Louis Vuitton H&S patternLVMH looks to be potentially topping and getting ready for a pullback, risk-reward is good here as we try to catch the pattern at the right shoulder. RSI showing divergence. More confirmation on the break of the support zone and trendline. Good Luck!by Antonio_traderPublished 12
Long term investments - 2019: LVMH - LVMUY - MC.FRLong term investments - 2019: This is a series of posts on long term investment for 2019. Every serious investor establishes a solid money management with a balanced risk factor. Investing 100% of your savings in forex or crypto currency is like make a blind all in at poker. So a key factor is to choose which asset allocation suites better for you and to found low risk investments on long term. This investment and assets suits my needs. Today choice is LVMH group but could be other luxury assets . This is why: 1- The World Economic Forum (WEF) pubblished the new World Inequality Report 2018 where it is highlighted an increase of inequality between high and low salary. As a consequence, who has money can spend more in luxury stuff and luxury assets will continue to grow in long term. 2- Technically speaking, the first strong resistance area is between 352 and 364, so there is enough room at north for increase its value. 3- Looking at seasonality charts (2015-2019), best moment to buy are January, July and September. If you like my ideas and scripts, please leave a feedback and follow me.Longby 03.freemanUpdated 6
LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton merges with TiffanyApparently low interest rates are one of the best christmas presents of the year so far. What would you do if you could enlarge your business at almost zero cost? Withouth any doubt the vast majority of us would say yes. And thats exactly what LVMH Corporation did with Tiffany: "LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE (“LVMH”), the world’s leading luxury group and Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF ) (“Tiffany”), the global luxury jeweler, today announced that the companies have entered into a definitive agreement whereby LVMH will acquire Tiffany for $135 per share in cash, in a transaction with an equity value of approximately €14.7 billion or $16.2 billion." But the best part is that this colision will be fiannced by the issuance of bond with 1% interest rate: "Arnault told Reuters that LVMH would finance the purchase with debt, adding the group could currently pay interest of less than 1% to issue bonds." Thats what I call a 100% deal. What is gonna happen now? LVMH representative were scared that Hong Kong protests may affect Tiffany results... But if the agreement has been reached, things shouldn't be so bad! Worth following the value, however, it can be late to purchase... On the other hand, for the last few years, we can see a general and sustained growth since December 2016, when the four EMA curves began rising simultaneously. Looking at the MACD indicator and Relative Volatility Index , a short-term correction could be expected.by Market_RefereePublished 8
LVMH VS Richemont vs SwatchLong LVMH short Swatch, neutral/short CFR thesis continued... Swiss watch exports grew by 1.5% for Oct’19, slowing from +10.4% in the Sep’19. The main contributor to the slowdown was Hong Kong, which declined by 29.7% y/y. This decline is in line with luxury revenue and retail sales growth in Hong Kong. Estimates that exports to Greater China declined by 10% y/y this month despite strong growth in Mainland China (+17.6% y/y). The increased spending in Mainland China is still not sufficient to offset the steep decline in Hong Kong. Japan (+13%) normalized from +31.6% in the previous month after VAT hike was implemented on 1 Oct’19. The US (+9.5%) remains robust and is now the largest market for watch exports. Europe (+8.3%) sustained recovery from the previous month. By category, luxury watches continue to outperform (+5.6% y/y) but have slowed from the previous month due to Hong Kong exposure to high-end watches. by MartintradingzaPublished 8
Luxury Goods: LMVH vs CFR vs SwatchSwiss Watch exports in Sep 2019 increased 10.2% YoY, improving from 1,7% in the previous month - benefitting from a low base and strong performance in Asian markets ex HK. LMVH reported that disruption in HK is not necessarily being offset in neighboring Asian markets an deman was stable from H1'19. LMVH further stated a 40% decline in HK sales in August and September. Not ideal for CF as it has the largest exposure to HK (12% of sales). Chow Tai Food (HK jewellery retailer) reported a 42% decline in like-for-like revenue over the quarter. UBS noted that they believe we are near the end of the Lux goods cycle and pointed to Richemont and Swatch as being exposed to the most risk. UBS have placed outperform ratings on LMVH, Kering, Moncler, and Hermes. They site near-term escalation of protests in Hong Kong as well as recent CNY depreciation, as posing the biggest risk to the hard luxury names, Swatch and Richemont. This chart is to track the UBS investment thesis to stay overweight LMVH and underweight CFR by MartintradingzaUpdated 4
