$BTC – Three Possible Scenarios in the Near FutureCRYPTOCAP:BTC – Three Possible Scenarios in the Near Future:
🔹 Optimistic: Growth up to $140,000
🔹 Conservative: Growth up to $112,000
🔹 Pessimistic: Decline to $75,000 – $85,000
🚨 Key Levels to Watch:
▪️ $112,000 — a breakout above this level could open the path to $135,000 – $145,000
▪️ $100,000 – $103,000 — if BTC drops into this zone, it could trigger a decline toward $85,000 – $95,000
▪️ $83,000 — falling to this level may indicate further downside to $30,000 – $50,000
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC LONG TP:108,600 26-06-2025Looks like a classic fakeout before a big move 💥
Entry between 105,800 – 106,450, targeting 108,400 – 108,900, with an average 3.5 RR.
🕐 Timeframe: 1H
⏳ Duration: Fast move
Context: Expecting a quick manipulation before an expansion toward 108,500 – 109,500. The only problem? The stop. Manage it based on your own strategy — this one’s spicy.
If the move doesn’t happen within the expected time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
BTCUSDTPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
BTC/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Ahead?Bitcoin shows signs of a potential bearish reversal as price forms a rising wedge beneath a key supply zone. After a recent drop, price is retesting the 106k area (green zone), possibly setting up for continuation to the downside.
🔹 Rising wedge pattern near resistance
🔹 Bearish retest at previous support turned resistance
🔹 Potential drop targets: 102,575 and 102,268
🔹 Break below wedge support could accelerate the fall
BTCUSD Short Idea - Looking for further downsideBTCUSD (15m timeframe).
* Bearish Trend: Price has been respecting the downtrend line.
* Structure Break (ChoCh): Multiple 'ChoCh' (Change of Character) signals indicate a shift in market structure to bearish.
* Supply Zone Entry: I'm looking for a retest of the recent supply zone around 107,208 - 107,059 for a short entry.
* Stop Loss: Placed above the last significant high and supply zone around 107,861.
* Target: Aiming for 105,445, potentially lower, targeting previous lows and liquidity.
Always manage your risk! Let me know your thoughts."
BTC/USD 15 M CHART PATTERN 🕵♂ Chart Context
Asset: Bitcoin (BTC) vs. USD
Exchange: Bitstamp
Timeframe: 15-minute
Date Range: June 25–27, 2025
Chart Type: Candlestick
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📊 Technical Analysis
1. Trend
Short-term trend: Sideways to slightly bullish.
Market saw an earlier uptrend, then consolidation with lower highs and higher lows (forming a range).
Price is currently rebounding from the lower part of the range.
2. Key Levels
Entry Level: ~107,123 – likely where a long trade was entered.
Support Zone:
Minor: 106,725
Strong: 106,254 (stop-loss level, clear structure support)
Resistance Zone / Target: 108,556 – a prior high and possible supply zone.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio
Entry: 107,123
SL: 106,254 (−869 points)
TP: 108,556 (+1,433 points)
RR Ratio: ≈ 1.65:1 – acceptable for intraday trading.
BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 107,066.16
Target Level: 99,786.09
Stop Loss: 111,861.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BITCOIN Just wait until OIL turns bullish!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a unique long-term relationship/ correlation with WTI Oil (USOIL) and this charts shows why.
In the past 11 years, when Oil started to decline sharply, Bitcoin formed a market bottom before Oil did. When Oil started to rise again, Bitcoin was out of its bottom and has initiated its Parabolic Rally stage (green Rectangle). Then Oil peaked after BTC has already priced its own Cycle Top.
Based on this correlation, we can assume that we haven't yet seen BTC's Parabolic stage as Oil hasn't yet started to rise. If we assume that the late April Low on Oil was its market bottom, then only now it has started its rise, so at best BTC has just started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally. If that turns out o be true, then the upside potential is huge for BTC. Needless to say other key macroeconomic factors have to assist e.g. higher adoption, ETF inflows, FED Rate Cut, but that's what the current chart says!
