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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Feb 4, 2025: Rally PatternToday's rally pattern will attempt to provide some relief related to the recent breakdown in the SPY. Overnight, the ES/NQ rallied to FILL THE GAP. So, today, I believe the SPY will attempt to rally back above 600-601, then stall out and consolidate. Today may be a "GO GOLFING" day in the markets. I would not advise anyone to get Uber-Long in the markets right now. My research suggests the markets will roll downward near the end of this week - seeking the DEEP-V bottom/base I've predicted near 2-10~2-13. Gold and Silver should attempt another rally phase over the next 3 to 4 days. I expect metals to continue to rally into this expansion phase, and I'm initially targeting $3200 for gold. Bitcoin is trapped in a big Excess Phase Peak pattern that I believe will resolve into a breakdown price trend. The Deep-V and other breakdown patterns, which my cycle research says are pending, will drive Bitcoin downward, possibly targeting the $72k levels again. Today may be a relatively FLAT type of Rally day. So, play cautiously. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
3
Business CycleAll the credits to Ostium labs insights. Found here Intuition behind different indicators NFCI - NATIONAL FINANCIAL CONDITIONS INDEX Note y axis is inverted. Rising NFCI here suggests loosening of financial conditions. Btc outperform in loose conditions. DRTSCILM - NET % OF BANKS TIGHTENING LENDING STANDARDS Note y axis is inverted. This tracks changes in the willingness of banks to lend, where tightening lending standards is indicative of caution, whereas looser lending standards suggest economic confidence. Here the graph is inverted - a rise shows improving willingness to lend and a fall shows tighter lending standards. HYG Real time proxy for demand of junk bonds which is a good proxy for risk appetite in the market. Demand for junk bonds is correlated with the rest of the risk curve, with Bitcoin tending to outperform during periods of strength for HYG, and vice-versa. BAMLH0A0HYM2 - HY ICE CREDIT SPREADS Note y axis is inverted. This measures the premium demanded by investors over government bonds. As one would imagine, wider credit spreads mean that more yield is being demanded to invest in junk bonds vs safe bonds, which itself is suggestive of risk in the economy. Narrow spreads, meanwhile, are indicative of confidence. The graph is inverted such that the peaks are the tightest spread. If credit spreads are narrow, risk appetite is high, which means assets further out the risk curve benefit. This is also suggestive of expansion vs contraction in the business cycle, where widening spreads would be suggestive of downturn and narrowing spreads of continued growth. USMNO/USNMNO - US MANUFACTURING ORDERS / NON-MANUFACTURING ORDERS Manufacturing New Orders growing faster than Non-Manufacturing New Orders is generally indicative of early recovery in a business cycle, whereas late cycle dynamics are more heavily weighted towards services, largely driven by consumer spending and therefore this ratio would begin to contract, as Non-Manufacturing New Orders dominate. USBC0I - US PMI A composite of the Manufacturing and Services sectors in the US economy. Above 50 = expansion and below 50 = contraction. T10YIE - 10-YEAR INFLATION BREAKEVENS A market-based measure of average expected inflation over the next 10 years. Bitcoin likes it very much when the average expected inflation rate has bottomed and is trending higher and it generally underperforms when 10-year inflation breakevens are declining. Bitcoin also tends to front-run peaks in 10-year inflation breakevens by about 6-9 months, which in turn tend to peak after Global M2 YoY growth has peaked and is turning lower. This measure also is useful for understanding what is likely to happen to financial conditions - tighter after peaks and looser after bottoms. The clearest correlation here is not to the downside but the upside: when breakevens have bottomed out and cycle higher, Bitcoin tends to do very well indeed. DFII10 - 10-YEAR REAL YIELD Note y axis is inverted What is interesting here is that whilst there is not a strong correlation as real yields rise, there is a clearer correlation as real yields fall. Falling real yields tend to be supportive of Bitcoin, whilst rising real yields have occurred whilst BTC has outperformed and underperformed historically. This one is not as key for mapping out the market cycle, but still worth keeping an eye on.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Oxfirefist
