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CELSIUS HOLDINGS, INCCELSIUS HOLDINGS, INCCELSIUS HOLDINGS, INC

CELSIUS HOLDINGS, INC

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CELH trade ideas

8/8/24 - $celh - buying aggressively ~$38 pre mkt, downside ltd8/8/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CELH buying aggressively ~$38 pre mkt, downside limited - NASDAQ:CELH is the corona of the energy drink market. get in... beach. - BoA downgrades this thing at 52 week lows. now thinks it's worth $32 (from $60). thanks for the discount Jon. - celh has now become my largest position even acknowledging we have a giant gap staring us in the face from early May (2023). I'm 6.5% size and should we close that gap, i'm taking the position to 10%. - at pre mkt open ~37 stock trades 37x '24 PE and 27x '25. that's because you're growing 30% p.a. - 3.5% fcf yield (expanding) and also likely growing in the high DD's call it 20+% minimally. - no better consumer "staple" stock on the market that's going to offer you this kind of growth. NASDAQ:MNST is feeling the tidal wave of NASDAQ:CELH taking their share (50% of energy drink growth is $CELH... not 50% of category, but 50% of incremental growth. that's yuge.) lego. lmk if u'd like to add to the thesis in the comment's/ DMs. V
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by VROCKSTAR
1
Celsius - sellers cranking up the temperature Bears remain in control of Celsius. I did warn this could result in a catastrophic sell off if the bounce failed, which it did. The writing was on the wall for the following reasons: - textbook double top pattern marking the peak of the super cycle. - lost the 50 and 100 SMA on the weekly - failed to recapture the 0.2336 Fib during its retrace. - lost the $50 level, which is an important psychological level for the bulls. - potentially in wave 3 of 5 of the corrective pattern. Possible level of support is the 200SMA, which lines up with the gap fill area marked on the chart. Not financial advice, just telling you what I see on the charts and it doesn’t look pretty.
NASDAQ:CELHShort
by NoFOMO_
2
6/12/24 - $celh - love 2 own. but need greedier entry mid 50s6/12/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:CELH - this one seems to be topical bc of the potential energy drink ban in UK that could be determined by political wins in a month. while i don't think the stock should/will only move on this news, it's notable and also concerning that this is being sold on a day like today where risk is up. my sense is there's a rotation to cheaper more beaten up names in the staples universe. look at NASDAQ:LULU for instance. found a floor, "passed" earnings test. still not cheap (arguably better risk/reward here than CELH, but for a diff day to explain), but also being dumped. that's the blue chip clothing co. so what do you pay for CELH growing 30% PA with no obvious end in sight, a nice tasting product i must say (even as a non-energy drink drinker lol i like black coffee, i had to try it to see the hype!)... 1. trades like a tech co with worse gross margins (50-60%) vs. tech at 70-80% (software that is). that's fine - maybe these come up over time, but it's not tech 2. not such a big deal to point out the mr. obvious comment above except for that it trades w/ software-like ev/ sales multiples at 8x. again. not cheap. 3. what about cash? well dilution is less an issue here unlike software (that's great!) and if we can give credit for even 300-350 mm in FCF (perhaps it's higher, but let's be conservative) that's 2.5+% yield which while sub-5% "risk free" rate... is again growing 30% pa and probably cheap. conclusion: this stock is a buy. if you were to theoretically buy it today, you probably make money into YE and in '25. but the chart remains sketch, you have this regulatory overhang, risk STILL remains stretched (GENERALLY! even if we got a favorable CPI print). so even tho i'm still 60% positions 40% cash... i'm treading lightly across the board. and so i'll either buy this in the mid 50s (ideally low 50s) or if it just course corrects from here and goes higher... i'll miss it and find another spot to engage, even if it's at a higher level. rule #1 is don't lose money. so i don't see the greatest setup here and won't buy the dip. but i am long-biased. gl to the holders. V
NASDAQ:CELH
by VROCKSTAR
11
Desirable Zone for CelsiusI know Celsius has come under scrutiny recently due to expected lower sales and economic state of the U.S. This has left a lot of people to think that Celsius has become less then desirable as shown by the heavy price drop. One thing we can see is that there were two zones of previous consolidation that lie around where price is now. So not only is Celsius as a huge discount for something that has had great success the past two years, but also the fact that the area it is entering now could see fresh buyers (like me) trying to enter around these two orderblocks. Let me know what you guys think!
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by The_Estonian_
1
