell before bigger dump ahead
Goldencross then Deathcross then Goldencross creating a zone indicates a bullish move.
The time to buy before bigger pump ahead
2021-2024 Deathcross Goldencross Pattern for BTCDeathcross then Goldencross then Deathcross creating a zone indicates a bearish move.
The time to sell before bigger dump ahead
Goldencross then Deathcross then Goldencross creating a zone indicates a bullish move.
The time to buy before bigger pump ahead
2017-2021 Deathcross Goldencross Pattern for BTCDeathcross then Goldencross then Deathcross creating a zone indicates a bearish move.
The time to sell before bigger dump ahead
Goldencross then Deathcross then Goldencross creating a zone indicates a bullish move.
The time to buy before bigger pump ahead
2012-2017 Deathcross Goldencross Pattern for BTC Deathcross then Goldencross then Deathcross creating a zone indicates a bearish move.
The time to sell before bigger dump ahead
Goldencross then Deathcross then Goldencross creating a zone indicates a bullish move.
The time to buy before bigger pump ahead
BTC/USD Long Setup – Bounce from Demand Zone Towards $80K TargetKey Zones
Demand Zone (Buy Zone)
🔵 $74,250 – $75,000
Strong support area
Buyers previously stepped in here
Marked for potential entry
Resistance Zone
🟣 $77,300 – $77,600
Mid-level resistance
Could cause a short pullback
Watch for breakout or rejection
Target Point
🎯 $80,273.49
Potential upside: +6.68% gain
Previous supply/structure zone
Take Profit (TP) zone
Stop Loss
⛔ $74,247.07
Just below the demand zone
Protects against invalid setup
Trade Idea
1. 🔽 Price expected to drop into demand zone
2. 🔄 Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. bounce or engulfing candle)
3. 📈 Enter long position near $75,000
4. ⬆️ Ride it up through resistance
5. ✅ Target = $80,273 | ❌ Stop = $74,247
BTC at a Critical Inflection Point – Bulls vs. BearsBitcoin is currently trading around $77,644, sitting right between two major trendlines:
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Support – This green ascending trendline has held since late 2023, providing key support throughout BTC’s macro uptrend.
🔴 Medium-Term Bearish Resistance – The red descending trendline has capped price since the 2025 highs, forming a clear structure of lower highs.
We're now at a pivotal confluence zone where these two trendlines intersect. Price recently bounced off the green support, but it's struggling to decisively break above the red resistance.
🔍 Key Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above the red trendline could confirm bullish continuation.
Targets: $84K, GETTEX:92K , and potentially ATH breakout above $100K.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Rejection at resistance may lead to a retest of the green trendline (~$74K).
A breakdown from there opens the door to GETTEX:64K –$60K, or even deeper pullbacks.
BTC/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup with SBR Rejection🔵 Key Zones & Levels:
🔷 SBR Zone (Support ➡ Resistance):
Price Range: ~$81,000–$83,000
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31 (Just above resistance)
Expecting sellers to step in here if price retests this level
🟠 Mid-Range Zone:
Current price is consolidating just below SBR zone
Could form a lower high before dropping
🟦 Target Zone (Support Area):
🎯 Target Price: ~$75,000
Previous demand area – price bounced hard from here before
🔁 Trade Plan:
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry: Near current price or after retest of SBR zone
🛑 Stop Loss: $83,002.31
🎯 Target: $75,000 (approx -8.33%)
✅ Summary:
Risk-Reward: Appears solid (R:R > 2:1)
🕵️♂️ Watch for: Fakeouts or rejections in the SBR zone
🔻 Potential Move: -6,804 points if plan plays out
BTCUSD 1H Outlook – Anticipating Liquidity Sweep & ReversalPrice is currently reacting at minor resistance, but the structure suggests a potential liquidity grab below the recent lows. If price taps into the 74K demand zone, I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation targeting the 84K region.
📌 Key Levels:
Demand: 74,000
Resistance: 84,000
Watching for: Sweep > Rejection > Break of structure
Patience here is key. Waiting for price to show its hand before executing.
Bitcoin and 50 SMA on a WEEKLY chart - UPDATE Following on from the sharp drop in the beginning of the week, where PA dropped Below the 50 SMA ( RED) , PA has recovered and, as you can see, the candle Body is currently sitting ON the 50 SMA
We may need to remain in this area to bring back the Bullish Sentiment and then move higher.
It can be said that a bullish sentiment remains with Bitcoin as its did NOT crash as sharply as Stock Markets.
We are also now waiting on the MACD to fully enter the "Bounce Zone"
The Weeks candle on the histogram has returned to RED and so some caution is required here, while we wait.
It is the next few days that are crucial now. The "Tariff" dust us settling and countries are reacting to Trumps Tariff impositions.
My Gut feeling is VERY positive right now.
But that is just me,
Watch that candle on the 50 SMA like a Hawk. If we loose that again and the week closes below, THEN we need to think carefully
BTC heading to 59k levels, then 50kThere is no macro narrative nor equity flows to support any story of CRYPTOCAP:BTC bouncing back north. It will hit the next support levels at 100week and 200week SMA, which also correspond to the bottom of this bullish long term channel.
There needs to be a positive macro narrative to facilitate the volumes needed to make the price movement trend north but I see indication of that in US or European markets for the foreseeable future.
Level to watch The market is currently at a critical juncture, facing a pivotal decision: either rallying back to 90,000 or breaking the key support level at 73,800.
Previously, I highlighted a potential top once the market reached 100,000, with an initial target around 74,000, which the market has already breached twice. At this stage, it’s a fierce battle between the bulls and the bears, making it challenging to predict the next move.
A rally from here could push the market back into the 85,000-90,000 range. If it breaks through 90,000, there’s potential for a climb to 108,000, possibly even 125,000.
On the other hand, a break below the crucial support at 73,800 could signal a deeper correction, potentially bringing the market down to 48,000.
I've been short on ETH and XRP, expecting a more bearish trend for both. ETH has already hit its target, while XRP could potentially drop back to 0.45.
The upcoming days will certainly be fascinating to watch.
BTC Perfect Retrace .618 Fib on the 4hr Timeframe. LONG??As BTC just Retraced on the .618 Fib, this may indicate that BTC is on a slow trend-reversal.
As it's 20 min later now after i started the first line of this Chart-reading, I see the Green candle has grown significantly already, which indicates bullish momentum.
I have set 5 Fib levels for Retracement possibilities.
I actually think i did it a bit wrong here, for it will ofcourse not retrace all the way up in 1 leg. But it may happen in a few moves/waves.
I have NOT consider EWT here so I think that also makes my Analysis not too accurate yet, but ofcourse, the 0.5 and .618 are feasible. I haven't speculated price-movements (for time-reasons) because I am thinking of starting a Funded acc fast to catch a few moves on the market! Lets see what it does!
*All fibs according to colour, 0.5-628-1 and 1.618 respectively.
I appreciate Criticism, boosts and Feedback for my learning curve.
So if you criticise, please be constructive.
**At this point it has NOT even touched the .236 level yet, which may indicate a weak bullish bounce, thus a continuation of downtrend, But as this is the 4 hour timeframe, I think we have plenty of time to make that 0.5 or 618 level possible! - I havent considered any other timeframes yet, for same reasons: I can't lose that time right now. Maybe I can make a more complete analysis later. This is all for practice and learning! 😘💖
BTC Rejection at $82K Leads to FVG Retrace and $68K TargetBitcoin's recent price action shows a failure to establish a higher high after an attempted liquidation. The price encountered significant resistance around the $82,000 zone, leading to multiple rejections at this potential support level. Subsequently, there was a decisive break below the $82,000 zone, leaving behind a Fair Value Gap (FVG) in its wake. Following this breakdown, the price retraced back into this FVG, presenting a potential opportunity for a short-term sell entry. The targeted area for this trade is a lower order block situated around the $68,000 zone. This scenario suggests a bearish continuation bias after the failed breakout and the filling of the inefficiency created by the initial downward move.