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Bitcoin showing some cracks - caution advised- follow up analysis on USDT D. chart I posted yesterday - the two have an inverse correlation so if USDT D. is making new all time lows, Bitcoin is making new ATHs and vice-versa - with USDT D. threatening a range breakout it therefore makes sense to watch for signs of weakness with Bitcoin itself - yesterday´s rejection happened right at the 0.618, making a lower high - furthermore a clean S/R flip (red) occured alongside a textbook rejection of the 50 level on the RSI - if range low is broken, the likely path for the king then is filling the CME gap that is roughly at the 78k area
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Mansasuma
Scalping Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trend: Bitcoin is currently showing a range-bound movement with local bearish pressure. Key Levels: Resistance: ~$99,700 - $100,000 Support: ~$96,500 - $97,000 Indicators: MACD: Weak momentum, approaching a potential crossover. EMA: Price is hovering near the 50 EMA, indicating indecisiveness. Volume: Decreasing, suggesting market participants are waiting for confirmation. 🔥 Scalping Strategy: 🩸 1. Range Scalping (Low Volatility Environment) Why? Price is trading between support and resistance without strong breakouts. How? Buy near $96,500 - $97,000 Sell near $99,500 - $100,000 Take quick profits, as price action is choppy. 🩸 2. Breakout Scalping (If Price Moves Aggressively) Trigger: Break above $100,000 or drop below $96,500. Execution: If price breaks $100,000 → Scalp long targeting $101,500 - $102,000. If price drops below $96,500 → Scalp short aiming for $95,000. 🩸 3. EMA Scalping Why? Price is near the 50 EMA, which can act as support or resistance. Execution: Buy when price bounces off EMA (confirmation via MACD crossover). Sell if price rejects EMA and continues downward. 🔥 News & Market Context: Neutral sentiment, with no significant macro news or FOMO/FUD at the moment. Liquidity levels suggest that a breakout may occur, but no clear trigger yet. 🔥 Decision: Enter or Stay Out? 🩸 Current Situation: Market is indecisive, making scalping viable but risky. 🩸 Recommendation: Low-risk range scalping is the best choice until momentum confirms a breakout. 🩸 Ideal Entry: Buy near $96,500 or sell near $99,500, keeping tight stop-losses. 👑 Final Verdict: Scalp with caution, but be ready for breakout confirmation. 🚀
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FinCaesar
Alts are moving toward the lows once more. Is it time to buy?This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSD
by ThinkMarkets
Universal Laws is Primary, Tools/Overlays/Strategy is SecondaryMany traders get taken by surprise by the Law of Alternation Being respectful to the laws and knowing how to navigate them by using tools and a smart system is what it takes to be profitable in the now and distant future. Apologies for the inconsistency of posts, however I am using my time for coding so I've been busy. Please reach out to me if you have questions or want to see more market updates as I am happy to help, and will carve out more time for this
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Blayno_MTOPS
BTCIn the monthly timeframe, to identify the final target of Bitcoin’s bullish rally, we observe that in previous rallies, Bitcoin has reached the 13.618 target and then the 3.618 target. In the current bullish wave: If Bitcoin reaches the 1.618 Fibonacci target, it will hit $122,423. The 2.618 Fibonacci target corresponds to $188,166. If it extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci target, it will reach $253,910. Bitcoin has already reacted to the 1.414 Fibonacci level at $109,414, and its previous reaction was at the 1.272 Fibonacci level at $99,676.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ozairal83
Equal Weight Crypto Precariously PositionedWhenever I want a decent understanding of what crypto is doing on aggregate, I consult an equal weight portfolio of 10 of the top cryptos by market cap. The sector has been building another pennant, trying for a push to fresh highs, but momentum is flagging. The last time this happened, not too long back, there was a solid drawdown before the pump. By the look of it, there's room for a 30% drop. Given that so many cryptos have doubled, tripled, 5x, 25x, etc don't be surprised if there's a crash soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by quickshiftinn
2
