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NVDA trade ideas

NVDA at Critical Reversal Zone! Decisive Moves Ahead? Here's the latest detailed breakdown of NVDA on the 1-hour timeframe, emphasizing key reversal zones detected. 📈 Technical Analysis (TA): * NVDA currently consolidating at around $121, showing signs of indecision at this upper reversal (green) zone, indicating potential profit-taking or reversal. * Clear bullish structure with a recent Break of Structure (BOS) above $120, but momentum is fading slightly as shown by MACD trending lower. * Critical bullish reversal support zone (red) detected clearly at $115-$116. A retest of this area could offer a potential entry for longs if buyers step in. * If price loses momentum at the current resistance area ($121), watch for a retracement to test key support at the identified lower red reversal zone. 📊 GEX & Options Insights: * Strongest gamma wall and highest positive NET GEX located significantly higher at $130. This remains a key upside target if bullish momentum resumes strongly. * Immediate resistance at the 2nd call wall at $122 is currently acting as overhead pressure. Further bullish continuation requires a clear breakout above this level. * Notable PUT support established at the $110 level, providing substantial downside protection if NVDA retraces sharply. * IV Rank notably low at 11.2%, indicating low premium and relatively low volatility environment, favorable for strategic debit spread setups or long calls/puts based on directional bias. 💡 Trade Recommendations: * Bullish Scenario: Consider long positions if NVDA holds above $120.50–$121 zone with a breakout confirmation targeting $124 initially, then $130. * Bearish Scenario: Short-term put options could be favorable if rejection is confirmed at the current green reversal resistance around $121, targeting the red reversal support area around $116. * Neutral Strategy: Potential for iron condor setups between clearly defined ranges ($115–$125), capitalizing on low IV environment. 🛑 Risk Management: Keep stops tight around recent highs or lows depending on directional bias. Watch volume and MACD closely for confirmation. Trade carefully and stay alert! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
AAPL, NVDA, MSFT & XPS: High-Probability Trade Setups This WeekWeekly Trade Radar & Market Outlook This week, my focus is on AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, and XPS. There could be a potential retest of the 200 SMA with AAPL and MSFT, offering opportunities for well-structured trades. NVDA looks weak and has already tested the 200 SMA, making it a candidate for further downside potential or a short-term bounce. Additionally, Chinese developments in AI chip production remain a factor that could influence price action, particularly with NVDA. Staying aware of these key levels and macro developments is crucial for trade execution. 📚 Trading Plan: Ichimoku & 200 SMA Monthly Options Strategy** 📌 Strategy Objective This strategy aims to capitalize on **high-probability trend-following setups** by using the **Ichimoku Cloud and 200 SMA** for confirmation while trading **monthly options contracts** to minimize time decay risks. 📀 Trading Rules ✅ 1. Entry Timing Rules (Your 3 Golden Rules)** 🚫 **No trading on Mondays** (Avoid weekend gaps & false breakouts). 🚫 **No trading on Fridays** (Avoid weekend time decay & volatility). ⏳ **No trades before the first 15-minute candle closes** (Avoid market noise). 📊 Setup & Trade Criteria 🔹 2. Trend Confirmation Using Ichimoku & 200 SMA Bullish (Call Trade) Criteria: ✅ **Price is above the 200 SMA** (bullish bias). ✅ **Price is above the Ichimoku Cloud** (strong uptrend). ✅ **Tenkan-sen is above Kijun-sen** (momentum confirmation). ✅ **Chikou Span is above price from 26 candles ago** (historical trend alignment). ✅ **Future Cloud is green** (trend continuation signal). Bearish (Put Trade) Criteria: ✅ **Price is below the 200 SMA** (bearish bias). ✅ **Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud** (strong downtrend). ✅ **Tenkan-sen is below Kijun-sen** (momentum confirmation). ✅ **Chikou Span is below price from 26 candles ago** (historical trend alignment). ✅ **Future Cloud is red** (trend continuation signal). 🔹 3. Entry Triggers (After First 15-Min Candle Closes)** **Bullish (Call Trade) Entry:** - Price pulls back to **Kijun-sen** and holds support, then starts to bounce. - OR price **breaks above the Ichimoku Cloud** and holds. - ✅ Enter **Call contract (monthly expiration)**. **Bearish (Put Trade) Entry:** - Price pulls back to **Kijun-sen**, rejects resistance, and starts falling. - OR price **breaks below the Ichimoku Cloud** and holds. - ✅ Enter **Put contract (monthly expiration)**. 