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Microsoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 3% This MonthMicrosoft (MSFT) Shares Drop Over 3% This Month An overview of stock market charts since the beginning of the month reveals that while the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) is in positive territory, Microsoft (MSFT) shares have underperformed significantly. The opening price on 1st October was $427.47, but by yesterday's close, it had fallen over 3%. One of the key drivers behind this bearish sentiment is analysis from Oppenheimer, suggesting that Microsoft's financial performance may be negatively impacted by losses related to OpenAI. Additionally, Oppenheimer downgraded Microsoft's stock rating, a concerning sign ahead of the upcoming third-quarter earnings season. Technical analysis of Microsoft's (MSFT) stock chart shows that the price is hovering around a critical support zone, which is formed by: → the lower boundary of an upward channel that has been in place since early 2024 (marked in blue); → the psychological level of $400 per share. What could happen next? Bullish outlook: Microsoft's (MSFT) share price may reverse upwards from this support zone. Yesterday’s bullish candle indicates a potential increase in demand. Bearish outlook: The median line of the blue channel has acted as resistance (shown by the arrow). It’s possible that the next level where bears could confirm control is the former support at $425. Which scenario plays out largely depends on Microsoft's upcoming earnings report, scheduled for 22nd October. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
Microsoft: Beginning of a Downtrend? NASDAQ:AAPL After a prolonged uptrend in Microsoft’s stock that lasted over a year, there are now some technical signals suggesting that this upward momentum might be reversing. As shown in the image (attached), one of the key indicators of this potential shift is the moving average crossover. The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average. This pattern, often referred to as a “death cross”, is a classic technical sign that a stock may be entering a downtrend. While this is by no means a guarantee, it’s a signal worth paying attention to, as it typically reflects a change in market sentiment. Combined with other potential indicators, this could be the beginning of a bearish phase for Microsoft. What are your thoughts? Are we looking at a correction, or is this just a short-term blip? Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal opinion and analysis. It is not financial advice. I am not responsible for any actions taken by others based on this information. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by omer12345678
MSFT Setting up for a Long trade**Microsoft Value Correlation to USD and Interest Rates >We are approaching oversold region for both correlations **Election Year Seasonality forecast >Setting up for a Bullish move on October 10 Technical Analysis: 1. Price could reach the highlighted Demand Zone and bounce. 2. Price could also reach the Gap Below the Demand zone. Price Gaps are like magnets because this is a market imbalance. OTHERS: >Scalpers can ride the Bearish trend until price reaches Demand Zone >Long term traders can position for a Long trade at Demand Zone or at the Gap area. ***As always, manage your own trades, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TradersPod
Microsoft (MSFT): Decision Point – Will It Hold or Drop?Since our last analysis on Microsoft, not much has changed in terms of price action, as it rose to $469 before getting stuck again at $416. However, there is one major development – Microsoft has formed a new trend channel. We have marked this crucial channel in red and labeled it "Must hold for more upside," emphasizing its importance. A major decision is approaching for $MSFT. Either Microsoft holds this channel, leading to a surge higher, or it loses this level, which would confirm the bearish head and shoulder pattern. We've maintained a bearish outlook on Microsoft since January 2024, and recent developments seem to support our analysis. For now, we're patiently waiting and letting the market decide. If Microsoft loses the channel, we could find initial support for wave (A) around $316-306. However, a better buying opportunity for wave II may present itself closer to $220 – though reaching this level will take some time. 🫡
NASDAQ:MSFT
by freeguy_by_wmc
Greer Zones (Buy and Sell Zones)Greer Zones Indicator The Greer Zones indicator is designed to identify optimal buy and sell zones based on the Aroon indicator and Fibonacci numbers. It detects key market shifts by calculating the highest and lowest prices over a user-defined period, providing visual cues for when the market enters a potential BuyZone or SellZone. Key Features: BuyZone and SellZone Detection: Automatically identifies and labels BuyZones and SellZones on the chart, helping users spot potential entry and exit points. Fibonacci-Based Calculation: The indicator uses the Fibonacci number 233 for its Aroon calculation, a common ratio in technical analysis, to find reliable trends and reversals. Visual Zone Marking: The script fills the areas between price levels with distinct colors to clearly visualize when the price is in a BuyZone (red shading) or SellZone (green shading). Customizable Options: Users can enable or disable zone boxes, customize the size of text labels, and receive alerts when a BuyZone begins or ends. Midpoint and Price Extremes: Plots the lowest and highest price levels along with the midpoint to offer a complete view of the price behavior during the zones. This indicator is ideal for long-term traders who want to simplify their decision-making process by identifying key moments when the market enters favorable buying or selling conditions.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by controllinghand
