BITCOIN trade ideas
BTCUSD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the BTCUSD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 10686
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 10417
My Stop Loss - 10836
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
Bitcoin Looks StrongBitcoin continues to keep traders on their toes. After briefly sweeping the lows below \$100,000 earlier this week – an aggressive shakeout that likely liquidated overleveraged longs – it staged a sharp recovery. We’re now seeing price comfortably above the 50-day moving average, with back-to-back daily candles holding above the key \$105,787 level. That’s the type of reclaim bulls love to see.
What makes this move especially compelling is the volume profile. The bounce wasn’t some weak drift higher – it came on rising volume, suggesting real buyers stepped in to defend the lows. We’ve also seen consistent participation ever since – signaling that this might not just be a relief rally, but a potential shift in momentum.
Now the focus turns to resistance. The level to beat is \$112,000 – a zone that’s capped every major push this month. Break above that, and we’re no longer talking about recovering ground – we’re talking about new highs and possibly kicking off a much larger move. But before we get ahead of ourselves, this current consolidation near \$107K is healthy. If price can hang here for a bit, absorb selling pressure, and build a base – that’s often how the best breakouts form.
Of course, bulls don’t want to see \$105,787 lost again. That would make this whole move look like a failed breakout – and failed breakouts can get ugly fast. But for now, the technicals lean bullish. Bitcoin faked out the market, sucked in liquidity, and flipped key levels. Until proven otherwise, the bounce is valid – and the bulls have the momentum.
$BTC – Three Possible Scenarios in the Near FutureCRYPTOCAP:BTC – Three Possible Scenarios in the Near Future:
🔹 Optimistic: Growth up to $140,000
🔹 Conservative: Growth up to $112,000
🔹 Pessimistic: Decline to $75,000 – $85,000
🚨 Key Levels to Watch:
▪️ $112,000 — a breakout above this level could open the path to $135,000 – $145,000
▪️ $100,000 – $103,000 — if BTC drops into this zone, it could trigger a decline toward $85,000 – $95,000
▪️ $83,000 — falling to this level may indicate further downside to $30,000 – $50,000
Wait for your EDGE...
Discipline is what separates professionals from amateurs.
Stay patient. Wait for your edge. Let the probabilities work in your favor.
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BTC/USD – Critical Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,500, pressing against the upper boundary of a rising wedge on the 1H and 4H charts. The structure remains fragile, with weakening momentum and conflicting signals between short and mid-term indicators.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish:
The current move likely completes wave (b) of an ABC correction.
Price has reached ~0.735 retracement at $108,358.
Breakdown of wedge support (~$104,600) could activate wave (c) toward $101K–$98K, or even the 1.618 extension to $86,000 (seen on daily).
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Alternate:
If BTC breaks and closes above $108,500, with volume, we may have invalidation of wave (b).
This opens the door for a wave (5) extension toward $113,000.
🔍 Key Indicators:
RSI on 1H is weakening, under 50.
OBV is flat – no accumulation spike.
QQE shows Buy signals but lacks follow-through.
Volume remains unconvincing for continuation.
🎯 Conclusion:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. A clean breakout and retest above $108.5K flips the structure bullish. Until then, wedge breakdown is the higher-probability play. Watch the $104.6K zone closely for direction confirmation.
Bitcoin Approaches the $110,000 Level Once AgainDuring the latest trading session, Bitcoin gained over 3%, as renewed buying momentum entered the market. For now, the cryptocurrency appears to be approaching its historical highs once again, driven largely by the growing weakness of the U.S. dollar. This is reflected in the DXY index, which measures dollar strength and is now hovering around 96 points, consolidating a bearish trend not seen in years. As the dollar continues to weaken, BTC could benefit from the environment, maintaining consistent buy-side pressure in the short term.
Lateral Range Still Intact
Despite recent upward movements visible on the chart, it’s important to highlight that BTC has begun to consolidate within a defined short-term lateral range, marked by a ceiling at $110,000 and a floor near $100,000. While buying pressure has shown signs of resurgence, it remains insufficient to break out of the range, which continues to dominate in the short term. If price fails to break through these key levels, a wider consolidation channel could develop in the coming sessions.
Indicators:
MACD: The MACD histogram continues to hover near the neutral zero line, indicating a stable balance between buying and selling forces. If this behavior persists, neutrality could become more dominant in the short term.
ADX: A similar pattern is emerging on the ADX indicator, as the line remains below the neutral 20 level. This suggests that the average volatility of recent moves is steadily decreasing, and unless the ADX starts to climb, Bitcoin may struggle to sustain the current bullish momentum recently seen on the chart.
Key Levels to Watch:
$110,000 – Major Resistance: This level marks Bitcoin’s historical high. If buying pressure pushes price back to and above this level, it could signal the reignition of a strong bullish bias and set the stage for a resumption of the previous uptrend.
$106,000 – Mid-Range Support: The midpoint of the current consolidation range. It acts as nearby support and may serve as a barrier against short-term pullbacks.
$100,000 – Psychological Support Zone: This level aligns with recent multi-week lows. A return to this level could jeopardize the short-term bullish bias that has attempted to hold over recent sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
BTCUSD is on a downtrendFrom the chart and from the technical analysis, we will see that btcusd is about to fall to 99000 or below. So, its time we enjoy btc as trader.
Reasons;
1] In 4 hr, we can see a third trendline is about to touch which is signal for sell.
2] Also, at the same point you can still see a horizontal resistance line, which is a signal for sell.
3] If the trendline below is broken, its also a signal to sell.
Always wait for a confirmation and trade responsibly. Thanks and don't forget to follow me for more good analysis.