$CELH great R/RDespite the indicators showing a downtrend in the stock, I believe that the risk/reward ratio for NASDAQ:CELH is quite favourable. Why? The risk is mostly mitigated; even if the company reports less-than-stellar results, this is already factored into the price. However, if it does report even slightly better than anticipated results, we might witness a rally. Take note of the bullish divergence between the price and the MACD-Histogram. What are your thoughts? Do you anticipate further decline or a potential bounce from this point?"
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by WavesInvesting
Celsius sell off creates entry opportunityCelsius could be worth 100 or more again in the next 5 years, and the lower it falls the greater the opportunity. Analysts expects CELH to earn 3.08 in 5 years. Using PE multiples of 20 and 40, Celsius could be worth 60 to 130 dollars. I could see a scenarios where the short term momentum bubble pops in Celsius and a sell off continues to find support lower than the current price in the high 40s. The lower the better for investors looking to enter in for long term holding. Buying Celsius now at 49 would possibly only slight beat the sp500, but with high risk. Celsius has something like a 2.2% earnings yield, so its price richly with high expectations of the future growth we speak about. Something closer to 4-5% earnings yield would be a better risk reward.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by ValuePig
1
$CELH - Celsius Bull Run Starts Again?NASDAQ:CELH Hey everyone! I've identified an ascending channel pattern on the Celsius weekly chart that started in 2022 (see weekly chart below) and has been playing out perfectly since then. When the price reaches the channel's bottom line, it reverses, and a bull run begins again. On the weekly chart, the price holds on the lower line and 100 EMA perfectly and bounces back up. UT Bot indicator gave a buy signal on the daily chart, and I think there is over a 50% profit opportunity. That's why I believe a swing-long trade would be perfect! Weekly chart:
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by cumacevik
5
Celsius Slides 2.7% as it Missed Wall Street ExpectationsCelsius Holdings Inc. ( NASDAQ:CELH ) shares fell by 2.7% in early trading on Tuesday after the energy-drink maker's quarterly sales reached a record, yet still missed Wall Street expectations. The company, which had more than doubled over the past year, dropped as much as 18% in trading before US markets opened. If that carries into regular hours, the company would be set for its biggest intraday loss in three years. Celsius ( NASDAQ:CELH ) is in the midst of a global expansion with drinks touted to speed up the body's energy use while burning fat. Some concerns have emerged about ingredients such as caffeine, and the company has recommended that users drink no more than two cans of the product daily. In the first quarter of 2024, revenue for the first quarter increased 37% to $355.7 million compared to $259.9 million for the prior year period. This increase was driven primarily by the North American business and the company's success in sustaining consumer demand growth, delivering unique innovation, and overall channel growth. However, inventory movements within the largest distributor led to an approximate $20 million impact in the first quarter 2024 versus the fourth quarter, while first quarter of 2023 revenue benefited from an inventory buildup of approximately $25 million. Ongoing inventory fluctuations may be expected in subsequent quarters because the largest distributor constituted 62% of Celsius' total North American sales during the first quarter of 2024. International sales of $16.2 million increased 43% from $11.3 million for the prior-year period, driven by ongoing velocity improvements and product launches. Gross profit for the first quarter of 2024 increased 60% to $182.2 million compared to $113.8 million for the prior-year quarter. Diluted earnings per share for the first quarter increased 108% to $0.27 compared to $0.13 for the prior-year period, driven by improvements in gross margin and leverage across SG&A. Celsius ( NASDAQ:CELH ) held an 11.5% share in the energy drink category in total U.S. MULOC for the last four weeks ended April 14, 2024, a one-point increase over the prior quarter and approximately four points higher than one year ago. Sugar-free segment sales in the first quarter were approximately 50% of the energy drink category. Average SKUs per retailer increased in the first quarter of 2024 to 20.6 from 13.5 in the prior-year period. Growth drivers for Celsius include club channel sales in the quarter ended March 31, 2024, sales on Amazon, case volume in the food service channel, and innovation and marketing. Sales of Celsius Essentials continue to exceed expectations, with 54.5% ACV and 4.1 average items sold per store. International expansion plans include sales in Canada, Australia, France, Ireland, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. Sales in the UK and Ireland began in April through the fitness channel and in select gyms. Sales in Australia, France, and New Zealand are expected to begin in the fourth quarter of this year with broadening reach throughout 2025.
NASDAQ:CELH
by DEXWireNews