BitcoinGreen line represents mid-point and the respective upside and downside levels for the study purpose.
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTCUSD: Urgently needs to break above this trendline!Bitcoin is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.624, MACD = 4011.100, ADX = 25.476) but not overbought anymore as the aggressive weekly rallies since the 1W MA50 rebound have been decelerated. The next heavy obstacle is the HH trendline that runs on top of the January 20th 2025 and December 16th 2024 Highs and got hit last week. So far the price hasn't crossed above it but it needs to urgently in order to avoid a rejection with snowball effects.
The last time Bitcoin faced a similar HH trendline Resistance was on the October 23rd 2023 1W candle and it succesfully smashed through it, completing a +79.23% rise before consolidating again. If it breaks again above it, we expect the same minimum rally, which gives us a TP = 133,500.
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BTCUSD (Bitcoin) Setting Up for a Trap and Crash📊 BTCUSD Smart Money Breakdown – May 23, 2025
This is a textbook liquidity trap setup — and the roadmap is crystal clear. The market already induced buyers at the top, is now tapping into an Order Block (OB) + 79% zone, and is preparing to nuke.
🔍 Market Narrative:
Strong high established – retail likely placing longs above that.
Clean retracement into Order Block zone (110,322 – 110,850) – where Smart Money is selling into demand.
PA is projected to fake a bullish breakout, reverse, and go for a deeper Fair Value Gap fill near 107,786, eventually targeting the Sell-Side Liquidity zone at 106,188.31.
📍 Key Confluences:
✅ OB + 79% Fibonacci = strong SMC reversal zone
✅ Clear FVG waiting to be filled = imbalance = magnet
✅ Weak low at 107,786.83 = perfect inducement for Smart Money run
✅ Final stop = Sell Side Liquidity sweep below 106,200
📉 Price Path Forecast:
Reject Order Block + Premium zone (110,496 – 110,850)
Retrace → FVG fill (between 108,900 – 107,800 zone)
Minor pullback or fake rally
Final move: liquidity raid under 106,188
Smart Money buys low again, setting up next bullish leg (later)
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Idea):
Entry Zone: Between 110,322 – 110,850 (OB)
SL: Above 111,000 (above inducement)
TP1: 107,786 (Weak Low)
TP2: 106,188 (Sell-Side Liquidity Pool)
RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 🔥
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Retail sees sideways structure = buys top resistance
SM sees that = sells into premium zone
This is accumulation → manipulation → distribution at its finest.
💬 Think BTC’s about to drop hard? Type “DUMP” or 🔻 in the comments! Let’s see who’s trading with the big boys.
Bitcoin (BTC): Bitcoin is Pumping | We Are Looking For ReversalBitcoin is having a buy-side dominance where buyers are still pushing and trying to extend further the current area of all-time high.
While we are pushing and testing the limits of markets, we are slowly starting to look for any signs of reversal to happen. We have pointed out a few zones that have most of the liquidity in them (as in those times the market likes to hunt the liquidity, so you have to be careful).
Nothing clear yet but we wait, wait for any signs of weakness.
Swallow Academy
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 105,255.25
1st Support: 101,983.62
1st Resistance: 111,758.60
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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BTC/USD Technical Analysis (8H Timeframe)📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis (8H Timeframe)
✅ Wave Count Summary
✅ The 5-wave impulse structure is clearly completed.
Wave I to V is visible and respected the Fibonacci zones.
Now transitioning into an ABC corrective phase, typically part of an A-B-C Zigzag.
🔻 Current Move: Wave A
The price has started correcting from the Wave V top (~$112,000).
Wave A has begun and is expected to target the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns at:
🎯 Immediate downside target: ~$102,000
This corresponds to:
Former support/resistance zone
A typical Wave A correction target in early stages
🔁 What Happens Next
After Wave A completes (~$102,000), expect a relief bounce into Wave B, potentially retracing 50–61.8% of Wave A
Then another drop into Wave C toward deeper Fib levels like:
0.618 level = ~$88,800
0.786 or 0.88 might come into play for full ABC correction (~$78,000–$74,000)
🔍 Structure & Confirmation
Wave A breakdown is impulsive (bearish)
Break below previous Wave IV (~$106,000) gives confirmation of short-term trend reversal
RSI and momentum indicators (if added) would likely show bearish divergence at Wave V top
📉 Short-Term View
Direction Target Note
⬇️ Wave A ~$102,000 0.382 retracement zone
🔁 Wave B ~$106,000 Possible lower high bounce
⬇️ Wave C ~$88,800 0.618 Fib — final correction
🧠 Conclusion
BTC completed a textbook short-term 5-wave impulsive move and is now entering a corrective phase (ABC). Wave A is underway with an immediate target around $102,000, followed by a likely bounce (B) and then further downside (C).
