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SPY trade ideas
SPY: Bears Will Push
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SPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SPY pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 5H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 586.47 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Trump trade just beginning?US equities doing nothing wrong. Bonds finding support. We will wait until President is sworn in to see if breakout holds and if so likely back to test upper trend approx 620.
SPY What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 580.51
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 591.67
My Stop Loss - 576.09
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Spy Road To $615Well My Fellow Traders How Are you Doing And I hope You All Went Long With Me!!! Lets Continue To Go Long For Our Target of $615 and if you guys ever want to trade like me you can use some of my personal Indicators On TradingView To help you Maximize your swing trade postions,, which the indicators are out now on TradingView message me if your intrested! Also I will Update Once We near or hit $615 To Conclude if the bull market is over and we are going for a blow up top or we just continue higher this year..
As Always Good Luck Traders
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-17-25 : Gap Up Higher PatternToday's pattern is a Gap Up Higher in Counter Trend mode.
I believe this pattern would have resulted in a Gap Down Lower price trend related to the counter-trend setup. But it looks like the foreign markets drove the SPY/QQQ higher.
The obvious disruption to the SPY Cycle Patterns recently has come from the post-election concerns and the expectations of a broader credit/debt market crisis (which seems to be subsiding).
I believe we have to get past the Inauguration before we'll be able to see if the markets attempt to establish any defined price trend or continue to trade in a sideways price mode.
Gold and Silver are struggling to muscle higher - which I believe is the likely outcome for metals.
BTCUSD has moved back above $100k - but may struggle above the downward-sloping price channel.
Overall, at this point, I would suggest traders pull profits on any trades they have open as we move into the new Trump Administration and a slew of new EOs and new policies that may disrupt the markets.
We are very likely going to see some new price volatility over the next 30+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$SPY January 17, 2025AMEX:SPY January 17, 2025
60 Minutes
Yesterday 594 was done and 589-590 was protected.
Today we have 200 at 596 levels. in 60 minutes.
So holding 591-593 uptrend is intact for the moment.
599-600 could be a resistance for the moment.
$SPY Tomorrow's Trading RangeNo words tonight - just the chart for tomorrow. 1hr 200MA and the 50DMA above us
Market Outlook for 2025: SPY Price TargetsMarket Outlook for 2025: SPY Price Targets
As we navigate through 2025, investors and traders are closely monitoring the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) for signs of where the market might head. Here’s a detailed monthly breakdown of expected price movements:
January:
Downside Target: $574.15
Upside Target: $593.15
Outlook: The new year begins with a cautious note, with a narrow trading range expected. The market might see early profit-taking or a response to late-year 2024 policy news.
February:
Downside Target: $563.75
Upside Target: $589.13
Outlook: February might continue the cautious trend from January, with potential for a slight recovery if early-year economic indicators are positive.
March:
Downside Target: $561.78
Upside Target: $601.45
Outlook: Spring might bring some optimism, with the upside target suggesting a possible rally, perhaps due to seasonal adjustments in investment strategies.
April:
Downside Target: $538.23
Upside Target: $567.03
Outlook: This month could see a dip, reflecting concerns over quarterly earnings or macroeconomic data. However, the upside potential indicates a possible quick recovery or stabilization.
May:
Downside Target: $549.27
Upside Target: $592.61
Outlook: Traditionally, May can be volatile, but the significant upside target suggests optimism, possibly fueled by positive corporate guidance or sector performance.
June:
Downside Target: $572.31
Upside Target: $614.92
Outlook: Summer starts with promise, with a wide range between targets, indicating potential for significant market movements based on mid-year reviews or policy changes.
July:
Upside Target: $618.20
Downside Target: $597.21
Outlook: July might see continued growth from June, with the upside target slightly higher, suggesting sustained investor confidence.
August:
Upside Target: $623.45
Downside Target: $593.93
Outlook: The summer could end on a high note, but with a notable downside risk, reflecting market reactions to economic reports or geopolitical events.
September:
Downside Target: $598.52
Upside Target: $615.57
Outlook: Historically, September is a turbulent month for markets. The narrow range suggests cautious trading with a slight bias towards an upward trend.
October:
Upside Target: $629.96
Downside Target: $597.17
Outlook: October might see a recovery or continuation of September's trends, with a significant upside potential if the market absorbs positive economic news.
November:
Upside: $631.56
Downside Target: $618.20
Outlook: Late-year optimism could drive prices up, with the downside target still above previous months' peaks, indicating a bullish sentiment.
December:
Upside Target: $645.83
Downside Target: $632.32
Outlook: The year might end on a high, with both targets suggesting a market that's resilient or buoyed by end-of-year adjustments and holiday spending.
Conclusion:
This outlook for 2025 suggests a year of volatility with significant potential for both gains and corrections. Investors should remain vigilant, adapting to both the micro and macroeconomic environments, and be ready to capitalize on or hedge against these projected movements in SPY. Remember, these targets are speculative and should be used in conjunction with broader market analysis and individual investment goals.
