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Market Overview: More Real Life Patterns!!!I cover the Argentina banking sector and how a lot of stocks are covering the same patterns. I also discussed the complex pullback pattern that has been so prevalent in this market. We can see them in stocks like NASDAQ:LULU NYSE:WES NASDAQ:UAL and the short setup today, $S. There is also quite a few long setups. One that I like in particular is $ENB. The AMEX:SPY is in a steady range with a slight bearish bias. If you're short stocks, make sure you are reducing risk and taking your 1:1! Good luck and Good Trading!
AMEX:SPY
by JoeRodTrades
2025 Recession, SPY to Crash But Not YetEvery finance youtuber has been singing about an incoming market crash, recession and all sorts of doom for the past year during this unprecedented (very precedented?) bull run after yields inverted. Just going by the usual patterns and the technicals I would guess that the real pain wont start until April or May, that is based on how bonds uninverted in both 2000 and 2008. I think it makes sense, there is a lot of excitement around Trump and what he will do, all this make America Great and panama and tax cuts and IRS. The first 100 days of the Trump Presidency could have some hope which keeps the market afloat, and as a twist of fate the end of the 100 days lines up with the typical crash timing after an uninversion, that being around May of this year. If we do crash and go to recession I expect some big action from the Fed, after all we have Trump and he will be flaming Powel all day long, so the Fed may react quickly with a big cut that pumps the market up and then 1 more drop to gap fill us around 4300 level (SPY 430). Overall I expect a year of pain for the SNP500, but It won't start just yet, this has been a massive run up and so a topping pattern will take time to form, wait for signs of distribution lower low followed by lower high, sell in May and Stay Away. We will see if/how it plays out. Good Luck, Safe Trades, God Bless.
AMEX:SPYShort
by MikeSpy
SPY Consolidates Near Key Resistance! Can Bulls Break Out?Technical Analysis Overview: 1-Hour Chart: * Trend: SPY is trading in a descending wedge pattern, with resistance at $583 and support near $579. * Indicators: * MACD: Neutral with minimal momentum, indicating consolidation. * Stochastic RSI: Moderately overbought at 61, suggesting a potential pause or pullback. 30-Minute Chart: * Price Action: * SPY is consolidating near $582, with immediate resistance at $583. * Key support levels at $579 and $577 are holding steady. * Volume: Slightly declining, indicating market indecision near resistance. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: * $579: Immediate support zone, aligning with HVL. * $577: Secondary support, coinciding with the 2nd PUT Wall. * $575: Strong support near the 3rd PUT Wall. Resistance Levels: * $582: Immediate resistance zone, aligning with the 2nd CALL Wall. * $583: Key resistance level. * $584-$586: Major resistance zone with GEX walls. GEX Insights: Key Gamma Levels: * Positive Gamma Walls (Resistance): * $582: Immediate resistance aligned with the highest positive NETGEX. * $583-$584: Key resistance zone with 21.23% GEX (2nd CALL Wall). * $586: Long-term resistance zone (18.39% GEX). * Negative Gamma Levels (Support): * $579: Strong support backed by HVL. * $577: Key PUT Wall support (-43.2% GEX). * $575: Significant PUT Wall support (-39.18% GEX). Options Metrics: * IVR: 29.6, indicating low implied volatility. * IVx: 19.8, reflecting subdued market expectations. * Call/Put Bias: PUTs dominate at 49.2%, suggesting cautious sentiment. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Above $583 with volume confirmation. * Target: $584-$586. * Stop-Loss: Below $579 to limit downside risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $583 or a breakdown below $579. * Target: $577-$575. * Stop-Loss: Above $584 to manage risk. Directional Bias: * SPY is consolidating near a critical resistance zone at $583. A breakout could lead to bullish momentum toward $584-$586, while failure to clear resistance may result in a pullback toward $579 or lower. Conclusion: SPY is at a pivotal level near $583. A breakout above this resistance could signal further bullish continuation, while a rejection might trigger consolidation or a pullback. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume for confirmation. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Mid week analysis 1/14/25SPY - Monthly reversal is now being negated as we moved back above the monthly 2-2d trigger at Prev Month Low. We are also now failed 2D coming back through previous week range. The daily went 2-2 rev, but closed failed 2u as we made higher highs, but closed red near mid range of the day. The question for tomorrow is do we continue pushing back through last weeks range to expand the BF created by the 3 from last week, or do we take the failed 2u - 2D reversal, reconfirm the Monthly reversal down as well as the weekly 3-2D. We have a 3-1 setup on the 4HR as well as an inside bar 60 which is what I will be watching going into open tomorrow assuming no gap up or down. Should be an exciting rest of the week as we look to see if bears can reclaim control on the W and M, or if Bulls are setting up for a recovery back to ATH. Levels to watch: Current 60 inside bar High and Low, Current 4HR bar high and low, Prev month low, 585.96 for upside which is the 2-2U rev target we did not get to today, but may compound 2Us tomorrow to get to if the bull scenario is playing out.
