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Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Market Breakdown & Trading Plan1. Market Context and Structure Phase and Current Movement: Left Chart (4H): Bitcoin is currently completing Wave 5 of a diagonal structure, showing signs of a potential exhaustion at the upper limits of the trend. Key levels in focus: 96,916.73: 1.618 extension of diagonal Wave 5 (high confidence target). 100,996.81: 1.236 volume divergence by Wave 5; potential fake breakout zone. Right Chart (Daily): The market is within Phase B (distribution) of a larger Wyckoff schematic. Price is approaching UT (Upthrust) in Phase B, signaling a potential liquidity grab before a markdown. Lower supports are aligned for a reversal post-fake breakout or rejection at the resistance zone. 2. Expected Price Movement Bullish Push (Wave 5 Completion): Target Levels: First target: 96,916.73 (1.618 extension, diagonal Wave 5). Primary target: 100,996.81 (1.236 extension; volume divergence zone). Stretch target: 103,266.78 (liquidity grab and trap for retail traders). Invalidation: Failure to break above 94,989.49 indicates early weakness. Correction and Markdown Phase: Key Reversal Zone: Expect reversal between 96,916.73 and 103,266.78 after trapping liquidity at the highs. Projected Downside Targets: Short-term target: 94,157.96 (key Fibonacci retracement of Wave 4). Medium-term target: 84,852.63 (critical support at 0.272 retracement). Extended downside: 80,373.37 (Wave C completion within larger corrective structure). 3. Key Price Levels to Monitor Bullish Resistance Zones: 96,916.73: 1.618 Fibonacci extension; high-probability rejection zone. 100,996.81: Volume divergence by Wave 5; trap zone for breakout traders. 103,266.78: Liquidity grab zone; final stretch for Wave 5 completion. Support Levels: 94,157.96: First retracement target, likely to trigger a short-term bounce. 84,852.63: Strong structural support; reversal zone during markdown. 80,373.37: Deeper support aligned with the resistance line of BC distribution. 4. Trading Plan Scenario 1: Bullish Completion of Wave 5 Setup: Look for a breakout above 94,989.49 with strong momentum. Entry: Enter longs on confirmed breakout above 94,989.49, targeting resistance levels. Targets: First target: 96,916.73. Primary target: 100,996.81. Stretch target: 103,266.78. Invalidation: Reversal below 94,157.96 indicates Wave 5 has already topped. Scenario 2: Correction After Wave 5 Completion Setup: Watch for rejection or fake breakout at 96,916.73–103,266.78. Short Entry Criteria: Look for bearish divergence or strong rejection at resistance. Confirmation via lower highs on lower timeframes. Targets: Short-term target: 94,157.96. Medium-term target: 84,852.63. Extended target: 80,373.37. Stop-Loss: Above 103,266.78 to limit risk. Scenario 3: Failure of Wave 5 Completion Setup: If price fails to break above 96,916.73 or reverses early: Watch for confirmation of markdown below 94,157.96. Short Setup: Enter on bearish breakdown below 94,157.96. Targets: Short-term target: 84,852.63. Medium-term target: 80,373.37. Invalidation: Reclaiming 96,916.73 invalidates bearish markdown bias. 5. Commentary for Your Audience What to Expect This Week: Bitcoin is likely to complete Wave 5 and test the upper resistance zone near 96,916.73–103,266.78, potentially triggering a fake breakout. A strong reversal is expected after this push, leading to a markdown phase targeting 94,157.96, 84,852.63, and potentially 80,373.37. How to Trade: For Long Traders: Look for entries above 94,989.49, targeting 96,916.73 or 100,996.81. Be cautious near upper resistance; exit longs and prepare for reversal. For Short Traders: Watch for rejection at 96,916.73–103,266.78 and enter shorts targeting the markdown phase. Confirm shorts with momentum breakdowns below 94,157.96. Risk Management: Stop-Loss: For longs, place stops below 94,157.96. For shorts, place stops above 103,266.78. Position Sizing: Adjust for volatility, particularly near resistance. Patience: Wait for confirmation before entering trades.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by spacedevil
3
Going to 102KToday, guys we show you the longest and shortest our charts. First one is a monthly time frame, and it shows strategical targets, and the nearest one is 102K. Pay attention that price is coming to historical record of overbought level. This combination significantly increases the retracement chances once 102K target will be reached. Still, on 1H chart BTC accurately completed our 98K target - butterfly and 3-Drive patterns. Although downside retracement here is also possible, thus minimal butterfly target is 3/8 pullback to 96.50K area. But we do not expect that retracement will become more extended. The attractiveness and magic of 100K level strongly acts on the minds of investors, so by all efforts BTC will tend to touch 100K area
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
1
How to Analyze a Cryptocurrency: Fundamental & Technical StyleCrypto is fashionable again (was it ever out of fashion?), with Bitcoin BTCUSD pumping to a new all-time high above $82,000 . But with all that buzz and excitement, it’s easier than ever to get swept away in the tide of social media hype, viral memes, and “expert” Telegram signals chats. Is that real success in crypto trading? Not exactly. Real success requires more than just blindly following the noise. The savvy investor knows how to analyze a coin, piecing together a mosaic of factors to make some trading choice. Let’s break down 🤸‍♂️ how to do this effectively. When looking to analyze a cryptocurrency, there are two distinct approaches you’d want to consider — fundamental and technical analysis. This pair of viewpoints cuts through the noise and gets to the real story behind a coin. Coupling them together can be a powerful recipe for success. The Basics: Why You Need Both Fundamentals and Technicals Crypto analysis is all about the combination of fundamental and technical approaches. Fundamental Analysis (FA) helps you determine whether a cryptocurrency holds long-term potential based on its real-world application, team, and project