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CELSIUS HOLDINGS, INCCELSIUS HOLDINGS, INCCELSIUS HOLDINGS, INC

CELSIUS HOLDINGS, INC

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CELH trade ideas

11/5/24 - $celh - No edge. Pains me to sit this Q out.11/5/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CELH No edge. Pains me to sit this out. - trading this thing around and following the FUD all over social media has me confused. i'll admit. - on one hand, these things are flying off the shelves and scanner data looks great (that's sell thru!) - on the other hand, i've been seeing a lot of discounting - on the other OTHER hand (yes i have three hands), clearly NASDAQ:PEP is trying to get thru over-ordered inventory esp into a non-summer season in north america which might inform the sell thru - google trends is waning, though this isn't the type of purchase that typically shows up as being super high signal on google trends... when have you googled "where to get a Coke" as an example, but nonetheless it's part of my due diligence mosaic - now the latest we hear from mgmt is they're looking to build own capacity. honestly, that's more of a positive than a negative, given there's clearly enough reason to start pulling this inhouse and not letting NASDAQ:PEP jerk the brand to their whim - on the other hand, this will cost $... capex dollars... at a time when NASDAQ:PEP is also probably not going to re-stock big (or go smaller) into the winter time period... and where Int'l launch while i'm sure it's going well (let's be honest those flavors are rockin')... is probably also low margin. - so you're facing a quarter where there's likely to be a lot of 'splaining and taking a position tuesday night into elections is also whack enough - let's say margins come in weak, they say "growth step down b/c pep means this is the bottom"... in a lot of ways, you buy that dip if it dips, but it *will* dip, because the market is hating stuff that's not just beating and raising. in fact it's only shipping things higher that are crushing and raising. this is very hard for me to believe with $celh. - and valuation at high 20s PE while in a LT context for this brand is NOT expensive IMVHO and LSD fcf yield is "good enough", it's just too much risk into this print. - on the person fronts, as those of you who follow me know, i've had some nice wins lately w/ the OTC:GDLC then NASDAQ:NXT crush, after some big wins earlier this year too. I LIKE TO GO BIG. often when i'm tip toeing around is where i lose focus, and i trade poorly. - so a bit of this move is my own situation heading into election night, feeling unclear what's happening here, having not too much confidence in mgmt's ability to communicate even if nothing's wrong but the quarter's meh. - if this ships, it ships. after the result... who knows. maybe i jump back on if/when this thing is up 10%. i doubt it. - the options chain is also fairly locked up in the low 30s here so a move beyond $33-34 would take some real surprise (good surprise). - my best guess is this thing trades lower. probably not in the low 20s like the bears are expecting, probably not even in the mid 20s, but 26-27-28 not out of the question. - let's see. alas, idk the future, so i go with high conviction bets. and this one leaves me so confused into the print in such a weird risk week for the US... that i'd rather act with high cash balance (nearly 45% of my stack RN! and i'm long calls on a lot of things... will write later... to fill up my exposure) lmk how you see it. i'd love to gain more clarity on this b/c i would also love to hold it long term near the lows V
NASDAQ:CELH
by VROCKSTAR
Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) - Comprehensive Stock 1. Company Overview & Industry Outlook Celsius Holdings, Inc., a leader in the functional beverage industry, focuses on producing and distributing energy drinks and health-oriented beverages that cater to fitness-conscious consumers. The company's growth is driven by the increasing demand for healthier lifestyle options, as consumers shift from traditional sugary drinks to functional and energy-boosting alternatives. This market trend, supported by heightened awareness of health and wellness, provides a strong tailwind for Celsius in the energy drinks sector, which is expected to see continued expansion globally. 2. Financial Performance & Earnings Outlook Latest Earnings (Q2 2024): EPS: $0.29 Return on Equity (ROE): 70.73% Gross Profit Margin: 52.02% Quick Ratio: 3.73 Current Ratio: 4.43 Return on Investment (ROI): 19.58% Net Profit Margin: 19.85% Celsius has demonstrated impressive profitability metrics, with a high ROE and ROI that reflect efficient capital use and strong operational performance. The gross profit margin of over 50% highlights robust pricing power and cost management. Earnings Forecast: 2024 FY: Forecasted EPS at $0.78, gross income of $1.40B, and EBIT of $258.35M. 2025 FY: Forecasted EPS at $0.98, gross income of $1.63B, and EBIT of $329.86M. 2026 FY: Forecasted EPS at $1.23, gross income of $1.89B, and EBIT of $427.32M. The forecast shows steady growth in both revenue and earnings, indicating confidence in the company's ongoing expansion. Projected EPS growth is indicative of improved profitability, supporting the notion of a positive earnings trajectory in the coming years. 