NEW UPDATE OF BTCUSD 4H In-Depth Analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Chart This 4-hour Bitcoin chart from TradingView includes various technical indicators, patterns, and potential price movements. Let’s analyze it in detail: --- 1. Chart Overview & Indicators Trading Pair: Bitcoin (BTC) / U.S. Dollar (USD) Timeframe: 4-hour chart Exchange Data Source: OANDA Price at the Time of Chart: $98,274.2 Price Change: +1,279.8 (+1.32%) Technical Indicator Used: Supertrend (10,3) Red Supertrend (Above Price) → Bearish Signal (Down Trend at ~$98,274.2) Green Supertrend (Below Price) → Bullish Signal (~$95,000 as potential support) --- 2. Key Price Levels Support Area: $90,000 - $95,000 This is highlighted as a blue zone. BTC has bounced from this area previously, making it a strong demand zone. Resistance Area: $105,000 - $110,000 Marked with a yellow box. BTC faced multiple rejections in this area before dropping. --- 3. Technical Patterns Observed A. Descending Triangle Formation (Red Trendline) The price is forming a descending triangle, characterized by lower highs and a flat support level. This is often a bearish pattern, but a breakout can occur in either direction. Breakout Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks the upper trendline resistance, it may surge toward $105,000 or higher. Bearish Breakout: If BTC falls below the triangle, it could drop toward the support zone (~$90,000 - $95,000). --- 4. Breakout Projection & Trading Strategy A. Breakout Arrows (Black, Blue, Green) Blue Arrow: Indicates a possible breakout above the descending trendline. Black Arrow: Suggests a move toward $105,000 resistance if the breakout is confirmed. Green Arrow: If BTC surpasses $105,000, it may continue rallying higher, possibly toward $110,000+. B. Bullish Trading Strategy Entry: Buy when BTC breaks above the descending triangle (~$99,000 - $100,000). Target: $105,000 - $110,000 (resistance zone). Stop Loss: Below $95,000 (support zone). C. Bearish Trading Strategy Entry: Sell if BTC fails to break out and falls below $95,000. Target: $90,000 or lower. Stop Loss: Above $98,000 (previous resistance). --- 5. Supertrend Indicator Analysis Currently Bearish: The Supertrend indicator is red, meaning BTC is in a downtrend. Bullish Reversal Possible: If BTC moves above $100,000, the Supertrend might turn green, signaling an uptrend. --- 6. Summary & Market Sentiment BTC is currently in a short-term downtrend but approaching key support. A breakout above $100,000 could trigger a strong bullish rally toward $105,000 - $110,000. Failure to hold above $95,000 may lead to further downside toward $90,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakout before entering positions.
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by mrsagarfx
2
Bitcoin is at a decision point.I would not be surprised if Bitcoin started correction waves from the Fibonacci 1.618 point. RSI also looks weak. Less likely, correction waves may begin after Fibonacci rises to 2.618 levels. Harmonic patterns often target Fibonacci 1.618 levels. Trump has had a major impact on the world economy and politics recently. This impact has also affected the crypto markets. Therefore, it makes sense to revise our analysis. * What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset. * Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by traderisso
BITCOIN is 'Back on Track'?🚀🔥 Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Delayed Cycle or Just Another Test? 📈⚡ The market has been consolidating, and Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. After a major breakout in February 2024, we are now facing massive structural resistance at the same trendline that has dictated previous cycle tops. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 109,928 - Major resistance (3rd test) 📌 90,641 - 97,519 - Support zone & potential liquidity grabs 📌 79,657 - Untested (previoys breakout) breakout level Delayed Cycle in Play? Traditionally, Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle, but this time, things could be different. 1️⃣ The halving took place on April 19, 2024. 2️⃣ A breakout before halving was an unusual move. 3️⃣ The Q1 2025 structure suggests either a delayed bull cycle or an early maturity phase. What’s Next? March Breakout or Rejection? 📊 If Bitcoin breaks above 110K, we could see a parabolic move toward 120K+ and ultimately new all-time highs later in 2025. ⚠️ But if resistance holds, we might see a retest of the 90K or even 79K levels before the next leg up. Macroeconomic Wildcards 🌍 Trump, Tariffs & Rate Cuts - The market is uncertain, and politics are playing a role. However, with rate cuts likely incoming, liquidity could flood back into Bitcoin, fueling the next breakout. 📅 The Next Few Weeks Are Critical! Stay sharp and trade wisely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
