BTC/USD Long Setup – Bullish RSI DivergenceWe’re currently looking at a textbook bullish divergence on BTC/USD. While price printed a lower low, the RSI formed a higher low on the 4H chart, signaling a potential reversal in momentum. This divergence often precedes a trend change or at least a relief rally.
BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC SHORT TP:82,300 17-04-2025🚨 Time to go Short! The targets are set between 82,000 and 82,500, with the 4-hour and 8-hour timeframes indicating a bearish trend.
We anticipate this downward movement to unfold within the next 2 days. It’s crucial to enter at the right moment and consider averaging down to maximize your potential gains.
Keep an eye on market updates to adjust your strategy accordingly. Following me will ensure you stay informed about any changes and the latest insights. Let’s navigate this market together and aim for those profits! 📉💰
Bullish rise?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 81,863.58
1st Support: 76,689.89
1st Resistance: 94,753.96
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BTCUSD Sell Signal @ 85100A bearish signal has been triggered for Bitcoin against the US Dollar at the 85,100 level. This indicates a potential trend reversal or correction from recent highs, suggesting sellers may be stepping in at this price point. Traders might consider this an opportunity to short BTCUSD or take profits on long positions. As always, proper risk management and confirmation from additional technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD, trendlines) are recommended before taking action.
Bitcoin: Watch For These Break Out Scenarios.Bitcoin is consolidating within a very tight range: between 83 and 86K. Which way it breaks is a matter of catalyst, but recognizing the break can help to better shape expectations on this time horizon. IF 83K breaks, I will be watching for the higher low scenario (see blue square), for confirmations to go long. IF 86K breaks, I will be anticipating a test of the 88 K resistance (see arrow). What happens after that is anyone's guess. This is NOT about forecasting the future, it is about considering multiple scenarios and then adjusting as the market offers new information.
This evaluation can be helpful on multiple time frames if you know how to use it. For example, a break of the 83K support can be a great day trade opportunity on time frames like the 5 minute. A test of the 78K to 80K area followed by a confirmation can offer a long opportunity on the swing trade or day trade time frames. A test of the 88K or 90K resistance levels can offer aggressive short opportunities on smaller time frames as well. You have to be prepared for the possibility of the corresponding pattern to appear (bullish/bearish reversal) and confirmation. From there risk can be effectively quantified and taking action becomes reasonable.
Getting stuck on 1 scenario rather then being prepared for multiple possibilities makes you inflexible because there is NO precision in financial markets (unless you're on the micro structure level MOST retail traders are NOT). The scenarios I explained here can unfold over the week or take longer, AGAIN is it a matter of catalyst or surprise news event.
As far as the bigger picture, nothing has changed. The 76K AREA low is a double bottom, which translates into a broader higher low when you look back over the year. This higher low structure implies Bitcoin is still generally BULLISH which means betting on resistance levels can be considered a lower probability outcome. This also means current prices are still attractive investment levels as long as you are sizing strategically. IF price manages to break below 65K over the next quarter, then I would say investing should be more limited since such a break implies the impulse structure is no longer in play.
Other than that, seasonal volume typically peaks around this time of year in the stock market, which means the next few months are more likely to be less eventful and contain smaller price ranges etc. There are always exceptions and news catalysts will still cause price spikes, but the dramatic nature like we have seen will likely be smaller. So unless there are any surprises in Bitcoin, be prepared for slow grinds or less eventful movements generally speaking.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling.BTCUSDT Weekly Analysis: Navigating the Range-Bound Market
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading in a range-bound market, showcasing a delicate balance between buying and selling pressures. As traders, it's essential to identify key levels and potential trading opportunities.
Key Selling Area: $88,490
We've identified a crucial selling area at $88,490, where sellers are actively participating. This level has the potential to cap upward movements, and we're waiting for the market to reach this zone.
Trading Strategy:
1. Sell Setup: If the market reaches the $88,490 level, we'll look for selling opportunities, targeting lower levels and taking advantage of potential downward momentum.