SPY at a Pivotal Level! Key Trade Setups Before Next Week's EvenSPY is trading within a descending wedge, testing the $591-$592 resistance zone. The chart shows mixed signals, with the MACD trending slightly bearish and the Stochastic RSI approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential near-term weakness. Volume has been steady, but the upcoming Presidential inauguration next week may bring increased volatility.
The $593-$595 range aligns with significant call resistance, while $590-$588 remains critical support, as indicated by gamma exposure (GEX) and options positioning. These levels are likely to guide SPY's movement heading into the politically significant week.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $593-$594: Immediate resistance, aligning with strong GEX call walls.
* $595-$598: Extended resistance zone with significant gamma exposure.
* Support Levels:
* $591: Near-term support level.
* $590-$588: Strong support zone with the highest negative GEX and put positioning.
* $576: Extended downside support.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Positive GEX at $593-$595 acts as a ceiling, limiting upward momentum.
* Negative GEX at $590-$588 provides strong support, but a break could trigger accelerated selling.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Low at 16.3, indicating reduced implied volatility.
* Put/Call Ratio: Elevated at 40.3%, reflecting bearish sentiment among options traders.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $593 with volume confirmation.
* Target: $595 (first target), $598 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $591.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Break below $590 with increased selling pressure.
* Target: $588 (first target), $576 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $593.
Directional Bias:
The bias leans bearish for the short term, with SPY likely to test lower levels before the inauguration. Political uncertainty and potential market volatility may keep SPY range-bound between $588 and $595 this week.
Heading into the next week, a decisive break of the $595 resistance could signal bullish momentum, while a breach of $588 support may lead to a sharper selloff as traders react to political developments and policy announcements.
Actionable Suggestions:
* For Scalpers: Focus on trading the $590-$593 range, aligning with GEX levels and intraday trends.
* For Swing Traders: Position for a potential breakout or breakdown from $588-$595 next week, depending on the political backdrop and market reaction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
SPY SHORT $550 TargetThe ascending wedge has clearly broken down, with the previous bullish wave running out of steam after a buy climax. Selling into this weakness triggered the breakdown and a shift in market character, as seen in after-hours trading. SPY is failing to generate bullish order flow, and I expect it to reach 550 by March.
Up is more likely Smooth landing for Donny, these are my thoughts. Spy might have a large bull back later but need stability for the President.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-16 : Momentum Rally PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will continue a rally phase - trending on the momentum from yesterday. It is likely the SPY/QQQ will attempt to rally and break away from the downward-sloping price channel I show on my charts.
Remember, my broader cycle pattern research suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to rally into Jan 20-23, then peak and roll downward/sideways into a Feb 9-10 V-Bottom pattern.
As I highlight in this video, the markets appear to be moving into a consolidation phase within the current downward-sloping price channel. I'm watching to see if the new Trump administration brings a BUMP (like last time) that breaks the US markets away from this consolidation trend.
Remember, the data on the US economy and earnings continues to be strong. A Trump-Bump will likely happen again, pushing the US markets into even greater dominance as the 900-lb Gorilla compared to other global economies.
However, until global central banks can move their economies to become more independent of US economic demand and imports, the process of working through the excesses of the COVID/Spending-spree administration (Biden) will continue as long as wealth in the US goes unchallenged (by some crisis or economic event).
So, again, expect the 900lb Gorilla to continue to dominate while there is no major crisis event in the future.
Gold and Silver should rally today on a RALLY pattern as well.
I believe BTCUSD is struggling to find support and may move downward over the next 10+ days.
We'll see what happens.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$SPY January 16, 2025AMEX:SPY January 16, 2025
15 minutes.
Yesterday gap open was held.
For the last rise from 578.97 to 592.96 AMEX:SPY retraced to 589.5 before achieving the target 594 for yesterday's move.
598.5 represents 23.6% fall for the last rise and took support at 61.8% retracement for the fall 597.74 to 575.35.
Hence it is important that AMEX:SPY holds 589 levels for upward movement.
For the extension 575 to585 to 578.35, 594 was achieved being 1.618 levels for the first rise.
At the moment we have 200 averages above 50 and 100 in 15 minutes, hence I expect AMEX:SPY to consolidate between 590 to 593 levels today for a further up movement tomorrow.
Also, we have an oscillator divergence from 592.9 to 593.9 levels
No trade day for me today.
SPY: Week of Jan 13th Lots of thoughts but generally undecided.
In summary:
I expect a bit of a bounce up to the 582 range.
I expect a ton of volatility given the economic catalysts which will make it incredibly challenging for day traders attempting to trade it.
I would caution starting a short position if you are not already short and wait to see how it treats the bearish triangle it has broken down from.
Expect upside to the reference target at least at 582 ish.
Expect a whole lot of whipsaw!
Safe trades everyone!
And those wanting the implied range from options indicator:
SPY Gap-Up Analysis and GEX InsightsMarket Overview:
* SPY experienced a strong gap-up today, signaling bullish momentum driven by improved market sentiment and possibly favorable news/events.
