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Reddit Braves Wall Street with 48% Pop in Debut. When Growth?Traders upvoted Reddit’s IPO but can the buzzing social media platform earn its stripes as a public company now?
Table of Contents:
⦿ Reddit Surges in Public Market Kickoff
⦿ If Wall Street Bought, Should You?
⦿ Reddit Stacked Up Against Rivals
⦿ Ad Posts Looking Like User Posts?
⦿ Bottom Line
📍 Reddit Surges in Public Market Kickoff
Reddit (ticker: RDDT ) stepped into the public-market space this week with a flashy and splashy IPO (initial public offering) in New York that chalked up a 48% gain on its debut day. The listing was met with lots of cheer from Wall Street as it was the biggest one for a social media company since Pinterest hit exchanges in 2019.
Shares of Reddit surged to $47 out of the gate to make its first deals at a 38% premium to the company’s IPO price of $34 a share. Valuation soared to $9.5 billion by the end of the session when shares closed at just over $50 a pop.
Reddit’s listing day with the Snoo—the website’s official mascot. Source: Reddit.
By the looks of it, investors upvoted Reddit—a chat-room powerhouse and a stalwart of community-based culture venues sprawling from cat-praising r/CatsInSinks and owl-loving r/Superbowl to the intimidating trading hub r/wallstreetbets that bankrupted GameStop short-seller Melvin Capital.
📍 If Wall Street Bought, Should You?
So the question is, if Wall Street scooped up Reddit shares… should you?
Let’s take a behind-the-curtain look at Reddit’s business model.
It’s been three years of trying for Reddit to get listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Finally, it issued 22 million shares for flotation, of which 8%—or 1.8 million—were reserved for friends, family and volunteer moderators. Those are unpaid users who make sure all the online communities are running smoothly. And they are also the content creators, because—unlike Netflix (ticker: NFLX ) or Spotify (ticker: SPOT )—Reddit doesn’t pay for its content.
The platform boasts roughly 73 million daily active users spread across 100,000 online chat rooms, or “subreddits.” Despite the wide reach and 19 years of existence, the platform has never seen what a profitable year looks like.
Its revenue comes predominantly from selling ads to companies who paid $804 million last year while the bottom line arrived at a $91 million loss. The revenue figure was a 20% increase from the $668 million picked up in 2022.
📍 Reddit Stacked Up Against Rivals
And while revenue growth can be seen along the years, investors are betting that Reddit will ultimately catch up to the big shots in the social-media space. When Meta (ticker: META ), formerly Facebook, kicked off its public endeavors in 2012, it soaked up a market value of $104 billion and raised $ $16 billion for its IPO. Elon Musk’s X Corp, formerly Twitter, landed its first public deals at a $14 billion valuation, having raised $1.8 billion. In comparison, Reddit raised $748 million at an IPO valuation of $6.4 billion.
Reddit carries the lowest valuation at IPO among social media peers.
📍 Ad Posts Looking Like User Posts?
Against that backdrop, Reddit is taking a sketchy approach to bolstering its ad sales. Apparently, the folks at the upper echelons of the company decided it’s a good idea to make ad posts look exactly like user posts . The so-called “free form ads”, the company said, will mimic the popular user post type “megathread” and will “encourage users to deep dive into the topic at hand.”
The community, on the other hand, didn’t show much love to that new advertising strategy. “Enable comments on ads, you cowards,” said one Reddit user while related threads were loaded with users’ comments of disapproval.
📍 Bottom Line
And there you have it, 19 years of posts, 100,000 subreddits, and 73 million users who churn out all the content and self-sustain operations. Reddit gave us the meme stock craze back in 2021. Is it going to give us a rerun of the stock frenzy with its own shares this time? Or will the folks at r/wallstreetbets flip the script and short it?
💬 Let us know your thoughts in the comment section below!
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Patience Is the KeyNYSE:RDDT
Wait for the dip before buying ( around $35.54) and hold for this to cross $59.95, confirmation towards $70.87.
P.S look out for the short squeeze
Reddit Shares Surged 38% Above IPO Price, Market Cap Nearly $9BIn a resounding debut on the New York Stock Exchange, social media powerhouse Reddit ( NYSE:RDDT ) saw its shares skyrocket 38% above its initial public offering (IPO) price, propelling the company's valuation to nearly $9 billion. The impressive market reception underscores investors' renewed appetite for promising yet loss-making companies and signals a potential resurgence in the IPO market.
Investor Frenzy Amidst Losses:
Despite Reddit's track record of annual losses since its inception in 2005, investors flocked to the company's IPO, enticed by its strategic positioning as a training ground for artificial intelligence (AI) programs. The recent data licensing deal with Google further fueled investor optimism, highlighting Reddit's potential for monetization beyond traditional advertising revenue streams.
Growth Trajectory and Market Dynamics:
Reddit's ( NYSE:RDDT ) growth narrative centers around its commitment to expanding its user base and community engagement, positioning itself as a growth-oriented company despite its financial losses. With shares trading well above its IPO price range and reaching late trading highs, Reddit's ( NYSE:RDDT ) market performance serves as a litmus test for investor sentiment towards high-growth, yet unprofitable, companies.
Challenges and Roadmap to Profitability:
While Reddit's iconic status in the social media landscape is undeniable, the company faces challenges in monetizing its platform and achieving profitability. Analysts and investors alike will closely scrutinize Reddit's strategy for achieving long-term profitability, particularly amidst intensifying competition from industry giants like Meta Platforms' Facebook and Elon Musk's X.
Retail Allocation and Community Engagement:
Reddit's decision to reserve shares for eligible users, moderators, and retail investors underscores its commitment to rewarding its dedicated community members. However, analysts caution that such retail allocations come with inherent risks, particularly in light of Reddit's fluctuating financial performance and uncertain path to profitability.
Cultural Impact and Future Prospects:
Beyond its financial metrics, Reddit's cultural impact and role as a cornerstone of social media culture cannot be overstated. From hosting iconic "AMA" sessions with notable figures like former President Barack Obama to serving as a hub for community-driven movements like the "meme-stock" saga of 2021, Reddit ( NYSE:RDDT ) occupies a unique position in the digital landscape.
