CAT trade ideas
Troubled waters ahead for Caterpillar?The GoNoGo Chart of Caterpillar Inc, is an interesting one. The trend is a “Go”, but is experiencing some signs of weakness.
Having failed at resistance around $140, the GoNoGo Trend is painting the paler bars of a slightly less *bullish environment.
In the GoNoGo Oscillator panel, we see that there has been *bearish divergence and that now the oscillator is breaking below zero accompanied by heavy volume.
We’ll be keeping an eye on CAT to see if it can maintain its “Go” trend.
What are the GoNoGo Indicators?
The GoNoGo Trend indicator blends traditional trend concepts to color price action according to the strength of its trend. The colors range from *bright blue (strongly *bullish) to dark *purple (strongly *bearish)
The GoNoGo Oscillator blends traditional *momentum concepts to demonstrate the velocity of price action. The oscillator ranges from -6 (extremely *oversold) to +6 (extremely *overbought)
CAT's Downward Trend Is Set to ContinueCAT is on a downward trend that is set to continue. Volume of 2.33M was especially low at its peak on 29 July, 2020. When it rallied from the market's March 23 bottom and attained a peak price during that trend of $127.37, it had a volume of 4.86 million. The March 23 trend was too steep for it to continue given the state of CAT's fundamentals. If CAT drops below $132, it may find support at $125. If it breaks below that support level, the next support may be at around $121. The 8 June peak price of $137.92 had a volume of 4.13M. The 29 June volume is just 56% of the 8 June peak price. Both the price and the volume trend indicates that CAT is heading lower.
CATCup and Handle pattern and trend line support with a resistance area of 140-141. The resistance was tested a few times and rejected but CAT is remaining well pithing the support. Earnings are coming up this week (Fri. Jul 31), however the overall market seems to be staying flat during this big earnings week, and this may suppress a possible ER run-up. Very mixed signals as the 20SMA crossed above the 200SMA, but showing a decline in the ATR, which may indicate a false move. Regardless of earnings, still look for any breaks of the support or resistance for a move up or down.
$CAT potential weekly #chart breakout $CAT has formed a descending triangle since the high in JAN'18 , but also has been trading inside a descending parallel channel since then
Now after last week ER that was actually rather weak, the stock has found some strength and is trying to breakout from the almost 2 year downtrend
MACD positive and histogram green for the past 2 weeks and rising , RSI around 58 with plenty space upwards (remember is weekly chart we are charting)
Look for either RETEST and/or WEEKLY CLOSE above the descending line in order to participate
Targets:
T1 - measured move from the mirror parallel channel is around 168.94
T2 - measured move from the triangle breakout is around 200.08
Good luck,
TA