BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC, last Chance in this bull market?Hello everyone,
the market was very challenging within the last weeks, because there had been many ways to count, which is the most difficult part of elliot wave analysis. The reason was, that the price was in a correction/ consolidation, which I assume has now finally ended. Trump accounced that they picket 5 coins for the strategic reserve:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
ADA
This aligns very well to what people have waited for. If you believe in a finall bull run, these 5 could be part of your portfolio. I would also recommend to have a look at LINK and LTC, as they are performing quiet well.
Analysis of BTC's Trend After Two Breakthroughs Above 105,000Recently, the price of BTC has been fluctuating within the range of 102,000-105,000 📊. It has broken through the 105,000 resistance level twice: the first breakout reached 106,000 💥, and today it strongly broke through to 107,000 🔥 before quickly retracing to the 102,000 support level ⬇️. After hitting the bottom, it rebounded rapidly to 105,000 📈. The current upward trend has not stalled 🚀, and shorting at high levels near 106,000 can be considered when the price rebounds to this area ⏳ 👉
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@105000 - 106000
🚀 TP 102500 - 101500
🚀 Buy@101500 - 102500
🚀 TP 105000 - 106000
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Was not a fan of BTC, but looks like I am jumping in the van.I was never fond of BTC as I was firm follower of Buffet, and he is not a fan of BTC.
But looking at current time, and how long Bitcoin has come from being valued as the cost of a pizza to a house.
And Saylor's MSTR is interesting and has been printing money great.
$105,000 was previous resistance, imo. The price has broken it and has come way below and again is trading about the this price, making it wildly confident.
And PLUS it has made a double bottom at a similar price range, easily.
Making 10%-20% of your portfolio in BTC seems to be a good option, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, just my opinion.
The Global M2 correlation to Bitcoin / CryptoFollow the money.
Global M2 represents the worldwide money supply & its movements directly impact financial markets. As seen recently, when global M2 declined, Bitcoin & crypto followed roughly 10 weeks later. While further downside is possible, this drawdown is a natural part of the cycle.
There's a clear correlation. This liquidity shift will likely continue throughout the year, setting the stage for the next leg up.
Just make sure you hold digital assets with real utility & strong fundamentals, those with long-term growth potential. Regardless of short-term fluctuations, we’re headed much higher soon.
Still bullish, it is recommended to focus on going long.Earlier, Bitcoin reached a weekly high of $106,518 before pulling back due to market liquidation, with total market liquidations exceeding $669 million. Bitcoin has closed higher for five consecutive weeks on the weekly chart, forming a "higher highs and higher lows" upward pattern, rising nearly 43.75% from its recent low. However, it encountered resistance near the all-time high of $109,588 and failed to break through. Currently, Bitcoin is trading in the $100,000-$110,000 range, with strong support at $100,000 and $90,000, and key resistance at $110,000.👉👉👉
After Bitcoin previously broke through $105,500, the moving averages showed an upward trend, and the RSI was in the overbought zone, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Overall, under the combined influence of news and technical factors, the Bitcoin market on May 19th showed a short-term volatile but long-term optimistic trend. Investors need to closely monitor changes in key support and resistance levels, as well as the impact of market news, and make investment decisions cautiously.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 102500-102700
sl 101000
tp 103800-104000
If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
A 1.61 Break Usually Means Massive UpsideBTC has a current top on the 1.61. Heading into 1.61 fibs I always tend to lead with a bias of a reversal because if it happens it's massive and if I am wrong I'll usually make a bit of money in a short term reaction off it anyway.
If the 1.61 has a reaction and then later sustains a breakout - that's a very different situation.
After clean 1.61 breaks is the time to make good money on the long side. The first run into it I consider risky, but if it breaks then it's green light.
If BTC is able to hold and sustain the 1.61 break - then I think the next major jump leg goes to $140K. This may be a stall/pullback level but we'd probably then trade through to next resistances.
Pure fib levels would have a top forecast around 240K. Given the typical overshoots we tend to have, this would more likely be around 300K.
Things get really interesting if the 1.61 break holds.
Fancy a cup of tea luv?This is the story of how Susan convinced her husband Frank to buy 3 Bitcoins at 105k..
Plus the story of Bitcoin going to a minimum of 126k before the end of May!
A giant Cup & Holder beginning way back in 2021 is a 75% sure prove of that!
What more do you need Frank!?
That's good odds right there for ya!
BTC/USD:Trend Analysis for Next WeekSince April, BTC/USD has bottomed out and rebounded after hitting the vicinity of 74,500 US dollars twice. Currently, the price has strongly broken through the 100,000 US dollars mark. By observing its upward trend, a regular rhythm of "sharp rise + sideways movement" is evident — after each substantial rally, there is a period of sideways consolidation. Based on the current market conditions, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of selling high and buying low within the range of 102,000-105,000 US dollars to seize the band trading opportunities.