* Sector Performance: Leadership is evident in growth and technology sectors, while defensive plays are relatively lagging.
* Volume: Notable increase in volume during the breakout, confirming institutional participation.
Technical Analysis:
1-Hour Chart:
* Trend: SPY continues its upward trajectory, testing resistance near $593-$595.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Displays positive momentum, but the histogram shows early signs of weakening.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought at 96.72, indicating potential for short-term consolidation.
30-Minute Chart:
* Price Action:
* SPY is consolidating below $595 resistance after breaking above $584.
* The bullish gap-up aligns with recent strength, but momentum could face resistance at higher levels.
* Pattern: SPY appears to be forming a rising wedge, a potential bearish reversal pattern if confirmed.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
* $590: Immediate support zone and HVL (Highest Volume Level).
* $584: Strong support aligned with the 2nd PUT Wall.
* $576: Key support, marking the lower trendline of the wedge.
Resistance Levels:
* $593-$595: Immediate resistance, coinciding with the 2nd CALL Wall and highest positive NETGEX.
* $596-$600: Major resistance zone, with $600 as a psychological level and 3rd CALL Wall.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive Gamma Walls (Resistance):
* $595: 71.53% GEX (2nd CALL Wall).
* $596-$600: High resistance zone, with $596 holding 68.17% GEX (3rd CALL Wall).
* Negative Gamma Levels (Support):
* $590: Strong support, holding 15.01% GEX9.
* $584: Critical support zone with PUT dominance (-0.39% GEX).
Options Metrics:
* IVR: 16.4, reflecting low implied volatility.
* IVx: 14.4, below average, indicating stable market expectations.
* Call/Put Bias: Puts dominate at 42.1%, signaling cautious sentiment.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $595 with confirmation of volume.
* Target: $596-$600.
* Stop-Loss: Below $590 to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection at $595 or breakdown below $590.
* Target: $584-$576.
* Stop-Loss: Above $596 to minimize losses.
Directional Bias:
* Bullish Momentum: SPY is poised for further gains if $595 resistance is cleared, targeting $596-$600.
* Caution for Pullback: Overbought conditions and rising wedge formation suggest potential consolidation or retracement toward $584-$590 support.
Weekly Outlook:
* SPY's bullish momentum is likely to continue if market sentiment remains positive, with $600 as the major target by week's end. However, a failure to hold $590 may trigger a retest of lower support levels, presenting short-term opportunities for traders.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
Not great for bulls, but whose trying to short a hole?Lot of gap downs, lot of rallies getting faded.
Bears are cautiously in control. News can change things in an instant.
I do believe we are closer to the end of this correction, but geopolitical issues are starting to come up that may keep things suppressed or sideways.
Biggest risk/reward is aiming for a rally up by EOM. Perhaps when bad news takes a break. We do have an inflation reading release next week, could be nail in the coffin.
Overall, I am starting a bullish position. More likely we see pops a relief gap ups from here.
Maybe/probably wrong, but anyone opening a short position down here is clearly chasing and may find themselves becoming liquidity for overnight moves where all they can do is watch...
SPY ROAD TO THE TOP 2025 I will post this as your road map to the final 5th wave from oct 13 2022 low to top of wave 5 of 3 in the super cycle . the likely date for the final 5th wave is now a window from 2/14 to 3/13 I will talk more about 3/13 soon I am not ready for the public to view this turn date . best of trades Wavetimer
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 1-15 Followup: Rally Into Jan 20-23This video was started to highlight the incredible predictive capabilities of my SPY Cycle Patterns and longer-term Cycle Research.
It seems almost impossible to be able to somewhat accurately predict future price moves - but I'm able to do it with moderate success - sometimes months and years into the future.
What does that mean to you - well, it should mean you want to pay attention to my research/videos and learn how to take advantage of my continued research.
This video highlights why the Doom-sayers are wrong. The markets will continue to trend upward until the 2030-2033 peak. That's when traders need to be prepared for a broad market downtrend.
But, it sure is fun getting emails and announcements from all the people that are now calling for a "great reset" to take place.
It may happen in certain countries, but this is a market of economies - not a single economic market. What happens in some countries does not always happen to all countries.
As the old saying goes - this is a market of stocks, not a stock market.
Get ready - the next 5+ years should be full of incredible opportunities for skilled traders.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Could be a false breakout. Be careful here….Right shoulder could form for a lower drop or keep going to help engulf the weekly. Trump in office next week so right now just sit tight and watch the chats gap up may be a stretch so really be careful!
@SPY bulls can take advantage and retest 600 SPY have been under pressure from short sellers for some time now but looking at this channel we could see buyers stock advantage and to reload their position at 575 and with a break through from 590 ,SPY could be on its way to retest the 600 which serves as a previous resistance .
$SPY GAP UP HELD UNDER ELECTION ANCHORAMEX:SPY has gapped up above all major AVWAP points in 2024 and is stuck under elections supply. Follow-through is needed for extended momentum to the .