AMEX:SPY
by Alanger17
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 1-14 : Harami/Inside PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will stay somewhat flat/sideways related to building a base. Yesterday, 1-13, my broad cycle patterns suggested the markets would establish a "base" - leading to a "peak" on 1-18 and a major top on 1-20. Because of this, I believe the markets will attempt to melt upward into a peaking pattern (with the SPY possibly reach 595-598) before stalling out ahead of the Inauguration event. Gold and Silver may follow this trend after stalling a bit today. Overall, I believe Gold & Silver will move upward attempting to hedge against global risk factors playing out over the next 30+ days. Bitcoin rejected the breakdown move yesterday - setting up another attempt at a THIRD sideways FLAG formation in an EPP pattern. This is very unusual - but given what the markets have been doing over the past 30 days - it is what it is. More than likely, we'll see Bitcoin rally a bit higher (near $100k), then stall again and attempt another breakdown event. Yesterday's new low suggests a breakdown is likely. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY Gap Filled - Local Bottom - More SendTrading Fam, I am not overlooking the small H&S pattern seen on this chart. I am simply presenting alternative data. What if that H&S pattern fails? It can happen. Even if we do drop further, our target down is that pink horizontal trendline. Will we get there before more buying ensues? Possibly. But this market is still bullish. The larger bull trend is still very much in tact. Additionally, we can see that an important gap has been filled. Therefore, it is very possible that the small H&S pattern we see here will not reach its target down. If that is the case, we'll turn up again, continue through my Target #2 which was already hit, and proceed onward and upward to my final Target #3 (670-700) until that is reached sometime in 2025. Therefore, you are not wrong to start DCA'ing in at this point. ✌️ Stew
AMEX:SPYLong
by stewdamus
5
SPY Approaches Key Resistance! Will the Bulls Continue? Jan. 14Technical Analysis Overview: 1-Hour Chart: * Trend: SPY remains in a descending channel but has shown a bounce from the lower trendline near $575. * Indicators: * MACD: Shows a bullish crossover, signaling potential upward momentum. * Stochastic RSI: Indicates overbought conditions, suggesting possible short-term consolidation or pullback. 30-Minute Chart: * Price Action: * SPY is testing the $583 level, just below key resistance at $584. * Volume remains moderate, supporting the recent bounce but lacking a strong breakout signal. * Pattern: Descending wedge structure, which often leads to bullish breakouts upon confirmation. Key Levels to Watch: Support Levels: * $580: Immediate support zone and HVL (highest volume level). * $575: Critical support, coinciding with PUT support and the lower boundary of the descending channel. Resistance Levels: * $584: Immediate resistance and 2nd CALL Wall. * $586: Major resistance level aligning with the 3rd CALL Wall and CALL resistance zone. * $599.7: Previous high and upper channel boundary. GEX Insights: Key Gamma Levels: * Positive Gamma Walls (Resistance): * $584: 17.44% (2nd CALL Wall). * $586: 18.47% (CALL Resistance). * Negative Gamma Levels (Support): * $580: Key PUT Wall (-6.87% GEX). * $575: Highest negative NETGEX and 3rd PUT Wall (-54.41% GEX). Options Metrics: * IVR: 29, indicating low implied volatility. * IVx: 19, well below average, suggesting muted price fluctuations. * Call/Put Bias: Puts dominate at 7.5%, leaning bearish despite the bounce. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Break above $584 with volume confirmation. * Target: $586-$590. * Stop-Loss: Below $580 to minimize risk. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Rejection at $584 or $586. * Target: $580-$575. * Stop-Loss: Above $586 to limit losses. Directional Bias: * SPY's bounce from $575 suggests bullish momentum, but significant resistance at $584-$586 could cap gains. A breakout above $586 would likely lead to a retest of $590-$599. Conclusion: SPY is consolidating near critical levels, with $584-$586 as immediate resistance. A breakout could lead to further bullish momentum, while a rejection at these levels may push the price back toward $580-$575. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely for confirmation. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Spy Road To $615 or $565?Well What is it JoeWtrades $615 or $565!!!! Let Me Be Very Clear $565 is very possible but $615 is even more probable!!! So with that being said and if any of you guys actually watch any of my content I'm a huge advocate For What? Swing Trades lol!! So even if this market decides to test $565 This would make me even more money, How By adding more contracts expiring further out other than my existing march contracts, lets say April May ect. Picking up as the market may or may not attempt $565! So I'm Betting heavy that this market will continue to go up and this is not the start of a Bear Market just yet!!! In No Time WATCH I will be posting how we smashed $615 Road to $615 In the Near Future lol!!! So Yes i you want to know Its $615 and yes I'm long Bullish ext lol hope to see you all on the right side, And be sure to take advantage of my 1 month free gift on patron link below limited number of gifts As always Goodluck traders and safe trades!!! As always JoeWtrades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