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Please perform your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors.
Wild...Wild...Wild Weekend AheadWe have big distances from target to target meaning wild volatility is coming for the weekend. Enjoy the ride bois and girls.
BTC/USD Short ideaDear traders,
I hope you are ok, i share this short position with a RRR 1.5 it seems is going to breakout the trend line.
lets see
thanks
BTCUSD (15m) – Wave 12345 Completed with Bullish Divergence & SN🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute
💰 Pair: BTC/USD
⸻
🔍 Wave Structure & Momentum Analysis
Using Elliott Wave Theory, we can clearly identify a completed 5-wave impulsive move down:
• (1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5)
• Wave (5) completes with a bullish divergence against the Awesome Oscillator (AO), signaling weakening bearish momentum.
• Both price and AO show a clear divergence between wave (3) and wave (5), hinting at a possible reversal or corrective phase.
⸻
🔁 Break of Structure & SNR Zone
• Price is currently reacting to a key Support-turned-Resistance (SNR) level around 107,724.
• A confirmed break and close above this SNR will mark a break of structure, strengthening the bullish case.
• I will wait for the price to close above 107,724 on the 15M timeframe to confirm this break.
⸻
🧠 What’s Next? ABC Retracement for Entry
• Upon break of structure, I will look for a nearest bullish Supply & Demand (SND) zone as a potential entry point.
• Ideally, I will wait for an ABC corrective retracement (after the break) to enter long.
• Entry will be placed at the base of the SND zone formed during the corrective leg.
⸻
📌 Trade Plan Summary
• ✅ Wave 12345 completed (impulse wave down).
• ✅ Bullish divergence confirmed with AO.
• ⚠️ Watching for break and close above 107,724 (key SNR).
• 🔎 If broken, wait for ABC correction into SND zone to initiate long position.
• 🎯 Target: Mid to Upper structure zone based on previous supply.
• ❌ Invalidation: If price fails to break above 107,724 or breaks below recent swing low (wave 5), setup is void.
⸻
📈 Technical Confluence
• Elliott Wave Count
• AO Divergence
• Break of Structure (BoS)
• SNR Level
• Awaiting ABC Pullback into SND
⸻
💬 Let me know what you think! Are you seeing the same structure? Waiting patiently for confirmation before entering.
#BTCUSD #ElliottWave #BreakOfStructure #SupplyAndDemand #AO #CryptoAnalysis #SmartMoney #15MinChart
btcusd sel of after each bitcoin conferenceAfter each b.tc8conference there were sell offs as of everybody discovering who really are holding bitcoin and there are still no killer app to make bitcoin useful for anything else than gambling, money laundry
Bitcoin conference this year is even worse with JD Vance and Trump Family using the opportunity to spread their bullshit fake news and narratives.
Bitcoin will blow off top to 120k and went to 60k till end of the year liquidating everybody including biggest hodler saylor strategy when trump will be impeached for abusing public office of presidency for personal enrichment.
Trump must pray that his own MAGA didn't shot him like Kennedy for betrayal.
Only way to survive for him would be resign before he get's impeached and removed from office.
Quick BITCOIN Fractal update, Not on Fractal but still good
BITCOIN still in that target circle, first posted in Feb 2025, and I expect to remain here till early June.
This daily chart shows us where exactly we sit in the circle.
There are a number of reasons why we may remain here a little longer but one thing to always look at is the MACD.
The Weekly is still rising Bullish with room to move higher
The Daily is choppy and currently just fallen below its Signal line
We need to watch this area as between the MACD and its Histogram, we could see a Strong Bearish Divergence
The shorter term 4 hour shows how support in approaching
The habit has been for MACD to bounce off Neutral line but if we look at that Histogram, we can see the volatility there and so this could point to a weaker reaction in the near future.
In conclusion, the potential for a drop lower exists but the lower time frame MACD can also show us that some support is available maybe
Lines of support for BTC PA suggest a Low of around 105K should curent support fail.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently rising again while the others are dropping.
If BTC PA Drops while this is rising, ALTS will Bleed heavy
Continued Range is the likely option till we reach June and then, Mid June, 18th, we have the FED Rate decision.
This could trigger renewed reaction.
We have reentered a zone of upmost CAUTION till we get some stronger momentum signals
btc target 5x in a year from now One of the rarest charts on the planet is unfolding on $BTC.
📈 Triple Cup + Accumulation
📍 CMP: $107,976
🎯 Target: $500,000 by mid-2025/26
🧠 This is not just a trade. It’s a historic setup.
If you miss this, you might miss the decade.
