DDOG - Optimal R/R (8/23/2021)Buyers still in control after the PEG. Volume is drying up and although landed lower for the week still in a uptrend.
Risk is that the 5EMA is now declining but positively other MA has caught up to the price. Price is also still extended from 23EMA but is still trading in the PEG range.
DDOG trade ideas
DDOG Analysis $DDOG | #Analysis | #StockMarket
Price Target 102.58 🎯
3 Inside Up ✅
Inverse Head & Shoulders ✅
Break above Golden Zone with Strong Momentum ✅
Higher Low being Made with Bullish Hidden Divergence ✅
Trend Line Confluence from March 2020 Lows ✅
Entry on Break of 92.07 with Confirmation ✅
Invalidated below 82.24 ❌
Cypher Pattern Verses the Shark PatternDDOG appears to be trading in a bullish shark pattern and D is the target. It is labeled O, X, A, B, C verses X, A, B, C, D like other harmonic patterns. I am not sure why the Shark is labeled differently than the other harmonic patterns, but maybe to differentiate it from the Cypher pattern as they are similar.
As with other harmonic patterns, the Shark pattern exhibits Fibonacci relationships within its structure. Shark pattern is a five point formation with four primary legs. The shark is often confused with the Cypher pattern as both have a second peak that is above the first peak. In theory, the Cypher's final leg (CD) pulls back only to the 0.786 of XA (1st leg). The Cyper is labeled XABCD verses OXABC like the shark (confusing) The final leg(BC) of a shark pulls back to the .886 or to the 1.13 fib level of OX (1st leg).
The cypher, in theory, can only have it's AB leg (2nd leg) retrace 38 to 61% of it's first leg (impulse leg). The shark pattern has no designated area of retracement (that I know of) by the 2nd leg except it can not go deeper than point O.
The second leg is where you can start eliminaing other harmonic patterns. The third leg is where you can eliminate even more. IE, if the 3rd leg's peak is lower than the first peak in the pattern, you are not looking at a cypher pattern or a shark pattern. This is for bullish harmonic patterns only as there are also bearish versions of these patterns. It seems possible that in some cases (not all), the shark and the cypher could really not be totally differentiated until the Potential Reversal Zone is reached (PRZ). In this particular chart, the 2nd leg pulled back too far to be a cypher pattern.
The hyperextended moves of a shark pattern causes price exhaustion. The supply and demand is interrupted due to the rather extreme price moves, which can trigger a strong reaction when the price reaches the potential reversal zone, especially if that level corresponds with a previously established support level for the bullish shark pattern.
Possible stop below last pivot low.
No recommendation
DDOG possible patternDDOG has broken its recent downtrend and it appears to be repeating a cycle annotated on the chart, MACD, RSI with white trend lines where it should test its previous resistance. DDOG got caught up in the IXIC / NDX sell-off but appears to have significant support at the $75 level.
Might be a decent short-term trade if it passes the RSI test at 50. Fundamentals aren't too great but the chart looks good, growth is high, and it has beaten expectations on earnings the last 4 times. Earnings on 5/11.
Its EV-to-EBITDA is ridiculous but if you like to trade off chart technicals this is looking very attractive at least in the short-term. Being underloved & underappreciated in the space is another ace in DDOG's corner as some attention on the street or from a Cathie Woods type could send it flying. The real question is, will fundamentals actually start to matter?