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ARM HOLDINGS PLC

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ARM/N trade ideas

6/27/25 - $arm - tf?6/27/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARM tf? - narrative follows price, not the other way around - you don't get away with billion dollar SBC (stock comp) when you hardly will pull down 2 bn in fcf in '26 (on optimistic numbers but for now - let's dream). but let's just assume 2 b is just that. a lick above 1% fcf yield. - but V, they power the future of the world? - lol yeah, and nvda does too and already won in their (much larger B2B vertical) and does 3+% fcf yield and grows faster and has better mgns - so while stupid can persist as long as the casino remains open (you been to a casino lately? that's a real trip to Hades on earth.) - so if u own this, you might want to make sure you have an edge, because if you are just drawing lines on a chart... and like 90% of other ppl on trading view that do just that i'll be polite and warn you "you don't have an edge". - i'm a fundamentals guy. so yeah. i'm in btc, gamb and nxt. big cash. and i find hedges here in this environment. - have a great weekend everyone. V
NASDAQ:ARMShort
by VROCKSTAR
3
ARM looking weakARM is way overvalued and the technicals don't look great. Not the cleanest head and shoulders pattern but I see one is forming and it should be confirmed, UNLESS we bounce at the golden pocket. I don't like the bearish diverences on the RSI, so I suspect we will continue to see this fall. Not a whole lot more to say here, be careful with this stock. It's a great company but it's mostly owned by Softbank and when they decide to sell it will cause a massive drop in price.
NASDAQ:ARMShort
by NoFOMO_
1
6/24/25 - $arm - Short $arm, long $nvda trade6/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ARM Short NASDAQ:ARM , long NASDAQ:NVDA trade - the trade that keeps on giving - NASDAQ:ARM on it's NASDAQ:NVDA pair (ARM/NVDA) has only been down and do the right, the chart is not something you'd want to step in front of unless you knew of "why" it would fundamentally change - NASDAQ:ARM trades at a valuation that's 2x NVDA, but the company grows half as fast, has lower margins and generally is size-constrained in a game of scale (TSM will take NVDA all day every day over anyone, incl. ARM demand) - so while it's tough to time "short semis" - and generally I think semis remain the best MT/LT beta in the market mainly because the AI-trade IMHO remains (dystopianly - i know not a word) in the earlier innings than converse... we've just retraced the entire march/april move from lows back to highs? - the market has a super short memory - people are renting their exposure (0dte's). positioning remains stretched. i still like a lot of cash here and good hedges. - but i'm happy to play the pair between arm and nvda. i'm using $150 strikes (same expiry) for both, equally OTM for both, arm on the put side, nvda on the long side - my guess is any sell off in beta pulls arm down 2x the nvda beta and any further move higher could suck oxygen out of a tired arm with worse valuation underpinnings and rotating into nvda (a better "store of value") and leading to nvda dominance on the arm chart (again referencing the ARM/NVDA pair trade... lower... forever) V
NASDAQ:ARMShort
by VROCKSTAR
8
Buy Idea – ARM Holdings (ARM)Buy Idea – ARM Holdings (ARM) • Current price: $131.73 • First target: $135 • Second target: $140 • Stop loss: $128 The stock is trading sideways but is close to a support level at $128. If the price holds above $130 and trading volume picks up, it could move toward the next targets. ARM is a well-known company in chip design used in smartphones and other devices. Plan: Consider buying gradually at current levels, targeting a medium-term rise.
NASDAQ:ARMLong
by Muhannadchart
Arm - Positive outlook ahead of earnings - Value to collect?Hi guys we would be looking into our analysis for ARM Holdings before their earnings call! ARM Holdings (ARM) – Positive Outlook Ahead of Earnings ARM Holdings plc, a leading provider of semiconductor intellectual property, is poised to deliver a strong earnings report, driven by robust demand for its advanced chip architectures, continued growth in AI and data center markets, and deepening strategic partnerships across the tech ecosystem. As we approach the upcoming earnings announcement, several key factors support a bullish thesis on ARM's stock. 1. Strong Market Position and Licensing Growth ARM continues to dominate the RISC-based processor architecture market, with its designs powering over 99% of smartphones and making significant inroads into the computing and server space. The company's royalty and licensing model provides a resilient revenue base, which has historically performed well even during industry slowdowns. Recent licensing agreements with leading tech companies, including NVIDIA, Apple, and Amazon, signal continued reliance on ARM's technology. In Q1 2025, analysts expect double-digit year-over-year growth in licensing revenue, reflecting heightened demand for ARMv9 architecture, which powers next-generation AI and machine learning workloads. This growth is being further fueled by increased adoption in automotive and IoT sectors. 2. AI and Data Center Tailwinds The surge in AI demand is transforming the semiconductor landscape. ARM's energy-efficient designs are increasingly being integrated into AI accelerators, edge devices, and cloud data centers. The company's Neoverse platform has been gaining traction, especially as hyperscalers seek alternatives to x86 architectures for power- and cost-efficiency. Amazon Web Services’ Graviton processors, based on ARM, are a prominent example of this trend. As AI infrastructure spending accelerates globally, ARM stands to benefit significantly. Positive forward guidance around AI-related royalties and design wins would further validate this tailwind in the upcoming earnings report. 3. Financial Strength and Margin Expansion Analysts anticipate revenue growth of 20-25% YoY in the upcoming report, accompanied by improved gross and operating margins. ARM’s high-margin royalty revenue stream contributes significantly to profitability, and recent cost controls have enhanced operational efficiency. The IPO in 2023 provided a strong capital base, enabling increased R&D investment while maintaining financial flexibility. Shareholder sentiment has been buoyed by ARM's prudent capital allocation and expanding free cash flow profile. 