DUOL - LONGThis was second half of rotation move from NFLX today ( other half was AXON)
Meets the 6 requirements too.
Language learning is in :)
DUOL trade ideas
DUOL: mid-term trend structure Until price is holding above 13th Jan lows, my operative scenario is continuation of the upside momentum towards 420-450 resistance zone.
Moving and holding above 450 level increases the probability of a continuation move towards higher resistance levels at 590+.
Otherwise, until price holds bellow 450, there are significant odds of deeper correction in the mid-term before continuing macro uptrend
My previous idea on NASDAQ:DUOL from Dec'23 topping actions:
and update on break-out potential from Sep'24:
Thank you for your attention!
Technical Analysis: Duolingo Inc. ($DUOL) Daily Chart1. Trend Analysis
Primary Trend:
NASDAQ:DUOL has been in a strong uptrend since mid-July, as seen by consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The price is currently trading well above the 200-SMA (~$236.95), which confirms a bullish long-term trend.
Current Structure:
Price recently encountered a resistance zone near $378.85.
A consolidation zone is forming around $340–$354, highlighted by the Darkpool Activity Zone.
✅ Bullish Note: Price holding above the Darkpool Zone indicates potential for continuation higher.
2. Resistance and Support Levels
Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: $378.85 – where price recently rejected.
Breakout Target: If $378.85 is breached, the next psychological target would be $400.00.
Support:
Darkpool Zone: $340–$354 acts as key support (highlighted in blue).
SMA 200 Support: At $236.95, the 200-SMA provides strong long-term support.
✅ Key Observation: If price holds within or above the Darkpool Zone, buyers remain in control.
3. Darkpool Insights
The Darkpool Premium of $54,582,34.0 at ~$354 reflects strong institutional activity.
This level has held as support, and institutions may be accumulating here.
4. Momentum and Volume
Volume:
Recent candles show balanced volume as price consolidates near support.
A breakout above $378.85 with increasing volume would confirm bullish strength.
Squeeze Momentum (Bottom Panel):
Bullish Momentum: Blue histogram bars suggest upward pressure remains intact.
Momentum is cooling slightly, so the price may consolidate before its next move.
5. Fundamental Details (as per Chart)
Revenue Growth: 43.74% 🚀
Strong revenue growth indicates Duolingo's robust business expansion.
Free Cash Flow Margin: 26.35% 💵
High cash flow margins reflect the company’s ability to efficiently generate free cash, which supports operations and reinvestments.
X-Value: 41.1 📊
A combination of growth and margin metrics, highlighting Duolingo’s strong fundamental positioning relative to peers.
✅ Fundamentally Strong: Revenue growth and healthy cash flow margins support the bullish outlook.
6. Summary of Analysis
Bullish Signals:
Uptrend Intact: Price remains above the 200-SMA and consolidates near highs.
Darkpool Support: Institutions showing interest in the $340–$354 range.
Strong Fundamentals: 43.74% revenue growth and 26.35% cash flow margin validate the bullish structure.
Key Risks:
Resistance at $378.85: A rejection here could lead to a pullback toward the Darkpool Zone (~$354).
Momentum Cooling: Squeeze histogram suggests consolidation, so patience is required.
Trade Plan
Breakout Entry:
Buy above $378.85 with a target of $400.00 or higher.
Confirm breakout with volume.
Pullback Entry:
Buy near the Darkpool Zone ($340–$354) if price retests this level and holds as support.
Stop-loss: Below $340.
Stop-Loss:
Conservative: $340.
Aggressive: Below the 200-SMA (~$236.95).
CompetitionValued at 14.38 billion for 700 employees, it is too expensive for a website. competition will be tough with ChatGPT this valuation will not last long
High Tight Flag SetupDUOL is setting up a very rare high tight flag which is very explosive setup if it breaks out of it flat range box.
DUOL Dragon Head SetupSince is august low, NASDAQ:DUOL is up over 100% in 8 weeks making it a High Tight Flag candidate .
Its been trading sideways for 3 weeks forming forming a dragon head setup 🐉
I thought this should have went already so.....
DUOL scale out to successEven though you didn't get an official sell signal here. This is where the best traders exit.
They entered early and extracted max value at the final 10% of the move without greed.
My Watchlist: DUOLDUOL, I have a green setup signal(dot Indictor). It has an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. I'm looking to enter long near the close of the day if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle highs(white line). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below(red line) and a price target above it(green line).
****
Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level.
Duolingo Unveils Game-Changing AI Features at Duocon 2024Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ), the global leader in mobile language learning, has just made waves with its latest AI-powered innovations, announced during its annual event, Duocon 2024. These updates mark a significant leap forward for the platform and position Duolingo as a front-runner in both education technology and artificial intelligence.
