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Bitcoin on Edge: US Deregulates, China Cracks DownHello, Bitcoin Bearish Outlook – April 2025 Market Structure & Technical Overview Bitcoin continues to underperform as a safe haven asset, falling short of the optimism once compared to gold. Following a consistent formation of lower highs, BTC has once again broken down—hinting at a potential continuation of this bearish trend. Current Price: Just below the 1M Pivot Point (PP) at $84621.067. This area is crucial — if price accepts this level as resistance, we are likely to see further downside. The most recent 1M high stands at $88,781.70 — a level to watch but currently being respected as a ceiling. Should the price fail to reclaim 84k, the next target is the 1Y PP at $80,283.483. A rejection here opens the door for a move toward strong 1M support at $72,345.065. Below that, 1Y PP structural support comes into question. If the support gives out, the maximum decline target sits near $56,000, which would represent a full reset of the bullish macro narrative. Fundamental Headwinds: A Storm Brews Trump's Latest Move: President Trump has repealed the IRS rule expanding the "broker" definition to decentralized exchanges, a move aimed at deregulating crypto and laying groundwork for a potential U.S. Bitcoin reserve. China’s Crackdown Intensifies: China’s courts and local governments are actively liquidating seized crypto through offshore channels. The lack of a centralized system raises corruption concerns, but near-consensus is forming around formal asset recognition and centralized liquidation. Despite a domestic ban, China holds 15,000 BTC, potentially making it the 14th largest holder globally. The decentralized anonymity principle of cryptocurrency is under increasing threat, as both China and the U.S. shift toward centralized control, regulation, and even reserve-building strategies. This movement contradicts the original ethos of Bitcoin, leading to a bearish sentiment among long-term holders. Sentiment Snapshot Metric Status Technical Structure Bearish Market Sentiment Neutral, leaning bearish Macro Fundamentals Bearish Key Resistance (1M PP) $84,621.067 Next Support (1Y PP) $80,283.483 Strong Support (1M) $72,345.065 Max Decline Scenario $56,000 📉 Mark these key levels: $88,781.70 – Previous 1M High $84,621.067– 1M Pivot (Current Resistance) $80,283.483 – 1Y Pivot (Mid Support) $72,345.065 – 1M Strong Support $56,000 – Max Bearish Target Overlay sentiment zones: Green (above FWB:88K ): Bullish Orange (between $80k– FWB:88K ): Neutral Red (below $80k): Bearish Continuation The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Upcoming uptrend for BitcoinBitcoin’s price appears ready for a significant move upward, and the indicator is about to flash signal that reinforce this bullish outlook. Historically, QSTS has proven effective at identifying key market shifts through its unique blend of quantitative trend strength and sentiment analysis. Recently, it has been showing strengthening bullish momentum, with volume-weighted buy signals emerging across multiple timeframes—often a precursor to sustained upward trends. What makes this particularly compelling is the confluence of these signals with macro and on-chain dynamics. Post-halving supply constraints, increasing institutional inflows, and mounting interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs are all aligning with QSTS momentum triggers. This convergence suggests that the market is entering a new phase of accumulation and breakout potential. When QSTS prints a buy signal following consolidation periods—especially after sideways price action—it often marks the start of strong bullish legs. If these signals hold, Bitcoin may be gearing up for an explosive move higher very soon.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by metawise
1
Bull Flag or Breakdown? A Liquidity Proxy Near Its LimitsIs Bitcoin forming a head and shoulders pattern before a correction, or are we in the midst of another bull flag consolidation? Personally, I lean toward the latter — that this is a classic bull flag being formed. That does not preclude us from seeing more volatility in the short term. We could very well chop sideways for the next two months or even move lower before the next leg up. It’s entirely plausible that we test and ultimately break through the 109,000 level before advancing toward 132,000. That said, we must also acknowledge the alternative: what if this is indeed a head and shoulders pattern, signalling a deeper correction ahead? The market will do what it wants, and the truth is revealed only in hindsight. Good traders and investors prepare for both outcomes. My broader view is that the real