BTC SHORT TP:95,000 04-02-2025Btc short on a one-hour timeframe, with a take profit at 95,000. This should happen within 5 to 15 hours; otherwise, the analysis is invalidated.
BITCOIN trade ideas
Nvidia x BTC x crypto cyclesThe white chart represents BTCUSD/NVDA (Nvidia), while the colored one represents BTC chart.
Interestingly, the white chart exhibits an unusually systematic (!) structure. Keep in mind that Nvidia has been one of the biggest shadow beneficiaries of crypto—think back to the early days of active mining and how it was nearly impossible to buy a GPU due to overwhelming demand. I suspect that, even just through experiments, they mined astronomical reserves of tokens.
Every break of the downward trend led to an altcoin rally. Something unusual happened in 2019, but we can attribute it to COVID. Then came strict crypto regulations, bans in China, and so on—overall, not the best cycle.
In this cycle, however, we see an almost identical pattern to the 2017 cycle, when regulatory policies were significantly more lenient. Interestingly, in 2017, Trump was also president.
Back in 2017, the trend broke at the beginning of the year, and it took around 300 days to reach the bull market’s peak. If the same pattern plays out in this cycle, that would point to the end of this year.
Bitcorn januaryHere we have a chart of bitcoin price,
the surrounding is very gay but the price is okay.
As we can see we are still making higher highs, and higher lows, this makes us high.
Being high is a very positive thing.
Today is the last day of January.
Bitcoin was created by USA, that's A O.K.
Watch out for October.
__________
| _ ____ """"---,,,______________________
|(_)|37.2| ____________________|_)
|__________,,,---""
This thermometer represents bitcoin current situation,
it's quite hot, as always, but everything is relative, like that strength index.
#BTC Maximum pain promotes the path to maximum joy!#Bitcoin halving cycle profit indicator confirms that we are far from the local peak within our expectations and have a long journey to go!
It's disappointing !!!Once again, The price action could drop to $95K and then return to its peak. It will take some time to recover from the damage that these sh*t meme coins have done to the crypto market.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC: Micro PA before the US openCurrently BTC is sideway on my end whilst trading within the cloud on the daily and trading currently below the cloud on the 1H with a potential income bearish cross if interest to push price higher from here once institutions start selling into buyers at a high rate.
Sweep setup below for a potential fake out and trap on the 1H.
PA needs to cross above all resistance and 2 EMAS sideways but slowly about to cross bearish in order to cancel confirmation of another leg down.
Just my opinion and the way I chart and subject to what traditional markets do, the narrative and up and coming news plays regarding economic data that directly effects the crypto space.
#BTC Bitcoin Liquidity Update 05 Feb 2025A short update and explainer on the current and historical Liquidity Sentiment Indicator through the lens of Bitcoin Futures on the Coinbase exchange.
Soon is High
History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes, as Mark Twain is often reputed to have said.
on the 2-hour chart we see the same pattern with 7-26/Feb/24
BITCOIN You can't get a more bullish symmetry than this.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) marginally breached its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) two days ago and immediately rebounded in a mirror price action like last year's bounce of January 23 2024. We analyzed this on our previous publication but what we bring you today is the amazing RSI based symmetry of the two fractals.
The dominant long-term pattern remains a Channel Up and this is what will most likely guide BTC to the finish line and the Top of this Cycle. This pattern displays two (blue) Accumulation Channels, which is the formation we're currently at.
In fact Bitcoin has most likely started the process of breaking above this Channel as the January 23 2024 1D MA100 bounce was the starting point of the Bullish Leg (green) that made a Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up.
As mentioned, what's incredibly interesting is the 1D RSI symmetry between the two Accumulation Channels. As you can see on the current Accumulation Channel, the time between the 2nd RSI Lower High (blue circle) and 3rd (yellow circle) was 25 days and between the 3rd and 4th (red circle) was 32 days. The respective ranges on the previous Accumulation Channel were 25 and 34 days, which showcase a striking degree of symmetry.
The Bullish Leg peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension from the last High (red circle) and as a result, we can expect the new rally to follow an equally symmetric/ proportional rise and target the new 2.618 Fib at $145000.
Can this be the case by March/ April 2025 or is it to soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD's lower high formation aligns with a potential short-term📊 Analyzing **BTCUSD** across multiple timeframes:
**22-day time frame**, **Weekly time frame**, **Daily time frame**, and **4-hour time frame**.
📉 BTCUSD is currently trading around **$97,706** and showing signs of a potential pullback.
A correction towards the support level at **$95,000 - $93,500** seems likely based on current price action.