Bitcoin Q1 2025 - Delayed Cycle (Part 2)🚀🔥 Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Delayed Cycle or Just Another Test? 📈⚡ The market has been consolidating, and Bitcoin is at a critical inflection point. After a major breakout in February 2024, we are now facing massive structural resistance at the same trendline that has dictated previous cycle tops. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: 📌 109,928 - Major resistance (3rd test) 📌 90,641 - 97,519 - Support zone & potential liquidity grabs 📌 79,657 - Untested (previoys breakout) breakout level Delayed Cycle in Play? Traditionally, Bitcoin follows a 4-year cycle, but this time, things could be different. 1️⃣ The halving took place on April 19, 2024. 2️⃣ A breakout before halving was an unusual move. 3️⃣ The Q1 2025 structure suggests either a delayed bull cycle or an early maturity phase. What’s Next? March Breakout or Rejection? 📊 If Bitcoin breaks above 110K, we could see a parabolic move toward 120K+ and ultimately new all-time highs later in 2025. ⚠️ But if resistance holds, we might see a retest of the 90K or even 79K levels before the next leg up. Macroeconomic Wildcards 🌍 Trump, Tariffs & Rate Cuts - The market is uncertain, and politics are playing a role. However, with rate cuts likely incoming, liquidity could flood back into Bitcoin, fueling the next breakout. 📅 The Next Few Weeks Are Critical! Stay sharp and trade wisely. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
1
Golden Cross up ....The 200-day moving average resides at 7786874, which is below the current market offering underlying technical support on a psychological basis. This market is moving into what is called the Golden Cross, when the 50 unit moving average crosses above the 200, warning that the market may technically turn sharply to the upside. which is below the market at 7786874 given the last Daily closing of 9781900 while the 50 Daily moving average resides at 9923052.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by dpopovici
Are You a Technical or Fundamental Trader? (And Why It Matters)Financial markets are a battleground of opposing forces: buyers vs. sellers, bulls vs. bears, diamond hands vs. paper hands. But one of the oldest rivalries in trading doesn’t involve price movements at all — it’s the ongoing feud between technical and fundamental traders. One side believes the charts hold all the secrets (you, maybe?), while the other insists that cold, hard data dictates market direction (you, maybe?). In this Idea, we break down the two and ask: which side are you on? 📈 The Chartists: The Lost Art of Tape Reading Technical traders are the wizards of the candlestick, seeing patterns where others see chaos. To them, a moving average isn’t just a squiggly line — it’s guidance. Fibonacci levels ? More sacred than grandma’s secret pie recipe. They don’t care if a company just launched the greatest product of the century — if the RSI says it’s overbought, they’re out. Technical analysis thrives on one simple principle: price action reflects all available information and hints at the next possible move. Instead of diving into earnings reports or economic data — the fundamental traders’ bread and butter — technical traders study past price movements, volume, and momentum indicators to predict the next leg up or down. They’re the ones glued to their TradingView charts, eyes darting between support and resistance levels, waiting for the perfect breakout. 💸 The Fundamentalists: Betting on Real-World Events Fundamental traders scoff at the idea that lines on a chart can predict the future. Instead, they dig into earnings reports , economic calendars , and all sorts of reports and data. They believe markets, like everything else in life, move based on value, supply and demand, and macroeconomic forces—not just on price action. To them, a stock isn’t just a ticker symbol; it’s a business with revenues, expenses, and growth prospects. If they’re trading forex , they’re looking at interest rates USINTR and inflation reports USCPI , not head-and-shoulders patterns. The goal? To determine an asset’s intrinsic value and bet on it going up or down, ideally running ahead of the pack. If a company’s earnings are strong, like Spotify’s SPOT latest earnings figures , they buy—regardless of what a stochastic oscillator says. And vice versa, if a company’s earnings are weak, like Google parent Alphabet’s GOOGL latest showing , they sell. 