BTC with potential for $115,000/$120,000🔍 Market structure (Price Action)
📈 Trend:
The market previously formed higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend.
Then there was a correction and a lower high (LH) and lower low (LL) appeared – a potential change in the trend to a downtrend.
The last two lows are again HL (Higher Lows) – suggesting an attempt to return to the uptrend.
🔄 Key support and resistance levels
✅ Resistance (green horizontal lines):
117.469 – local resistance and potential breakout target from the current range.
115.802 – confirmed resistance from previous consolidations.
111.814 – strong local resistance (LH – Lower High formed there).
109.341 – current resistance, the price is currently testing it.
🛑 Support (red horizontal lines):
105.370 – local support, price reacted at this level in recent days.
102.650 – important support, level of previous HL.
100.095 – consolidation level before breaking out upwards.
98.213 – last LL – very important level in the context of defending the structure.
🧭 Structure of peaks and troughs
HH: Higher High – confirmed the previous uptrend.
LH: Lower High – first warning about changing the structure to down.
LL: Lower Low – confirmed a potential change to downside.
HL (x2): two more higher lows – suggest a possible return to growth.
📊 Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart)
The oscillator is currently in the overbought zone (>80), approaching a downward crossover.
It suggests a possible short-term halt in growth or correction.
But in strong trends it may "stick" to the upper range.
📌 Potential scenarios:
🟢 Bullish:
If the price breaks above 109.341, it may test 111.814 and then 115.802.
Continuation of the HL → HH formation will confirm a trend reversal and further growth.
🔴 Bearish:
If the price does not stay above 109k and breaks below 105.370, there is a risk of a test of 102.650 and lower.
A break of 100.095 and especially 98.213 will negate the growth structure.
🧠 Conclusions:
The market is at a key decision point - HL formation vs. resistance zone.
Buyers' strength will be confirmed only after breaking 111-112k.
Stochastic RSI warns of potential pullback or consolidation.
BTC/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a summary of your BTCUSD 15-minute trade setup:
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Trade Type: Buy
Entry Price: 107,500
Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 108,000
2. TP2: 108,300
3. TP3: 108,796
Stop Loss: 107,150
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Risk-Reward Analysis:
Risk (SL): 107,500 - 107,150 = 350 points
Reward:
TP1: 500 points → ~1.43 R/R
TP2: 800 points → ~2.29 R/R
TP3: 1,296 points → ~3.70 R/R
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Would you like me to turn this into a trading journal entry, script (e.g., for TradingView/MetaTrader), or analyze the probability based on recent price action?
BTCUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
BTCUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell BTCUSD
Entry - 10686
Stop - 10837
Take - 10422
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD Bullish sideways consolidation supported at 101.780Trend Overview:
BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 101,780 (primary pivot), followed by 100,380 and 98,184
Resistance: 109,170 (initial), then 111,600 and 114.140
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 101,780 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 109,170, 111,600, and ultimately 114,140.
Conversely, a daily close below 101,780 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 100.390 and 98,180 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
BTCUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 101,780 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 109,170 area. A breakdown below 101,780, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin Faces Impending Drop to Mid-30,000sAs of July 02, 2025, Bitcoin’s price chart, crafted by "RoadToAMillionClub" on TradingView, paints a concerning picture. Currently hovering at $107,831, the cryptocurrency appears to be teetering at the edge of its upper channel, signaling potential trouble ahead. The recent 0.51% dip may be just the beginning of a more significant decline.
The long-term upward trend, marked by a supportive orange line since 2018, has been a beacon for bulls. However, the green trend line projecting a drop toward the mid-30,000s range, around $37,932, suggests a looming correction. This level, a historical support zone, could become the next battleground as selling pressure mounts.
Market indicators point to overextension, with the price hitting a 4-day and 14-day high of $107,831 before the recent pullback. The speculative fervor that drove Bitcoin to these heights seems to be waning, increasing the likelihood of a bearish turn. Investors should brace for volatility, as the cryptocurrency may struggle to maintain its current altitude, potentially sliding toward the mid-30,000s in the coming months.
BTC to new ATH, wanna bet?The only objection I have on this trade is 100400 level. If price comes there, I will buy more but for now, I think it will push up from here.
Entry is below 101800 if stoploss is still holding...
TP1 @ 112k
TP2 @ 120k
Enjoy
Follow me as my trades are mainly market orders, so you will see the trades on time and enter on time.
BTC Shorts Into Q3 | Monthly + Half-Year Candle PressureWe’re entering a pivotal window on the Bitcoin chart, the monthly close, Q2 close, and 6-month candle all lining up. This kind of macro convergence rarely goes unnoticed by the market and often marks major structural shifts.
BTC has failed multiple times to break through key highs, and with momentum fading into this close, I’m leaning short heading into Q3. Even if price wants to trend higher later this year, I expect that move to begin from a deeper wick, not from the top of the current range.
I’m watching the 103K level closely. A break below it could trigger a swift drop toward 95K, possibly lower depending on how the new monthly opens and reacts. That would line up with the idea of a strong lower wick forming on the new 3M or 6M candle.
This isn't a long-term macro short, just a high R setup where structure, timing, and context are aligning. I believe this move starts today or very soon. The next few candles will speak volumes.
EMA SystemThe system of Moving Averages I started out using is the 9-21-50 SMA. I would use the Fast EMA as a trailing stop loss and only trade long when it's above the 50 SMA. The 21 SMA is often a zone where price can bounce back.
12-21 EMA—EMA of EMA can work as well. So can 50-200 SMA or EMA of EMA for telling the larger trend if you want to enter an Option, then trading against it can be fatal.