🔹 4. Selecting the Right Option Contract ✅ Monthly expiration contract (third Friday of the month). ✅ 30-60 days to expiry (avoid rapid theta decay). ✅ Strike Price: - **ATM (At-The-Money) or slightly ITM (In-The-Money)**. - Delta between **0.55 – 0.70** for balance between premium & movement. ✅ Liquidity Criteria: - **Open Interest > 1,000** for easy fills. - **Tight bid-ask spread** (<$0.10 on liquid stocks). 🎯 Risk Management & Trade Management** 🔹 5. Stop Loss & Take Profit Rules** Stop Loss (SL): 🔴 For Calls: Below the Kijun-sen or most recent swing low. 🔴 For Puts: Above the Kijun-sen or most recent swing high. Take Profit (TP): ✅ First Target: At the opposite edge of the Ichimoku Cloud. ✅ Second Target: Key support/resistance level based on price action. ✅ If profit reaches 70-80% max potential, close early** to avoid theta decay. --- 🔹 6. Trade Adjustments** 🔄 Rolling:If trade is profitable near expiry but hasn’t hit full target, roll to next monthly contract. 🔄 Cutting Losses: Exit early if price **closes inside the Ichimoku Cloud** (loss of trend strength). 📊 Trade Example: Bullish Call Play** - Stock:** AAPL - Current Price:** $190 - Bias: Price is above 200 SMA and Ichimoku Cloud - Entry Trigger:** Price pulls back to Kijun-sen and bounces - Option Contract: - Expiry: **Next monthly contract (e.g., July 19 expiration)** - Strike: **$190 ATM Call** - Delta: **0.60** - Bid/Ask Spread: **$2.00 / $2.05** - Entry Price: $2.05 - Stop Loss: Below Kijun-sen (~$187) - Take Profit: - First TP at $195 (Cloud resistance) - Final TP at $200 key resistance 🔹 7. Why This Strategy Works?** ✅ **Avoids weak setups by following strict entry rules**. ✅ **Uses monthly contracts to avoid rapid time decay**. ✅ **Combines trend-following confirmation from Ichimoku & 200 SMA**. ✅ **Ensures liquidity & better risk management with ATM/ITM options**. 📀 Final Notes 🔹 Only trade **Tuesday to Thursday** to avoid low-probability days. 🔹 Wait for **first 15-minute candle to close** before entering. 🔹 Stick to **monthly contracts** for better theta control. 🔹 **Follow trend confirmation rules strictly**—no guessing. Turning a Small Trading Account into a Side Hustle for Financial Freedom Imagine having a skill that allows you to generate income from anywhere, with nothing more than your phone, iPad, or laptop. No need for an expensive setup, no need for hours glued to a screen, and no need to risk everything on a single trade. This is the power of trading options with a small account—starting with as little as $500 and scaling up over time to create financial security, eliminate debt, and build leverage for larger investments. Weekly Trade Radar & Market Outlook This week, my focus is on AAPL, NVDA, MSFT, and XPS. There could be a potential retest of the 200 SMA with AAPL and MSFT, offering opportunities for well-structured trades. NVDA looks weak and has already tested the 200 SMA, making it a candidate for further downside potential or a short-term bounce. Additionally, Chinese developments in AI chip production remain a factor that could influence price action, particularly with NVDA. Staying aware of these key levels and macro developments is crucial for trade execution. Trading Method: Ichimoku Cloud & 200 SMA Strategy For trade setups, I rely on a combination of the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200 SMA to confirm entries and exits. This system provides a structured approach to trading by identifying trend direction, support and resistance levels, and potential breakouts. Identify the Trend – The 200 SMA serves as the key trend indicator. If price is above, we look for long opportunities; if below, short setups take priority. Ichimoku Confirmation – Price action should align with the cloud structure: Bullish trades: Price above the cloud with strong momentum. Bearish trades: Price below the cloud with confirmation of weakness. Entry Timing – Trades are entered after the first 15-minute candle closes to avoid early market volatility. No trades on Mondays or Fridays to maintain consistency and avoid false breakouts. Monthly Options Contracts – Focusing on monthly expirations allows for strategic entries with enough time for price movements to develop. Risk Management – Stop losses are set just below key Ichimoku or 200 SMA levels, ensuring a disciplined risk-reward ratio. How This Can Work as a Side Hustle Many people look for side hustles to supplement their income, but most involve