structure. Technical Analysis (TA) lets you gauge market sentiment and potential price moves by analyzing past price actions and trends. Master both, and you’ve got yourself a complete toolkit. FA tells you if a coin is worth your time, and TA lets you fine-tune your entries and exits. Fundamental Analysis: Reading Between the Blockchains Fundamentals give you the long-term view—what a project stands for, what problems it’s solving, and whether it has staying power. A coin with solid fundamentals usually has a strong foundation, dedicated team, and clear purpose. Here are a few key aspects to evaluate: Use Case: Does This Coin Do Anything Useful? Not all coins are created equal, and some are, well… kind of a pointless joke, or created to be a pointless joke but turned out to be a big deal (did anyone say Doge DOGE/USE ?) If you want a real-world use case, look at Ethereum ETH/USD — it opened up the entire decentralized finance (DeFi) and smart contract universe. Now compare that to yet another dog-themed token. The key is to ask yourself: does this coin solve a real-world problem, or is it banking on social media likes? A strong use case equals a stronger shot at lasting value. Team and Leadership: Who’s Running the Show? The team behind a coin is often the make-or-break factor. You want to see solid, experienced people who’ve been in the space and know their stuff. Look for LinkedIn profiles, past projects, and what industry insiders are saying. Pro tip: if you can’t find the team anywhere online, or if their CEO goes by something like “CryptoKing” on Reddit or Telegram, proceed with caution (or dump it). Investors and Backers: Who’s Got Skin in the Game? In crypto, a solid roster of backers can be like a seal of approval — big-shot VCs, famous angel investors, or major blockchain funds often bring more than just cash. Big names like Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) or Pantera Capital backing a coin? That’s a good sign as they likely see something worth the investment. But let’s keep it real: even the pros get it wrong. Sequoia’s high-stakes investment in FTX? That didn’t age well. It went from a headline win to a headline regret. The lesson? Big names can be a great vote of confidence, but they’re no substitute for doing your own homework. Dig into how engaged these investors are. Are they making decisions or are they just a logo on the website? If they’re actually involved, it adds weight. Just remember: your best edge comes from putting in the research, not just riding on who’s along for the ride. Partnerships and Network: Are They Walking the Talk? A strong project is often backed by legitimate partnerships. Real collaborations with reputable companies from the industry show a coin has a foothold in the market, a strong network. But watch out for overblown claims—a name drop isn’t the same as a partnership. The best projects are the ones where you can verify the collaborations and see real interaction. Technical Analysis: Getting the Pulse of the Market If FA tells you what a coin is, TA tells you how it’s behaving in the market. TA is all about catching trends, spotting patterns, and getting the timing right. Here’s where to start: Indicators to Watch: Moving Averages, RSI, and MACD Moving Averages (MA): These smooth out price action to show you the market’s general direction. A 50-day MA crossing above a 200-day MA? That’s usually a bullish sign . Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI tells you if a coin is overbought (above 70) or oversold (below 30), signaling potential reversals . MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it’s a buy signal; below, it’s a sell signal. This helps you ride momentum without getting whipsawed. Chart Patterns: Know Your Shapes Patterns like head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms, and trend lines are your map to market sentiment. Look for breakouts past resistance levels or breakdowns below support as entry and exit points. But stay flexible — that’s crypto and things can change on a dime. Meme Coins and the Hype Machine: Beware the FOMO If you’ve been in the crypto game for any time at all, you’ve seen the lure of meme coins. From Dogecoin to Shiba Inu, these coins have made some people rich — but they’ve also created some bagholders. Don’t Chase Trends: Just because a coin is all over TikTok doesn’t mean it’s a wise investment. Meme coins often rely on community-driven hype rather than any real-world utility. FOMO is the quickest way to make a costly mistake. Be Wary of Telegram and Discord “Tips”: While some groups are genuinely insightful, many operate more like echo chambers. If your trading strategy is “I saw it in a chat,” it might be time to rethink your approach. Look for projects with substance, not just the latest meme. Bringing It All Together: Using FA and TA for Smarter Trades Blending FA and TA lets you go beyond hype. Here’s a solid plan to put these tools to work: Research the Fundamentals: Assess if a project has real value based on its use case, team, and partnerships. Look for Technical Confirmation: Use technical analysis to decide the best time to enter and exit. Set Goals and Limits: Establish your profit targets and stop-loss points before you buy. Crypto trading is part science, part art. Fundamental analysis gives you the big picture, while technicals keep you tuned in to market conditions. Use them together, and you’ll be a lot less likely to end up with a token that’s only valuable for a while. Final Take: Follow the Data, Not the Crowd Crypto success isn’t about catching the latest Twitter trend — it’s about staying grounded in facts and making decisions based on data, research, and analysis. Use FA to pick projects that last and TA to catch price action at the right time. So, Which Type of Analysis Do You Prefer? Are you more of a fundamentals fan, focusing on the project’s long-term vision and team? Or do you live by the charts, riding trends and tracking indicators? Maybe you’re a mix of both? Whichever camp you fall into, we’d love to hear your thoughts. Drop a comment and share your go-to analysis strategy—let’s get the conversation started!