economic pain begins to show itself around September or October, when the cumulative impact of tariffs, deteriorating trade flows, and policy missteps starts to weigh more heavily. That’s part of why I believe we’re still in a bull phase for Bitcoin — though likely the final one before liquidity tightens more decisively. Let me be clear: I do not regard Bitcoin as digital gold. It may be a reasonable proxy for global liquidity, but it is not a risk-off asset. It is not a store of value in the same sense as gold, and I believe those who treat it as such are in for a rude awakening. Yes, it has captured the imagination — and wallets — of a certain subset of investors who see it as a monetary alternative. But in a true bear market, when risk assets come under real pressure, I expect Bitcoin and the broader crypto complex to fall alongside equities and other speculative instruments. That will be the moment when the cost of four years of reckless spending, monetary debasement, and centralised overreach is fully realised. The lesson, as always, will be the same: liquidity is a tide, and when it goes out, only real assets endure. For many, it may soon be time to consider harvesting gains and rotating into genuine risk-off positions — not narratives, not hope — but assets with intrinsic value, such as physical gold. This is not investment advice. Do your own research. I could be entirely wrong. And please forgive the rough chart — it’s amateur work.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by johnmknox
3
Bearish FinTech 50 DMA < 200 DMAduring the bear markets I lived through 87,2K, 2008-2010 I had to learn how to detect bear market conditions, the easiest and simplest if when the 50 EMA crashes down through the 200 EMA. Another indicator of a Bear Market is a flight to quality gold and silver... check that's 2. We have a head and Shoulders, price is falling down and possibly through the 50 EMA. H & S is #3 The blue line is the 100 DMA (I use DMA or EMA) if this crashes through the 200 that's even more bearish. This happening means we should not be long, all things being equal I think we will go down.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dryanhawley
3
#Bitcoin Future Forcast of Final moves towards #BullRunAs per Weekly Chart Analysis, Bitcoin performing on the perfectly into #ElliottImpulsive waves and its #CorrectionWave and this time the 5th Cycle of Elliott Impulsive Wave was completed and last Correction Wave cycle will under movements. Now, it is completed the 0 to A-cycle & performing the moves towards B-cycle around $84k to GETTEX:87K and after that final moves towards C-cycle for last Lower-Low point around FWB:67K -65k approx, and that will be completing around next 120-150 days with 0-A-B-C of this cycle around July-August approx.. While, from 0 to A cycle was its first movement point of Retest of lower point, after the Bitcoin's $109k #AllTimeHigh point was at 0 point and $76k is the direction of Point A. Then, after the completion of this cycle of Correction Wave, Bitcoin's final BullRun movement will be starts around August onwards for next 120-150 days for this season last Bullish cycle to reach out min. $180k to $220k and max. Mark will be around $250k to $280k approx. Thereafter, the #BearishZone of market will be starts next year, after completion of this Elliott Impulsive & Correction Wave pairings, which is completely starts from Nov. 2022 from its last Lower-Low mark up point of Bitcoin was $15.5k approx. Anyways, Study deeply always to perform any trade and take StopLoss strategy for that as well DYOR too...🙏
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
3
Bitcoin in correction phaseWave 4 price is currently shoeing, with a target range of 72000-73000. Looking for a buy opportunity at 73000. Uptrend confirmation requires a close above 92000.Keeping a close eye on that 73000 level then. Gotta be quick on the trigger if it dips down there. Don't want to miss the boat if it bounces. Setting an alert for 73000 just to be sure. Still cautious though, that 92000 close is the real confirmation we're looking for. Until then, it's a calculated risk. Might even consider a tight stop-loss just below 72000 to manage potential downside if this wave 4 ain't finished correcting. Patience is key here, don't want to jump the gun. Waiting for that setup.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Ibrahim1984