3. Stock Trend Analysis & Capital Flow Recent Price: $31.48 (as of Nov 3, 2024) Support Level: $31.40 Resistance Level: $33.60 Average Cost: $34.85 Capital Flow (Recent Days): Inflow: Significant, with $68.74M in inflow and $57.82M in outflow on the latest day, suggesting a net positive capital movement. 5-Day Summary: Mixed with days of strong inflows (e.g., 10-30 at $4.03M) and outflows (e.g., 10-29 at -$7.81M). The support and resistance levels indicate the price range where the stock might find buying and selling pressures, respectively. The overall inflow is relatively strong, suggesting some bullish sentiment, though recent volatility in capital flow indicates fluctuating investor confidence. 4. Analyst Ratings & Target Price Target Price: Average target of $44.87, with a low of $26 and a high of $68. Analyst Recommendations: 15 analysts cover CELH, with 5 “Strong Buy,” 9 “Buy,” 4 “Hold,” and 1 “Underperform” ratings. Analysts have a generally optimistic outlook on Celsius, with the average target price of $44.87 indicating a potential upside from the current levels. The range in price targets reflects different growth assumptions and market conditions, but the high number of “Buy” and “Strong Buy” ratings highlights positive sentiment. 5. Recent News & Sentiment Analysis Bullish News: The company's continuous innovation in product offerings and expansion into new markets has garnered positive attention, with Celsius capitalizing on growing demand for energy drinks that align with health trends. Bearish News: Rising competition in the energy and functional beverage market could challenge Celsius’s growth pace. Furthermore, any increase in production costs or supply chain disruptions might impact profit margins. The balance of news appears slightly bullish due to strong brand positioning and market expansion, though competitive pressures and operational challenges remain factors to monitor. Conclusion & Outlook Celsius Holdings is well-positioned to benefit from industry growth in the health-oriented beverage market. With a strong financial foundation, favorable earnings outlook, and positive analyst sentiment, the stock presents a solid case for growth. However, potential investors should consider market volatility, competitive risks, and industry dynamics. Disclaimer: This analysis is not investment advice. Please consult with a financial advisor and conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by Joekenstein7
Celsius ($CELH) is FINALLY BOTTOMING. NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY! NASDAQ:CELH is FINALLY BOTTOMING?! NOW IS THE TIME TO BUY! 5 REASONS WHY: 1⃣ We have DIVERGENCE on the Weekly Chart 2⃣ It's a "High Five Setup" 3⃣ It's a BUY according to my Valuation Metric Tool (4/6 score) 4⃣ Growth Beast! Beaten down over 40% this year 5⃣ Find out by watching. 👇 Video analysis 5/5. Stay tuned for more!🔔 Like ❤️ Follow 🤳 Share 🔂 Will Celsius finally get back on track with their growth or be defeated by the Goliath Monster?! Sorry for the pauses in the middle of the video; my dog came in and was about to start howling 🐶🤣 Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by RonnieV29
4
Celsius Energizes a PushCELH is gaining strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $30.00 level. A breakout above the $48.00 resistance would confirm continued strength, setting the stage for a move toward the $68.50 weekly resistance. With an impressive 5.92 risk-to-reward ratio, this trade presents a great opportunity for investors, while a stop-loss at $28.00 ensures downside protection. Celsius continues to expand its market share in the fast-growing functional beverage sector, driven by increasing demand for health-conscious energy drinks. With strategic distribution partnerships, including PepsiCo, and rising brand visibility among fitness-conscious consumers, CELH is positioned for both short-term momentum and long-term growth. With both technical and fundamental tailwinds, CELH’s path toward $68.50 looks achievable, making this a compelling opportunity for investors. NASDAQ:CELH
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by The_Trading_Mechanic
$CELH INVERSE HEAD AND SHOULDER- EASY 40 DOLLAR COMING!The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is a significant reversal indicator that appears at the conclusion of a downtrend. **** Fair Value: $43.10 Trading at 24.7% below our estimate of its fair value!!! +Earnings are projected to grow 16.53% per year. The company's expansion into international markets and the launch of new flavors demonstrate its growth potential and efforts to increase consumer interest. NASDAQ:CELH Engages in the development, processing, marketing, distribution, and sale of functional energy drinks and liquid supplements across the United States, Australia, New Zealand, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, the Asia-Pacific region, and internationally. BUY NOW BEFORE YOU REGRET!