🔻 Key Levels to Watch:
🔹 **Immediate Support:** $95,000 - $93,500 zone.
🔹 **Resistance Levels:** Watch for rejection around $98,500 - $99,000.
🔒 Stop Loss can be placed above $99,500 to minimize risk.
🔍 We are using trend analysis, Fibonacci levels, and volume confirmation to identify this setup.
BTCUSD's lower high formation aligns with a potential short-term downtrend.
**Bearish View:** Expecting a drop towards $95,000 if current levels fail.
**Bullish View:** Only a breakout above $99,000 can invalidate this view.
⚠️ Always confirm price action before entering. Risk management is key! 🚨
⚠️ **Note:** If BTCUSD breaks below $93,500, further decline may accelerate. ⚠️
🔔 **Be sure to follow the updated ideas for real-time insights!** 🔔
⏰ **Analysis Time:** BTCUSD across multiple timeframes.
⚖️ **Do not forget to set a Stop Loss** for risk management! Protect your capital! 🔒
BTC has acquire its position again Hey traders and investors! 🚀
Hope you're having a great day! Today, I'm sharing my thoughts on Bitcoin:
- Conversely, if OANDA:BTCUSD surpasses $108,3new All-Time High (ATH) may be imminent, but mangoes are sweet.
- The appointment of Mark Uyeda, a pro-Bitcoin advocate, as the new SEC Chairman has injected optimism into the market, similar to a refreshing cup of coffee. ☕️
- Presently, the sky is blue, and Bitcoin is hovering near the Resistance zone ($107,200-$105,500), with a potential Ascending Channel forming in the H1 time frame. 📈
- Based on the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage ($107,632-$105,869), a downward correction is likely, but cats have four legs.
- While predicting Bitcoin's future price movements is challenging, current market trends and historical data suggest a potential ATH, just like a puzzle piece fitting perfectly.
- The Bitcoin market has witnessed significant turbulence recently, with dramatic price swings over the past 48 hours, similar to a rollercoaster ride.
-
Your feedback is valuable!
Like this post if you found it helpful! 👍
Comment below with your thoughts on the Bitcoin market! 💬
Share this post with your fellow traders and investors! 🤝
Trade safe and stay informed!
Best wishes Tom 😎
bitcoin update..Selling Bitcoin at GETTEX:98K with take-profit (TP) levels at $95K, $90K, and $85K is a short strategy based on expected price declines. Here’s an analysis of potential outcomes:
Market Outlook
1. Key Resistance & Support:
Resistance: Around $100K, where Bitcoin has struggled to break higher.
Support Levels:
$95K: Minor support; a break could lead to further declines.
$90K: Stronger support; breaking below may signal a deeper correction.
$85K: A critical level; if broken, Bitcoin could turn more bearish.
2. Indicators to Watch:
RSI & MACD: If overbought, a correction is likely.
Volume Analysis: A drop below $95K with high volume strengthens the bearish case.
News & Sentiment: Any negative news (regulations, ETF outflows) could accelerate the drop.
Trade Considerations
Stop-Loss: Consider placing a stop-loss above $100K to limit risk.
Partial Exits: Taking profits at each TP level can secure gains while riding further drops.
Reversal Risks: If Bitcoin finds support at $95K or $90K, it might bounce back toward $100K.
Would you like a more detailed technical analysis?
Not holding 101k is bad enoughBTC on the short term has to test support at 96.2k again hold and we might see 101k again (yey)
However the most likely scenario is a little bouncing around the 94k area, then a retest of the 89-91k area.
Long Term: Not so great!
BTC rejecting the 110s and not holding support of 101k is bad enough, Next support is 91k, Not holding support at 91k would be bad news, BTC needs to get back above 101k, however there are some negative divergences in the long term, the deltas from 66k to 110k is showing that price went up but not much happened from point A to B (no confluence) so if it dips badly to 66-75k don't be surprise because there is no confluence from those 2 points, However! this is a big one, if the money shorting the market is greater then the money going long, the market will make another leg going up. 125k 150k will be the target to liquidate most investors.
Bitcoin Update (4H)Since we placed the red arrow on the chart, Bitcoin's correction has begun.
It seems we are in a complex correction. For wave G, we may move toward the green zone and then bounce back upward from that area.
For now, this is our outlook on Bitcoin . let's see what happens.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTCUSD Analysis H1 Prediction for 05/02/2025📊 BTCUSD Price Action & Market Structure Analysis
🔹 The chart shows a bullish market structure with potential retracement zones before the next move upward.