LVMH sell signalHere on D chart we have Evening Start technical formation, RSI at his overbought level, and the price/MA200 difference is 10.6%. On W chart I have one more nail- divergence. My play is sell short. Negative out at 400, Positive out at 325 Shortby DejanDjekicPublished 1
GLOBAL FINANCIAL ENGINEERING SWING TRADING STRATEGY FOR LVMH MoeOur Proprietary Trading System indicates the following: The Primary Trend (PT) given by the Global Monthly TIME BAR (GMTB) is currently Bullish The Secondary Trend (ST), given by the Global Weekly TIME BAR (GWTB) is currently Bullish The Medium Term Trend (MTT), given by the Global Daily TIME BAR (GDTB) is currently Bullish The Short Term Trend (STT), given by the Global Four Hour TIME BAR (GFHTB) is currently Bullish We were hoping for a pullback to $343.75, but we might never see this level again within the medium term In light of the above trend analysis we have started a bullish trade on LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE using Global Trading Strategy #3 on the Global Automated Trading System #3 which trade in the direction of the Global Daily Time Bars (GDTB). Global Entry Signal For Trade #1: Buy @ $381.75 Global Trailing Stop Loss Trade #1: @ $354.42 Global Target Profit Trade #1 : @ $600.00 Global Trade Management Strategy: We applied the Global Trailing Stop System for Global Trading Strategy #3. Check updates --------- The analysis in this material is provided for information only and is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. To the extent that this material discusses general market activity, industry or sector trends or other broad-based economic or political conditions, it should not be construed as research or investment advice. To the extent that it includes references to specific securities, commodities , currencies, or other instruments, those references do not constitute a recommendation by Global Financial Engineering,Inc. to buy, sell or hold such investments. This material does not and is not intended to take into account the particular financial conditions, investment objectives or requirements of individual customers. Before acting on this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, as necessary, seek professional advice. Longby globalfinancialengineeringPublished 2
MC (LVMH) YE/Q1 Technical OutlookAfter breaking a bearish wedge, MC is now forming a bullish wedge. Looks like it could break to the upside, making way to retest 278 & possibly 310 to retest previous wedge resistance and top.by ArthaVidyaPublished 1
Luxury Losing It's Luster: Shorting LVMH LVMH has been good to me in in 2018. So far I've had two correct calls and I hoping that this would continue the positive trend. The sector has been hot however valuations are quite elevated. Also, these are pure bull market stocks which has a wealth effect on both the upside and downside. On Oct 9 we saw a breakdown on high volume while the recent uptick has been on lower volume. Currently the price is re-testing it's 200dma as well as the underside of the breakdown level. Short/Sell at current levels: €272.70 Stop-loss: €279 Take Profit Target: €258 Shortby LD_PerspectivesPublished 0
LVMH MC LongTraded within the light blue consolidation. Reached the support that has proven its self on several occasions Bull leg coming Longby billionare_moPublished 3
LVMH forecast in next couple of daysYou love France? Me too! Here is the analysis of LVMH for the end of the day. This analysis used Fibonacci and my indicator called "Min_equity_Thesis_indicator" in Public library of Trading View. I estimated the way of LVMH over the next day. But in Short term my signal is short with a target price of 1.23. If you have any comment, let me know.Shortby Hugo_Sw_TraderPublished 1
Lou Vuitton Buy IdeaW1 - We are possibly the third leg of a Special cycle. D1 - Price broke above the range and it is now pushing upwards. H4 - We are now looking for pullbacks and then we can go long.Shortby VladimirRibakovPublished 1
LouVuitton Updates and Follow UpH1 - Price moved up already. In order for the bullish momentum to continue, 223.60 is the next important level that we want to see broken up in order for us to continue looking for buys 216.00 must hold For those of you who cashed out already, any pullback is a possibility to go long again (but again 216 must hold).Shortby VladimirRibakovPublished 4
LouVuitton Buy IdeaI will be looking for longs once the opportunity presents itself. I believe this stock is making a correction at the moment. 211.85 (already reached more or less), next zone is 195.80, and final area is 185.00. I have marked 3 levels to watch for where I expect the reversal to happen. Weekly - Potential bullish divergence D1 - Another bullish divergence - Be patient and wait for your confirmation! Keep in mind it could easily push lower, Combination of trend line breakout (most recent down trend line) with most recent high on the H4 chart, this is what we are looking for. Of course if price pushes lower and new Highs/Trend Lines are created, adjust your analysis to the most recent one. Once we see this kind of a breakout, wait for a small correction to improve the risk:reward ratio and go for longs. Those of you who want to be more aggressive can try longs with H1 chart Forex Libra Code signals.Shortby VladimirRibakovPublished 5