Tesla: More Room in Wave 4With the recent increases, TSLA approached the more significant local high from early April. Although we locate the price in a turquoise downtrend impulse, the internal corrective upward move of wave 4 still has some more room. With the following wave 5, the stock should then fall below the support at $215.01 to complete the magenta wave (3), which is also part of a downtrend impulse. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario suggests a much faster progression. We consider it 27% likely that with the low on April 7, the blue wave alt.(II) and thus the major corrective movement have already ended. In this case, the path would be clear for a new uptrend of the blue wave alt.(III), which would lead to increases above the resistance at $488.50. Primarily, however, we expect the corrective movement to conclude at a later time and at lower levels.
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA – Approaching Key Resistance With Strong MomentumTSLA – Approaching Key Resistance With Strong Momentum, But Watch the Reaction at $292–$294
TSLA’s recent rally has been pretty clean. After breaking out of the falling trendline on the daily, price steadily pushed through lower highs and formed a nice higher low. Now, it’s testing a significant resistance zone between $292 and $294. That area capped the last few rallies—and we’re right back there again.
On the daily chart, the MACD is still climbing and has room to run, while the Stoch RSI is entering the overbought zone but not yet topping out. That tells me momentum is still present, but we’re approaching a decision point.
Flipping down to the 1-hour chart, price broke above the descending trendline and held higher support intraday. However, it’s currently rejecting slightly under $294. Volume didn’t really spike yet, so we haven’t seen a breakout confirmation. If we do clear this zone with strength, there’s a clean air pocket toward $300, which also lines up with a massive call wall and the highest GEX level on the options chart.
GEX & Options Flow Insights:
Options GEX shows heavy resistance at $300, with a sharp drop-off in gamma exposure beyond that. The $292–$294 zone is packed with 2nd and 3rd call walls, suggesting dealers are hedging hard around this level. If TSLA starts grinding above $294 and closes with momentum, we could trigger a dealer chase toward $300.
On the flip side, $275 is the HVL zone for this week’s expiration (05/02), and below that $270 sits as the third Put Wall. Any rejection from $292–$294 with a sharp drop under $285 could trigger a fade down to that zone.
Implied volatility has cooled slightly but remains relatively elevated (IVR 35.9, IVX avg 76.9). This favors credit spreads or defined-risk debit setups.
Trade Setups I’m Watching:
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation):
* Above $294 with volume → scalp toward $297.50–$300.
* Call Debit Spread: Buy 290C, Sell 300C (May 3 expiry).
* Stop loss for breakout: Close under $289.
🔴 Bearish Rejection Play (Fading the Top):
* Rejection from $292–$294 zone → scalp short back to $285 or VWAP support.
* Put Debit Spread: Buy 290P, Sell 275P.
* Stop loss: Close above $295.
TSLA is at a pressure point. If it clears $294 with volume, bulls might squeeze it toward $300. But if it stalls, the risk of a pullback toward $275–$280 grows fast. Be ready for a reaction play either way.
TSLA Technical Analysis🚀 TSLA Long-Term Buy Setup (Educational Trade Idea)
I’ve entered a long position on Tesla (TSLA) at $246.57 based on a clear technical breakout from a downtrend and consolidation pattern.
✅ Target: $487.66
❌ Stop Loss: $209.36
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:6.58 — extremely favorable setup
Price action shows a textbook breakout from accumulation, followed by bullish structure. This move aligns with the Smart Money Concept — entering after accumulation, not during uncertainty.
🕒 This is a long-term swing trade, meaning it could take weeks or months to fully develop.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, but an educational breakdown for learning purposes. Always manage your own risk and do your own analysis before trading.