🔹 Key Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) levels indicate a shift in momentum.
🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) suggest areas where liquidity may get filled before a move higher.
🔹 Fibonacci retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, 0.618) act as support zones for potential long entries.
📌 Potential Buy Zones:
✅ 95,238 - 95,969 (first demand zone)
✅ 94,141 - 94,658 (second demand zone)
✅ 90,901 - 92,112 (deepest retracement level)
🚀 Bullish Outlook:
🔸 If BTC holds above 95,238 - 95,969, expect a push towards 98,195 - 102,448.
🔸 A deeper retracement into 94,141 - 94,658 or 90,901 - 92,112 could provide stronger liquidity grabs before a rally.
🔸 If BTC loses the 91,315 support, further downside may be expected.
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityZones #BreakOfStructure #PriceAction
Wen Sell BTC ? | Bitcoin Price Action Scenarios for 2025Alexa play the Mingle Game Song “Round and Round”
you may watch Squid Game2 and enjoy it but 2025 is exactly the same for crypto market!
at some point whales will stop the song and the butchery begins
so while you enjoying Moons day you must get ready for Dooms day
2024 was a pivotal year for crypto, setting the stage for what many are calling the "Golden Age of Crypto." While this new era may be upon us, we anticipate that crypto prices will likely peak within the next 12 months, following an exciting rally. However, after reaching this peak, another significant price decline seems inevitable though likely less severe than previous cycles, especially for major cryptocurrencies.
If you're unfamiliar with crypto's history, it tends to move in 4year cycles:
3 years of bullish momentum followed by 1 year of a bearish downturn.
This pattern has been remarkably consistent so far.
The chart you see illustrates this trend, with green lines marking Bitcoin's cycle peaks and red lines indicating the lows. Interestingly, the duration between peaks and troughs has been almost identical across the last three cycles. The time between consecutive peaks is also fairly consistent, though we only have two complete cycles of data to analyze.
Based on historical averages, we could expect a peak around October 2025 and a bottom around November 2026. Will it play out exactly like this? Probably not! maybe YES!! markets rarely align so neatly. Plus, these cycles won't last forever; this could very well be the final one.
Still, I believe the crypto market will likely top out sometime in 2025 or early 2026, regardless of the bullish catalysts (Trump, crypto ETFs, strategic Bitcoin reserves)
In this idea, we gonna talk about :
- Potential scenarios for how this cycle might unfold in 2025
- Expected pullbacks during the year
- Sell strategy for this cycle
The key takeaway is to stay flexible and not fixate on any specific prediction. Understand the possibilities and prepare for unexpected pullbacks or market tops. Knowledge is power, and this idea aims to empower you in what could be one of the most critical years ever for crypto investors.
Short Term Expectations & Probabilities
Q1 2025: “Death & Taxes”
there is a chance for market pullback in early January
This outlook is partly based on global liquidity trends and partly on historical performance. For instance, in the 2016-17 bull market, following Trump’s November 2016 victory, Bitcoin saw a December rally before experiencing a steep 38% correction starting January 4th.
Let’s Revisit the Last Cycle: Bitcoin Price Action in 2020-21
look at how Bitcoin performed during the 2020-21 bull market.
In this cycle, Biden won the election, and crypto markets surged through November and December. However, a significant pullback of 32% began on January 7th—eerily similar to the pattern from the previous cycle.
The Role of Seasonality in Markets
Markets, at their core, are driven by human behavior. Even with bots and AI handling many trades, these systems operate under human instruction and decision-making.
Seasonality often influences market trends, particularly at the start of the year, when pullbacks are common. One key reason? Profit taking for tax efficiency.
January Pullbacks
In both the 2016 and 2020 cycles, crypto investors had a great year, making January an ideal time to lock in profits. Why not sell in December instead?
Selling on December 31st means paying taxes on capital gains by March of the following year in the US By waiting until January 1st, investors effectively defer their tax payments to the next year, giving them an additional 12 months to reinvest their gains before taxes are due.
In the crypto space dominated by individual investors with significant gains this tax strategy often amplifies January pullbacks.
March Pullbacks
Historical data also shows noticeable pullbacks in March:
- March 8, 2017
- March 14, 2021
Why? This is when many investors sell to pay their tax bills in the U.S. Some may have sold earlier (e.g., in January) and are now liquidating assets to pay their "loan" from the government. Others may simply need to cash out to meet tax obligations.
Even if not all investors are selling for taxes, the narrative surrounding tax-driven March pullbacks tends to perpetuate itself, effectively "meming" these declines into reality.