So do you think that Oil can be the driver behind a new Bitcoin parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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“DXY at 3-Year Low | Gold Slips, BTC Stalls – What PCE Data Meann this week’s Market Recap, we break down the key moves across the US Dollar Index (DXY), Gold (XAUUSD), and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — and how they’re all being shaped by rising Fed uncertainty and looming U.S. inflation data.
🔹 DXY is hovering near 3-year lows as political pressure and expectations of Fed rate cuts weigh on sentiment.
🔸 Gold is slipping near 4-week lows as Middle East tensions ease and risk appetite returns.
🔹 Bitcoin remains flat but poised for a breakout, with macro data in the driver's seat.
We explain how each market is reacting, what traders are pricing in ahead of the upcoming PCE inflation data, and how to position yourself in the week ahead.
📌 Covered in this recap:
Market sentiment shifts and key news drivers
Practical insights for interpreting price action
What to watch in next week’s economic calendar
📊 Stay informed, stay prepared.
👉 Like, follow, and comment if you found this helpful. Let’s trade smart.
Bitcoin - Bullflag formation towards $111k?After the long and steep rally in Bitcoin that began on April 9th, the price is now entering a period of consolidation and forming a classic bullish continuation pattern known as a bull flag. This type of structure often appears after a strong impulsive move to the upside and signals that the market may be gearing up for another leg higher.
Bull Flag
On the daily timeframe, BTC is in the process of developing a bull flag by printing a series of lower highs and lower lows within a narrow descending channel. This pullback phase comes after a significant rally and is generally considered a healthy part of a trending market. It reflects a cooling-off period in which the market digests the prior gains while maintaining a bullish bias. This type of structure typically resolves to the upside, continuing the dominant trend. At present, BTC is approaching a key upper boundary of the flag formation, which also aligns with a prior zone of price rejection. This area could act as resistance in the short term and will likely play a crucial role in determining the next directional move.
4H Fair Value Gap
Zooming in on the 4-hour chart, we can observe a clearly defined fair value gap (FVG) between the $102,700 and $103,800 levels. This imbalance was created during the sharp move up and now represents a potential area of interest for buyers. If price retraces into this zone, it could act as strong support where demand steps in, filling the imbalance and potentially triggering the next upward leg. Fair value gaps often serve as magnet zones in trending markets, and in this case, could offer a key entry point for those looking to position long within the larger bullish structure.
Liquidity Levels
One of the more critical areas to watch lies around the $111,000 level, where we see a double top on the lower timeframes. This region holds a significant amount of resting liquidity just above it, as evidenced by the liquidation heatmap. These clustered stop-loss orders and leveraged positions create a liquidity pool that could attract market makers and large players looking to trigger a stop run. As price approaches this level, it becomes increasingly likely that the market may spike into this liquidity before deciding on a longer-term direction. This liquidity zone acts like a magnet and is a common target for short-term wicks and fake-out moves.
Expectations
The current expectation is for Bitcoin to push higher toward the $111,000 level before the market makes a more definitive move. While this upside continuation seems likely in the short term, caution is warranted, especially considering the structure on higher timeframes. The weekly chart is starting to show some signs of exhaustion, with momentum slowing and potential bearish divergence forming. As such, the move to $111,000 could simply be a liquidity grab—a final push to trap breakout traders—before a deeper correction or reversal unfolds. If price does manage to break the all-time high with convincing volume and sustained follow-through, the bullish case would strengthen significantly. Until then, however, it’s important to remain cautious and recognize the risk of a fake-out at these elevated levels.
