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AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INCAFFIRM HOLDINGS, INCAFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC

AFFIRM HOLDINGS, INC

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AFRM trade ideas

$AFRM – longing for a hug?Looking at a simple trend and channel of CAPITALCOM:AFRM , it is quite clear it is in a downtrend. This begun pretty much on the dot of the start of 2024 and has been consistent ever since. Some positive news today, sending price up 4-5%, far from interrupting the trend. What is interesting is how price has hugged the lower line of the channel numerous times all along, and only twice touched the upper line. It has also pretty much been below the 50 EMA since crossing down, with a few false breaks, and is once again approaching the 50 EMA from below now. This could trigger a push down. It is not unlikely price will seek the lower line once again, however, make note that the last touch was April 16. Not going into fundamentals here, but CAPITALCOM:AFRM presents earnings on Aug 22, and has a history of beating expectations. This could trigger a reaction up. On the other hand, CAPITALCOM:AFRM is seeing more competition from big tech companies, which might affect business, but probably not the next earnings release. So, earnings is an event to pay attention to, however there should be room on the downside before we get to mid/late August. Do your own DD and let me know what you think.
CAPITALCOM:AFRMShort
by WeRideAtDawn
3
Affirm Holdings ($AFRM) Surge 21% in Thursday Premarket TradingAffirm Holdings Inc. (NYSE: NASDAQ:AFRM ), a leader in the "buy now, pay later" (BNPL) sector, recently posted an impressive surge of 21% in premarket trading, following a stellar earnings report that exceeded analysts' expectations on multiple fronts. This strong performance is a pivotal moment for the company, reflecting both significant fundamental strength and a favorable technical setup. A Closer Look at Earnings and Growth Metrics Affirm's fiscal fourth-quarter earnings beat across the board, sending a strong signal to investors about the company's growth trajectory and financial health. The company reported a loss per share of just 14 cents, far better than the 51-cent loss anticipated by analysts. Additionally, revenue came in at $659 million, surpassing the average estimate of $604 million. These results were bolstered by a 31% year-over-year increase in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) to $7.2 billion, indicating a healthy uptick in consumer demand and transaction volume on Affirm's platform. This growth is even more notable considering the current macroeconomic challenges, including inflationary pressures and a generally cautious consumer environment. The company also reported a 48% year-over-year increase in revenue, coupled with a significant reduction in its net loss, which narrowed from $206 million a year ago to $45.1 million. Affirm's active merchant count rose to over 300,000, and active consumers grew by 19% to 18.6 million. This increase in both merchant and consumer engagement suggests that the company's value proposition is resonating in the market. CEO Max Levchin highlighted a new target for achieving operating profitability on a GAAP basis by the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, a goal that appears increasingly attainable given the current momentum. Looking ahead, Affirm projects revenue between $640 million and $670 million for the upcoming quarter, above the $625 million forecast by analysts. This optimistic guidance suggests management's confidence in the company’s ability to maintain its growth trajectory. Key Drivers of Growth Affirm (NYSE: NASDAQ:AFRM ) has made several strategic moves that are expected to drive further growth. The company's expanding partnerships with giants like Apple, Amazon, and Shopify are particularly noteworthy. These alliances not only increase Affirm's visibility and accessibility but also position it to benefit from the robust e-commerce growth trends. For example, the partnership with Apple allows U.S. Apple Pay users to apply for loans directly through Affirm (NYSE: NASDAQ:AFRM ) on their iPhones and iPads, significantly expanding its reach. The planned launch in the UK by the end of this year further diversifies Affirm’s revenue streams and exposes it to new markets, which could be crucial for sustained growth. Additionally, Bank of America analysts pointed out that potential interest rate cuts could reduce Affirm's funding costs and improve gains on loan sales, which would further enhance its financial performance. The recent decision to move merchants to a 36% APR cap on loans, up from 30% previously, should also act as a tailwind for yield and GMV growth. Technical Analysis: A Bullish Gap-Up Pattern with Caution From a technical perspective, Affirm's 21% surge has placed the stock in a classic "gap-up" pattern, where the price jumps significantly higher than its previous close, leaving a visible gap on the stock chart. This is often viewed as a bullish reversal pattern, signifying renewed investor interest and potential for further upside. However, while this gap-up is