Microsoft Corp. Impending CrashLooking at Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), we have the same dynamic we saw on the Nvidia (NVDA) and Apple, Inc. (AAPL) charts, the lower high. The All-Time High for this stock came in July 2024. This means that prices have been dropping now for several months. The recent up-move is just a pull-back, a natural market reaction after a major move. The bias is down and new downtrend is being established, we are in bearish territory. The pull-back produces a lower high and now we have a break below EMA8, EMA13 and EMA21 on the weekly timeframe. Closing below these levels, 421-423, would confirmed the bearish bias. The week closes tomorrow of course. Trading volume has been dropping since March 2023, a very long time and we have marketwide correlation with this chart. The DXY, which moves in inverse fashion to these stocks, turned ultra-bullish and is growing like there is no tomorrow. We are about to experience a major correction or crash on this one. Prepare yourself. The bearish wave can last for months... Thank you for reading. Your support is appreciated. Namaste.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlanSantana
4
Microsoft - Its Decision Time Hi Guys, This chart could be a leading indicator for overall market direction, alongside NASDAQ:NVDA - NVIDIA and $AAPL. So this chart and the other two largest companies in the world Nvidia and Apple are worth paying close attention to, for overall market direction. ▫️ Similar to a the 2019 - 2022 period, the price held the mid term parallel channel with the 200 day SMA acted as underside support. When the 200SMA and the parallel channel was lost in Q1 2023, it led to significant 28%+ decline from these levels (38% from the prior highs of the period). ▫️ We can use the DSS Bressert and the On Balance Volume to help here in distinguishing a likely trend direction. ▫️ This is a very strong chart as it stands. Many traders could step in at the 200 day SMA and bottom of the channel. If the channel is lost, and we have serious reason for concern and could exit on a revisit or test of the underside of the channel (as illustrated with the arrow). Unless the channel is lost which sync's up with a loss of the 200 day moving average (approx. $410), intermediate trend looks intact for continued upwards trajectory. Remember, you can check in on this chart and press play to get updated data at any time by clicking the link in the comments below or by following me on TradingView. PUKA
NASDAQ:MSFT
by PukaCharts
OpenAI closes historic funding roundOpenAI has closed a $6.6 billion funding round, reaching an impressive valuation of $157 billion. The company, known for its development of ChatGPT, cements its position as one of the world's most valuable private companies. • Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) are the lead investors in this round, joined by Thrive Capital, Khosla Ventures and other venture capital players. Changes to the company's structure The closing of the financing round coincides with a phase of internal restructuring at OpenAI. The departure of its chief technology officer, Mira Murati, last week marked a key point in this transformation. • CFO Sarah Friar announced that the company plans to offer employees the opportunity to buy back their shares. Revenue and growth outlook OpenAI projects revenues of $3.6 billion in 2024, despite growing losses of more than $5 billion. By 2025, the company expects a significant jump, with revenue forecast at $11.6 billion. • Thrive Capital has the option to invest an additional $1 billion if OpenAI reaches certain revenue targets. Participation of major investors and their role Altimeter Capital, Fidelity and SoftBank (TYO: 9984), along with Abu Dhabi investment firm MGX, also participated in this round, underscoring OpenAI's appeal to large global investors. Although Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) was in negotiations to participate in the financing, it ultimately decided not to do so. • The structure of the financing included convertible notes contingent on the successful restructuring into a for-profit organization. OpenAI's meteoric growth Since ChatGPT's launch, OpenAI has experienced rapid growth in popularity, attracting more than 250 million weekly active users. Its valuation has increased from $14 billion in 2021 to $157 billion in 2024. • The company continues to look to develop artificial general intelligence (AGI) as it accelerates its commercialization and pursues profitability. Conclusion The $6.6 billion funding round strengthens OpenAI's position as a leader in artificial intelligence, with backing from major investors such as Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). Despite internal challenges, the company remains focused on growth and moving towards artificial general intelligence (AGI), consolidating its key role in the future of the technology sector. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by ActivTrades