BTC/USD
buy@101500-102500
tp:105000-106000
sell@104500-105500
tp:103000-102000
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Potential Buy Trade on BTC/USD (15m Timeframe)Potential Buy Trade on BTC/USD (15m Timeframe)
Double Bottom conformation
Entry: Around 103,100
Target: Around 106,000
Stop Loss: Around 102,200
This setup indicates a possible long position with defined levels for entry, taking profit, and managing risk.
get in loser, we're going to 1M.gm,
before i share my in-depth analysis, i just wanted to share a piece of my mind on how i approach this market:
there are many valid trajectories constantly at play. most people only ever see one; and they get emotionally attached to it. it’s usually the one that validates their own internal bias. they follow people who align with their belief system, and they end up in an echo chamber of regurgitated information, all in the name of pride and ego.
there’s nothing wrong with that, but you won’t find any of that on my page.
when i create a projection, i’m not just drawing it out. i spend a thousand hours tuning into the vibe... i become it. temporarily, i am the trajectory, which allows me to speak from its perspective on a deep, intuitive level. i’m not here to convince you that my idea is playing out. i’m just showing you that it’s one of many valid trajectories in this market.
this one here just happens to be my primary.
it has been for years, and it will remain my primary until we, at the very least, reach 752k.
now, that might sound mind-boggling to a lot of people, especially those still tuned into outdated belief systems or the mainstream media, which is incredibly gloomy right now.
----
what i have before you is a bullish nest that took 3 years to form;
a structure built with precision and patience,
and it's about to rip faces once the third wave explosively and unexpectedly begins.
i’ve color-coded all the waves for your convenience,
and i come to you this morning with a simple heads-up:
a monumental breakout is about to unfold.
and the harsh truth is,
you’re probably not going to be a part of it
because you got shaken out right before it began.
---
🌙
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BTC Reversal Starts Here – Smart Money Filled Up the OB! 🔄 Market Context:
Clear uptrend structure, forming higher highs
Pullback starts ➝ Lower timeframe shows bearish BOS
BTC wicks deep into bullish OB between 103,277 and 102,646
Liquidity sweep below the strong low @ 102,646 triggered ✅
Price now printing rejection from the OB zone 🚨
🧱 Key Order Block Zone:
Marked between 103,277 – 102,646 USD
Aligned with the golden zone (61.8%–70.5%)
Thick purple OB shows Smart Money’s interest 🎯
💸 Liquidity Zones:
Sell-side swept via wick under strong low
Next liquidity magnet: Buy-side Liquidity @ 107,141.59
Weak High @ 105,141.76 ➝ probable first stop 🛑
🚀 Trade Plan:
Entry: Tap and bullish rejection from OB
Stop Loss: Below strong low (102,646)
Take Profit: Partial @ 105,000 → Full @ 107,141 ✅
RRR: Estimated at 1:5+
📉 Why This Setup Rocks:
OB sits perfectly at fib retracement level
Strong low protected → Likely shift in structure next
Liquidity engineered before reversal ➝ Classic SMC recipe
📢 Pro Tip for Ninja Traders:
BTC loves to grab lows before sending price through the roof. If this 30M OB holds, higher TF (4H or 1D) could shift bullish again. This is not random—it’s engineered 📐
⚔️ Mindset Reminder:
"Patience is profit." You waited for the sweep, got OB confirmation, and now you're riding with the institutions 🧠💰
Back to 97KBtc is heading back to 97K and the alts are going to bleed again, but hey there are crypto experts on trading view who have been calling for an alt season every time the dominance drops 3-5 %. The reality is the alt season doesn’t exist now. Btc is playing the game and and the alts are being played. If price goes below 95k there will be blood all over the market.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Analysis🧱 1. Market Structure : Accumulation Pattern Still in Play
Bitcoin is still evolving within a clean accumulation structure at the highs. Despite a seemingly flat consolidation, recent price behavior clearly signals manipulation, typical of a reaccumulation phase.
➡️ On Sunday, the market triggered a bullish fakeout : price briefly swept the range highs before getting immediately rejected, a clear sign of liquidity grab followed by institutional repositioning.
🎭 2. Manipulation & Hidden Intent
This type of reaction (instant north sweep + rejection) suggests that the market :
Is not yet ready to break out for good,
Prefers to trap breakout traders,
And aims to remain in a smart compression phase.
Moreover, the accumulation continues above the Bear OTE zone, indicating ongoing buyer pressure, though still discreet.
📉 3. Retracement Hypothesis: Return to 100K $?
A likely scenario includes :
A retrace to the 50% mark of the Bear OTE (around $96,300–$100,000), which also holds a weekly FVG,
A quick liquidity sweep to the downside,
Followed by a final north-side swing that could unlock a new ATH.
This would form a classic structure :
Accumulation → Manipulation → Explosive Expansion
✅ Conclusion
📌 The current range remains constructive, even if lengthy.
BTC continues to build within a high-stakes setup. The market shows clear signs of prepping for a major breakout, but may still :
Trap the impatient (bullish fakeout),
Flush out southern stops (deep retest toward 100K),
Then unleash a powerful breakout to the upside.
🔥 As long as $100,000 holds, the setup remains strongly bullish mid-term.
🎯 Target: Reclaim the ATH, then extend towards $115K–$120K.
BITCOIN Will Go Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 102,856.61.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 117,574.76 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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