encouraging, it also comes with a degree of caution. Stocks that gap up sharply are often considered overbought in the short term, which can lead to a period of consolidation or a pullback as some investors lock in profits. This is particularly relevant given the stock's prior decline of 36% year-to-date, suggesting that while the current momentum is positive, it may not be sustainable without continued strong performance and favorable market conditions. Challenges Ahead: Navigating Macroeconomic Headwinds Despite the upbeat results, Affirm (NYSE: NASDAQ:AFRM ) faces challenges that could impact its future growth. The potential for a consumer slowdown, as highlighted by Lido Advisors' chief market strategist Gina Sanchez, poses a risk. As a BNPL provider, Affirm's business model relies heavily on consumer spending, which could be constrained if economic conditions worsen. Moreover, while interest rate cuts could benefit Affirm (NYSE: NASDAQ:AFRM ), the timing and extent of these cuts remain uncertain. Investors will need to keep a close eye on Federal Reserve policy decisions, as they could significantly impact Affirm's cost of funding and overall profitability. Conclusion: A Stock to Watch with Balanced Prospects Affirm's recent earnings report is a testament to the company's operational resilience and strategic positioning in a rapidly evolving market. With strong revenue growth, improving margins, and key partnerships driving momentum, Affirm is well-positioned to capitalize on the expanding BNPL market. However, investors should remain mindful of the potential risks, particularly around consumer spending patterns and macroeconomic uncertainties.
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by DEXWireNews
AFRM: A Rise to TP$53 is Coming with Global Easing Cycle unfolds 1 Perspective of Macro factor: AFRM is one of leading provider in credits lender platform. There’s huge tailwinds for lenders in global easing cycle. When checking the high yield spread, it continues to narrow to hint a easing cycle ahead. 2. Perspective of Micro factor: AFRM has one of least delinquency rates for a loan provider with 43% Non-prime receivables . 30 days delinquency rates only for 2.3%, 60d for 1.4%, 90d for only 0.6%. For the same ties(44% non-prime receivables), other is 6% for 30 days. Their RLTC grew 38% YoY. 3.Perspective of profit duration: the adjusted operating margin was 14% Vs -2% Q323. 75% of the increase was due to increase of RLTC. With rate cuts, their RLTC will increase more to contribute a higher OM, which is the key of AFRM performance. 4.Perspective of Technical: Chart for a potential rise to 54TP for first target. Based on all these, Strong bullish on AFRM. Disclaimer: All of the posts or thoughts or charts here are just view of my own, not suggestions for your decision. Do your own DD before your decision.
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by Finnviews
4
Buy now, you may get paid later Affirm is coming after PayPal’s BNPL market, Apple Pay integration later this year should start to translate to higher revenue in 2025. This stock was crushed when interest rates increased aggressively. As we approach the end of that cycle, Affirm will probably sky rocker in value. Now to the charts, massive cup and handle pattern forming on the weekly. Failed breakout from the downwards parallel channel. Whilst we are in the golden pocket, we could retest the weekly level just below. I’ll be laddering in from here down to those levels. A lot of patience required with this stock. This is not financial advice, just a trade idea.
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by NoFOMO_
40
AFRM LONG.Affirm Holdings (AFRM) is highly optimistic about its future prospects, underscored by the recent upgrade to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The company sees this as a validation of its robust business model and growth potential. Affirm's innovative digital commerce platform is designed to revolutionize the consumer finance industry by offering flexible, transparent payment solutions. The rising earnings estimates reflect Affirm's commitment to enhancing its market position and driving long-term value for its shareholders. With a clear focus on expanding its customer base and partnerships, Affirm is poised for sustained success in the dynamic financial technology sector. BREAK ABOVE $53 will be nasty.
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by SPYDERMARKET
$AFRM Back to the demand zone. Shoulder Lean.NASDAQ:AFRM was in a long and severe downtrend, which it turned around May of 2023. In November of last year, it rocketed out of its rut climbing from $27 to $52 in a month. You don't have to be a Wyckoff nerd to see this Sign of Strength. Well, lots of people sold their bags, and it's back down to that demand area. So, in conclusion, the trend has turned around, shown a sign of strength, and is currently making a higher low. Great entry. Great risk to reward. You could do a $50 target with $16 risk, or a $150 target and $8 risk. There's even a T/A case for $300 if you're more patient than I am. I have 2 plays that have a positive yield and this is a classic case of the best one, which I call "Shoulder Lean."