Conclusion
Despite the strong rally in recent weeks, Bitcoin still faces substantial resistance overhead. The $111,000 level stands out as a critical zone that could act as a magnet, drawing in price action before reversing to the downside. This area is not only technically significant but also loaded with liquidity, increasing the risk of a bull trap. Traders should remain vigilant and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the move. Watch closely for signs of exhaustion or divergence as price approaches this level, and be prepared for potential fake-outs designed to lure in overly aggressive participants. Staying patient and waiting for confirmation remains the most prudent strategy in this environment.
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Bitcoin is bullish again!Bitcoin’s been on a wild ride lately!
After crashing down from its all-time highs earlier this year, it’s suddenly bounced back and shot up again over the last few weeks. Here’s what’s really going on, in plain English:
First off, a lot of this has to do with what’s happening in the broader economy and politics. The US dollar has gotten weaker recently, especially after Trump started criticizing the Federal Reserve and pushing for interest rate cuts.
When the dollar drops or there’s drama around central banks, people start looking for alternatives, and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is like the go-to “digital gold” for a lot of investors these days.
There’s also been a ton of money flowing into Bitcoin ETFs (those are investment funds that directly hold Bitcoin), especially from big institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity. These huge inflows mean more demand, but since there’s only so much Bitcoin out there, the price gets pushed up even more.
Another big reason is the recent Bitcoin “halving,” which happened about a year ago. Basically, every four years, the reward for mining new Bitcoin gets cut in half, so fewer new coins are created. This makes Bitcoin even scarcer , and historically, prices have always jumped in the months after a halving event. As we said in previous ideas BTC could be near USD 200k this summer.
On top of that, there’s been some good news about trade relations between the US and China, which has made investors more optimistic and willing to take risks again. When people feel better about the global economy, they’re more likely to put money into things like crypto.
Technical confirmations
Bouncing in the previous 2024 highs is really good for Bitcoin, people was ready to buy a lot of BTC in the right price and after that a lot of inflows moved the price over the blue trendline meaning that this small downtrend is over.
Bitcoin is volatile, so this kind of movements are ideal to make money or invest in a discount. If the price moves below the support line, then I recommend to stay away of BTC because there could be a free fall...
So, to sum it up: weaker dollar, big institutional buying, post-halving scarcity, better vibes around global trade, and people running from stock market chaos—all of that has pushed Bitcoin back up after its recent dip. Who knows how long it’ll last, but right now, crypto’s hot again!
Bitcoin H1 | Potential bounce off an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 106,532.50 which is an overlap support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 104,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 108,808.50 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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BTCUSD Analysis | Bearish Setup Unfolding?Bitcoin is trading within a descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a sharp bounce from the $98,600 support zone, but the bigger picture still hints at potential downside.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Descending Channel remains intact – structure suggests bearish continuation.
Price bounced from $98,626 support, but is struggling below key resistance at $108,622.
A possible lower high formation near $106K–$107K could trigger the next drop.
Bearish projection remains valid if price fails to break above the descending trendline.
🟢 Upside Scenario: If bulls manage to break above $109K resistance, we could see a bullish reversal.
🔴 Downside Target: If the bearish setup confirms, we may revisit the $98,000–$99,000 support area once again.
📌 Plan Accordingly:
Wait for price action confirmation near resistance. Patience pays in volatile zones like this!
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #BTCUpdate #CryptoTrader #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC/USD – Critical Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,500, pressing against the upper boundary of a rising wedge on the 1H and 4H charts. The structure remains fragile, with weakening momentum and conflicting signals between short and mid-term indicators.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish:
The current move likely completes wave (b) of an ABC correction.
Price has reached ~0.735 retracement at $108,358.
Breakdown of wedge support (~$104,600) could activate wave (c) toward $101K–$98K, or even the 1.618 extension to $86,000 (seen on daily).
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Alternate:
If BTC breaks and closes above $108,500, with volume, we may have invalidation of wave (b).
This opens the door for a wave (5) extension toward $113,000.
🔍 Key Indicators:
RSI on 1H is weakening, under 50.