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by sej4974
1
CELH range before continuationCelsius had a nice pivot around my entry time, this is likely on neutral/positive Pepsi statements during their earnings. I expect the stock to test the 20 EMA on the daily and this narrow demand zone. There is a fair amount of resistance around 35-36$ but my initial PT remains. Note rising volume, this is very important for sentiment shift. My plan: I will sell my 40$ Jan 25' calls at 38$ I will sell my 35$ June calls if we see euphoria in the coming months I will unload my 2026 leaps around 50$ I purposefully choose options on stocks I see a potential pivot or value swing on, but am not confident on enough long term, this boosts my yearly returns if I am correct, the downside limit of options is also appealing to me
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by Apollo_21mil
CELH pivoted near the triple bottomI am glad I entered this trade with a few medium/long term setups, the stock had a nice rally today. That flow of buy side volume is reassuring and the stochastic RSI is jumping on the daily. The stochastic is still dead on the weekly so there is a lot of room to run. I will sell my Jan 2025 calls when we reach 37.66$. My setups is as follows Jan 2025 40$ calls exit at 37.66$ June 2025 35$ calls hold and possibly exercise next year depending on price action Jan 2026 40$ calls sell at 50$
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by Apollo_21mil
4
10/7/24 - $celh - WTF is going on <$30- this position has been such a thorn in my side - but i can't find a reason to dump my bags, instead i've been adding - now sub 30x PE for nearly 30% growth CAGR w the expectations reset? - are we about to find out something horrific here... or is NASDAQ:PEP gonna drop a stank bomb on the name during their CC... what gives?? - given how other discretionary is trading, this still *feels* to me like it's not stock-specific. look at NYSE:ELF as a good example, you'd almost think NASDAQ:CELH and NYSE:ELF are the same stonk. this market is really devoid of short-term logic. so better know what you own and have conviction to stomach the vol. almost feels like we're trading dog coins in this stonk market these dayz. - gl to all. remember it's all fake. just a game. and we're price takers. have an edge, or fafo. - i still like this one. could go lower. idk. but good value here. V
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by VROCKSTAR
6
Value swing CELHI have been waiting for Celsius to hit the 30 dollar range for months and we are finally here. I am not a massive fan of the company but the intrinsic value is far above current price. The weekly stochastic RSI is very bottomed and I believe next earnings will show that this selloff to the magnitude is overblown. I am entering long call setups and planning accordingly. My plan: June 2025 35$ strikes, relatively safe, can capture nice changes in delta with mild theta Jan 2025 40$ strikes, these will print if there is a reversal and are riskier but the loss is limited to the contract price PT1=47$, this is where I would start to sell 40 Strikes PT2= I will update this in a few weeks, this is where I would sell 35$ longer dated strikes
NASDAQ:CELHLong
by Apollo_21mil
Support broken, correction not over…This correction is in fact Wave 3, not the final Wave 5 as initially anticipated. We have lost another horizontal level of support at the Monthly. This suggests the downside pain is not over yet. I am anticipating a Wave 4 bounce, which will ultimately fail and we put in one more low to complete Wave 5. This lines up with the fundamentals of the company, I don’t think we there’s a clear picture of where we are due to Pepsi ordering too much product and thus giving Celsius inflated revenues. We need this to normalise, for Pepsi to figure out the optimal numbers. There are other headwinds in this sector, which is why peers like Monster haven’t performed well of late. I will now sit this out, wait for that final leg to come in and then think about going long. Patience is key on this. Not financial advice, DYOR
NASDAQ:CELH
by NoFOMO_
6