long hours, additional expenses, or require significant effort to scale. Trading options, however, offers: ✅ Minimal time commitment – With the right plan, you spend less than an hour per day analyzing and placing trades. ✅ Low startup cost – Start with as little as $500 and build from there. ✅ No physical inventory or overhead – You don’t need to buy and store products. ✅ Scalability – As your account grows, you can increase contract size and compound gains. ✅ Financial freedom potential – The profits from consistent, disciplined trading can be used to pay off debt, invest, or build long-term wealth. The Power of Leverage: Using Trading to Build Wealth The ultimate goal of trading isn’t just to make a little extra cash—it’s to create financial leverage. Here’s how smart traders use small account growth to create lasting financial success: 1️⃣ Get Out of Debt – Use profits to pay off credit cards, student loans, or other financial burdens. Imagine the freedom of being debt-free. 2️⃣ Reinvest in Larger Opportunities – Once your small account grows, you can scale up your trades, fund larger investments, or even start a business. 3️⃣ Build a Safety Net – Having extra cash flow from trading can serve as an emergency fund, helping you navigate life’s unexpected challenges. 4️⃣ Create a Path to Full-Time Trading – For those who love the process, this side hustle can evolve into a primary source of income over time. It’s About Discipline, Not Just Trading The key to successful trading isn’t the market—it’s you. Many traders fail because they lack the discipline to follow a system. This approach isn’t just about making money; it’s about becoming the kind of person who can execute a plan without emotion, without impulsiveness, and without shortcuts. Success in trading mirrors success in life: patience, discipline, and consistency always win. Getting Started – No Excuses You don’t need a fancy setup. You don’t need to be a finance expert. You just need a phone, iPad, or laptop, a brokerage account (I use Robinhood for its simplicity), and a commitment to mastering a system that works. If you’re looking for a low-stress, high-reward way to build financial security, trading options with a small account might be the perfect opportunity. It’s time to take control of your future—one trade at a time.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by invinoveritas7671
$NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge PatternVANTAGE:NVIDIA ─ Wyckoff Distribution #4 aka Rising Wedge Pattern Although Rising wedge turning into more like Rising Channel distribution idea is still valid. #2 Long Trade TP1 Hit so far 🔥 ------------ ------------ Note: This is the most positive outcome possible. As always, my play is: ✅ 50% out at TP1 ✅ Move SL to entry ✅ Pre-set the rest of the position across remaining TPs It's important to take profits along the way and not turn a winning trade into a losing trade.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Bulltro
NVDA at a decision point, same area as September 2024Price as of my analysis: $113.76 NVDA is sitting at a major horizontal support zone around $113.50. This level acted as strong support in June 2024 and again in September 2024, where it launched a 34% rally toward the $152 range. Price is now testing that same level again — this is a key decision point. If this support breaks, my first downside target is $104.70, followed by $100.96. The $100 level is also psychological support and could attract buyers if tested. At the same time, NVDA is also pressing against a downtrend line that began in mid-February 2025, starting from the ~$143 level. Price rejected off this trendline again on Monday, confirming sellers are defending it. The 10 EMA and 20 EMA on the daily chart sit around $119. For any upside to unfold, NVDA must reclaim these levels. Above that, we’re looking at resistance between $125–130, which is a confluence zone: Downward-sloping 50 SMA Flat 200 SMA The prior uptrend line from May 2023, now acting as potential resistance If the bounce begins here at $113.50, reclaiming the EMAs would be the first bullish signal. Clearing the $125–130 area could open the path back to $141, which was the breakdown candle from February. On the weekly chart, the same $113.50 level shows as significant. The weekly EMAs are starting to turn down, and this week’s candle is showing signs of indecision — suggesting a potential reversal or further breakdown is brewing. Watching how this week closes will be key. Summary: Holding $113.50 = potential bounce toward $119 → $125–130 → $141 Losing $113.50 = likely flush to $104.70 → $100.96 $100 = psychological support and probable strong demand zone Currently at the intersection of major support and downtrend resistance = high-stakes decision zone