👉👈 Who’s Right? Both, depending on who you ask. Technical traders argue that prices move in patterns, and those patterns repeat. Fundamental traders counter that real-world events drive prices, and charts are just a delayed reflection of reality. The truth may actually be somewhere in the middle — markets are a mix of both. Even the most die-hard fundamentalist will glance at a chart before making a trade, and many technical traders keep an eye on economic calendars to avoid being blindsided by major news. 💡 Why It Matters Your trading style affects everything: the markets you trade, the tools you use, and even your level of stress. If you’re a fundamentals-first trader trying to scalp five-minute charts, you’re in a world of pain. Conversely, if you’re a technical trader attempting to hold trades for years without considering financial data, you might miss obvious warning signs. Understanding your own tendencies can help refine your strategy and improve your results. Are you more comfortable crunching numbers and reading financial statements? You might be in the same boat with other cash-flow guys like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio. Do you prefer spotting patterns and reacting to price action? Say hello to your billionaire buddies Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller. 💚 Final Thoughts Bottom line, trading isn’t about proving one method superior — it’s about making the right decisions, and, let’s be frank, turning a profit. Whether you’re a chart junkie or an earnings aficionado, what matters most is having a strategy that works for you. So now the big question… which side are you on? Fundamental analysis or technical analysis? Comment below and let’s see who’s who!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
33
Bitcoin Cycle Evolution: Angular Analysis of Peak FormationsAs the cryptocurrency market matures, we observe a fascinating phenomenon in Bitcoin's price dynamics: the gradual reduction in cycle volatility. This analysis presents a geometric approach to understanding and potentially forecasting this pattern through the lens of angular momentum in logarithmic price movements. P.S. TradingView has broken the candlestick ratio, you can still adjust the angle lines correctly using the chart scaling change. Methodology By examining the angular coefficients of price trajectories during Bitcoin's historical 4-year cycles, we can identify a distinct pattern of decreasing slope intensity. These angles, measured from cycle lows to peaks, demonstrate a logarithmic decay pattern that aligns with market maturation theory. Our analysis focuses on end-of-year movements, particularly November-December periods, which have historically served as critical pivot points in Bitcoin's price action. Current Findings The angular progression suggests two key trajectory angles for upcoming cycles: Current cycle (2021-2025): ~34° upward momentum Next cycle (2026-2029): ~29° upward momentum This decreasing angular pattern reflects growing market efficiency and institutional participation, leading to more moderate price appreciations in subsequent cycles. Price Projections Based on this geometric framework, we anticipate three key price levels: 2024 Cycle Peak: $150,000-200,000 Primary resistance: $150,000 Maximum extension potential: $170,000 (scam-wick) Characterized by reduced volatility compared to previous cycles 2024 Cycle Bottom: $44,000-50,000 Represents a higher structural low Optimal accumulation zone for long-term positions Enhanced market stability at support levels 2028 Cycle Peak: ~$300,000 Terminal point: November 2029 Reflects continued market maturation Demonstrates significantly dampened volatility Market Implications This geometric approach aligns with efficient market hypothesis principles, suggesting that as Bitcoin's market structure becomes more sophisticated, price movements naturally become more measured. The decreasing angular coefficients quantify this maturation process, providing a mathematical framework for what many market participants intuitively understand. Risk Assessment While this analysis provides a structured approach to understanding Bitcoin's cycle evolution, it should not be considered financial advice. The model is based on geometric patterns and historical behavior, which may not fully capture future market dynamics. Like the work? Hit the like button to support more analytical content. Note: This analysis employs logarithmic scaling to better visualize percentage-based price movements and cyclical patterns.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Paramonov95