BITCOIN Is it still on track with past Cycles??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong correction last week as well as early trade yesterday on Monday, along with all major stock markets, but had an equally impressive round on Wall Street opening, which keeps it so far above its key 1W MA50 on a potentially weekly closing.
So the critical question now is this: Will it continue the pattern of past Cycles and give one more major rally in 2025?
Well based on the BTC Rainbow Waves, it is still on track and actually in a similar situation as July 2013 when after a 3-month correction/ pull-back sequence, it got back to the Blue Buy Zone and near the Fair Value green trend-line.
As you can see all Cycles peaked on the Red Zone and so far on this Cycle we haven't even reached the 1st orange trend-line. Based on the Time Cycles, the next peak should be around November 2025 and if the price action confirms the Rainbow Wave model again, the closest level to the Red Zone by then would be around $180000.
Do you think that amidst the trade war chaos, that's a realistic expectation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
P.S. I am attaching a snapshot below in case the waves aren't displayed properly on the chart above:
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BITCOIN trade ideas
Bitcoin Forecast for the Next 15–20 Years!Bitcoin Forecast for the Next 15–20 Years
Bitcoin is currently in the early stages of its development, both in terms of market adoption and price stability. While there is a possibility that Bitcoin will reach a higher value in the future, it is unlikely to hit the milestone of one million dollars in the short term—mainly due to the volatility and uncertainties associated with cryptocurrency regulation. The coming years will be crucial for the further evolution of Bitcoin. Factors such as technological advancements, government policy, and market acceptance will determine whether Bitcoin can develop into a more stable and widely adopted currency.
BTCUSD-Retrace To Continue HigherHello, traders
Bitcoin from the 1hr pov will drop to the area between $78850 - $77555 to then bounce and continue higher but just to test the $82865 Res line, and as long as the Daily is in extended Bearish mode every bounce will be short lived to then continue lower until the Daily exits the Bearish mode.
BTC Analysis – Trading in No Man’s Land as Channel Support LoomsHello Traders,
Today’s intraday Bitcoin analysis focuses on the 4-hour timeframe, where price action has continued to unfold within a clearly defined descending channel. After rejecting off the channel high resistance, BTC is now drifting downward toward key support — but hasn’t quite reached it yet. Current movement suggests indecision, with price hovering around the range midpoint.
Key Technical Points:
• Price is trading within a descending channel, currently stuck around the range mid, showing uncertainty and lack of momentum.
• Channel low support sits around $65,500, which bulls must defend to avoid further downside and trigger a potential rotation back to the highs.
Conclusion:
Market structure remains bearish, with consecutive lower highs indicating ongoing weakness. A break of the channel to the upside would require a clear shift in structure — something not yet visible. Until then, lower lows remain a likely scenario. Traders should exercise caution in this zone, as price remains vulnerable to further downside in the short term.
BTCUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALSKey Technical Details:
Support: Price is resting on the lower trendline of the channel and right above a potential breakout level.
Resistance: The upper channel line sits around $85,000, which aligns with the previous rejection zone.
Bullish Scenario: If BTC bounces off this level and breaks above the short-term resistance, expect a potential move toward $85K and beyond.
Bearish Scenario: A clean breakdown below the trendline could take BTC back to $77,000–$75,000.
Volume Note: There's a notable decrease in volume, indicating indecision—often a sign of a potential breakout soon.
💡 Bias:
Currently neutral to bullish as long as BTC stays within the channel.
📰 Fundamental Analysis (April 8, 2025)
🧨 What’s Moving the Markets Today:
Fallout from April 7’s Inflation Print:
The U.S. CPI data came in hotter than expected, rekindling fears of delayed Fed rate cuts.
This led to panic selling across equities, forex, and crypto on April 7. BTC dropped sharply in reaction.
🌍 Today’s Probabilities:
Macro Uncertainty Continues:
With the inflation shock still rippling, risk-on assets like Bitcoin are in a sensitive zone.
Traders await Fed speakers and FOMC minutes later this week for further cues.
🏦 Institutional Sentiment:
Cautiously Bullish: Institutions aren’t exiting yet, but are being very selective.
BTC’s long-term structure remains strong unless it breaks down from the channel.
✅ Summary:
BTC is consolidating after a post-CPI dump.
A bounce here could send it toward $85K, but a breakdown risks retesting $75K.
Fundamentally, macro pressure remains, so any bullish breakout must be backed by a shift in market sentiment.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st Support: 74,377.30
1st Resistance: 84,581.33
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Bitcoin - Are we there yet?Bullish weekly divergence
FBD of bullish expanding megaphone
On daily that double bottom area has positive divergence
Think we are at a good place.
May move slowly... then fast... as DXY looks like it may slowly go up this month. But there has been a lot or downside on the DXY the market hasn't seem to of priced in yet. So for prediction
DXY - up slowly for April while bitcoin also goes up
Down for May & June, finds low early July - end of bull run
Not financial advice.
BITCOIN | 1 DAY | '' Bitcoin will fall to $72,000 ''Hey everyone 💙
In the long run, I expect BINANCE:BTCUSD to drop to around $72,000. But don’t worry—this could actually be a sign of a massive rally ahead. If you're holding spot positions, there's no need to panic!
Big moves up often come after strong corrections. In my opinion, this dip is just a profit-taking phase, and the whales are setting the stage to push Bitcoin above $100K in the long term.
If you enjoy these insights, don’t forget to hit that like button🚀
I think crypto bulls are about to run out of time. For a long time I've tried my best here to take every single conceivable angle to explain why it's ENTRIURELY STUPID to be led into believing there's a simple and repeatable cycle to these things.
I've tried being nice. Tried being mean. Tried TA. Tried logic. Tried getting ChatGPT to write me posts. Tried debating. Tried being friendly.
I've tried all I can.
If I have this right, you're about to run out of time.
Read this:
And read this:
IGNORE THE OPINIONS OF PEOPLE FOOLISH ENOUGH TO HAVE TRICKED THEMSELVES INTO THINKING THEY KNOW THE FUTURE.
Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war.
Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks.
The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%.
Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710.
Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion.
Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit
Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements.
However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels
Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward.
BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines.
Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
BTCUSDT - It's breakout? What's next??#BTCUSDT - perfect move below our region as you can see our last idea regarding #BTCUSDT
Now market have 81100 as a resistance area and if market sustain below that then we have further drop to downside.
Expected areas below are 74k, 69k and 65k
Good luck
Trade wisely