OBV is flat – no accumulation spike.
QQE shows Buy signals but lacks follow-through.
Volume remains unconvincing for continuation.
🎯 Conclusion:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. A clean breakout and retest above $108.5K flips the structure bullish. Until then, wedge breakdown is the higher-probability play. Watch the $104.6K zone closely for direction confirmation.
BTC is sliding to around 73k as a minimum target to 43kIt's just starting a downtrend inside a big Correction
Major Res. @ 114,000
Major Support @ 43,000
My decision is to go short @ spot price / Take profits @ 73,000 - 43,000 / Stoploss @ 114,000 - 116,000
This recommendation is to 3 - 6 months investors.
Bitcoin Top is In! Bear considerationsPrice has been carving out an unclear correction off the high. The recent structure has many squinting. Is it done or the calm before another wave of selling?
I am weighing two bearish scenarios here. One is more aggressive than the other. But both start with the same idea. No new high before another low.
Let’s start at the top.
The initial move down off the recent high could count as an impulse. Whether that is a wave 1 or a wave A is still up for judgment. Either way, that first leg sets a bearish tone at the larger degree.
Here’s where it gets interesting. The correction since then shows traits of a flat. A running one at the moment.
This opens the door to two active bearish projections:
A wave C collapse, implying a completed A B C correction and a downside resolution.
A wave 3 drop, for a possible top if this is an impulsive sequence.
That is the fork in the road. And it all hinges on the next move.
Right now, the smallest degree impulse off the low is doing some heavy lifting.
If that pivot holds and we only get an internal retracement like a micro wave 2, the door is still open for upside continuation.
But if that impulse gets invalidated, I would expect bears to press. First for a break below 100k, then toward the 95k area.
Here is how to think about it:
Hold the small impulse → Potential upside
Break the impulse base → Wave C or 3 likely underway
Context still leans bearish. Lower highs are still in play. But we are hunting a specific structure to confirm it.
A very high quality potential of double top pattern A very high quality potential of double top pattern
Neck line already broken , now retest is happened and rejection confirmed by wicks rejecting and the daily candle gonna close bearish for extra confirmation
Entry plan
Entry : 107,100 , up to 107550
Tp 1 102600
Tp 2 : 101, 250
Tp 3 : 99,666
Runners : from 98,500 to 94,000 maximum
SL 108,800
Wish the best for all traders
MG Trader ✅
BTCUSD short tradeAnalyst: Mosilar
BTC is trading near $107K with a key liquidity zone around $108,300 – $108,800. Max Pain for tomorrow’s options expiry sits at $102K.
Historically, BTC often gravitates toward Max Pain into expiry. A potential fade from the liquidity zone toward $104K and $102K could be in play.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Zone: 108,300 – 108,800
Volume Profile: 104,000
Max Pain: 102,000
BTCUSD - Liquidity Zone in Focus Ahead of Options ExpiryAnalyst: Mosilar
BTC is trading near $107K with a key liquidity zone around $108,300 – $108,800. Max Pain for tomorrow’s options expiry sits at $102K.
Historically, BTC often gravitates toward Max Pain into expiry. A potential fade from the liquidity zone toward $104K and $102K could be in play.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Zone: 108,300 – 108,800
Volume Profile: 104,000
Max Pain: 102,000
BTC Rebounds After 100000 Drop, Eyeing Short at 109500 Resistanc📈 BTC Rebounds After 100000 Drop, Eyeing Short at 109500 Resistance
BTC dropped below the 100000 threshold 🔻 and then rebounded near 98000 🔺. This movement is related to the decline of DXY and the reduction of geopolitical risks. Now, BTC is challenging the 110000 level 🔼. The overhead resistance is around 109500. First - time tests of the 110000 level typically trigger pullbacks, so we favor short positions here 📉
🚀 Sell@109500 - 108500
🚀 TP 107500 - 106500 - 105500
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