SolarEdge Holds Support After Gapping DownSolar stocks have outperformed lately as investors react to high oil prices and the green-energy movement. Today we’re looking at SolarEdge Technologies , the No. 2 company in the group by market cap behind Enphase Energy .
The main pattern on the chart is the falling trendline that began in November and ran along the highs of April and most of July. SEDG ripped through that resistance on July 27 as lawmakers advanced key legislation supporting the sector.
Earnings subsequently missed on August 2. That caused the stock to gap lower, but it managed to remain above the previous trendline. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) just rose above the 200-day SMA: a potentially bullish “golden cross” pattern.
Next, consider the sequentially higher lows since January – unlike the broader market’s steady decline through mid-June. Finally, notice how the relative strength index (RSI) has remained mostly above its midline at 50. Both of those patterns could reflect buyers outnumbering sellers.
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SEDG/N trade ideas
Symmetrical Triangle - Watching closelySEDG has been holding this symmetrical triangle for quite some time now, broader market conditions permitting, will certainly be looking for a breakout to the upside going into earnings and as a sympathy play for ENPH, which has earnings on 7/26'. SEDG has some nice bullish divergence on the RSI as buyer volume increases relative to seller volume. SEDG is flagging on the weekly timeframe (See attached chart below), Bollinger bands are also squeezing on the daily and weekly timeframes in addition to a bullish harmonic pattern forming on the daily timeframe. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this triangle (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
PT1- $277.62
PT2- $281.27
PT3- $286.34
PT4- $293.14 + Breakout
Symmetrical Triangle Inverse Head & ShouldersInverse head and shoulders as well which must break the neckline with a trend to the upside to meet long entry level.
Earnings were yesterday. The news does not always equal the reaction so time will tell.
The triangle is neutral until a trendline is broken with a trend in the direction
No recommendation.
The market can be irrational and sometimes everything is interpreted positively and other times negatively.
$SEDG a Potential Solar Leader$SEDG 7 weeks up straight from the bottom. Remember what O'Neil says about stocks that are up 5 + weeks in a row?
The pivot can really use few more quite days. Would love to get on this name but need a low risk point to do so.
Will be watching it. A potential solar leader.
SEDG Long bull flagFlag Momentum Burst entry, long, 1R Target.
Established uptrend
Strong, linear move
Volatility contraction moves back into the channel
Negative day prior to breakout
Entry on momentum candle -
Should see candle close near the high in order to hold and expect to see follow-through, otherwise move stop up tightly or close.
SEDG PredictionsI'm using this as a guide to play earnings. I think earnings are priced in after the move seen in conjunction with with ENPH. Its possible the surprise is enough to move the entire channel up with a bottom around current levels but I think we're more likely to see some guidance around margins being squeezed so we will probably have to wait a few quarters to retest the top of the channel again.
Groundhog Day 2/2/22Today on Groundhog Day 2/2/22 Punxsutawney Phil predicted 6 more weeks of Winter weather instead of early Spring weather. So, what does that have to do with the stock market? Absolutely nothing. But it is a good segue into a possible renewable energy rotation from fossil fuel energy by March. Winter officially started on December 21st and it ends on March 20th. This is a seasonal trend If you want to plan some longer-term trades ahead of time. Here's 4 renewable energy tickers & 4 fossil fuel energy tickers comparison chart. As you can see there's a clear divergence once Winter officially began on the Calendar. And by Spring going into the Summer, they will converge. Yes, I know very well about the current macroeconomic factors such as gas price inflation worries, but the FOMC interest rate hike in March has begun to quell that.
fossil fuel energy:
XOM
MRO
EOG
CVX
renewable energy:
SEDG
ENPH
NEE
FSLR
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
7 Important tools:
Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
Fibonacci MA7 - price
pi RSI - trend momentum
TTC - trend channel
AlertiT - notification
tickerTracker - MFI Oscillator
www.tradingview.com
SEDG looking good for Bullswe are at a down part of a channel that is being consolidating for the last 7 months,
the lowest point of the year on this stock (200usd) was the initiation of this channel (around may 12) when it was in the middle of the golden zone (around 0.618 fibb)
we had visited the down part of the channel in july, october and couple of days ago. Every time we had made those visits, the EMA 200 had been broken but for short terms to rebounce and visit higher highs...
MACD indicator showing a perfect point for a long and RSI was completly oversold it on december 20, 2021...
Personally, this is one of my favorites stocks, the idea of clean energies around the world is something beyond trends and the awareness of the ppl about this topic is growing over time so i hold it for long term, for months...
whats your favorite stock beyond the speculative ones? what are the industries you would like to support more if you could choose? do you know any particular one that you would recommend about clean energies?
lets share!