AI-Powered Learning Takes Center Stage
At Duocon 2024, CEO Luis von Ahn emphasized the company’s ongoing mission: "to develop the best education in the world and make it universally available." Staying true to this goal, Duolingo introduced two groundbreaking AI-powered features: Video Call and Adventures.
- Video Call with Lily: This feature offers Duolingo Max subscribers the chance to engage in lifelike conversations with Lily, one of Duolingo's most popular characters. It leverages AI to simulate natural dialogue and adapt to a user’s skill level, giving learners an immersive, low-pressure environment to practice languages. Currently, the feature is available for English, Spanish, and French learners.
- Adventures: Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) also introduced a game-like, exploration-driven learning experience called Adventures. It immerses users in dynamic scenarios where they can interact with beloved Duolingo characters, like Oscar and Lily, while applying their language skills to real-life situations—like getting a passport or ordering coffee. This playful yet practical approach is designed to blend fun with functional learning, keeping users engaged while they improve their language abilities.
Expanding into Music Education
In a surprising yet exciting move, Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) announced its expansion into music education through a partnership with Loog, a portable instrument brand. Together, they are launching a compact digital piano aimed at beginners using the Duolingo Music course. The **Duolingo x Loog Piano** will be available for pre-order at $249, marking a new chapter for Duolingo’s approach to creative education.
Adding even more excitement, Grammy-winning artist Jon Batiste was featured at Duocon 2024, sharing insights on the intersection of music, culture, and language. This partnership with cultural icons and major brands underscores Duolingo's commitment to diversifying its educational offerings while maintaining its focus on innovation.
Technical Outlook
As of today, Duolingo stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) is up 6.64%, trading at $287.49. However, it’s important to note that technical indicators suggest a potential consolidation or cooling off in the near term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 87, indicating the stock is in overbought territory.
Since late August 2024, Duolingo’s stock has surged significantly, driven by investor excitement over its AI innovations and product developments. The rapid increase in stock price may be poised for a pullback to the support pivot as the market digests this growth. Typically, stocks in overbought conditions like this tend to retrace and consolidate before resuming their upward trend.
Strengths and Future Prospects
Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) remains strong. The platform boasts over 34.1 million daily active users and 8 million paying subscribers, underscoring its dominance in the language-learning space. Duolingo’s freemium model, offering both ad-supported and subscription-based services, continues to generate steady revenue.
The company's aggressive focus on leveraging AI, its expansion into music education, and collaborations with cultural figures like Jon Batiste point to a promising future. These efforts are aimed at keeping the platform engaging and appealing to an ever-expanding global audience.
Conclusion
Duolingo’s new AI-powered features—Video Call and Adventures—are a game-changer in the edtech space, offering users an immersive and personalized learning experience. On the stock front, while the company has shown robust growth, technical indicators suggest a possible consolidation phase. However, with strong fundamentals and a continued focus on innovation, Duolingo is well-positioned to maintain its upward trajectory in both education and the stock market.
Investors should keep an eye on the stock as it consolidates, with potential buy opportunities emerging during any dips. As Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) continues to push the boundaries of AI and education, the long-term outlook remains highly optimistic.
DUOL: Price structure (upd)
The corrective structure for wave (2) looks to be complete. Next important mid-term resistance area: 248-345 (0.382-0.618% extension of wave (1)-(2)). In this resistance zone price may form a potential handle in long CaH patter before breaking out into long term uptrend towards next macro resistance zone: 589-820 and beyond (if following support structure holds)
Proposed structure is valid if price holds above august's lows (144)
Previous idea from Dec 2018 with updates:
Thank you for your attention!
Next leg up for $DUOL in de making?After a 275% increase during 2023, NASDAQ:DUOL is now in a corrective move down on the Weekly, in the form of an ABC.
The most likely scenario (70% of the time) is that this will lead to another strong or weak move up from the Weekly Demand Zone, possibly a continuation of the uptrend that started in 2023.
If the price closes below the Weekly Demand Zone, the scenario is no longer valid and the situation must be reassessed.
Thinking in probabilities:
A strong move up is followed in most cases by a weak move down and another strong or weak move up.
DUOL’s nemesis Chat GPT-4oDUOL had it’s day, now it has it’s worst nemesis AI aka Chat GPT-4o.
openai.com
Short anywhere it wait for a retest above trend line.
Target #1 - 180
Target #2 - 140
Stop loss - 220
Duolingo - Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy .Long Position: Enter a long position if the price sustains above $192, which would indicate a potential reversal of the current bearish trend. Target the next resistance at $200, with a stretch goal of $220 if the momentum continues. Place a stop loss at $185 to protect against unforeseen drops.
Short Position: If the price fails to hold the $190 support and moves lower, consider entering a short position. Target the $174 (S2 pivot point) for a potential downside, with a stop loss around $195 to limit the risk.