2. Alternative Scenario: If the market doesn't reach the $88,490 zone, we'll wait for a clear breakdown from the current range, with a candle closing below the range. This would signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
Market Outlook:
The range-bound market presents both challenges and opportunities. By monitoring key levels and waiting for confirmation, we can make informed trading decisions and navigate the markets effectively.
What to Watch:
1. $88,490 Level: A key selling area that could determine the next move.
2. Range Boundaries: Monitoring the current range and waiting for a breakdown or breakout.
3. Market Sentiment: Keeping an eye on market sentiment and adjusting our strategy accordingly.
By staying vigilant and adapting to market conditions, we can capitalize on potential trading opportunities and navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin may see $67k - Monthly timeframeHere is the monthly chart of the bitcoin. Based on price action analysis, we have a broad bull channel. We can see 2 price action signs here:
1- Second leg in the bull channel, we call it second leg trap
2- A climactic move to the top of the channel (biggest bull bar late in the trend)
Given the context, there is 60% chance that we see the bottom of the climactic move, which is $67,000.
The pessimistic perspective is that the bitcoin may see and test the bottom of the channel, around $50k.
BTCUSD - Technical Structure Shows Bullish Continuation AheadBitcoin is currently showing signs of strength as it consolidates around the $85,000 level, with technical evidence suggesting a higher probability move to the upside. The chart depicts a recovery from the recent support zone (highlighted in blue) around $76,000-$77,000, with price action forming a series of higher lows since early April. While some short-term volatility may persist, the overall structure appears bullish as BTC continues to hold above the critical $85,000 horizontal level. Traders should watch for a potential pullback before the anticipated upward continuation, as suggested by the brief downward movement in the arrow pattern, which could offer an attractive entry opportunity before the next leg higher.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC Setup SundayBitcoin’s short- to medium-term outlook is cautiously constructive but nuanced by mixed signals across on-chain fundamentals, technicals, and market flows.
On-Chain Fundamentals:
Network security remains robust with rising hash-rate and difficulty, supporting long-term confidence. Active addresses and transaction volumes are stable, indicating steady user engagement. Whale supply share is stable, showing no aggressive accumulation or distribution, which suggests no imminent large-scale directional shifts from major holders. MVRV metrics place Bitcoin in a mid-optimism phase, implying moderate valuation support but not exuberance.
Technical Signals:
Short-term (15m to 1d) technicals show consolidation with a slight bullish bias—MACD bullish crossovers and neutral RSI support potential breakouts near $85,000 resistance. However, overbought Stochastic RSI and weekly bearish patterns (Double Top, Three Black Crows) caution against strong upward conviction without confirmation. The weekly MACD remains bearish but narrowing, hinting at a possible trend reversal if momentum builds.
Exchange Liquidity & Fund Flows:
Institutional fund flows have been negative for three consecutive weeks, with significant Bitcoin outflows totaling $751m last week, reflecting risk aversion amid macro uncertainty (tariffs, rising yields). Outflows are broad-based geographically and across product types, indicating widespread caution rather than localized profit-taking. Short Bitcoin products also saw outflows, suggesting reduced bearish positioning.
Whale Movements:
Whale supply remains steady without notable accumulation or distribution, implying that large holders are currently sidelined or holding, which reduces the risk of sudden large sell-offs but also limits strong buying pressure.
Trading Opportunities & Risks
Opportunities:
A confirmed daily close above $85,310 with volume surge could trigger a momentum-driven breakout trade targeting $95,000 and beyond.
Short-term bullish reversal patterns and MACD signals support tactical long entries on dips near demand zones (~$77,000-$83,000).
Range-bound trading between $77k demand and FWB:88K supply zones offers mean-reversion setups with defined risk.
Risks:
Overbought Stochastic RSI and weekly bearish patterns warn of potential pullbacks or failed breakouts.
Continued institutional outflows and macro uncertainty may suppress sustained rallies.
Failure to break above $85,310 resistance could lead to consolidation or retracement toward lower support levels.
Summary:
Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase with a slight bullish tilt but faces key resistance near $85,000. On-chain strength and stable whale behavior provide a solid foundation, yet institutional caution and mixed technical signals advise prudence. Traders should watch for breakout confirmation or signs of rejection at supply zones, balancing momentum and mean-reversion strategies accordingly.