Bitcoin Intraday Short Setup | Targeting $102.6KBitcoin is showing weakness after a lower high formation, suggesting potential for further downside. The 30-min chart highlights a clear sell entry zone with a defined take profit near $102,590.
🔹 Technical Analysis:
🔽 Lower high pattern signals potential short-term trend reversal
📏 Clean risk-to-reward setup with entry near $103,728 and TP at $102,590
⛅ Price rejected key resistance, indicating seller pressure
🔹 Fundamental Context:
🏦 Hawkish Fed commentary continues to weigh on crypto markets
📊 Risk-off sentiment amid macro uncertainty affecting BTC
💸 Reduced ETF inflows and profit-taking could trigger short-term correction
📌 Plan: Short below $103,728 with stop above $104,425. Targeting a move toward $102,590. Ideal for short-term traders.
Support: If you found this helpful, like and follow for more trade ideas!
Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Bitcoin Lines- What you can see if you remove Bars and replace them by Lines ?
- Congratulation, you just removed the noise in the chart.
- Everything is in graph.
- Covid19 Black Swan included.
- Not a price prediction.🤷♂️.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC/USD: 3 Target Draft - Potential Upside LevelsBTC/USD: 3 Target Draft - Potential Upside Levels
This chart outlines a potential bullish scenario for BTC/USD, highlighting three key upside targets based on the current market structure and trend analysis.
Key Observations:
Established Trend: The chart indicates an existing upward trajectory, with price action respecting key trendlines.
Time Horizon: A notable period of 75 bars (525 days) is highlighted, suggesting a longer-term perspective for these targets.
Volume Confirmation: The presence of "Vol 4.51M" suggests significant trading activity accompanying the observed price movements.
Potential Price Targets:
Based on the current analysis, the following three price levels are identified as potential areas of interest or resistance:
Target 1: $123,025.80
Target 2: $172,863.15
Target 3: $205,718.89
These levels appear to be derived from extensions or key points intersected by the drawn trendlines.
Considerations:
This is a draft idea and should be used in conjunction with your own research and risk management strategies.
Market conditions can change rapidly, and these targets may be invalidated by future price action.
Keep an eye on volume and price action as BTC/USD approaches these levels for potential confirmation or rejection.
$BTC – Breaking Out of the Pattern?📈 Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is testing the upper resistance zone of a multi-month structure.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) has already occurred, adding fuel to the bullish case.
🚀 Just a bit more upside and CRYPTOCAP:BTC could escape this consolidation pattern completely.
Key levels to watch:
Break above ~$110K area
Green trendline remains strong support
Eyes on higher timeframe close to confirm breakout
This could be a pivot point for Bitcoin’s next leg higher — or a trap if sellers step in hard.
Unveiling Crypto Market Insights - Bitcoin Price DiscoveryGM bitcoin enthusiasts,
Yesterday, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $110,730 on Bitstamp, with a record daily close at $109,682. 🚀
Today, BTC is continuing its upward momentum, seemingly unfazed by resistance at the previous all-time high around the $109K level. Bulls remain in control—for now.
So the question is:
- Is this a true breakout signaling continuation of the rally?
- Or is this just a deviation above resistance that needs to cool off before making new highs?
- Could we be facing a stronger correction soon?
Curious to hear your thoughts—are you riding this wave, or playing it cautious?
P.S. There’s something poetic about Bitcoin making new highs on Bitcoin Pizza Day. 🍕 Maybe it's the perfect excuse to treat yourself to a slice and reflect on how far we've come.
BTCUSD Rejection Setup – Order Block Hit, Weak Lows in Sight!📉 BTCUSD is setting up a textbook bearish reversal — Smart Money style.
This 1H chart shows Bitcoin tapping into a high-timeframe Order Block at ~$104,190–104,560, with a clear rejection from the premium zone and confluence with the upper trendline.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Order Block tapped at $104,190–104,560
✅ Strong rejection candle near the trendline resistance
✅ Price failed to break above the Strong High — a sign of Smart Money distribution
✅ Targeting Sell-Side Liquidity at $101,420
✅ Final target? Weak Low and liquidity pool around $99,189
🔍 Smart Money Confluence:
Price has moved into a premium selling zone, aligning with the upper bounds of market structure
Order Block rejection suggests institutional selling interest
Weak lows below $100K are prime targets for liquidity grabs
Retail longs are likely trapped — ideal conditions for a downward sweep
🧠 Institutional Logic:
Smart Money doesn’t chase price — it delivers it. This move likely represents a "Mitigation and Distribution" phase before a deeper selloff:
📌 Mitigation of previous long positions inside the OB
📌 Distribution at the highs before targeting the next liquidity pool
📉 Trade Idea:
Short Entry Zone: $104,200–104,500
Targets:
TP1: $101,420 (Sell-side Liquidity)
TP2: $100,000 (Psych level / Weak Low)
TP3: $99,189 (Liquidity Magnet)
Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 (above the OB and Strong High)
🧠 Tip for Traders:
Wait for a confirmation bearish structure shift or lower high on the LTF (15m/5m) before entering full size. Smart Money leaves clues — not impulses.