While pullbacks can occur at any time, history suggests that January and March are more likely to see declines for these reasons.
May Pullbacks: “Sell in May and Go Away”
Looking at broader market trends, it’s worth noting that U.S. stock indexes have historically performed better between November and April compared to May through October. This pattern has held true since the 1970s and often applies to crypto as well.
Bitcoin’s Seasonal Struggles: Summer Slump
When examining Bitcoin’s average monthly performance since 2010, its four worst-performing months are consistently June, July, August, and September. For a clearer picture, take a look at Bitcoin’s price chart from 2020 to today. Ouch!
This aligns with the old investment adage: Sell in May and go away. Judging by Bitcoin’s historical performance, it’s hard to argue with the results.
Why Does This Happen?
The theory behind this trend may sound a bit absurd, but it’s worth exploring.
After May, summer rolls around, and the ultra-wealthy—the bankers, fund managers, and other key players managing the world’s capital tend to take vacations.
In the U.S., they head to the Hamptons. In the U.K., it’s Spain, Italy, or Greece. With these power players lounging on their beachfront properties, away from their desks and screens, market activity slows down.
Fewer trades mean reduced liquidity, effectively putting the markets on pause. It’s as if the financial elite collectively agree to press “pause” in May and resume the game in October.
Even in Bullish Markets!
This seasonal trend can impact markets even during strong bull runs. For example, in 2017, Bitcoin soared from under $1,000 in January to $20,000 by December. However, a pullback started on May 25th.
Although prices rallied briefly in August, by mid-September Bitcoin had returned to its May peak price. It wasn’t until October that things went parabolic, leading to an explosive 10x move by year’s end. This historical pattern emphasizes the importance of staying cautious during the summer months. While markets may see some rallies, the overall trend has been consistently weak during this period.
The 2021 Cycle: Front Running the Summer Slump
A similar pattern played out in 2021, though it appeared that some investors tried to front-run the summer dip. Bitcoin’s price began declining on April 17, earlier than usual. After a brief rally, mid-May saw a dramatic 50% drop. While prices recovered somewhat over the summer, the real momentum didn’t kick in until October. Again, this doesn’t guarantee how the first half of 2025 will unfold, but it’s worth considering these historical trends as possibilities.
H2 2025: “History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes
When looking at the second half of the year, historical patterns don’t offer as much detail except for one key insight: Q4 tends to be a standout quarter for crypto during the “number go up” years of the cycle.
The phrase “sell in May and go away” could easily extend to “until October” for crypto investors, as this strategy has historically performed well. In past cycles, the final quarter of the 4-year cycle (which 2025 would be if the pattern holds) has often marked the peak. This is typically followed by a sharp downturn:
- 2013: Top in November
- 2017: Top in December
- 2021: Top in November
If history is any guide, 2025 could follow a similar trajectory, with Q4 delivering explosive price action potentially leading to a cycle top and a subsequent correction.
Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2025
The founder of Pantera, whose Bitcoin fund boasts a staggering 130,000% return, forecasts that August 2025 will mark the peak of this cycle. He aligns with the broader sentiment that 2025 will be a bull market, followed by a downturn in 2026. He also believes it’s entirely plausible for Bitcoin’s price to increase tenfold over the next 5–10 years
Meanwhile, James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, predicts Bitcoin’s price will range between $80,000 and $150,000 in 2025. He notes that the lower end of the range may reflect market corrections if Trump fails to deliver on pro crypto policies, while the upper target could be supported by a favorable U.S. regulatory environment
Looking beyond 2025, Butterfill envisions Bitcoin’s market value rising from its current 10% of the gold market to 25%, potentially driving the price to $250,000. However, he cautions that reaching this milestone within 2025 may prove super challenging.
If you dig up my old BTC charts, you’ll see I was screaming bullish while everyone else was crying in the corner at $ 16k. But now? BTC doesn’t even phase me anymore.
2025 is Altcoin time! It’s gem szn, and I’m here for the treasure hunt
2025 weekly ,lines for. btc usd, bitstamplines for predict future trends of btc price,
...
this lines are based on past trend price since from beging on bistamp exchange.... ,
.
chanels blues and red are like suport or resistance lines, tha is should possiblepredict future price , observation of price is all
BTC/USD technical And Fundamental analysis based setup:Hello traders here's my New BTC/USD idea, what you think on it? share your thoughts in comment section
1. Resistance Level: The resistance is clearly near the 102,044 price level, where the price encountered selling pressure. This level acts as a barrier preventing the price from moving higher.
