SAM trade ideas
$SAM Boston Beer Co - Long Term Bull Flag$SAM Boston Beer Company - Bull flag which began back in July has formed on the weekly chart. Long term price target $425-$450 area by December 2019.
Long term price projection dependent on continued strong earnings and market fundamentals into next year. Breakout to new highs next year will most likely require continued beverage innovation and possibly an additional small brewery acquisition (i.e. Angel City, Coney Island, Concrete Beach).
SAM 2019 options are for the most part thinly traded and expensive, but that doesn't mean there isn't opportunity. I'm looking at a December'19 390/450 bull call spread for a debit of about $600 per contract. Max profit = $6,000 or 10x.
If we can bounce from the current price level and eventually break out of the flag pattern to the upside, a strong break through the $325 level would be a solid confirmation. If we breakdown out of this bull flag and below the 50d ema on the weekly chart, I could see us down around $200 by end of February.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$SAM Boston Beer Long-term C&H$SAM Boston Beer Co. forming what looks like a possible cup&handle pattern on the weekly chart. Monitoring for a break of $330 level for a confirmation.
A couple possible medium/long term targets on chart. Note: next ER end of October.
Note: Informational analysis, not investment advice.
$SAM Boston Beer Co Overbought on Weekly Chart$SAM Boston Beer Co looking overbought at all-time high resistance on the weekly chart.
I would expect a short term sub-300 correction and some profit taking leading up to ER 07/26/18.
Stock looking very over-extended...if earnings isn't a home run expect a further correction possibly to the area of $250-$260 by fall.
GAP DOWN BUYBROUGHT YOU THIS ONE A MONTH AGO @ $156.75 AND TRADED OUT OF IT FOR A PROFIT IN 164 AREA. EARNINGS LAST NIGHT DISAPPOINTED AND STOCK IS TRADING DOWN 12 OR SO BACK TO $154-155 AREA. WILL BUY IT THIS MORNING IN THAT RANGE FOR ANOTHER BOUNCE OF $8-10.
REMEMBER, AMERICAN COMPANY SELLING IN AMERICA AND MANAGEMENT HAS BEEN BUYING IN STOCK FOR 3 YEARS. I EXPECT THEY'LL TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THIS DROP....OZ