TeslaI hope y'all had the opportunity to buy into Tesla last week. As for me, I bought in @ $237 and sold @ 284.20. I only had 25 shares but made a nice 20% profit in about one week. It's trades like these that build your account and create wealth in the very long-term. Yes, I sold before we made it into the target box, but you have to remember, this is a larger (B) wave we're currently in. They can be very complex and unpredictable at times. Price is right in the area of the 0.382, it hit the smaller red 1.0, and has made a new high above the a wave made on 09 April. I would like to see it breach the (a) wave high of 25 March, but that isn't required. This means it has all the pre-requisites of completion. Will it hit the target box for another high? I think so, but I'm not greedy or try to top tick. 20% profit is good enough for me. The last thing I want to happen is the volatility of Tesla kick in and lose all the profits I just made. Don't be so scared of missing POTENTIAL profits that is causes you to lose the ones you ALREADY earned.
All that being said, I find it likely that we make another high into the target box due to the structure. It looks like it needs one more slight high. The red box is the "sweet" spot, but price can top at any moment. Also, if you look at MACD, it is coming into the trend line and thus is running into resistance. This should make you think a local top is near if not already struck. Let me know if y'all have any questions.
P.S: Don't ask me if you should sell. I already stated I sold my shares and cannot give you financial advice. Trade according to your own portfolio / risk tolerance.
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 284.90 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 295.68
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 265.94
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Swing Trade Plan for TSLA (as of $285)TSLA has rallied from its previous consolidation zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $290–$295. Momentum is solid, but RSI and volume trends may suggest we’re nearing short-term exhaustion.
✅ Strategy 1: Wait for the Pullback (Safer Play)
Entry zone:
• $240 – Ideal level near former resistance turned support
• $215 – Strong support with higher reward potential
Stop-loss:
• Below $200 (to protect against deeper trend reversal)
Profit targets:
• $265 – Conservative
• $290 – Re-test zone
• $355 – Bullish breakout continuation (if sentiment remains strong)
This setup gives room for the price to breathe and positions you after a healthy correction.
⚡️ Strategy 2: Momentum Breakout Trade (Aggressive)
Entry:
• On breakout above $295 with volume confirmation
Stop-loss:
• Below $280 (tight, breakout failure protection)
Target:
• $320, $340+, depending on follow-through
This is higher risk, higher reward — you’re betting on bulls continuing the charge without a pullback.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own analysis and trade with proper risk management.
Is a Tesla Stock Rebound Imminent?Tesla's stock has recently faced volatility, partly due to first-quarter 2025 delivery figures that did not meet some market expectations. Despite this, several significant factors suggest a potential for upward movement in the share price. As the stock hovers around $292 in late April 2025, market observers are closely watching for catalysts that could shift sentiment and drive value appreciation for the electric vehicle and energy company.
Key indicators pointing towards a potential rebound include notable insider activity and the highly anticipated launch of a dedicated robotaxi service. A Tesla board member and Airbnb co-founder recently purchased over $1 million in TSLA stock, marking the first insider buy of this magnitude in approximately five years. This action signals strong internal confidence. Furthermore, the planned June launch of a robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, using autonomous Model Y vehicles, is viewed as a transformative step that could open substantial new revenue streams and redefine Tesla's market position.
Adding to the bullish sentiment is unusual activity in the options market, where a significant investor placed a large bet on a substantial price increase in the near term through out-of-the-money call options. While recent delivery misses and concerns regarding external factors have contributed to past stock pressure, the combination of insider conviction, a looming disruptive service launch, and aggressive bullish options trading suggests that the market may be poised for a significant reaction to upcoming positive developments. Investors are keenly focused on the successful execution of the robotaxi strategy as a critical determinant of future stock performance.
Bearish energy TSLA earningsEarnings are kinda hard to read, but I totally nailed TSLA last time, so practicing here again with my dowsing.
It's all really bearish. I've already had a number around $188 come up for it, and that comes along with 185. Seems my levels get blown out by about 20 pts on TSLA, but watch out in these zones.
I suspect down 8%, but dowsing says down 17%. Advice is new 52 week low.
That's it. We'll see.
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗕𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱𝗸𝗼𝘄𝗻: Priced for perfectionPriced for perfection in an imperfect market
NASDAQ:TSLA nearly hit its 200dma and key resistance area (~288–292) after a roughly 20% post-earnings squeeze, and as long as it stays below that level, it risks retesting the long-term uptrend line that has marked major lows twice since COVID.