BTC/USD Technical Outlook📊 BTC/USD Technical Outlook Rounded Top Formation signals exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price respecting a descending channel, showing structured bearish correction. Supply Zone: $96K–$100K – major resistance; price likely to reject here if tested. Key Levels: Support: $80.5K → $74.7K → $56K → $48.6K → $39.7K Resistance: Descending trendline & supply zone Two Scenarios: ✅ Bullish: Break above channel + $96K = retest ATH zone. ❌ Bearish: Rejection + break below $74.7K = targets $56K and lower. Current Bias: Bearish unless breakout confirms above descending structure. 📉 Fundamental View Bitcoin Halving supports long-term bullish case. Fed’s policy & inflation will drive short-term volatility. Institutional news already priced in; any surprises = big moves.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by FXNEWSCLUB
BITCOIN's secret catalyst. The Gold-to-Crypto Rotation Is ComingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to form a new medium-term bottom here, following the Tariffs-led sell-off of the past 2 months. While the crypto market is consolidating and accumulating, the Gold market is smashing every historic All Time High (ATH) after the other. This is not the first time we see this divergence between Gold and BTC and this is what historically delivers what we call 'Gold-to-Crypto Rotation'. This happens when Gold peaks, making its Bull Cycle Top, initiating a capital transition to BTC, hence starting the final rally of its Bull Cycle. This has already taken place 3 times in its short history and Gold's sheer ferocity of the 2025 rally, indicates that we may possibly be about to repeat another one. So what do you think is Gold about to top and offer a mass exodus a capital to Bitcoin, hence kickstarting a massive rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
27
BITCOIN WEEKLY ANALYSIS - April 18th, 2025BTC/USD is currently hovering just below a major descending trendline and key horizontal resistance near the 91,500 level. 🧱 🔍 What We’re Watching: - Price has tested the downtrend line multiple times — the structure is weakening. - A breakout above 87,500 could trigger a strong bullish move. - Until then, "Wait for the Breakout" remains the strategy. No confirmed long entries yet. 📉 Current Price: $84,500 📈 Breakout Confirmation: Clean close above resistance zone + volume spike = 🔥🔥 potential rally. 🧠 Pro Tip: False breakouts are common. Watch for confirmation — not just a wick! Stay sharp, stay patient. Breakouts give the best reward-risk trades! 💹
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
BTC CLOSES ABOVE 50 MABitcoin finally closed a strong daily candle well above the 50-day moving average – a notable technical development, especially since that moving average is beginning to curve upward again. It’s the first convincing close above the 50 MA in months, signaling a potential shift in short-term trend. However, the move came on low volume – which tempers the enthusiasm. Without a surge in buying interest, this breakout could lack staying power. The 200-day moving average remains overhead as resistance, and the horizontal level at $88,804 is still the key barrier to flip market structure and print a higher high. Encouraging – but not convincing – yet. Bulls need to follow through with strength.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
1
BTC: Climbed High, Took a Breather, and Said ‘Let’s Keep Going’BTC 3D Technical Outlook By SpicyPips Upon analyzing the 3-day chart, we observe that BTC is trading within a well-respected ascending channel, which has held as dynamic support and resistance multiple times. After reaching its all-time high of $109,637.53, price retraced into the Golden Zone (Fibonacci 61.8%–50%), a key area where buyers stepped in. BTC has since bounced back within the channel, indicating strength and continuation of the bullish cycle. The current structure suggests a potential move toward our second target aligned with the 127.20% Fibonacci extension at $125,868.39, as long as the channel remains intact. Capital protection should always come before profit — let risk management be your trading foundation. Happy Trading, SpicyPips
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by SpicyPips
BTC/USD weekly ChartBitcoin has demonstrated a consistent upward trajectory since January 2023, achieving an impressive 565.42% increase over 749 days Clearly showing a bullish trend in a long-term perspective. On the weekly chart, price has triggered the fair value gap priced at 73k-78k which is also a fair price on the demand and supply curve, presenting favorable conditions for traders. Although Bitcoin's all-time high from January 2025 remains untested, recent price corrections—driven by macroeconomic factors such as U.S. tariffs and inflation in this recent months may seem a bit shaky for the market, but if you zoom out and look at it at a long term perspective It just looks like a healthy price correction of the market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SOS_101