BTC BOUNCEBitcoin's daily chart shows a significant recovery after yesterday’s steep drop. Price bounced strongly above the key support zone near 90,000, marking the bottom of the broader consolidation range. This rebound has allowed Bitcoin to regain the critical 99,860 level, which is now acting as a pivotal area to watch. The current candle is testing this level, and holding above it would be a bullish sign, while a failure could invite further downside. The 50-day moving average is still in play and has provided dynamic support during this volatile period, reinforcing its importance. If Bitcoin can establish itself above 99,860, the next resistance to overcome is 106,099. A close above that level would be a bullish signal and open the door for a retest of the recent highs near 109,358. On the downside, losing 99,860 again could trigger another test of the support zone near 90,000. Volume has been elevated during this corrective move, reflecting strong market activity, and further price action will likely be decisive in shaping Bitcoin’s next major direction. Traders should monitor today’s close carefully to assess whether the bounce off support has enough momentum to maintain bullish continuation.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
February 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 12 o'clock soon. The Nasdaq variable and the Bitcoin weekly chart MACD dead cross are in progress, so the analysis difficulty is high. I had a hard time finding the entry point and the stop loss price. It will be hard, but let's hold on this week. Also, if it falls from the current position, Nasdaq will have a vertical decline condition, so you have to be careful. In the case of Tether Dominance, there is no resistance line yet, so if it doesn't crash all at once, it can be shaken by a short-term wave. I created today's strategy focusing on this part. * When the blue finger moves, It is a two-way neutral Short->Long switching or long position waiting strategy. 1. 96,413 dollars short position entry section / when pink resistance line is broken or when section 1 is touched, stop loss price 2. 95,120 dollars long position switching / when purple support line is broken or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price 3. 99,612 dollars short position switching / when red resistance line is broken or when Good section is touched, stop loss price 96.4K short position at the top from the current position If the entry point is not touched Long waiting at section 2 below / stop loss price when green support line is broken. Section 1 at the top is a sideways market It is the second short position entry section of today. The final long position target and short position switching section that I expect is the center line of the 4-hour Bollinger Band chart. It is expected to be around the top section, and if it rebounds to this section, the weekly chart MACD dead cross will be released, so you can press it again. There are two conditions for the dead cross to be imprinted: it is pushed to 86.5K at the bottom (major support line) or it is imprinted naturally while moving sideways. It won't be easy to break through all the resistance lines at once with a vertical rise and touch the Bollinger band resistance line, right? Of course, it is possible if the Nasdaq goes crazy while soaring. This week, it can continue to shake while moving sideways, and it doesn't look easy to see an upward trend, so short-term trading seems advantageous. I marked 89,853.5 dollars below the bottom, and since it is a section where a newly created mid-term upward trend is maintained, it seems safe to just hold this spot this week. Above all, the Nasdaq movement is the most important, so check it in real time. Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only. I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price. Thank you for reading.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
The Risk of wave 4 is too GREAT > MACD lines cross - Not good news for bulls > RSI weekly big bear div - Not good news for bulls > Rounded top - Not good news for bulls > Risk of Wave 4 IS VERY REAL NOW. BUT its not a bear market yet. 2025 is still bullish, if you haven't entered yet. NOT SHORTING. SHORTING IS STILL TOO RISKY UNTIL 2026 or LATE 2025. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Buy Support. Support is 53kish...