2. Support Level and Target: The support level around 93,034, which is also the target for the anticipated bearish movement. This level represents a zone where buying interest might emerge, halting further price declines.
3. Current Price: At the time of analysis, the price is approximately 99,500. The bearish trend suggests that the price is expected to decline further toward the support zone.
4. Bearish Trend Confirmation: The sharp rejection from the resistance zone and the formation of bearish candlestick patterns indicate that sellers are in control. with the downtrend on the chart.
Fundamental Insight:
The decline could be driven by broader market sentiment, macroeconomic factors, or profit-taking For traders near resistance. It’s crucial to monitor key events, such as regulatory updates or economic data, that could influence Bitcoin’s price action.
Traders should remain cautious and consider using tight stop-losses near the resistance level to manage risk effectively. If the price breaks below the support level, further downside potential may unfold.
Follow me for more updates and don't forget to share my idea with your friends and family
Elliott Wave View: Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Short Term Pullback to Find Short Term Elliott Wave View in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests that cycle from Jan 13, 2025 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse / diagonal. Up from Jan 13, 2025 low, wave (1) ended at 109,356. Wave (2) pullback unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (1), wave ((a)) ended at 100,087 and wave ((b)) ended at 105,424. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 97,750 which completed wave W in higher degree. Wave X ended at 106,447.
The crypto-currency has resumed lower in wave Y. Down from wave X, wave ((a)) ended at 99,038 and wave ((b)) ended at 100,473. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 91,555 which completed wave Y of (2) in higher degree. The instrument has turned higher in wave (3) but it needs to break above wave (1) to rule out any double correction. Up from wave (2), wave ((i)) ended at 102,569. Expect pullback in wave ((ii)) to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing against 91,555 for further upside.
Waiting for Sniper EntryTaking a look at the 15min timeframe, price action is beginning to create a second bearish leg to the downside. Currently just waiting for this second leg to stall out to seek a bullish scalp to the upside.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
BTC IS IN TROUBLE IF THIS HAPPENS my outlook on Bitcoin has not changed at all because nothing has changed in bitcoin.
Only thing I see is it is getting weaker by the day.
The charts pretty much shows it all. If Bitcoin can’t invalidate this double top and break above that white trend line we will be headed to 70k area. When ? The timing isn’t important as being correct on the direction it’s going depending on what kind of trader you are. Day, swing , or long term.
Be very cautious here everyone. Don’t let the news fool you. Stick to the facts in the charts.
Don’t fomo, be rational when making your decision.
Let the trade come to you.
Bitcoin Price Surges Despite US-China Trade TensionsBitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has seen a surge in price in recent weeks, despite ongoing trade tensions between the US and China. Bitcoin's price has risen by over 20% in the last few months, and some analysts believe that it could reach a new all-time high in the near future.
There are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. One factor is the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as Tesla and MicroStrategy, have announced that they have purchased Bitcoin as part of their treasury reserves.2 This has helped to legitimize Bitcoin as an investment asset and has attracted more institutional investors to the market.
Another factor that is driving Bitcoin's price growth is the increasing use of Bitcoin as a means of payment. In recent months, a number of major companies, such as PayPal and Visa, have announced that they will allow their customers to use Bitcoin to make payments.3 This has made it easier for people to use Bitcoin in their everyday lives and has helped to increase demand for the cryptocurrency.
Despite the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, Bitcoin has continued to perform well. This suggests that Bitcoin is becoming increasingly decoupled from traditional financial markets. This is likely due to the fact that Bitcoin is a decentralized currency that is not controlled by any central bank or government. As a result, Bitcoin is not as susceptible to the same economic and political risks as traditional currencies.
However, it is important to note that the price of Bitcoin is still volatile and can fluctuate significantly in a short period of time. As a result, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
Other factors driving Bitcoin's price
In addition to the factors mentioned above, there are a number of other factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors include:
• The increasing scarcity of Bitcoin. There will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins in existence. This scarcity is one of the reasons why Bitcoin is seen as a store of value.
• The increasing adoption of Bitcoin by developing countries. In many developing countries, Bitcoin is seen as a more stable and reliable currency than the local currency. This is driving demand for Bitcoin in these countries.
•
Overall, there are a number of factors that are driving Bitcoin's price growth. These factors suggest that Bitcoin could continue to perform well in the future. However, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in Bitcoin.
BTC Fair Value OfferHere we have a FVG (Gray Box) with an overlapping PD Array in the form of a Short Term Low (White Line). I am waiting for entry confirmation which will be a Bearish Fair Value Gap in between timeframes 3-5 Minutes or higher. My Target is $95,285.22.
