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ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED

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BABA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10🧾 BABA Weekly Options Play – 2025-06-10 Bias: Moderately Bearish Timeframe: 5 trading days Catalysts: Weakening momentum, max pain gravity, fading upside catalysts Trade Type: Single-leg PUT option 🧠 Model Summary Table Model Direction Strike Entry Price Target Stop Loss Confidence Grok Bullish 125.00C $0.77 $1.16 $0.385 65% Claude Bearish 117.00P $1.75 $2.63 $1.23 65% Llama Bearish 119.00P $2.85 $3.42 $2.28 65% Gemini Bullish 125.00C $0.77 $1.35 $0.38 68% DeepSeek Bearish 114.00P $0.79 $1.19 $0.55 70% ✅ Consensus: Moderately Bearish 📉 Core Setup: Downside pullback toward $115–118 support zone ⚠️ Outlier: Gemini and Grok see potential call upside on sentiment rebound 🔍 Technical & Sentiment Recap Trend: Mixed structure—price stuck between declining intraday EMAs and longer-term resistances Momentum: Bearish MACD and RSI signals across M5 & daily on 3/5 models Sentiment: VIX 16.8 (neutral), Max Pain at $118 = gravitational anchor Options Flow: Heavy call OI near $124–125 (potential cap); Put flows dominate below $118 ✅ Final Trade Recommendation Parameter Value Instrument BABA Strategy Single-leg PUT (weekly) Strike $115.00 Entry Price $1.13 (ask) Profit Target $1.70 (~50% gain) Stop-Loss $0.79 (~30% loss) Size 1 contract Entry Timing At market open Confidence 65% 🎯 Rationale: Favorable risk-reward in short-dated put to capture downside drift toward $115 zone. Models align around a modest pullback, driven by technical weakness and lack of fresh bullish catalysts. ⚠️ Risk Factors Sharp bounce from short-term oversold RSI Sudden news catalyst (AI/cloud deal, macro relief) could fuel call side squeeze Weekly options decay accelerates sharply by Thursday Max pain shift or volatility compression could mute movement 📊 TRADE DETAILS SNAPSHOT 🎯 Instrument: BABA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 115.00 💵 Entry Price: 1.13 🎯 Profit Target: 1.70 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.79 📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13 📏 Size: 1 contract 📈 Confidence: 65% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-06-08 23:55:22 EDT
NYSE:BABAShort
by quantsignals
2
Alibaba: A Strategic Long Play Amid Regulatory Easing Current Price: $119.38 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $123.00 - T2 = $127.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $116.50 - S2 = $114.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Alibaba. **Key Insights:** Alibaba has shown impressive recovery momentum this year, with its stock surging 60% year-to-date. This resurgence is attributed to easing Chinese regulatory pressure, ongoing resilience in its e-commerce sector, and steady progress in cloud computing services. The strategic diversification of revenue streams has also positioned the company to weather economic challenges better than many of its peers. Furthermore, Alibaba's restructuring moves and initiatives in AI and innovative technologies continue to broaden its growth horizons. However, significant risks remain. Short-term market fluctuations driven by macroeconomic uncertainties, competitive pressures from local and international e-commerce firms, and global trade dynamics could weigh on investor confidence. Yet, long-term prospects remain fundamentally sound for those willing to endure the interim volatility. **Recent Performance:** Alibaba's stock has recently consolidated around the $119 mark after a remarkable 60% gain earlier this year. This stabilization suggests a more balanced sentiment among traders, with buyers and sellers finding equilibrium. Notably, investor optimism surrounding regulatory easing in China and Alibaba's ability to sustain profitability in a challenging environment has kept the stock buoyant. **Expert Analysis:** Market experts emphasize that Alibaba's continued dominance in e-commerce and its ambitious strides in cloud computing make it a strong candidate for long-term portfolio inclusion. The company's investments in international expansion also provide exposure to diverse market opportunities. However, some analysts urge caution, noting that intensifying competition, both at home and abroad, and uncertainties in China’s economic policy could create headwinds. Technical indicators reflect bullish sentiment in the near term, with moving averages forming strong support zones. Volume trends indicate steady accumulation, pointing to positive outlooks among institutional investors. **News Impact:** Recent announcements related to Alibaba's restructuring plans and its involvement in AI research have sparked renewed interest in the stock. Furthermore, signs of regulatory easing in China have fueled optimism regarding Alibaba's ability to regain its leadership footing in key markets. Investors should monitor news on any potential government support for Chinese tech giants, as this could be a decisive factor in shaping the company's trajectory. **Trading Recommendation:** Given the easing regulatory environment and Alibaba’s strategic initiatives aimed at driving long-term growth, a LONG position appears prudent for the medium term. With defined stop levels and upward targets, traders can balance risk while capitalizing on the stock's growth potential. Sustained focus on news flow, particularly regulatory and sector news, is critical to maintaining an informed trading strategy.