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by HorseyTim
BTCUSD CAN CREATE A BULLISH TREND NOW [Read Caption]Hello Followers I am going to publish technical setup of BTCUSD , So share your opinion in comments about my analysis. BTCUSD has fallen to the major support area guys, Hopefully it will make a bullish trend now. According to me BTCUSD will go for long till the identified targets in the chart in which first target is around 96500 and second target is around 100000. It is possible that it can reach to the support again and them will go for long.. KEY POINTS: CURRENT PRICE 93700 SUPPORT AREA 93200/91800 FIRST TARGET 96500 SECOND TARGET 100000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Team_Elliana_Trades
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Key Levels & Market Outlook Bitcoin is once again at a critical juncture, facing major resistance while testing crucial support levels. With the market moving cautiously, let’s break down the key levels, possible scenarios, and the broader context shaping Bitcoin’s price action. Bitcoin has had a remarkable journey, recovering from past corrections and proving its resilience time and time again. From the 2021 bull run that took BTC to $69K, to the deep corrections of 2022, and the resurgence in 2023–2024, each phase has been a lesson in volatility, accumulation, and distribution. Now, in 2025, Bitcoin is testing psychological levels above $100K, a number that once seemed impossible but is now a key battleground for bulls and bears. The question is—will BTC break higher, or are we due for another correction? 📍 Critical Price Levels 📌 Resistance: $100,000–$102,000 – This is a pivotal zone. A confirmed breakout with strong volume could reinforce bullish momentum and signal further price discovery. 📌 Support: $90,000 – The key demand area. Losing this level could shift momentum toward the bears. 📌 Major Support: $85,000 – A crucial liquidity zone. If Bitcoin enters an extended correction, this level could serve as a key structural support. Possible Scenarios: 🔹 Bullish Outlook If Bitcoin can decisively break and hold above $100K, supported by strong volume and positive market sentiment, it could pave the way for continued upside. Historically, breakouts above major psychological levels have triggered aggressive price expansion, potentially sending BTC toward $108K–$110K and beyond. 🔻 Bearish Outlook A failure to hold $90K, particularly with increased sell-side volume, could accelerate downside movement. If liquidity sweeps below this level, Bitcoin might retest $85K, where institutional buyers could step in. A deeper correction could temporarily shake confidence, but past cycles have shown that such pullbacks often lead to stronger rallies. Beyond technicals, several fundamental factors are influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory: ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand – The growing adoption of Bitcoin ETFs has driven institutional interest, contributing to price stability and long-term accumulation. Global Economic Uncertainty – With inflation concerns and central bank policies fluctuating, investors continue to see Bitcoin as a hedge, similar to gold. Regulatory Developments – The US and EU are shaping new crypto regulations, which could impact market behavior and sentiment. 💬 What’s Next? Your Thoughts? Bitcoin is at a defining moment—are we gearing up for a bullish continuation, or is a correction on the horizon? Let me know what You think in the comments! 🚀 Stay tuned and trade wisely! Your Kateryna😍
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by RocketBomb
1
BTCUSD Trading point (bitcoin update)To perform a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) using MQL5 for algorithmic trading, we need to consider several factors, including price action, indicators, and market structure. Below is a breakdown of how you might approach this analysis with a target buy point of *108,000*. --- ### *1. Market Context* - *Current Price*: Check the current price of Bitcoin (e.g., $40,000 as of 2023, but adjust based on the latest data). - *Target Price: Your target is **108,000*, which implies a significant upward movement. This could be based on a long-term Fibonacci extension, historical resistance levels, or a fundamental catalyst. --- ### *2. Technical Indicators* Use the following indicators in MQL5 to identify potential entry points and confirm the trend: #### *a. Moving Averages* - *200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average)*: Use this to identify the long-term trend. If the price is above the 200 EMA, the trend is bullish. - *50 EMA*: Use this for short-term trend confirmation. A crossover of the 50 EMA above the 200 EMA (Golden Cross) is a strong bullish signal. #### *b. RSI (Relative Strength Index)* - Check for overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30) conditions. For a long-term target like 108,000, you want to enter during a pullback when RSI is near 30 or in neutral territory (40-60). #### *c. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)* - Look for a bullish crossover (MACD line crossing above the Signal line) to confirm upward momentum. #### *d. Fibonacci Levels* - Use Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential support zones for entry. For example, if Bitcoin is in an uptrend, look for pullbacks to the 38.2% or 61.8% retracement levels as buying opportunities. #### *e. Volume Analysis* - Increasing volume during upward price movements confirms bullish momentum. Use the iVolume function in MQL5 to analyze volume trends. --- ### *3. Price Action Analysis* - *Support and Resistance*: Identify key support and resistance levels. For example, if Bitcoin is consolidating below a major resistance level (e.g., $50,000), a breakout above this level could signal the start of a strong upward move. - *Trendlines*: Draw trendlines to confirm the direction of the trend. A break above a descending trendline could indicate a reversal. --- ### *4. Entry Strategy* - *Buy Zone*: Look for a pullback to a key support level (e.g., 50 EMA or Fibonacci retracement) with bullish confirmation from RSI and MACD. - *Stop Loss*: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low or below the 200 EMA to manage risk. - *Take Profit: Set your take profit at **108,000*, but consider scaling out portions of the position at intermediate resistance levels (e.g., $70,000, $90,000). ---
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
3
BTCUSD.P, BinanceFutures, ShortTermTechnical Analysis: Overview The local growth range has been established between 98,310 and 100,438 USD. The price remains above critical levels, with a potential retest of the upper boundary of the mid-term range (102,000 USD) expected, provided the support level (94,000 USD) holds. Trading Levels and Targets Growth Targets (Long Opportunities): First Target: 104,000 - 105,000 USD This level corresponds to the upper boundary of the range and represents a previous resistance zone. Further Target: Monitoring price reactions above 105,000 USD for potential new growth opportunities. Support Levels (Stop Levels): Below 94,000 USD: A sustained drop below this level invalidates the current growth scenario. 92,000 USD: Represents the lower boundary of the mid-term range, a breach of which could indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. Key Levels in the Short Term: Support: 94,000 USD Resistance: 102,000 USD, followed by 104,000 - 105,000 USD Risks and Confirmations: If the price moves below 94,000 USD, the growth scenario is no longer valid. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation. All trading decisions should be made at your own discretion and responsibility.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by E-TradePSH
BTC/USD Short-Term Rebound: Testing Key Resistance AheadThis BTC/USD chart (2-hour timeframe) shows a descending triangle pattern with a strong resistance trendline. Key Observations: 1. Price Rejection & Support: - BTC recently bounced from a support level around 93,747 and surged back above 97,952. - This suggests a potential short-term recovery. 2. Potential Upside Target: - The chart highlights a **resistance zone around 102,500–104,049, which aligns with the descending trendline. - A move toward this level is likely if the current momentum continues. 3. Breakout or Rejection? - If BTC breaks 104,049 with strong volume, it could challenge 108,411. - Failure to break resistance could lead to another drop toward 93,747 or lower. Strategy Consideration - Short-term traders: Watch for a retest of 102,500–104,049 before deciding on a breakout trade or shorting the rejection. - Long-term perspective: If BTC holds above 93,747, bullish momentum might strengthen.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BITCOIN It will grow soon...Buy at 97k and sell at 103k and 105k . This signal is only valid for 3 days. Give me some energy !! Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ❗Disclaimer ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard
BTC next moves for 2025? Will 2021 repeat itself? Let's see :) History repeats itself, but will 2021 cycle repeat itself? If we break 90K next level around 70, but there are many longs down the line, liquidation and long squeez is likely leading us to 60 if not 50 ranges, a wick is expected then a retest to 90K levels to get rejection before final breakout to the all time trend prices likely around 115-120K. The herd will get excited by then, expecting a price to go above 120K, but I don't see this happening. And small dream secret, Nakamoto to be revealed later this year leading to significant crypto crash. I know many may laugh, but let's see how this go! It makes sense from technical POV (hahaha, except my dream which likely to happen - since I don't dream too often) - keep an eye on RSI to get back in 40s before refill. This idea is valid only and only if BTC breaks 90K and closes both daily and weekly below it with some a high volume! Desclaimer: The ideas and strategies presented here are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this post is not liable for any losses or damages resulting from the use of this information.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by Trader-Vas
1