4
Some Thoughts on The S&P 500 Right NowIn my new 2025 project, I’m sharing charts with annotations on major risk assets right here. Since the correction started in December, I’ve been marking key levels on the S&P 500 and have updated the chart again with today’s price action. Comparing today’s levels to the chart from earlier this week, it’s clear that patience has been the right approach. The mapped-out levels have held up, and even Howard Marks has been exploring the possibility of a bubble call. While I don't think that many people calling a top suddenly means a top is coming, actually I sometimes think the opposite, I still take note that people are possibly using this as a moment to adjust positions. The tax year literally just ended. A new administration starts in less than 10 days. Record amounts of cash are still on the sidelines. The point is, money needs to move, and downward market is the kind of action needed to start this process. Now, back to the chart above, the market is back in its gap-fill zone, a magnet for prices that often highlights extreme optimism or pessimism in after-hours trading, only to reverse if things have moved too far, too fast. So here we are on a Friday—no need to rush in. Instead, now is the time to start making lists of your favorite names. The correction has created opportunities, and being prepared is key. I’ll share some of my own picks soon. This sell-off may even be a healthy rotation heading into the new administration, as markets reposition after the tax season wrap-up in December 2024. So what does this all mean? If you have cash, stay sharp and ready. If you're long at this moment, I don't see this as the moment to sell. If you're short at this moment, I think you are just shorting in the hole and you missed the move! The chop back upward could be swift. Best move in a market like this: map out your zones and be patient.
AMEX:SPY
by scheplick
1
Bull & Bear into the New Year | Week 1 2025 $SPY OptionsAMEX:SPY Last week, our $585 PUT 1/13 was a killer, producing two daytrades that ran for 50% and 132%! Here is what we are watching for this week: We have reclaimed bullish trend and expect consolidation within this range from $584.59 to $607.45. Last two weeks have been low volume and profit taking. We are using this bullish trendline for confirmation using 15-30 minute candle closes. $601 Call 1/24 Entry: Retest and hold of bullish trendline Targets 🎯: $599, $601, $603, $608 $590 Put 1/24 Entry: Breakdown and failed retest of trendline Targets 🎯: $590, $584.59
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
$SPY #IslandBoy #ComingSoon like $PLTR $TSLA $VFCCrystal ball telling me AMEX:SPY is gonna leave put buyer's stuck on an island in the coming weeks/months. Higher Lows + Higher Highs = Uptrend intact I always mention "Shakeout B4 Breakouts" AMEX:SPY wedge + Election = WallofWorry/Fear (Buy when...?) Tomorrow could be filled with more "fear" perhaps a vol spike, but I expect/hope for AMEX:SPY to hold this gap down range then Gap up Thorsday and put up a strong gap + hammer candle... - Prophecies PS; If looking for recent #Island examples check tickers in title. All recently putting up "Island Reversals" after earnings... Election = Spy "Earnings"
AMEX:SPYLong
by Prophecies_R_Us
13
$SPY Recap of Last Week - Down on the Year - At the 4hr 200MARecap of Last Week - Down on the Year - At the 4hr 200MA and Election Gap There is a lot to see in this chart and this is a recap of last week where we opened with a gap up above the 50 day moving average took it right to the downward facing 30 minute 200MA to the 1hr 200MA that is where we saw a massive rejection and that is at the red arrow. From there we reversed and we took it back underneath the 30 minute 200MA average to the 50 day average the 35 EMA we drop down to the up gap from the first week briefly bounced on that before taking it back up to the 35 EMA getting rejected and flung all the way down to the four hour two removing average right at the election gap. We are just about to head into the third trading week of the year and futures are underneath the election gap. Let me know what your thoughts are as we had into the third week.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 is gearing up for a drop to $348.11 or even $218.26.SP:SPX AMEX:SPY are gearing up for a potential crash. Markets and indices seem aligned for a downturn. What will trigger it? Hard to say, but watching the stock and crypto markets, it certainly looks that way. My expectations for SPX / SPY: ➖ Fibonacci 161.80% targets have been reached. ➖ Key downside levels: $348.11 and $218.26. TVC:DXY The dollar index is leaning towards growth for now. I think it might follow this scenario. Let’s keep an eye on how things develop.