𝘛𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘧𝘧 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘺-𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬: Tesla depends heavily on Chinese-made battery and electronic components now hit by reciprocal U.S. tariffs, while over 60% of global neodymium and dysprosium—vital for its EV motors—are mined and processed only in China, creating a critical bottleneck that could sharply elevate its input costs.
𝘔𝘢𝘳𝘨𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘷𝘴. 𝘭𝘰𝘧𝘵𝘺 𝘷𝘢𝘭𝘶𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯: Q1 price cuts of up to 20% on core models drove Tesla’s auto gross margin to its lowest since 2020, calling into question the sustainability of its >70× forward P/E multiple, which assumes exceptionally high profits from future ventures like robotics and autonomous fleets.
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks #TrumpTariffs 🇺🇸 #ChinaTariffs 🇨🇳
TSLA: Low Is In , Rally IncomingTSLA is showing signs of strong accumulation, with buyers consistently stepping in and volume expanding on up-moves. Price structure is improving, breakouts further confirm strength, increasing the likelihood that bears have been left behind. Based on the price action and volume alone, TSLA looks ready for a potential sustained move higher.
TSLA Potential Post Tariff Resolution Bullish RallyDespite uncertainty still looming over the current global tariff based environment, TSLA price still seems to exhibit signs of a potential Bullish breakout as the price action may form a prominent Higher Low on the longer timeframes with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential Non-Leverage hold opportunity.
Entry: CMP 292
Stop Loss: 90 or 0 (depends on trading style as Non-Leverage Buy & Hold is recommended)
Potential Range for Targets: 470 - 550
Diamond Top Pattern📉 Diamond Top Formation in Play?
This isn’t just a triangle—look closer.
What started as broadening volatility on the left has now tightened into a textbook Diamond Top, typically signaling a bearish reversal after a strong impulse move up.
⚠️ Key Signals:
• Left side expansion → Right side contraction = structural symmetry.
• Major EQH and liquidity sitting right above.
• Supply zone pressure at the top.
• Watch for a false breakout trap to liquidate late longs.
🔍 Confirmation = breakdown below rising trendline + spike in volume.
🧠 Smart money doesn’t trade patterns—they engineer them.
This one? It’s baiting breakout traders before a potential liquidity flush.
📊 Plan Ahead:
• Breakdown = short with momentum.
• Breakout = wait for trap/fakeout and fade the rally if supply holds.
⸻
💬 What do you see? Trap setup or trend continuation?
$TSLA Pullback Soon?Tesla's recent announcement of its upcoming robotaxi service and the unveiling of the Cybercab have generated significant investor enthusiasm, contributing to a notable surge in TSLA's stock price. However, while these developments are promising for Tesla's long-term vision, they may not provide sufficient support for the current elevated stock levels in the short term.
Competitors like Waymo and Zoox have already established operational autonomous ride-hailing services in select markets, potentially challenging Tesla's market entry and adoption rates.
Despite recent relaxations in federal self-driving regulations, Tesla's autonomous services must still navigate a complex landscape of state and local laws, which could impact the pace of deployment and revenue realization.
TSLA | Buy @LTP | SL below 240 | 1st Target 360⚡ Tesla (TSLA) – Breakout from Demand Zone, Big Upside Potential
TSLA recently respected the strong demand zone around $220–$240 and has bounced sharply with increasing volume, signaling renewed buying interest. Price has now cleared immediate resistance and is forming higher lows a bullish sign.
📍 Entry: $282.16
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $330 (mid-level)
TP2: $367.34 (major resistance zone)
❌ Stop-loss: Below $242.79
This setup offers an excellent risk-to-reward ratio with a potential breakout rally if broader market sentiment supports tech.
Volume spikes confirm accumulation, and momentum indicators are likely flipping bullish. Keep an eye on price action near $300 for further confirmation.
TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025TSLA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 299 305
📉 274.50 268.50
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*