NASDAQ:NVDA
by emanuelaelias
Buying Opportunity Amid Correction?Technical Analysis: NVIDIA has completed a bullish Elliott Wave cycle, reaching a high of $153.13 (wave V). It is currently in a corrective phase, with a recent drop to $116.72. Key support levels to watch are $105.88 and $81.16, which could be attractive levels for a long-term entry. If the price drops to $81.16 (50% retracement), it could be a buying opportunity, as NVIDIA has historically bounced from important support levels. Longer-term, a new bullish cycle could take the price toward $183.20, but it must first complete this correction. Market Context: The market has experienced recent declines due to macroeconomic concerns, such as inflation and interest rates, along with an investor rotation toward defensive sectors. The technology sector, including NVIDIA, has been particularly affected by fears of weaker chip demand and elevated valuations. Fundamental Outlook: Despite the correction, NVIDIA remains a leader in AI, gaming, and data centers. Demand for its artificial intelligence GPUs remains strong, and its market position is solid. However, investors should be aware of macroeconomic risks and competition in the semiconductor sector. Recommendation: For long-term investors, the $105.88 and $81.16 levels could be attractive entry points, with a long-term target of $183.20. However, it is recommended to wait for confirmation of a rebound from these supports and monitor market conditions. For short-term traders, the current volatility could offer trading opportunities in both directions. #NVIDIA #NVDA #TechnicalAnalysis #Investment #StockMarket #ElliottWaves #Technology Conclusion NVIDIA is in a corrective phase after a significant rally, and recent market declines have amplified this correction. However, the support levels identified on the chart could offer buying opportunities for long-term investors, especially if the price drops to $81.16. Despite the macroeconomic challenges, NVIDIA's fundamentals remain strong, making it an attractive candidate for a long-term recovery.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by JAG_Trader
$NVDA and Elliott Wave.My reasoning; Wave 2 of the Wave was a Zigzag from the weekly time frame, and as per the rules, Zigzags must be followed by Flats in any correction-- meaning our Wave 4 must be a Flat. Indeed, Wave 4 is a Flat, seen clearly in the daily time frame and it begins after Wave 3(in Black), with a three wave move that is not deep enough to be a correction. This is normal for Wave A in any Flat and is labelled in Dark Blue. After Wave A was completed, we would expect a Wave B and as per the rules, Wave B must go beyond Wave 3's ending. This can be clearly seen in both the daily and weekly time frames. Back to the daily time frame and we can take a closer look at Wave B that is still unfolding. Elliott rules dictate that B must be a three Wave move with two impulses and one corrective wave. The first impulse was formed and the second(corrective) was a Flat which is a corrective structure. Now all that is left is the third wave which will be the second impulse that will complete the Wave B(Dark Blue). Upon completion of this Wave B we could expect a Wave 4 to the downside. All these Waves have been measured by the Fibonacci Retracement tool.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by machariavictor017
3/20/25 - $nvda - Patient, but path to $10 tn (LONGER READ sry!)3/20/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA Patient, but path to $10 tn - as we reflect on this crack tape, i'd like to share a few thoughts here, hopefully keeping it a bit punchy and we can duke it out/ debate in the comments. - objectively, the level of HPC/ AI compute is accelerating up the S curve. - nvidia's customers are the most price inelastic buyers you could want in a recession. microsoft. tesla. amazon. nation states *cough*. these aren't BNPL customers ordering burritos and a side of GPU chips thru doordash. - NVIDIA's platform won. such that they don't screw the pooch and their 35k engineers all focused on a singular issue don't decide to go solve some unrelated market (/sarc bc we know Jensen's style), effectively there's no "rebuilding" NVIDIA. ASICs will eventually come, but they won't dominate. In the chip business, there's a reason each vertical tends toward 70... 80... 