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by OverexposedPhotoOfADress
peeking at "buy now pay forever" $AFRM weekly chartAFRM faces significant challenges compared to its rivals. Among BNPL platforms, AFRM lags competitors in terms of market penetration and GMV processed. CFRA sees limited upside given AFRM’s inferior operating margins from a “growth at all costs” mindset, as well as headwinds from higher interest rates persisting and increased regulatory over BNPL. Against heavyweight competitors with more scale and better margins, AFRM faces an uphill battle as growth potentially tapers amid these mounting challenges. -> waiting for a "fading a rally" trade! <-
NASDAQ:AFRM
by KhanhC.Hoang
Affirm partners with RONA to expand installment payment servicesAffirm Holdings Inc., known for its installment payment platform, has entered into a partnership with RONA Inc., a prominent Canadian home improvement retail chain. This collaboration is set to enhance the shopping experience for RONA’s customers by offering flexible payment options, particularly appealing in the current economic climate characterised by inflation and high prices for costly household goods. RONA, which has been operating since 1939, boasts a network of 425 stores across Canada and is currently focusing on expanding its online sales capabilities. Through this partnership, Affirm will enable RONA customers to select an interest-free installment payment option at checkout, allowing them to spread the cost of expensive items like furniture or home finishes over a period of up to 12 months. Technical analysis of Affirm Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: AFRM) Exploring potential investment opportunities based on the stock's current technical setup: Timeframe : Daily (D1) Current trend : The stock is experiencing a bounce from the support line of an uptrend, indicating positive momentum. Resistance level : 34.15 USD Support level : 37.60 USD Potential downtrend target : If the stock enters a downtrend, a possible target could be at 16.00 USD. Short-term target : Should the uptrend continue and the stock breaks through the resistance at 34.15 USD, a short-term target could be set at 40.00 USD. Medium-term target : With sustained upward movement, the stock price might aim for 51.50 USD. Investors should monitor Affirm's performance closely, especially in light of this new partnership with RONA, which could significantly influence Affirm’s market presence in North America and potentially boost its stock value due to expanded customer reach and increased sales opportunities in the e-commerce space. — Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews. The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments. Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65.68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
NASDAQ:AFRM
by RoboMarkets
AFRM Long PositionHi traders, Taking a closer look at Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM), we can observe the formation of a falling wedge pattern over the past few weeks, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Affirm, a leader in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) industry, has been navigating through some market volatility. Despite the challenges, Affirm's innovative approach to consumer financing and its growing partnerships with major retailers highlight its strong market potential. The falling wedge pattern is characterized by converging trendlines, where both the highs and the lows are declining, but the highs are falling faster than the lows, forming a wedge shape that slopes downwards. This pattern often signals a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. As AFRM approaches the apex of the falling wedge, a breakout above the upper trendline could confirm the bullish reversal. Entering a long position upon confirmation of the breakout appears favorable. 1st Take Profit: 39.85 2nd Take Profit: 47.48 Final Target: 52.51
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by vf_investment
2
💳📈 Affirm Holdings (AFRM) Analysis 🔍📊Market Position: Affirm Holdings NASDAQ:AFRM is a leader in the rapidly growing buy now, pay later (BNPL) market, particularly popular among younger consumers. Strategic partnerships with major retailers like Amazon and Shopify distinguish Affirm from its competitors, positioning it to capture significant market share. Service Expansion: A recent expansion of services with Walmart now includes pay-over-time options at self-checkout kiosks in over 4,500 stores, which could drive higher adoption rates and transaction volumes. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on Affirm Holdings above the $30.50-$31.00 level. Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $54.00-$55.00, Affirm's strong growth potential and advantageous position in the BNPL market are noteworthy. 📈💳 Monitor Affirm Holdings for promising investment opportunities! #AFRM #BNPL 🔍📊
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by Richtv_official