BITCOIN consolidation or reversal why is 95k impotantMarket Update: Bitcoin Holding Strong Amid Broader Market Weakness
As mentioned earlier, Bitcoin has shown resilience amid broader market declines triggered by Trump-era policies and ongoing tariff tensions. While it's not on par with gold as a traditional safe haven, Bitcoin has remained well above the critical 73K risk zone.
Global trade negotiations continue, with a particular focus on US-China relations. Progress in this area suggests potential easing of tensions, which could support broader market sentiment.
Technical Outlook: On the daily and weekly charts, Bitcoin has broken above trend resistance and moved from the sell zone into a buy zone, attracting renewed interest. Currently, it's consolidating within the 92K–95K range. A recent false breakout at resistance triggered a correction, and we’re now closely watching for where that correction stabilizes—this will help define key support for potential consolidation.
Resistance levels: 95K, 100K, 102.5K
Support levels: 93.5K, 92.9K, 92K, 91K
To break above 95K and aim for 100K+, Bitcoin needs to establish a solid consolidation pattern. At present, such a formation hasn’t developed. The key zone to monitor is 95K–92K. If Bitcoin holds this range and resumes testing the 95K level, we could see a breakout toward 100K. Failure to hold this support may open the door for a deeper correction down to 91K–88K.
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BITCOIN trade ideas
BTC STILL STRONGBitcoin continues to look strong on the daily chart.
After a clean breakout above descending resistance, price surged through the key level at $88,804 and is now consolidating just below $95,000. Price is holding well above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the breakout occurred on notable volume – a strong confirmation of bullish intent.
The past few candles show tight consolidation in a new range near the highs, a potential signal of continuation. Bulls want to see this hold above the breakout level and ideally push through $95K next. The trend has clearly shifted in the short term, with higher highs and strong demand at each dip.
Bitcoin bulls are on the offensive; is a correction ahead?Monthly bullish outside candle
Versus the US dollar (USD), Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to snap a two-month decline and pencil in a bullish outside candle on the monthly chart (textbook engulfing candles focus on the candle’s real bodies rather than upper/lower wicks). Additionally, it is important to observe that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to break the neckline of a double-top pattern, circling above the 50.00 level and indicating bullish interest.
Daily support calls for attention
Across the page on the daily timeframe, since coming within a stone’s throw of testing support at US$73,575, BTC/USD bulls have been on the offensive. Running above the 200- and 50-day simple moving averages at US$81,139 and US$86,425, respectively, as well as trendline resistance (taken from the all-time high of US$109,580) and resistance from US$88,622 (now possible support), this has unearthed the widely watched US$100,000 barrier as a possible upside target.
With monthly flow on the verge of establishing a bullish outside candle, and scope for additional outperformance evident on the daily chart to at least US$100,000, a retest of US$88,622 as support could prompt a bullish scenario. Consequently, a possible downside move in the short term might be on the table before targeting US$100,000 as per the red arrows.
H1 ascending channel in view
On the H1 chart, price action has been carving out an ascending channel since last week, taken from US$91,713 and US$94,676. This has helped identify slowing momentum, visible through price action, which was unable to reach the upper channel on two occasions (red circles). Decreased appetite for higher levels can also be observed through the RSI trending lower since hitting highs of 82.00.
Given the above chart studies, I feel a breakout beneath the current H1 channel would help reinforce the possibility of downside towards at least H1 support at US$89,677, conveniently sited nearby daily support mentioned above at US$88,622. And, assuming a move lower to the said support area, I would then expect bulls to attempt to make a stand and aim at higher levels: at least US$100,000.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
April 23 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Yesterday, after a long time, the participation rate on TradingView was good, so
I will continue with a series of full-public analysis articles.
At the top is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock in a little while.
Based on the gap section created at the top and bottom,
I predicted the movement of the blue finger movement path.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Recently, Bitcoin has been moving autonomously,
and Tether dominance is in a vertical decline.
I won't tell you the reason for the Nasdaq decoupling separately.
The core of today's strategy is trend following.
