BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC breakdown As of May 21, 2025, BTCUSD has just shattered its historical all-time high, surging past previous peaks with unprecedented momentum. The leading cryptocurrency has broken through the $100,000 mark, driven by a confluence of factors including institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, and renewed investor enthusiasm. This milestone has sparked widespread excitement across financial markets, with traders and analysts closely monitoring whether Bitcoin can sustain this bullish trajectory. The breakout underscores Bitcoin's growing legitimacy as a store of value and its resilience in the face of global economic uncertainties.
BTC Analysis – 1H
1️⃣ Market Structure
Bitcoin remains extremely bullish. After a clean accumulation phase above the bearish OTE zone, price didn’t even bother sweeping liquidity to the downside.
➡️ No south-side manipulation, clear sign of institutional strength
2️⃣ Key Zone in Play
BTC is now directly challenging the 109K resistance zone, which stands right before the ATH.
Buying pressure is clear, with constant upside movement and no significant retracement.
3️⃣ Behavioral Reading
Price is absorbing every dip with higher lows.
Despite small RSI divergences, momentum remains strong, buyers are in control.
4️⃣ Probable Scenario
🟩 Break above 109K ➜ ATH incoming
🚀 If confirmed ➜ Fast extension toward 115K–120K
🧠 Conclusion
BTC looks loaded. This is one of the cleanest bullish phases since March.
No fakeouts, no liquidity sweeps, just steady pressure gearing up for a major breakout.
🎯 Short-term target : ATH
🎯 Mid-term target : 115K–120K
BTCUSD 'H4 BULLISH TREND MAKE ZONEWeak Breakout Above Resistance
The current move above the "SUPPORT ZONE" (previous resistance) appears shallow and indecisive.
Lack of strong bullish momentum or volume may indicate a false breakout, which could reverse quickly.
2. Rejection Wicks Near Key Levels
Multiple upper wicks (longer top shadows) in recent candles suggest seller presence near 106,500–107,000.
This is often an early signal of a potential price rejection.
3. Low Volume Rally
The recent price push is not supported by increasing volume, which weakens the credibility of the breakout.
A bull trap scenario could be forming, drawing longs in before price dumps below the support zone.
4. Support Zone Re-Test Could Fail
The support zone is thin and may not hold under renewed pressure.
A clean break below 105,000 would invalidate the bullish thesis and shift control to bears.
5. MACRO & SENTIMENTAL RISK
If market sentiment shifts (e.g., rate hike fears, equity market correction), Bitcoin may follow broader risk-off trends and fall toward 100,000 or even the high 90K levels.
📉 Bearish Scenario Projection:
Break below 105,000 = confirms weakness.
Next downside targets:
102,000 (bearish zone)
98,000 (prior range low)
Possibly lower toward 94,000–96,000 demand block
BTCUSD: 61.8% Fib + OB = Precision Long PlaySmart money traders love one thing more than anything — confluence. This BTCUSD setup hits all the marks:
📈 Structure Breakdown:
Market breaks structure to the upside ✅
Impulsive bullish leg breaks prior high ✅
Pullback into 61.8% golden zone + OB ✅
Rejection wick = perfect entry confirmation ✅
This is a high-probability continuation setup after BTC made a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the M30 timeframe.
🟦 Order Block Zone:
OB Range:
Top: ~106,989
Bottom: ~106,759
This OB was the last down candle before the big bullish impulse that broke structure. Price returned to mitigate here, then instantly rejected = Smart Money entry confirmed 🔒
🧮 Fibonacci Levels:
61.8%: Sliced right into it
70.5% – 79%: Deeper liquidity zone just below
The entry wick taps right into the sweet OB/Fib confluence zone and launches 🚀. It’s giving sniper precision with a low drawdown entry.
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Entry: ~106,759
SL: Below the OB zone
TP: 108,022 (previous high)
That’s an RRR of around 3.5–4.0x — a clean asymmetric play, just the way smart money wants it.
🔍 Confirmation Factors:
Bullish BOS on M30
Price returns to OB zone + golden ratio
Clean rejection candle with demand absorption
No internal structure break = bullish narrative still valid
🧠 Key Lesson:
“When OB meets Fibonacci, don’t ask why. Load up — the market just told you why.”
Let setups like this come to you. No chasing, no emotions. Let the algo-driven footprints guide you to the money.
📈 Missed this one? Save it for your playbook — this is how high-probability trades are built.
Drop a 💰 if you caught the same move!
BTC on its way to 120-124k by first week of july BTC looks strong here, i have no doubts it will be a good summer for crypto, i think we have good altseason starting when btc dominace drop, i think 16 june will the altseason blow off date. but its good to load some alts now and hold till first week of july.
maybe we see a fake manipulation dump to support arround 98k before the take off,
things looking good let see top btc schould be at least 140k everyone says oktober but i think this time we will have a good summer and oktober will be the worst month and we continue the bullrun from nov 2025 till feb 2026. where btc print at least 140k
Bitcoin H1 | Falling toward a swing-low supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a swing-low support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 104,426.50 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 101,900.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 107,783.00 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Midweek Market Pulse: Gold Surges, Dollar Slips, Bitcoin WobblesThis week’s market landscape is shaped by growing U.S. fiscal concerns, a weakening dollar, and surprising moves in gold and crypto. In this midweek review, I break down the key macroeconomic drivers behind DXY's slide, gold’s bounce from key support, and why Bitcoin is showing unusual weakness despite a softening dollar. Plus, I highlight critical upcoming events like the G7 finance summit and Fed speeches that could spark fresh volatility. Don’t miss this strategic breakdown if you trade DXY, XAUUSD, or BTCUSD!
The next #BTC move we will be buying Bitcoin in the fortiesBitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of a potential long-term decline, with resistance around $113,000 and a key support level at $74,393. If the bearish trend continues, we could see BTC heading towards the $43,500 zone in the coming years. Traders should watch for market shifts and key levels to gauge future movements. 🚀📉
Sooner or later, we will be buying Bitcoin in the forties! #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis
Shorting Analysis on Bitcoin - Fxdollars- {15/04/2025}Educational Analysis says that BTCUSD may give countertrend opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - BITSTAMP
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) External pushback to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
Bitcoin About to Repeat 2021 ? Major Crash Incoming?🚨 Bitcoin About to Repeat 2021? Final Pump Before Major Crash Incoming! 🚨
Bitcoin’s current price action is reflecting classic Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies — and the structure is almost identical to what we saw at the 2021 bull market top.
✅ Here's what I'm expecting based on SMC/ICT principles:
Final liquidity sweep above relative equal highs (targeting $110K–$130K 🚀), just like the final pump in 2021
Displacement and Market Structure Shift (MSS) to signal a confirmed reversal 📉
Distribution phase where smart money offloads their positions onto trapped retail buyers
This fractal behavior and liquidity engineering mirrors how the market topped in 2021 before the brutal bear market began.
🔮 Key Smart Money Signs to Watch:
Liquidity grabs above highs (inducement traps) 🔥
Premium array setups at major order blocks 🏦
Bearish BOS and MSS confirmation 🛑
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) acting as magnets after the reversal ⚡
🧠 Reminder:
"If you understand where the liquidity is, you understand where the market is going." — ICT
History doesn't repeat, but smart money strategies often do.
💬 What do you think? Will Bitcoin repeat the 2021 trap and collapse after new highs? Let’s discuss below! 👇🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BTCUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #SmartMoneyConcepts #ICT #Liquidity #MarketStructure #TradingView #OrderFlow #BearMarket #CryptoTrading