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Pullback to 80KMorning folks, So, our long-term bearish journey that we were following for 4-5 weeks comes to an end. BTC more or less hit our 74K target and strong weekly support area . The next one stands around 69K, but market strongly needs a new driving factor to break ~70K support area, and hardly this will happen this week. Taking in consideration that market is oversold, now we set a tactical target- pullback to 80K resistance area , and then we will see, should be sell again or not.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150kBitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle. ** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 ** As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze. This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50. ** The Transition Month ** In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month. ** What's next? ** As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top. But what do you think? Has this Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 Triple Combo just priced the new bottom? And if yes, will April be the Transition Month for the new Bullish Leg to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time. The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target. Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks. We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone. A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by behdark
10
Don’t Trade the Headlines—Trade the Chart: My BTC Game PlanThere’s been a flood of noise in the media over the past few weeks—headlines shouting about uncertainty, new U.S. tariffs, market crashes, and an impending recession. Years ago, I used to pay close attention to this kind of news, identifying myself as a "fundamental analyst". It didn't take long until I realised that I was looking in the wrong direction. What changed my mindset was reflecting on how I felt during past market dips and how that feeling often contradicted what actually happened next. In almost every major move, my emotions—heavily influenced by media narratives—led me the wrong way. This time, I believe, is no different. Despite bearish sentiment and doomsday headlines, I see opportunity. Even if a recession is on the horizon—and I do believe it’s likely—the market has a way of pricing in fear before the real damage hits. That means the upside may start before the worst news becomes obvious. Before diving into my analysis and strategy, I recommend reading my privous publication, which is also linked to this publication Chart Analysis & Market Status: As anticipated, Bitcoin is currently retesting the capitulation price range that was first reached on February 28. Since then, volume has remained relatively low, while the Fear & Greed Index has started to slightly rise—indicating that panic selling may have already subsided. The price is also sitting around the 20-week EMA, a level that has historically acted as a strong support zone. This alignment suggests that bearish sentiment may already be priced in, and we could be at or near the bottom of the current cycle—regardless of the broader macro fears. My Current Strategy 🔹 Position: I remain bullish at current levels. 🔹 Exposure: 30% of my capital is already deployed. Bullish Scenarios Scenrio 1: (More Likely) If the market bounces in the next 1–2 weeks, then retests this same price range with a healthy pullback, I’ll deploy another 40% of my capital. From there, I’ll follow the "blue model" (my projected price path) all the way up until either my timing target or pricing target is hit—whichever comes first. I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Scenario 2: (Less likely) If Bitcoin loses the current support at the 20-week EMA, I’ll allocate 20% at the $71K–$72K range and remain bullish—as the broader macro structure stays intact— considring this price as Wyckoff Spring. Then I will eploying further 20% at around $80K when market bounces back considering it as Sign of Strength of current Re-Accumolation zone. I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Bearish Scenario: (Least Likely) If Bitcoin breaks below the FWB:73K level—the peak of the previous wave—I’ll deploy another 20% around the 50-week EMA (currently near GETTEX:64K ). This would invalidate the current bullish model, but my strategy adapts: my average entry would drop to ~$73K. In that case, I plan to sell on the next bounce that retests the 20-week EMA. I’ll still keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves. Final Thoughts: As I always say: This market is stochastic—not deterministic. You can’t plug in numbers and expect a fixed outcome. There is no perfect formula. That’s why a well-structured Plan B is essential for survival and success. Don't let headlines write your trades. Let the chart do the talking.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ali-Mani
Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war. Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks. The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%. Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710. Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion. Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements. However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date. Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward. BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines. Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DEXWireNews
BTC REBOUND? 〉$140,000 NEXTAs illustrated, I'm visualizing what the next impulsive wave could look like. Price has broken out of a major daily trend line. It makes sense for the week to have started trading lower to find it's low and potentially bounce with strength sometime this coming up week and into the next. The next pivot area is between the $82,000 - $80,000 range based on previous week's lows and daily low levels. An interesting buy opportunity is forming and the potential entry is illustrated as the "pivot area" marked in yellow. Then we have a major pivot range near the $100,000 psychological price. . This could be a price where some short term traders get out "in case it's just a pull back before a collapse" type of decision. We can't ignore how much price consolidated between 100,000 and 96,000; and so that is the next stepping stone for BTC before breaking to ATH's of at least $120,000. My personal target is set at the 161.8% extension level as illustrated. -- GOOD LUCK! Persa
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDLong
by PersaGold
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 81,250.81 1st Support: 74,377.30 1st Resistance: 84,581.33 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
BITCOIN is exactly where it's supposed to be.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under heavy pressure lately due to the trade tariffs but as long-term investors, we shouldn't let this volatility affect us. The MVRV has been one of the most consistent cyclical Top (sell high) and Bottom (buy low) indicators giving only a maximum of two optimal signals in each Cycle and it shows that the market is nowhere near a Top. On the contrary the MVRV has spend the first 3 months of the year correcting from the 0.382 Fibonacci level to the 0.236. This is the exact same score it had i March 2017. Even in the other two Cycles that wasn't this low on Fibonacci levels, it still made a correction, flashing a red signal. As the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) continues to support, there are far more greater probabilities that the market will recover, turning the recent trade volatility into the best buy opportunity of 2025. As far as a Cycle Top is concerned, it has always been an excellent exit signal when the MVRV hit the 0.786 Fib. So do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
MAJOR BULL RUN RALLY INCOMING !!! Starting From MAY 2025 !!!On Big Picture starting from 2020.... Inverse H & S was formed... after breakout we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2020 To April 2021. Then after deep bear market, we got Inverse H&S... after breakout, we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2023 To April 2024. Now. we got big H&S... after breakout, we are getting pull back & now we are almost near at support level of H&S. From around 74-66K region, reversal bull run rally is expected which will most probably start from next month ( May 2025) and around after 8 months (October-December) we would be roaming ATH around 300K !!! which tags exactly at major resistance line. By copy pasting 2021 rally's candles pattern on current scenario, we can see exactly how things are going to shape in upcoming months. Lets Hope For The Best !!!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoNether
Could the Bitcoin bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 80,393.27 1st Support: 77,842,40 1st Resistance: 84,559.23 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Bitcoin - This Is Just Wonderful!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates textbook market stucture: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 The entire stock market is selling off significantly but Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies are still holding their strong levels. This is clearly a sign of bullish strength and even if we see a retest of the previous all time high, the overall uptrend remains perfectly valid over the next months. Levels to watch: $70.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
16
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard