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SPY trade ideas

SPY: Breakdown with Strong Momentum – Key Targets Ahead 📉 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has broken through a key support level with strong downward momentum. This bearish move suggests further downside potential, with key targets identified below. 🔍 Technical Analysis: Price has decisively broken below a key support zone with strong momentum, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. 1st Target: Around $537.75, which aligns with the yearly mid-level support. 2nd Target: Around $510.27, which coincides with the 6-month low level. Momentum indicators (Neon Momentum Waves) are trending downward, supporting bearish sentiment. Long-Term Support: The yearly low at $466.43 remains a major downside level to watch if bearish pressure intensifies. 🚨 Trading Plan: 📌 Bearish Bias – Look for potential short entries on pullbacks towards the broken support level, now acting as resistance. 📌 Stop Loss: Consider placing stops above the breakdown level (~$560) to mitigate risk. 📌 Profit Targets: First target: $537.75 Second target: $510.27 📊 Risk Management: Keep an eye on volume and momentum indicators to confirm the bearish move. If price reclaims the broken support level, reconsider the short thesis. 📢 Conclusion: SPY is showing strong bearish momentum after breaking key support. If the trend continues, the price may reach the identified targets. Traders should monitor price action and momentum signals for confirmation. ⚠ Disclaimer: I'm not a financial expert—just sharing my thoughts based on my analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. Do you agree with this outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🚀📉 #SPY #Trading #StockMarket #Bearish #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #Momentum #NotFinancialAdvice
AMEX:SPYShort
by Brian_Heady
2
Spy Bear Market Territory Spy need's To Hold $482 Or Its even lower as go as low as $474ish..... I would like to see us hold $482 to possibly take the long to $495, Theoretically speaking if we actually open up Monday in this range that's exactly what i would be looking for call etc..... But because the market is so volatile i most likely wait a whole hour to decide when and where to take my position, But other than that if we hold $482ish i would long short term day trades ext if lower than $482 I'm short.... AS always good luck and safe trades traders
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
$540 incoming put trade expiring 4/4 or 4/11 AMEX:SPY I start these Anchored VWAPs where the volume was the lowest before a major upside or downside. When I entered this trade $540 expiring 4/4 was at $.5 on 3/27 on Thursday around 9.55am currently $2.06 closing week, however I want to highlight that the $540-$530 would be the major leg down and we might see the $570-$580 levels for first week of June imo. Note: I am heavily comparing price actions for nowadays with 2022 first half drawdown.
AMEX:SPYLong
by SuLLL0
$SPY short term top downside from $521 to $481AMEX:SPY is looking like it put in a short term top here. I originally only thought that we had the potential to fall to $545 or so, but now looking at the chart, I think we have the possibility of falling farther. The two targets that I'm looking for on the downside are $524.35 and 481.18. Let's see if they get hit over the coming weeks. If they hit, it'll be the ultimate buying opp as I think from there, we're likely to see SPY over $700 in the coming year or two.
AMEX:SPYShort
by benjihyam
3
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 4, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 March Employment Report Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March employment report, with forecasts predicting an addition of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data will provide insights into the labor market's health and potential implications for Federal Reserve policy.​ 🇺🇸💬 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Address: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 11:25 AM ET. Investors will be closely monitoring his remarks for any indications regarding future monetary policy, especially in light of recent market volatility.​ 🇺🇸📈 Market Reaction to 'Liberation Day' Tariffs: Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, dubbed "Liberation Day" tariffs, the markets experienced significant declines. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 6%, marking the worst trading day since 2020. Investors are bracing for continued volatility as the market digests the potential economic impacts of these tariffs. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, April 4: 👷‍♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +140,000​ Previous: +151,000 Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.​ 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 4.1%​ Previous: 4.1%​ Represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.​ 💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3%​ Previous: +0.3%​ Measures the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Rollercoaster Continues For SPYMy overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 3 (pink), Minor 3 (yellow), Minute 3 or 4 (green). I originally had this symbol nearly complete with Primary wave 1, but the continued declines received significant wave 3 of 3 signals (pink lines in bottom chart band). It is still unclear if we are in my theoretical larger decline or if we are in a simple corrective wave. It will take at least another two months to likely achieve the answer. Theory 1 is my hypothesis where we are about to finish Minor wave 3 in Intermediate wave 3 in Primary wave 1 in a multi-year market correction. This would see SPY bottom around 486 within two weeks and briefly head up toward 535 before continuing significant downward movement. Currently Intermediate wave 1 lasted 111 trading hours. Intermediate wave 3 is somewhat on pace to finish in the same amount of time around 17 April. Extensions based on Minor wave 1's movement could put Minor wave 3's bottom around 499. Theory 2 is that Intermediate waves 1, 2 and 3 (pink) are actually waves A, B, and C (white) in a short-term corrective wave. This would mean this symbol returns to all-time highs around the fall of 2025. Theory 3 places the stock in the third wave about to finish a wave A down over the next two months. Wave B up would last a few months before wave C takes the market to a bottom sometime around the end of 2025. All three theories will observe the same movement over the next few weeks with a low soon and then a bounce up. Theory 2 becomes the likely winner if SPY breaks above 576.33 within the next 3 months. Theories 1 and 3 will trade the same for quite some time. I will reevaluate this ETF once Minor wave 3 finishes. It should aid in providing a better bottom for Intermediate wave 3 in the next two weeks.
AMEX:SPYShort
by StockSignaler
SPY Battle Zone: Bulls vs. Bears at 6M Low ($510.27)📈 SPY Trade Setup – Key Reclaim or Rejection at $510.27 🔥 Ticker: SPY Timeframe: 1H Setup Date: April 7, 2025 🧠 Idea Summary: SPY has recently bounced from oversold conditions and is approaching a critical level at $510.27, which is the 6-month low. Price action at this level could dictate the next major move. Here's how I’m planning this setup: 🟢 Scenario 1: Long Setup Trigger: SPY reclaims and holds above $510.27 Confirmation: Retest and bounce from $510.27 as new support Target: Move toward the next key resistance at $537.75 (Y Mid) Stop: Below $508 for risk management 🔴 Scenario 2: Short Setup Trigger: SPY fails to reclaim $510.27 and faces rejection Confirmation: Lower highs and rejection candles under resistance Target: Drop toward $466.43 (Y Low) Stop: Above $512 or structure high 📊 Indicators Watching: Dynamic Support & Resistance Neon Momentum Waves – signaling potential short-term reversal or bounce 📌 Notes: $510.27 is the key inflection point. Momentum and volume confirmation are crucial. Be patient and let price confirm your bias. 🔔 Let me know in the comments how you’re playing this level – are you leaning long or short? 👍 Like & Follow for more setups! Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. #SPY #SP500 #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #MarketWatch #SupportResistance
AMEX:SPY
by Brian_Heady
SPYAs investors, we must understand that in order for consumers to access cheaper products, sacrifices will be required in several key areas. Adjustments in Federal Reserve monetary policy (changes in the federal funds rate and balance sheet reduction) will directly impact GDP and real income. Likewise, consumer prices will reflect the impacts of inflation (CPI) and fiscal policies. Increases in labor costs (adjustments in wages and employment costs) will also play a crucial role in these changes. Private consumption (PCE) will be pressured by these dynamics, and businesses will have to decide between maintaining profit margins or passing these costs onto consumers. The key will be how these adjustments in prices and wages are negotiated, as the market seeks a new equilibrium between supply and demand. Prepare yourself, as these adjustments are part of a long and challenging process, but they are inevitable. #SPY #SP500
AMEX:SPY
by Ozy_Target
Market Falls comparison of the last 25 yearsBetween 2000-2019 the market had 7 big falls. Since the Pandemic in 2020, the market has fallen 2 times and currently experiencing the 3rd big fall. Although the current and last two falls seem big, percentwise have not been as big as the ones from 2000 and 2008. Get ready for the current market to continue falling for the next 2-3 months and it will still only feel like a 20% correction, nowhere as big as the 3 biggest falls from the last 25 years.
AMEX:SPYShort
by abner.amador
Blood in the streets, SPY looks to have bottomed, for now?I forgot how that old saying went, but I knew its time for a good deal. My first tip off that we might be at a bottom was fear and greed sitting at a 4 on Friday. Into the weekend I saw Cramer and friends calling 1987 crash and historic doom headed for the economy. I saw a stat saying that this was the biggest crash since 2008, covid not withstanding. And then I saw one of my favorite tells, I call it the comedy indicator. When things are so bullish that people can only laugh at how easy it is to get rich... its a good sign to get out. The same goes when joking about the depression and how doomed it is, it's probably a good time to get in. So SNL having multiple segments joking about the depression was a good tell to me that we were rounding a corner. Next I check some fundamentals, the S5TW is pretty useful in spotting bottoms temporary or otherwise, right now its sitting around 2-3% or 97-98% of SNP stocks below their 20 day MA. This is the level it was during the Jun 2022 bottom (before the massive run-up into august for those that remember, 18% in under 2 months) The 2022 October bottom, and of course the march 2020 covid bottom. Finally you got some basic chart indicators, accumulation/distribution showing that we are still at the 560 level. the McLellan which shows that the 2 day massive sell off was not actually as broad as it may have seemed. Then there is the classic Stupid Willy, who is tuned to -5 and -95 to avoid too many false signals, not only did it signal twice the last 2 trade days, today the smoothed line crossed the signal EMA which tells me buyers had some solid force at this level. The Bollinger Band also looks like it may start curling around and we finally managed to tap into the bottom of the band (briefly) but that tells me there is some good room to run and it may be that time. Overall I think this bottom is at the very least temporary, we should go up from here, complacency, hope, whatever it is should return. 560 may be too high, but I see us filling Friday's Gap down and maybe getting into the 540s in the coming weeks. Happy Trading & Good Luck
AMEX:SPYLong
by MikeSpy
Tariff FUD is reking ports. SPY 505 First Stop. 460 Second.Trading Fam, It's no surprise that Trump's implementation of high tariffs would cause initial FUD. This can be observed in the massive spikes on the $VIX. What is unknown and has caught many traders by surprise, myself included, is how substantial of a drop would be incurred by investor uncertainty. Initially, it did appear that 500 might hold. That was a huge support. I knew if it broke, the sell-off would be deep. But I held hope that the market would hold above this trendline. It did not. So, yesterday and today, investors who held are incurring substantial losses. For those who were smarter than me and sold at or near the top, congratulations! You've saved yourself some duress and cash. Now, some are calling this the beginning of a longer bear market. I still don't see it that way. Honestly (and I know this will be hard to believe), I still see the SPY hitting my target #3 at 670-700 before 2026 comes to an end. Longer-term we still remain in a massive secular bull market since 2009 and to break this long-term trend, the SPY would actually have to break below 300. That is a long way down and I just don't see that happening, though as always, I definitely could be wrong. Shorter-term I am seeing two prominent areas of support. The first has almost been reached at 505. If I would have played this correctly, I'd be DCA'ing in my first load of cash here. The second area of support is at around 460 and slightly rising daily. This would be where I DCA'ed in another load of cash. However, if that broke, I'd exit immediately and reassess the charts. 300 is a long way down, but over the past 5 years we have seen some extraordinary market price action and volatility. TBH, even the best of us technicians are struggling to understand the larger macro-economic picture, but I'd wager to say that tariff fears may be overexaggerated as market reactions often tend to be. One interesting note is that crypto price action no longer seems to correlate and prices have help up surprisingly well. Could this be our first indicator that the markets are due to turn up again in a few weeks/months? Unknown. But I can promise you I'll be watching this all closely. ✌️Stew
AMEX:SPYShort
by stewdamus
Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPY’s Drop Could Be 2025’s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting in—but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): 🔹 543: First watch level—look for signs of slowing momentum. 🔹 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. 🔹 <500 (TBD): Stay flexible—if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: ✅ 570: Initial rebound target. ✅ 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. ✅ 610+: Full recovery potential—rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continue—but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025’s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
Spy what I see with my little eyeTraders, Fear, trade wars, WW3, Tariffs and a bunch of I told you soo's..... "You voted for this!" just a bunch of chirping. Because this man got to being a billionaire being a silly goose yeah? What happens when them 401k's start 3x'n, what happens when we see one of the biggest bull markets we have experienced in our lifetime? I don't know much but I know this..... the bull market may not be over. Just taking a break! Enjoy the hopium! Stay Profitable! Savvy
AMEX:SPYLong
by Crypto_Kinfolk
SPY Technical Breakdown & Macro Context1. Big-Picture Narrative There’s increasing talk of a “104% China Tariff,” bringing back memories of Donald J. Trump’s 1988 loss in a piano auction to a Japanese buyer—an event some speculate influenced his later calls for high import taxes. Fast-forward to today, and concerns about renewed tariff escalation add extra pressure on the markets. The user’s view: unless there’s a political shift—where Republicans become more concerned about broader voter sentiment than aligning with Trump—this could drive the S&P 500 down to 3000. While that is quite a distance from current levels, it underscores how aggressive policy moves (tariffs, trade wars) can weigh heavily on equities. 2. Hourly & Daily Chart Overview Short-Term (Hourly) Price has trended steadily downward, with each bounce finding new sellers at lower highs. Key Levels on the chart include: 510.84 (L. Vol ST 1a) – A noteworthy pivot-turned-resistance. 498.01 (L. Vol ST 2a) – Important resistance-turned-support level that recently broke. 485.18 (H. Vol Sell Target 1a) – Currently acting as near-term support. 472.35 (Weeks High Short) – Further support below 485. Longer-Term (Daily) The broader trend remains bearish, with high-volume selling in the last few sessions. RSI on the daily is dipping into the 30s, indicating oversold conditions—but remember that oversold can persist in a strong downtrend. Elevated ATR (14) around 16 suggests volatility remains high; large intraday swings can occur. 3. Possible Trade Setups A) Bearish Continuation (Primary) Entry Trigger: A failure to reclaim 498 (L. Vol ST 2a) or a decisive break below 485.18 on strong volume. Profit Targets: First Target: 472.35 (Weeks High Short) Second Target: 459.52 (Half 1 Short) for a larger downside move Extreme Target: If policy missteps intensify and no political moderation occurs, the user foresees a slide to S&P 3000—an extreme scenario but a reminder of how macro risks can extend a downtrend. Stop Loss: Just above 500–502 if you’re entering on a breakdown, to protect against whipsaw should SPY manage a strong recovery above key resistance. B) Oversold Bounce (Alternative) Entry Trigger: A strong reclaim of 498–500 and at least one hourly close above it, indicating buyers have stepped in. Profit Targets: First Target: 510.84 (L. Vol ST 1a) Second Target: 523.67 (Best Price Short level) if bullish momentum accelerates Stop Loss: Below 485 to limit risk in case the rally fails and downtrend resumes. 4. Macro & Political Watch Tariffs & Trade Policy: New or increased tariffs can rapidly shift market sentiment. Keep an eye on headlines for abrupt policy changes or legislative updates. Political Dynamics: If Republicans shift their stance or emphasize broader voter concerns over aligning with Trump’s trade approach, it might calm markets. Conversely, unwavering support for tariff policies could amplify market downside. Economic Indicators: In addition to politics, watch earnings releases and consumer data. If the economy shows unexpected weakness amid tariff concerns, selling pressure could intensify. 5. Final Thoughts Volatility is Elevated: Intraday whipsaws are common; stay disciplined with stop-loss placements. Bearish Bias Persists: The trend is clearly down unless bulls can reclaim key resistance levels with conviction. Manage Risk: Always size positions appropriately given the current volatility, and remain prepared for sudden news-driven moves. In summary, tariffs and politics remain a focal point, with historical anecdotes highlighting how personal experiences can shape trade policy. Whether SPY crashes all the way to 300 (S&P 3000) depends on how severe and prolonged these headwinds become. Keep a close eye on technical levels, watch for policy announcements, and maintain a vigilant approach to risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by HispanicHedge