AMEX:SPYShort
by SergioRichi
4
SPY Technical Analysis and GEX InsightsSPY Technical Analysis * Support Levels: * 575: Key support from the 2nd PUT Wall. This area indicates strong PUT activity, suggesting buyers could step in here. * 580.5: Intraday support observed as the price hovers above this level. * Resistance Levels: * 586-589: Immediate resistance near the Highest Negative NETGEX and CALL activity, suggesting sellers could dominate at this zone. * 592-600: Broader resistance as SPY approaches its CALL resistance walls. The price action indicates SPY is currently consolidating near its lower range. The descending triangle formation signals potential bearish continuation. However, a break above 589 with volume might trigger a recovery towards 592-600. SPY GEX Analysis * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Negative GEX: Dominant below 589, increasing downside momentum if the price fails to hold. * CALL Resistance: Above 592, CALL sellers will likely act as resistance until the price stabilizes above this zone. * Implied Volatility: * IVR: 28.4, IVx: 17.2: Slightly elevated, reflecting current market uncertainty. * PUT Ratio: 65.5%: High PUT interest suggests hedging or bearish sentiment among institutions. Market Direction The SPY remains under pressure as it tests critical support levels. A break below 575 could extend declines toward the 560-550 zone. Alternatively, reclaiming 589 and holding above 592 might shift sentiment to neutral or bullish. Trading Outlook * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below 580.5 * Target: 575, with potential to 570-560. * Stop Loss: 586. * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above 589 * Target: 592-600. * Stop Loss: 585. Trader’s Reminder Price gaps up or down are likely due to pre-market volatility. Recheck these levels before initiating trades. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please consult with a financial advisor or conduct your own research before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY will hit 633 the day after Trump is inaugurated on Jan 21stThe SPY will continue going up until Trump's inauguration on Jan 20th. I think there is a high probability it will hit 633 the day after Trump's inauguration on Jan 21st. (I have the arrow pointing to the fib number of 1.618 but I really think it will go higher than that) I typically use Heikin Ashi Candlesticks as they show more of a directional move as opposed to regular candles. Typically, you are only supposed to enter after you see 2 green candlesticks of the Heikin Ashi Candlesticks. We currently only see one green Heikin Ashi Candlestick, so we should wait until we see a second one before entering, which would be Tuesday if the market shows a green Heikin Ashi candlestick tomorrow. In the past, there has been an average move of 34 points on the SPY which would make the target point of 614. But there has been an extreme move of 53 points in the past, which I think is highly probable with Trump is coming into office. I think the market will jump the day after Trump is inaugurated. (I have seen the market do weird things when Trump is involved.) That would make the target equal to 633. But that is an extreme point. I usually don't take current events into my trading predictions but with Trump's inauguration on the 20th, I wouldn't be surprised if the SPY will jump the day after and hit 633 and then move sideways or head a little lower after that. The Fibonacci number of 1.618 is 618.18 This is a good second target point. The move is typically a 9 to 12 day move, so my time target would be Jan. 15th to Jan 21st. If the SPY hits any one of those targets I am out of my trade. But I am going to be prepared on Friday, Jan 17 at the end of close to see if the market is indicating a jump on the 21st. I use the DMI, the Stoch RSI and the MacD to assist me in my trading and you can see on the daily charts the indicators are already turning to show a bullish move. I had thought that the market may correct in February, but if you look at the weekly indicators, I think the market did a small correction at the end of December. I anticipate the market to go up in January and February and possibly March. Happy Trading Everyone!!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
3