NYSE:BABALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
1
ALIBABA GROUP🎯 Trade Setup Metric Value Trade Type BUY Entry Price 116 Stop Loss (SL) 106 Risk 10 Target 169 Reward 53 Risk-Reward (RR) 5.3 Last High 148 Last Low 95 📈 Key Insights Trend Alignment: All timeframes show a bullish (UP) trend — strong multi-timeframe confluence. Demand Zone Cluster: High confidence demand between 106–110, matching your SL region. Entry at Resistance: 116 is near the Weekly/Daily demand’s upper bound; ideal if price confirms breakout or shows strength. Target: 169 offers a high RR (5.3), though first resistance may come at 148 (previous high). ✅ Summary This is a high-conviction long trade with favorable trend alignment and demand confirmation across timeframes. The entry (116) is slightly above strong demand (106–110), and the RR is excellent. Ensure: Price doesn't strongly reject 116 (watch for a fake breakout). Trailing SLs after crossing 148 to protect profits. 🔍 Trend Overview Timeframe Trend Demand Zone Proximal Distal Avg Price Yearly UP Yearly Demand (DMIP) 110 59 85 Half-Yearly UP 6-Month Demand (DMIP) 110 59 85 Quarterly UP Quarterly Demand (DMIP) 79 59 69 Monthly UP Monthly Demand (BUFL) 104 80 92 Weekly UP Weekly Demand (DMIP) 116 106 111 Daily UP Daily Demand (DMIP) 116 / 110 106 111 / 108 Intraday (240M, 180M, 60M) UP Demand (BUFL) 110 106 108 📊 Averaged Demand Zones Category Proximal Distal Average HTF Average 100 59 79 MTF Average 112 100 106 ITF Average 110 106 108
NYSE:BABALong
by pradyammm
BABA (Alibaba Group Holdings) | 1D Chart OutlookPublished by WaverVanir International LLC | 06/11/2025 BABA has broken out of its multi-year base and is now in a potential macro reversal structure. The current retracement near $120 could act as a higher low before a continuation toward the unfilled liquidity zone around $183.13, a major inefficiency level from late 2021. 🔍 Key Technicals: ✅ Long accumulation between 2022–2024 🚀 Breakout above $100 confirmed by strong volume 🔁 Pullback into prior breakout zone (~$115–$120) could offer optimal re-entry 📈 Target: $183.13 (Gap-fill + structural resistance) 📉 Risk Management: 🛑 Invalid below $105 (structure break) 🎯 Risk/Reward favorable if entries are scaled in sub-$125 📊 Probability Weighted Bias: Bullish Continuation: 65% Consolidation: 25% Breakdown/Invalidation: 10% 🧠 Macro Catalyst Watch: China stimulus or regulatory easing 📉🪙 Fed rate pivot & USD weakness 💵🕊️ Earnings growth rebound in Alibaba’s cloud segment 🌐📊 This setup reflects asymmetric potential as tech re-rates globally. Risk-defined, sentiment-watching, and catalyst-aware traders may consider positioning for a medium-term swing. #Alibaba NYSE:BABA #SMC #GapFill #TradingStrategy #WaverVanir #TechStocks #ChinaEquities #SwingTrading
NYSE:BABALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Alibaba: Intermediate Correction in ProgressAs Alibaba has remained below resistance at $121.28, we’ve ultimately chosen to consider the high of orange wave x as established. Thus, we currently place the stock in bearish wave y, which should conclude the corrective structure of the larger blue wave (ii). From that point, BABA should reverse, climb back above the $121.28 resistance, and move to significantly higher levels—initially completing blue wave (iii), and eventually the larger turquoise wave 3. However, there’s still a 34% chance that our bearish alternate scenario will play out. In that case, the stock would fall between the two support levels at $80.05 and $58.01, where the low of turquoise wave alt.2 would form. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NYSE:BABA
by MarketIntel
Alibaba - This was just the obvious bottom!Alibaba - NYSE:BABA - will head much higher: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Ever since Alibaba actually retested the previous all time low in 2022, we have been able to see the textbook creation of a rounding bottom formation. Even the recent break and retest was perfectly playing out and if Alibaba confirmes the potental breakout, a rally of +50% will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $140, $220 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
15
BABA - Retracement Wave C in progressFinancial Performance (March Quarter 2025) * Revenue: Alibaba reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching RMB236.5 billion (approximately USD 33.4 billion). * Adjusted EBITDA: The company's adjusted EBITDA rose by 36% year-over-year to RMB32.6 billion (USD 4.5 billion). * Net Income: Non-GAAP net income increased by 22% to RMB29.8 billion (USD 4.1 billion), while GAAP net income stood at RMB12 billion (USD 1.7 billion). E-Commerce Initiatives * Taobao Instant Commerce: Launched recently, this new portal has surpassed 40 million daily orders within a month, offering 60-minute delivery by integrating merchants from Ele.me into the Taobao platform. * Domestic E-Commerce: The Taobao and Tmall Group experienced nearly 9% revenue growth, driven by increased consumer engagement and a rise in orders. * International Expansion: Alibaba's International Digital Commerce Group reported a 24% increase in retail revenue, primarily due to growth in platforms like AliExpress and Trendyol. Cloud Computing and AI Investments * Revenue Growth: Alibaba Cloud's revenue grew by 18% year-over-year to RMB30.1 billion (USD 4.2 billion), with AI-related product revenue maintaining triple-digit growth for the seventh consecutive quarter. * Strategic Investment: The company announced plans to invest over $52 billion in AI and cloud infrastructure over the next three years, aiming to enhance its position as a leading global cloud provider. * SAP Partnership: Alibaba has entered into a strategic partnership with SAP to accelerate cloud transformation, focusing on AI-powered digital solutions. Stock Performance As of May 31, 2025, Alibaba's stock price stands at $113.84, reflecting a recent decline of 2.7%
NYSE:BABALong
by AdamIdris2
$BABA NYSE:BABA is more than just a stock it’s a global supply chain beast. I see its real value above $110, and as long as buyers hold that line, more investors will jump in with confidence. Consumers are squeezed student loans, late car payments but they’re evolving. AI skills. Side hustles. Smarter spending. And when it comes down to it, people still choose quality. That’s why NYSE:BABA stays strong. The market rewards the resilient. Buy smart. Think long. Watch the shift.