Editors' picks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by TradingView
13
Bitcoin moves towards 169KNote: The financial market has risk and this is one of the strong scenarios of Bitcoin, manage the risk so that if the analysis expires, you will not suffer a large loss. The price movement momentum is strong. This should be a post-pattern movement. It seems that the Bitcoin triangle, which we have talked about many times before, has come to an end. This triangle has lasted 1272 days. The minimum target of this pattern is 0.78% of its biggest wave, which shows us the range of 169K. It can run towards the target while maintaining the green range. Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will violate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
1
November 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoinguide. If you have a "follower" You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections. If my analysis is helpful, Please would like one booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There is no separate Nasdaq indicator announcement. Bit's short-term pattern is broken, and I kept the $89,271 long position last week, and I brought the same strategy. *When the red finger moves, Long position strategy 1. $91,337 long position entry section / green support line breakaway, stop loss price 2. $93,817.5 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd If the strategy is successful, use the last 1st section long position re-entry Purple finger at the top This is a navigation and autonomous short operation section, but if it comes down right away without touching this section, it is the final long waiting in section 2. (91.3K strong when touched) Movement within the 1st and 2nd sections at the top is a sideways market The 3rd section is where the 4+6 pattern is restored Please check the simultaneous touch of the real-time 4-hour support line + 6-hour center line. If the 1st section is broken today The bull market including Bitcoin may continue again And if it moves sideways within the 1st section The cyclical pumping will continue in the major and minor altcoins. Up to this point, please use my analysis articles only for reference and use I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cuts. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
1
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not. - There's nothing at 100k. - the trend would not be respected. - i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time. - At that time, most traders called for a top and scared. - BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$.. - i see only 3 Scenarios. 1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k. 2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k. 3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ). - As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion. - Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.) - More it will take time, more up BTC will go. Stay S4fe Happy Tr4Ding !
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by thecryer
7
Bitcoin 4 Year Fractal update 2022 I've created this because I've had literally tens of people messaging me asking for an updated chart - There isnt a huge amount to update from the last one- we topped at the right time, wrong price - I've retraced 80-85% and then onward to a price target of 330k. Trying to predict the price of a relatively new, risk asset in the middle of a pandemic and world war 3 is pretty poinless but this might be a bit of fun to track and its max pain for a lot of people, buying at 69k, seeing it drop into the teens then staying in the 20s for a year will flush a lot of people out... But like I say, I dont think price can be held that low for long, there simply isnt enough corn and theres a lot of hodlers now.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by theellk
11
CYCLE4 | Halving Cycle MapperQuick post to demonstrate indicator looking at DCA positions to enter into the bear market and out of the bull market zones. Below 'Cheat Sheet' summary developed based on prior cycle mapping posts and historic reviews of Cycle 1 to 3 for BTC. Brief structure * Bull Market Start: 40W post Halving * Bull Market End: 80W post Halving * Bear Market (Start DCA Positions): 135W post Halving DCA Entres (including 135W from halving) = x5 @ 12 weekly intervals
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Brodie
1
Is trading profitable/valid?My argument and what most traders would say is, it depends. The reality however is that it depends on how you look at it. The users 'eye' if adjusted to look at it right, then yes it is a profitable career to say the least, or at least I think so. Understanding is one of the key factors that play a major role in whether or not you walk away smiling or sour. Simplistic comes second, the richness comes from everywhere, and the reality stares back at you. Profitability requires a show of boldness. By looking at monthly timeframes, and having decided factors on the first of the month is the first step, allows one to be rigid for a long while, to smile back and say, I told you so. Weekly evaluations the second, daily consistency tops it off.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by st3ma
2