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BITCOIN trade ideas

More downside risk BTC and upside risk VIXBTC has formed a Shoulder-Head-Shoulder pattern with a downside target between 75,000$ to 78,000$, i.e. the 1.618 and 1.414 Fib-extensions. As price has passed the 0.618 Fib, the next resistance level is the 0,786 Fib. What does it mean with reference to VIX (see my previous posts on it)? As the VIX and BTC have an inverse price relationship, we can expect a higher VIX. Prepare yourself if you are long stocks - it could be a rough ride the next few weeks ......
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Woerle
Bitcoin doesn't want to go anywhere - here's whyOnce Bitcoin reached ~100k, it entered a period of sideways movement and seems reluctant to leave this range. This forms a solid base for a market that's gearing up for a strong move, one way or another. The price action is currently punishing both bulls and bears. Up to 103k, the picture was clear with higher highs and higher lows. But afterward, traders have been getting stopped out on both long and short positions. The first major TRAP occurred when the price fell below the neckline, causing bulls to close their positions, fearing a major drop. Bears, anticipating further decline, shorted the market. However, the price rebounded, closing out early bear positions at the first pain limit (marked on the chart). Just before the weekend, we witnessed another TRAP; the market again dipped below the neckline but then rallied. The second pain limit for short sellers is now evident. The current situation is intriguing; both bulls and bears might be getting weary, with the CMC Crypto Fear and Greed Index confirming a neutral stance. The market has been trading within a range for some time now. The longer this range persists, the more potent the breakout will be. The neckline has become the WAR FRONT LINE. It's hard to predict the winner, but the good news is it's easy to follow. When the market is above the neckline, bulls are in command (remember, bears are currently trapped!). Once the neckline breaks ($90-91k area), oh boy, bull's pants might be full of...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by VineyardWave
Btc fibonacci levels Btc is holding levels making higher lows and the 72ems 420ema are getting closer together ready to golden cross we have gotten a couple large candles but we need two or more to break sideways action break adove 96000 we need to hold 94178 level or btc will go back to 92743 and we will break the higher low trend looking like algorithms trading as the levels and getting cleaner following the fibs if we hold 94178 clean close above green candle on new candle buy safer to wait for 94738 as previously stated in other ideas take profits at levels if we don't get big candles be prepared to take profits
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dlafave26
#202502 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: 91000 - 100000 is still the range and the low held. Bears need a daily close below 91000 for more downside but until then, we are range-bound. Upside max should be 100k. We have been in this range for two months now, I won’t over analyze it. I have given my longer-term opinion in my year-end special and I stick to that until clearly invalid. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 90k - 110k bull case: Bulls have going for them that they kept it above 90k again. Until we have a daily close below it, they are inside the range and at the lows the r:r favors them to trade back up again. 96k is the next target for them if they want more upside to 100k. Invalidation is below 90k. bear case: Bears failing at 90k again. Sad stuff but that’s the reality for now. Above 96k they will likely step aside until 100k, where I expect market to make another lower high and we continue in this descending triangle until we get a bigger impulse again. Invalidation is above 103k. short term: Neutral. Bearish below 90k and only slightly bullish above 96k for 100k. Will scale into swing shorts near 100k again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-29: 75000 is my biggest target for now and until bears get there, any lower target is just unreasonable. My bias is bearish going into 2025 and I think the odds of a bigger leg down are good. current swing trade: Took most off my swing short around 92000 and will add higher again. chart update: Added bear trend line and head & shoulders pattern.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
Insane volatility imminent conspiracyI've seen one other TA notice this parabolic base forming (pink area) which I believe we'll be exiting over the next few years. Maybe it will happen this bull cycle. However, I think it's also possible that this bull cycle will be somewhat lackluster, not exceeding $150k, before correcting down to the 80's with wild volatility. I think this will shake out A LOT of investors and now that we have the likes of Black Rock et al in the mix, it's my theory that they don't want us in at the bottoms they want us in as their exit liquidity. When BTC does exit this formation and is supported above it very briefly, we're going to see the proverbial 'god' candle with absolute vertical movement. This will likely be nation states and corporations finally having the eureka moment. And it will occur during the 'usual' bear market. As the title states, this is a conspiracy but it seems like a very plausible scenario. Of course there's fundamental theory laced in with TA which I shouldn't do here but we're living in wild times. Am I stupid? Let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by stoneycrick