I have never talked about all possibilities up and down without a single entry point.
*One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. 93,068.9 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the purple support line is broken
2. 96,784 dollar long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Please note that the possibility of a new high is very high when the Good section is broken.
From 1 to Gap 8 at the top,
if coupled with Nasdaq, it is an upward wave. (After touching the top, wait for a long entry at the bottom)
Since the success rate can be high, please consider it as a long wait without operating a separate short position
Up to section 2 is the maximum long position waiting section.
Bottom->3 is a downward sideways movement.
The reason why I set the stop loss price when the purple support line breaks today is
Because it is the place where the previous low of the daily candle created today is broken
If it is pushed hard, it can fall to the bottom 89,597 dollars (1+4) section.
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Weekly-Analysis:Bitcoin (BTC)–Issue 275 (Free access)The analyst believes that the price of BTCUSD will increase within the time specified on the countdown timer. This prediction is based on a quantitative analysis of the price trend.
___Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BTC on the verge of another accumulation range breakoutMorning all! So its time for a proper set of markups having spent the last few months breaking down the charts in video format for you all.
The last BTC update I gave was on 24/03, in the 4 year cycle analysis breakdown. In that video i was expecting lower pricing into SSL and the range lows once more, forming a bottoming structure before seeing a HTF bullish reversal come through, aligning with the 4 year cycle where we have time to continue higher based on past cycle data and where we are in the current cycle.
A month later and we have seen that come through wonderfully after the sweep of the range lows and its time to reanalyse now the direction is changing....
BTC has formed another accumulation range down in these discounted levels over the last couple months and there was nothing really interesting taking shape until the last couple of days thats give us some real confirmation of a trend change in this accumulation range that we can now work with. Unlike the August 2024 bottom, there isnt a massive influx of volume on the sweep event. I was able to call the bottom after such a sweep and high volume event back then just days after but in this most recent range we havent seen volume like back in August 2024, so ive had to be more cautious of further downside until we get some market shift confirmations to confirm intent and be on the safer side here whilst still holding my HTF bias of new ATHs before cycle end.
As shown on the charts, ive marked up the range and stages. We have carried out the sellers climax event, forming the range low, into the automatic rally (AR) forming the range high, moving into the secondary test (ST) with a failure swing back to the lows which forms the secondary test in phase B. From there we continued to range before putting in another range low deviation in the Spring event, with tests of the range low before seeing this explosive move come through from the spring event back to the range highs.
Volume also supports price action with a high influx of volume on the sellers climax low, stopping the prior trend, decreasing volume in the range into supply with a further increase in buyer volume as we deviate the lows in the spring event.
We have also broke structure bullish in the range and formed a HH, with a HL yet to be formed....
**So whats next? **
It seems a lot more clear now after the last couple days, and also confirms intent behind the range and i think its safe to say we have formed a bottom here and my focus is now on the upside on BTC from here. After this range high deviation into supply, in this new HH, i wouldn't be surprised to see BTC pull back to the midpoint of the range between $84,000 - $76,500, back into demand and form a last point of support/demand in the accumulation range forming a HL, before another leg higher as shown.
With how price has set up, with the demand left behind in the range and the bullish intent, my focus is on BTC forming a HL from demand before a continuation higher in line with my HTF bias that we will see new ATHs again before the cycle end. This is also supported in what im seeing on USDT.D and USDC.D where they are distributing in their ranges in supply with breakdowns in both and moving to a bearish trend.
Therefore, when price corrects into these levels i will be looking to allocate risk into the market during the discount of the HL and I will be looking for my buys on DOGE and any other opportunities, where im expecting higher lows in the market before continuations higher across the board. This doesnt mean everything though as many alts are yet to catch up and flip bullish, so my focus will be on the higher quality, stronger coins such as DOGE, but i expect the rest of the market to catch up eventually as BTC runs higher from these lows.
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
Bitcoin Aligns with the 2017 Cycle ModelThere’s growing speculation that the current Bitcoin cycle mirrors the market behavior seen in 2017.
Intrigued by this, I conducted my own analysis. I overlaid the 2014–2017 cycle pattern onto the current chart for comparison.
The results?
A striking resemblance in both the overall shape and the distinct correction and impulse phases.
It seems history may not repeat itself exactly, but it certainly rhymes. 📊
BTC UpdateIn my view we're still in a bullish cycle but in the short term bearish trend is not over so current retracement will stop @101k target where bearish shor term trend will restart to test 65k before massive bullish reverse to new ATH @137k where bull cycle will finish and a long term bear cycle will start.
My $BTCUSD analysis, called out at 82.9k for a measured 12% move*DISCLAIMER* this is not financial advice and cannot be construed as such
CALLED OUT AT 82.9K going to 105k make sure you launch the chart and put the candles on Heiken Ashi
$BTCUSDBreakdown and technical/fundamental analysis on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
THANKS ALL GLTA!
Pullback to 87-88KMorning folks,
So, our 2-week journey successfully over, market hits 93K targets and even overcome them a bit, completing H&S AB=CD extension. Now what?
In general we expect very good 1-3 months for BTC based on our recent fundamental report. Speaking about short-term situation. Market is obviously overbought a bit. So we prefer to wait for pullback somewhere to ~87-88K area before considering any new longs.
BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000
Channel Support Level: $92,000
Support Zone: $86,000
Market Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off.
Sell Targets:
Target 1: $90,000
Target 2: $88,000
Watch for further support around $86,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend.
Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000.
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BTCUSD:Adopt range trading before the breakout.Given that a number of important data are about to be released intensively, the market volatility is rising sharply. Before a clear breakout signal in the price is formed, it is recommended that within the range of $93,000 - $96,000, the range trading strategy be flexibly applied: sell at highs, and then buy at lows to build positions when the price drops back to the support level, so as to seize the band trading opportunities in the volatile market. At the same time, strictly control the position size to prevent the risk of sudden and significant fluctuations triggered by the data release.
BTCUSD
buy@93000-93500
tp:95000-95500
sell@96000-95500
tp:94000-93500
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BTC LONG IDEATimeframe: 1H⏰
Analysis:
• BTC is consolidating after a strong bullish move. 📈
• The market structure remains bullish, with a high probability of continuation to the upside. ✅
• A bullish flag/channel pattern is forming. 🏳️🌈
• Strong support is located around 93,700. 🛡️
Key Zones:
• Support zone: 93,700 🧲
• Resistance zone: 95,000 → 96,500 🎯
Idea:
• Price action currently shows a bullish bias. 🔥
• Watching for a breakout or a potential retest without structural break. 🧐
• Momentum is building, supporting further upside movement. ⚡
BTCUSD:Wait for a breakthroughToday, the price of BTC strongly broke through the threshold of $93,000. Subsequently, it started a rebound trend. After consolidating near $95,500, it failed to further break through the resistance level of $96,000 and dropped back to around $94,000. It may fall again and break below the support level of $93,000.
The breakthrough of these two key price levels will serve as an important dividing line for the subsequent trend of BTC, indicating the direction of its future price movement.
Special Reminder: A number of important economic data will be intensively released this week, and market volatility is likely to increase significantly. It is recommended that everyone trade with caution and strictly control risks.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
"BTCUSD | Smart Money Discount Play | Watch the Liquidity Trap"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 27, 2025
📊 Price Action Summary:
BTC has tapped perfectly into the Discount Zone after orchestrating a clean liquidity sweep below the prior lows.
🔥 Key Moves:
Liquidity Grab: We can clearly see those liquidity spikes — textbook fakeout behavior.
ChoCH (Change of Character): After the liquidity sweep, a strong bullish shift (ChoCH) appears, signaling a potential reversal.
Strong Low Created: This strong low within the discount zone is now protected by Smart Money players.
🧠 What's Actually Happening Behind the Scenes:
Retail traders: "It's breaking down! Sell everything!" 🚨
Smart Money: "Thanks for your liquidity. We’re loading up. 🛒"
🧩 Why This Setup Matters:
BTC swept liquidity, trapping sellers.