NYSE:BABALong
by TheMoney_Association
2
BABA - when to buy?hi Traders Today we are analyzing Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) on a 4hour chart basis. Alibaba stock is currently trading at $124 We expect that the price will get rejected at the downsloping resistance and in some time it will come back down to retest the support level around $100. Following this event, we expect the price to bounce and move up towards the downsloping trendline (yellow line), which could be a take profit level. $145 is the target. This pattern (if continued) imitates a descending triangle. We advise entering (buy) at this support line around $100. Be patient! The stop loss can be placed around $95. Good luck
NYSE:BABALong
by vf_investment
1
BABA short position - rising wedgehi traders, Let's have a look at BABA on a 1h time frame. After reaching approx.140$ levels, BABA experienced a significant correction and visited the 96$ level, which could very well be a bottom here. After reaching 96$, the price has been forming a rising wedge pattern. When the majority switched to a full bull mode again, we expect the trend to be a bit choppy now. I'm expecting the price to break down out of the rising wedge sometime next week. If you're a bear, you can take a short position at the breakdown. The target for bears is around 106,50$. If you're a bull, don't buy now but wait for a pullback. There's a gap to 125$ that may get filled before the rising wedge plays out, so don't be surprised if the prices push a bit higher. Good luck
NYSE:BABAShort
by vf_investment
BABA upBABA has followed technical movements very well over time On the way up: - it made several nice cups with good follow through to the upside On the way down: - it followed my channel height estimate (I learned this mostly from crypto charts) - nice channel down Consolidation: - excellent basing pattern - popped above & retouching the top of the box The world economic stage feels shaky right now. I’m watching any long plays very closely, keeping risk to a minimum. Putting the macro aside, this chart looks good & has a history of good technical behavior.
NYSE:BABA
by MVPsystem
Alibaba (BABA) is going down ?Market Broader China Tech – CQQQ – Tracks a wide range of Chinese technology companies. Large-cap China exposure – FXI – Focuses on major Chinese companies, including Alibaba. Stock: Alibaba (BABA) The stock has recently fallen below its 50-day moving average, indicating short-term weakness. The 10-day moving average has crossed below the 20-day, a short-term bearish signal. MACD is starting to reflect bearish momentum, suggesting growing market fear. Selling volume has increased, confirming downward pressure from investors. Fundamentals & Outlook Despite recent technical weakness, Alibaba remains fundamentally undervalued relative to its peers and historical metrics. The company continues to generate strong free cash flow and maintains a healthy balance sheet. However, broader market sentiment around Chinese tech remains cautious due to regulatory overhang and global macro factors. Conclusion Near-term pullback is possible due to bearish technical indicators and weak sentiment. Long-term investors may view this as a potential accumulation zone, provided there's risk tolerance for volatility in the China tech sector.
NYSE:BABAShort
by Missmoyeu
Alibaba - This Chart Speaks In Money!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) prepares for a significant pump: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Basically since Alibaba was listed on the NYSE, it always perfectly respected market structure. With the recent rejection away from the key neckline, Alibaba is now creating a bullish break and retest. After bullish confirmation, this forms a bottom and we might see new all time highs. Levels to watch: $110, $140 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
22
Baba waking up after 3 years accumuationMonthly VRVP indicate huge multiyear volume accumulation Need to close monthly May candle above last month's high Weekly Expecting green continuation candles (good thing that each weekly candle is making a higher high each) as low is probably in with that weekly reversal candle and volume spike Medium term target 200 300 in the cards along with monthly target RSI 70, but let's see if it goes through 200 without any major reversal candle
NYSE:BABALong
by traderxchart
2
BABALICOUS Outlook Part 2 BABA continues the bullish outlook since we called it last on October 23rd. Babalicous outlook Part 1 : We continue with our update here! Baba has broken through our previous resistance/ area of demand and has perfectly retested the zone. As you can see our Area of demand has always been an area of tough resistance and as of now it is becoming strong support. In addition we have spotted a beautiful rounded bottoming pattern with a target of 80% or $210.00 price target from current levels. If BABA can close this monthly candle as is the $210 price level is sure to be tested!
NYSE:BABALong
by HernandezCapital