MT - Is this the TOP or are we going to 32.5? - ARCELORMITTAL SAArcelorMittal SA is the biggest steel manufacturer in the world.
We had a stellar run from the march low and we made good money with this stock. A lot of people believe it has steam left.
The big question, is this the top or are we going to go higher?
Some institutions have upgraded MT to anywhere between a 25-32.5 EUR target. We got the high steel prices, above average profitability, ECB support on their debt, excellent pickup in demand.
What do the charts say? The monthly shows lot's of promise, no signals we are at a top, if you believe in long term trend anylisis.
The weekly stochastics look a little overbought, but then again, stochastics arn't the best indicator during very strong upwards or downwards rally's.
I believe MT will see some selling off the top, and then try another stab at the 200MA which it broke above last week but fell back under on firday (200MA is white line on the chart below).
MT/N trade ideas
Continuation or Eminent Breakout?In my previous post i saw MT hitting the moving average, which it subsequently did and rebounded from.
At 23 MT is at a tipping point. Either it moons tomorrow and takes off towards 24 or pulls back to 22.75 and then bounces.
Looking further out i see the trend continuing and breaking out of the ascending triangle.
MT pullback from top: buy the dipWe had a long position up untill the last top. Then got stopped out today. This stock is still making it's way higher, this week we broke out of the trend channel and onto a new high since march. I think we are moving towards pre-march levels before year end, so still a lot of upside potential. We are now looking for a good entry again.
We are approaching resistance at 15.242 in this consolidation after yesterday's high.
MACD and RSI are all pointing down and looks like they have room to go down further.
If we look at the trendlines we can draw from the channel we just broke out of we could pullback for 2-3 days before we go back up.
Now it's best to wait and see if we can find a new solid resitance. We will probably trade sideways for a bit before we can rally again.
To be clear, I was long on MT and made profit, wanted to take half of the top, but got stopped out today (stop probably a tad too tight). Will re-enter long at the right moment.
ARCELORMITTAL Announcement DailyHey traders, ARCELORMITTAL is in bullish movement with a hammer buy candle and low buy volume. It is on a bullish slant then breaking the fibonacci, but without any buying force. Great likelihood of going on the last precedent above, if buyers have the appetite. They can fill the bullish gap but little buying power to come on the next high.
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MT Buy Opportunity LoadingCommodities have remained very cheap against the recent rise in Major World Indexes.
This includes iron ore.
And this cheapness can create opportunities in the iron and steel industry.
The price can get even cheaper.
The analysis does not contain a very high quality risk / reward ratio, but I think it is possible to make very profitable trades based on this idea in lower time frames.
Parameters
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1 / 1.68
Stop-Loss : 13.632
Goal : 20.43
Turning point - Arcelor Mittal hugely undervaluedIf there is no recession then the true value of Arcelor it triple the current price.
Steel manufacturers trade at huge discount when a crisis is expected. However, it is now hugely overdone for Arcelor Mittal.
It is trading at 3x Operating Cashflow!! It means that in 3 years the value is earned in cash.
Same for EBITDA 3x
P/E is approximately 6x
This is extremely cheap! Especially if they can refinance their debt at current low rates the P/E will even become cheaper.
Perfect moment to step in!