90% market share players. - the real issue here, when i run the math (and i've built out my own model tn to wrap my head around this all), is really *where* we are on this S-curve. the mkt is concerned about a few things, and actually, the macro/ risk assets and long-duration i.e. discount rate seem to be more important than fundamentals. that's a good thing, BUT, in the short-term it can really dislocate price. and price tells a story. and that story can distract. it can avert your attention. it can make you nervous (on the converse, fomo). so it's good to have a clear idea of what's going on here, which is why i underwent this exercise. - all-else equal, as beats, communication and sector dominance remain (and they don't need to be massive beats, just not misses that portend lower growth in the terminal), my estimates put NVDA's mkt cap close to 10 tn. - but at shy of $3 tn today, that 3x LIKELY will take 2-3 years to play out and will largely be driven by the short term climb of the S-curve, and more immediately driven by, again, terminal rates. - fair value today ex-beats but with lower terminal rates likely takes the stock toward $5 tn (and i'd expect this to be a reasonably year-end target) or a stock of $200. let's call that move 2/3 "macro" and 1/3 "fundamental" - and the remainder of the move toward doubling likely happens over the following 2 years because more data will need to be collected by the market to assess this dominance, cash generation etc. etc. - okay this isn't a punchy write up... at this pt. excuse me! - so what's the downside? again, there's a lot we can and should duke out in comments to shorten the conclusion here, but i'd suggest something closer to $2 tn for a variety of reasons. that's nearly 30% downside or a stock in the $80s. do we get there? no clue. but in this environment, we've seen how deepseek headlines, blackwell overheating rumors (which btw remain), asic announcements, chinese "competition" etc. etc. all affect the bid. and i'd suggest that a 30% downside for a potential 70% upside into year-end remains a great risk-reward here at $120 today. - my guess would be that long-term buyers accumulate at these levels and we probably get taken closer to the $130s... even $140s before this becomes more of a complicated equation. - that being said, it's a clear buy, IMO, at this price, in a YE context and especially in a multi-year context given downside to upside potential and the work i've put in here. truly a one-of-a-kind asset that has actually held it's own against BTC in the last 10 years (THE ONLY of any real market cap) TL;DR - still a great buy at $120 - downside below $100 and it's obvious. buying that fear, possibly on leverage in the $80s. - not using leverage ST in this environment - YE target of $200 - unfortunately more of a macro punching bag ST but fundamentals remain the meat of the 2-3 year move and so far, don't see any flaws. lmk what u think. V
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by VROCKSTAR
Nvdia has a new Aggressor.The boxes you are observing are the Larger scale supply and demand zones. These areas map out the current large liquidity. This includes the newest Player (collective players). This new player has been aggressively on the 17th and 18th. Why does identifying a new aggressor matter? New aggressors shape the way we view previous areas of supply and demand. Some look at the price getting to their target, without giving any thought to HOW it gets there. In this instance: Previous supply and demand have been established (we do not know how big they are or who is stronger). Some clues we do have is how it approaches these areas, and new aggressors can give us the clues we need... Will it bounce off demand? or fulfill it and continue lower? New aggressors can put more pressure on these Demand or supply zones simply because they are becoming more aggressive closer to these areas. Prediction Scenario 1 Rolling over, and touching the 106 demand zone. Get's bought up, and new aggressors presents themself (bringing more demand). Price Target = 123. If there is continued demand through this area, a case can be made for a 138 target before a correction/ reversal. Scenario 2 New demand chews up this new aggressor. We should then have a bullish run to 131. 131 would present itself as a great short-term options (short). Scenario 3 Rolling over with NEW (short) aggressors. This will put tons of pressure on the 106 players, and hopefully the 96's hang on (not charted). Please feel free to share you input, thank you for taking the time. Happy Trading!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by thecafetrader