Given the current market conditions and the company's strong fundamental growth, there is a potential for the stock to test $250 within the next 12 months, representing a significant upside from current levels. However, this is contingent on the market sentiment shifting more favorably towards tech and growth stocks in the upcoming quarters.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 44.08, suggesting a neutral market sentiment but leaning towards oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is in a bearish phase, with the MACD line below the signal line, indicating potential further downside.
Stochastic %K is at 19.70, which is near oversold territory, hinting at a possible relief rally or a short-term bullish reversal.
The price recently tested a crucial support level at around $190 and rebounded, which coincides with a historic pivot point. This rebound suggests a potential exhaustion of the selling pressure. If the price can sustain above this level, we might see it target the next resistance near the $200 mark.
Despite the recent market correction, Duolingo has posted impressive revenue growth in its latest quarterly report, surpassing expectations. This fundamental strength could support the technical rebound.
DUOL Cup and Handle possible buyAfter rough couple of days of stock and major indices decline, we are seeing some buying power coming in to the markets.
DuoLingo, a platform made for learning languages with million of users worldwide, is forming a Cup and Handle, which once broken could bring good price rise.
What to watch:
1. Stock is regaining it's 50 day exponential moving average. Huge green bar for today seems pretty good, though, the buying volume is unusually small.
2. From bottom to top, once we imply the Fib retracement, we see a good price bounce out of 61.8% retraction.
3. This will be my first buy point, I will be waiting for today's close, and if the price remains as it is today, I will make my first buy. Price range from $219 and up.
4. Stop loss, since markets are still in a correction mode, will be set right below today's open price, sitting at around $205.51 price level.
5. Second buy will be once I see the break of Cup top, price level $246, if that break happens I would like to see a huge buying volume, larger than previous couple of days to be precise.
6. For second buy point, my stop loss, will most likely be put under 21EMA. I will surely update on this idea, as it develops.
Please make sure to do your own due diligence, do not invest your hard earned money without your own research.
📈💬 DUOL Bullish Growth Analysis 💬📈🚀 Overview:
Market Potential: Duolingo operates in a thriving market, with the global language learning industry projected to grow at a 9.2% CAGR.
User Acquisition: The company's impressive organic user acquisition strategy, with up to 90% of new users acquired without paid advertising, demonstrates its strong market presence.
Product Development: Duolingo's focus on product development enhances user experience, driving conversion to paid subscribers and building a robust branding moat.
💡 Key Points:
Industry Growth: With over 2 billion global language learners, Duolingo is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for online language education.
Organic Growth: The company's ability to acquire new users organically without heavy reliance on paid advertising showcases its strong market appeal and brand recognition.
Product Innovation: Continued investment in product development ensures a compelling user experience, fostering user engagement and loyalty.
📊 Trade Outlook:
Entry Point: Consider entering a bullish position above the $195.00-$196.00 range, anticipating further upside potential.
Upside Target: Set a target range between $320.00-$330.00, reflecting optimism for Duolingo's sustained growth trajectory.
Risk Management: Implement risk mitigation strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect against adverse market movements.
🌐 Conclusion:
Duolingo's innovative approach to language learning, coupled with its strong market fundamentals and growth prospects, instills confidence in its long-term success. Bullish sentiment prevails, with investors eyeing potential upside opportunities in the expanding online language education market. 🚀📈 #DUOL #BullishGrowth 🌐📈
Bullish stage for Duolingo $DUOLCompany Overview
Duolingo is a leading language-learning platform that offers a wide range of courses for users around the world. The platform's user-friendly interface, gamified learning experience, and extensive language options have contributed to its rapid growth and popularity.
Strengths of Duolingo
- Strong User Base: Duolingo boasts a large and diverse user base, with millions of active users accessing the platform daily.
- Effective Gamification: The platform's gamified approach to learning has proven to be engaging and effective in helping users learn new languages.
- Innovative Technology: Duolingo continuously invests in technology to enhance the user experience and improve learning outcomes.
- Global Reach: The platform is available in multiple languages, making it accessible to users worldwide.
- Brand Recognition: Duolingo has established itself as a well-known brand in the education technology sector.
Technical Analysis
According to Stan Weinstein's analysis and stages theory, Duolingo is entering Stage 2 and showing signs of breaking out. This suggests a potential uptrend in the stock price as the company gains momentum and attracts more investors.
Fundamental Status
- Revenue Growth: Duolingo has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the past few years, indicating a healthy business model.
- Profitability: The company has been able to maintain profitability while investing in growth opportunities.
- Market Potential: With the increasing demand for online education and language learning, Duolingo is well-positioned to capitalize on this market opportunity.
- Product Development: Duolingo continues to innovate its platform and expand its course offerings, which could drive future growth.