💬 Comment "BTC Setup" if you’re trading this drop
🔁 Save this analysis — this is how Smart Money dominates crypto markets.
BTCUSD | Head and Shoulders Pattern on 15m Chart Suggesting PoteBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe has formed a classic Head and Shoulders structure, a well-known pattern often associated with possible short-term trend reversals.
Key Details:
Pattern: Clear Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder formation.
Neckline Level: Around 107,437 – currently acting as a crucial support zone.
Trendline: Price has broken below a short-term rising trendline, confirming pattern completion.
Volume Analysis: Volume increased during the formation of the head, hinting at a potential shift in sentiment.
Note: A confirmed close below 107,400 may attract further downside movement. Conversely, holding above this level could lead to consolidation or recovery.
This analysis is intended for educational purposes—please evaluate risk and confirm with your own strategy before taking any trade decisions.
Now this is extremely interesting... and potentially scaryTake this how you like - but eerily similar pattern to what we saw back in 2022 prior to a massive pullback (almost 90% of the previous bullish breakout move).
Does the crypto market want to shock the world and trap every HODLER?
We know what to look out for...
Happy Trading :)
bearish Divergence on BTC 1HBTC is forming a bearish Divergnece on the 1h timeframe. I expect a 10-15% drop from here. Might just test 100k as support 15% retracement in wcs.
Bitcoin: 106K Breakout To 113K Resistance.Bitcoin is attempting to break out of a minor consolidation which is a typical momentum continuation pattern. The updated wave count illustrates the potential (113K area) IF this breakout follows through over the coming week. While the structure is clearly bullish, I suspect this is a 5th of a 5th wave relative to the wave structure dating back to the 2017 peak (weekly chart). For traders this offers plenty of opportunities particularly on the long side, BUT for investors this means the higher it goes, the GREATER the risk. In other words, a break out to new highs should be considered an opportunity to take profits or reduce risk. Wave 5's typically appear to be the "best" time to get involved in a market, but offer the LEAST potential and the greatest risk.
I was not able to write my analysis over the previous week because I was hosting the ICTC 2025 (link in signature). My analysis the week before that was still bullish but I was anticipating a broader retrace which never materialized. Again the key in this game is ADJUSTING, not getting stuck on opinions. IF the 106K is compromised, and the daily candle closes strong, the breakout is more likely to follow through. This can lead price back to the 109K all time high. Since Wave 5's typically go higher than the Wave 3 peak, the next price objective is the 113K area which is proportional to Wave 1 on this impulse (similar length) when projected from the consolidation breakout (see illustration).
It is possible that Wave 5 can extend further, because the broader price structure is bullish. The mistake to avoid is thinking "it's just getting started". The further it goes, the greater the risk. Longer term investors are MOST vulnerable in situations like this because they are more likely to follow the "hype" that surrounds such moves while be completely ignorant to the shrinking shorter term potential. Wave 5's often characterize the idea that the majority of participants who were going to buy have bought, which means there will be much less potential demand in the near future.
This concept is NOT to be confused with long term fundamentals which often don't change. What changes is the sentiment and sentiment is what motivates price. The recent corrective move to the 76K low also illustrates this phenomenon. Fundamentally there was no reason for price to be pushing such lows. Such a move was provoked by the "perceived" risks brought on by the tariff drama which we know now was nothing more than a knee jerk reaction and an enormous buying opportunity for those who have the ability to see through the hype (read my analysis of that time).
In my opinion the best way to navigate this market is on smaller time frames. Anywhere from 1 minute to 4H offers more precise price references to mitigate risk from. Another consideration is if you plan to trade the broader time frame, use smaller than usual sizing if you plan to dollar cost average into higher prices. The trend is clearly BULLISH which means support levels are more likely to hold while resistances are likely to break. Expect more from longs and LESS from shorts. Short setups, while tempting are going to be lower probability. This should only be done by more experienced traders who understand how to manage the elevated risk. This is the mindset I will maintain UNTIL the market proves otherwise.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: About to explode to 135k by July.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.730, MACD = 3423.900, ADX = 23.501) as it is expreriencing the strongest pullback since the start of its April bottom. Having completed a 1D Golden Cross like on October 27th 2024, this pullback seems a lot like the one that suceeded that Cross, which tested the LH trendline and marginally crossed under it and as it held the 1D MA50, resumed the uptrend and exploded to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension. That is our target on a July horizon (TP = 135,000).
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