We saw a bullish change of character — proof of demand stepping in.
Entry opportunity now exists inside the yellow Discount Zone, where risk is minimized and upside is juicy.
🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
Entry: Inside the Discount Zone AFTER confirmation.
Stop Loss: Below the strong low (~93,455) — surgical precision.
Take Profit Zones:
Weak High (~94,500) for first scale-out 🎯
Strong High (~95,773) for the real bag 🚀
💬 Pro Tip:
"Smart Money buys red and sells green. Retail does the opposite."
Watch how BTC reacts around the ChoCH — this is where the BIG BOYS decide the next move. 🧠🔍
🚀 Summary:
✅ Liquidity sweep complete
✅ Change of character confirmed
✅ Discount zone respected
✅ Probability favoring upside expansion
🧘♂️ Be patient, wait for confirmations, and execute with sniper discipline.
✍️ Save this chart, journal it, and study how liquidity manipulation looks in real-time!
➡️ Comment "BULL MODE" if you’re positioning inside the Discount Zone!
➡️ Tag a trader who still thinks markets move randomly. 😂📉📈
BTCUSD:Ascending Wedge Trend and StrategiesI. Trends and Patterns
From the 4 - hour chart, BTCUSD has shown complex volatility characteristics recently:
1.Consolidation phase: The price oscillated within a narrow range in the early stage, forming a rectangular consolidation pattern. The forces of bulls and bears were relatively balanced, and there was a strong wait - and - see sentiment in the market.
2.Breakout and current pattern: After breaking through the consolidation range, the price moved upward, indicating that the bulls were dominant in the short term. However, it has now entered an ascending wedge pattern - which is a common reversal signal in technical analysis.
- Pattern characteristics: Although the price has been making short - term new highs, the upward slope has gradually flattened, suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading and the bearish momentum is gradually accumulating. Be vigilant against the risk of trend reversal.
II. Key Support and Resistance Levels
S1: $93,000. It is near the lower trend line of the ascending wedge and also a previous pullback low. If the price drops, this could form a strong support. If it is broken, it may open up a downward space, and we need to be vigilant against trend reversal.
S2: $91,500. It is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price drops significantly, this may form a secondary support to slow down the decline.
R1: $96,000. It is near the upper trend line of the ascending wedge. The price has tested it several times without a valid breakthrough, indicating strong selling pressure here and a significant short - term suppression effect.
R2: $98,000. It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price breaks through $96,000 strongly and holds above it, it may further rise to this level.
III. Trading Strategy Recommendations
1.Bullish strategy:
- Entry conditions: The price finds support near $93,000 (such as the appearance of bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candlesticks), and does not break below this level.
- Target price: $96,000 (testing the upper wedge), and if broken, look towards $97,500.
- Stop - loss setting: Break below $92,500 (below the lower edge of the support level).
2.Bearish strategy:
- Entry conditions: The price effectively breaks below the support level of $93,000 (such as closing below it for two consecutive candlesticks), or encounters resistance and falls back near $96,000 (the appearance of bearish patterns like shooting star candlesticks).
- Target price: $91,500 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation), and if it further drops, it can look towards $86,000.
- Stop - loss setting: Break above $96,500 (above the upper wedge).
3.Risk warnings:
- The reversal signal of the ascending wedge needs to be verified with trading volume (for example, if there is a significant increase in volume during the breakout, the signal is more reliable).
- Pay close attention to fundamental factors such as the expected Fed policy and regulatory dynamics of cryptocurrencies. Be vigilant against breakout movements triggered by unexpected news.
IV. Conclusion
Currently, BTCUSD is in a critical observation period of the ascending wedge. Technical analysis shows that the bullish momentum is waning, and it faces a directional choice in the short term. Aggressive traders can lightly test the waters near support/resistance levels, while conservative traders are advised to wait for clear breakout signals (such as a volume - based breakout of the upper wedge or an effective breakdown of the lower wedge) before entering the market. At the same time, strictly control positions and stop - losses to avoid volatility risks before the pattern is confirmed.