In conclusion, Duolingo's strengths, coupled with its positive technical and fundamental status, make it an attractive investment opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on the growth potential of the online education sector.
DUOL looks to bounce from a fib retracement LONG.DUOL on the 30- minute chart shows a healthy pullback of about 5% from its ATH reached both
Feb 29th and a few days ago. so it is just under a double top. On March 19th, it rallied from
the pullback to put in the second ATH and then dropped 5%. The question here is whether,
CUOL can attract interest volume and so money inflow to allow a price rise (Wychoff''s therory
applied). The bottom wicking on the last two candles is significant and may suggest and
impending reversal. This was a great trade from the earnings. I will not mind at all if
it is setup and ready to go at Monday's morning bell. The predictive algo forecasts a
quick rise to 246 or about 7% upside. DUOL did run up hard before. Recently it may
have attracted some shorts who will sell quickly if a 6% jump occurs. Potentially,
a short squeeze could send DUOL higher than the forecast. Time will tell.
DUOL - bullish structure todayDUOL is ready to explode from this small bull flag.
The only thing needed here - volume.
Duolingo Soars as JP Morgan eyes Coverage with Bullish OutlookDuolingo ( NASDAQ:DUOL ), the popular language-learning app, witnessed a significant uptick in its stock price, surging 5.8% following JP Morgan's initiation of coverage with an Overweight (Buy) rating and a target price of $270. Analysts lauded Duolingo's unique strengths, including gamification features, personalized learning, and robust data analytics, which set it apart in a competitive landscape. Despite a slight pullback from its morning highs, Duolingo's shares remain buoyant, reflecting investor optimism about its future prospects.
JP Morgan's Bullish Thesis:
JP Morgan's bullish stance on Duolingo ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) underscores the company's compelling value proposition and competitive advantages. While acknowledging the potential for increased competition from tech giants like Google, analysts emphasized Duolingo's innovative approach to language learning, backed by deep data insights and a strong brand presence. The target price, representing a 25% premium, signals confidence in Duolingo's ability to deliver sustained growth and capture market share in the burgeoning ed-tech sector.
Market Reaction and Volatility:
The market's reaction to JP Morgan's coverage initiation reflects a nuanced perspective, with Duolingo's shares experiencing notable volatility over the past year. While today's uptick is viewed as meaningful, it's not perceived as a game-changer in the company's trajectory. Previous significant movements, such as the surge following the robust fourth-quarter results, underscore investors' sensitivity to key performance indicators and growth metrics.
Strong Financial Performance:
Duolingo's ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) recent financial performance has been impressive, with robust user and revenue growth driving positive sentiment among investors. The fourth-quarter results surpassed expectations, with accelerated DAU growth and outperformance across key metrics. Notably, the company demonstrated a commendable balance between growth and profitability, surpassing expectations for adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and EPS. Forward guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA further reinforces confidence in Duolingo's trajectory.
Investor Perspective:
With Duolingo ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) trading close to its 52-week high and delivering substantial returns since its IPO, investors are reaping the rewards of their early investment. The company's solid performance and strategic positioning in the language-learning market have attracted favorable attention from analysts and investors alike. As Duolingo ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) continues to expand its user base and innovate its platform, shareholders remain optimistic about its long-term growth potential.
Conclusion:
Duolingo's ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) ascent following JP Morgan's bullish initiation underscores the company's market positioning. With a differentiated product offering and strong financial performance, Duolingo ( NASDAQ:DUOL ) is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for language-learning solutions.
DUOLFundamentals:
This company is booming. I like the product, as well.
Technicals:
Daily Inside Bar within a stage 3 crown
5 EMAs
DQ
Daily Extreme signal indicator
Comment:
I expect the price to gravitate to at least 300 by the end of the year of 2024.
DUOL current statusSector is trending up
1. the stock is making higher highs/lows
2. 200 MA is moving up
3. area of value is support around 200 MA
4. lower timeframe opposing trend is broken
5. now we wait for a nice pullback on a lower timeframe
6. then we'll wait for a price rejection stronger than ATR about 1.5 times
7. we'll check there is no opposing 10 or 20 MA ahead
8. then we enter risking 0.5% of your capital to the stop
9. set stop below the lows on the main timeframe
DUOL- AI Translation Services for global apps LONGDUOL popped from a 5X earnings beat. I got into this trade last week with a little bump in
relative volume and volatility off-screeners on tech upcoming earnings. The high-tight flag
pattern typically forecasts a leg of a bullish continuation higher after some consolidation.
Options for March 15 went 2.5X overnight. Half the position off the table taking profits.
the other half awaiting the continuation. The risk here is those taking profit or short selling
outnumbering new buyers chasing and causing a fade. Nonetheless, I see the potential for
further profit and will assume the risk.
profit