4. Ecosystem Momentum and Strategic Partnerships ARM’s ecosystem-first approach—collaborating with chipmakers, software developers, and system integrators—has become a key competitive advantage. The company's recent partnerships in the automotive and industrial sectors highlight growing non-smartphone revenue streams. Additionally, ARM is collaborating closely with AI chip startups and hyperscalers, reinforcing its central role in the evolving semiconductor landscape. Investors should also watch for updates on ARM’s role in emerging verticals such as AR/VR, smart cities, and secure edge computing, all of which could significantly boost its long-term growth narrative. 5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators From a technical standpoint, ARM stock has shown resilience, trading above key moving averages and gaining momentum in recent weeks. Options activity suggests bullish sentiment, with increased call buying ahead of earnings. If the company delivers a beat-and-raise quarter, it could catalyze a breakout to new highs. 📌 Trade Plan 📈 Entry: 121 ✅ Target: 144 Below the strong resistance ❌ SL: 95 - Above the strong support
NASDAQ:ARMLong
by DG55Capital
ARM - Great AI, Great Financials,formulating Ascending ChannelHi guys we would be looking into ARM Holdings - some fundamentals below Arm Holdings plc (ARM) has demonstrated impressive financial performance, driven by its strategic positioning in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The company's energy-efficient chip designs have become integral to AI applications, leading to significant revenue growth and increased market valuation. In the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, Arm reported a 47% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $928 million for the fourth quarter. This surge was primarily due to record-high royalty revenues, with the latest Armv9 technology contributing around 20% of these royalties. Analysts have recognized Arm's strong market position. Raymond James initiated coverage with an "overweight" rating and a price target of $160, citing Arm's significant role in generative AI and its robust ecosystem. Similarly, Wells Fargo set a price target of $155, highlighting the transition to Arm's latest technology as a key revenue driver. Arm's inclusion in the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index reflects its growing prominence in the semiconductor industry. The company's American depositary receipts have surged approximately 150% since its Nasdaq debut, underscoring investor confidence in its growth trajectory. Overall, Arm's strategic focus on AI and its innovative chip designs have positioned the company for sustained financial success, making it an attractive consideration for investors seeking exposure to the burgeoning AI market. Technicals - We have formulated a great Ascending Channel, which is looking to capitalize on great earnings which is due to tomorrow - Entry: 155 Target: 180 - The Target is just below the strong resistance level which is around 190 mark.
NASDAQ:ARMLong
by DG55Capital
2
Speculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks areSpeculative Madness: The Market’s Bubble Stocks Some stocks aren't just overvalued—they're in full speculative bubble mode. Fundamentals? Irrelevant. When euphoria takes over, rationality disappears. Here’s my list of bubble stocks that scream unsustainable pricing: SBUX, T, PLTR, BMY, PYPL, NFLX, GS, ISRG, ARM, C, SHOP, BSX, SPOT, UBS, IBKR, RELX, CEG, CRWD, MSTR, MMM, DASH, COF... And let’s not forget the obvious: TSLA, META, AMZN, AVGO, GOOGL, JPM, MA, V, WMT. Honestly, the entire banking sector, brokers, and tech are in bubble territory. What the hell is going on with this market? Why are algos just buying, buying, buying, squeezing all the shorts?! Unbelievable. The dump will be insannnnnnnne!!! 🚨
NASDAQ:ARMShort
by Maximus20000
1
ARM Explodes Higher! Is There More Upside Ahead? Jan. 23Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading: 1. Trend Analysis: * ARM has recently broken out of a consolidation phase and is in a strong uptrend on the hourly chart. * The price surged past resistance at $150 and is currently testing the $180 level. * A rising wedge pattern suggests possible consolidation or a pullback. 2. Key Levels: * Resistance: $182.88 (recent high), $185 (psychological resistance). * Support: $175 (key intraday support), $160 (previous breakout level). 3. Indicators: * MACD: Bullish momentum but showing signs of weakening. Watch for a potential crossover for reversal signals. * Stochastic RSI: Overbought, signaling potential short-term profit-taking or consolidation. 4. Volume: * Strong breakout volume indicates bullish interest, but declining volume near $180 suggests weakening momentum. 5. Outlook: * Bullish above $175 with potential retests of $185 or higher. * Bearish if $175 breaks; watch for a pullback toward $160. GEX Analysis for Options Trading: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Highest Positive NETGEX: $160, acting as strong support. * CALL Walls: $175 (68.93% GEX7) and $180 (78.79% GEX8), significant resistance zones. 2. Options Flow: * IVR: 24.8, indicating low implied volatility relative to the past year. * IVx Avg: 81, slightly elevated, suggesting a moderately bullish sentiment. * CALL Activity: 73.2%, heavily skewed toward bullish positioning. 3. Trading Strategy: * Bullish Setup: * Buy Calls: $180 Strike (expiring 1-2 weeks). * Entry: Near $175 support. * Target: $185-$190. * Stop-Loss: Below $170. * Bearish Setup: * Buy Puts: $170 Strike (expiring 1-2 weeks). * Entry: Near $182 resistance. * Target: $160. * Stop-Loss: Above $185. Actionable Suggestions: * Monitor $175 for bullish continuation or breakdown signals. * If momentum weakens, consider short-term profit-taking or protective puts. * Options traders should focus on strikes aligned with GEX levels ($175 CALLs or $170 PUTs). Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk effectively.
NASDAQ:ARM
by BullBearInsights