TSLA trade ideas
TSLA Rebounds from $290 | Buy the Dip or Political Trap?⚠️Just when it looked like Tesla was heading for a breakdown, we got a sharp bounce off the $290 level — and traders are watching closely. But here’s the twist: the move came after a headline-heavy week featuring none other than Trump vs. Elon.
🗞️ According to Politico, tensions flared after Trump made comments suggesting EVs were "doomed without government subsidies." Elon clapped back, defending Tesla’s profitability and independence. This added pressure on TSLA... and then came the bounce. Coincidence? Or whales buying fear?
📥 Entry Zones
• $290 – Strong demand zone, tested and respected
• $275 – Deeper retest if market pulls back
• $240 – Extreme fear level, unlikely unless macro worsens
🎯 Profit Targets
• $305 – Gap-fill magnet
• $320 – Resistance test
• $355+ – If Robotaxi or AI hype returns in force
TESLA Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 295.19
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 323.17
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance...
In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18.
This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish.
🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish.
Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone.
🧠 TSLA Trade Idea
It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception.
Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading.
I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones.
🐻🔴 Downside:
Strong put support at 250
Gradual support layers up to 280
🐂 🟢 Upside:
Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry.
📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies.
🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit.
🧑🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly
If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels.
There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario.
One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always:
Trade Safe Out There!
Tesla - There's more after the +60% rally!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - will blow even further:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is almost incredible to see such a large cap stock rally more than +60% in less than two months. But Tesla is clearly the exception and therefore we should expect the unexpected. What's quite likely is at least another rally of about 25% from here and a retest of the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Safe Entry ZoneCurrent Movement is Down.
The Green 4h Zone @ 277-271 price level is strongest support level price targeting.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Tesla UpdateTesla has had quite a rough go at it lately. For those of you on trading view that follow me, you may not have had the daily updates as those on my website, but you should've known too by my posts that a decent drop was coming. Just so I am as clear as I can be, this is just the beginning of this consolidation lower. We might not even be done with this current drop for the minuette a wave either. As annotated by the turquoise label and the turquoise fibs, another low is very possible, and I would go so far as to say very probable. The reason why I think it is probable, is the structure that was created on the move lower. It appears like the move higher that started on 05 June is a miniscule wave 4 with 5 yet to come.
Now, another move lower isn't required by any means. We could easily continue higher from here for minuette wave b. That is why I have drawn some blue retracement fibs. If we have in fact bottomed in (a), then we would be targeting the $328-$350 area for (b).
In short, we either make another low from here to the $263 area finishing (a), or we continue higher for wave (b). MACD/structure seems to be indicating the turquoise count will come to pass. Either way we should head higher again soon. If we can make another low towards the 2.618 then I will likely take a small long position to ride out (b).
TESLA TO THE MOON?!! OR TO 0??We are currently developing a bullish channel, we will likely retest the resistance of it at around 317-322 then head up to our FVG zone around 336-343. I am holding options for that very position. For long term stock holders, this is where things get interesting. Tesla is headed to the moon whether you like it or not. Probably the stock as well as the car, haha. So I am predicting at least 60000 per share in the long run. This may seem crazy to some but others will understand. AZO is the most consistent stock and has got 50000% of what it used to be. Tesla will be the next auto one but by far better. Tesla will get dominance in the global EV market. Their self driving cars will bring tremendous revenue, they have pretty much no competition either.
They don’t stop here though. Tesla isn’t just a car company. Their energy division (solar, batteries) will overtake traditional utilities.
Tesla is also trying to expand into robotics and AI at an unprecedented scale.
Hyperloop, Neuralink, and other Musk-affiliated companies also somehow contribute to Tesla's valuation which are all successful.
Now the recent “feud” with Trump and Elon may have some worried about Tesla. But as infouential as he is, he is only president for 4 years total. Elon has way more control and is here to stay. That feud means nothing long term, all it does is put Tesla on sale for a week or two. Buy now. Good luck traders. Do your own research please.
TSLA Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06⚡ TSLA Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06
Bias: Moderately Bullish (short-term bounce to $305)
Timeframe: 5–7 days
Catalysts: Fundstrat upgrade, government contract news, max pain magnet
Trade Type: Naked call option
🧠 Model Summary Table
Model Bias Strategy Strike Premium Target(s) Stop-Loss Confidence
Grok Moderately Bearish $290 PUT $5.15 +25–50% gain –50% premium 78%
Claude Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.30 $28 / $32 $18.50 75%
Llama Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.40 $310 spot target $295 spot break 80%
Gemini Moderately Bearish $280 PUT (entry < $308) $3.30 $6.00 $1.65 70%
DeepSeek Moderately Bullish $305 CALL $23.20 $310 / $315 $291 spot break 75%
✅ Consensus: Bounce likely toward $305 on sentiment and positioning
⚠️ Disagreements: Direction split — bounce vs. breakdown continuation
🔍 Technical & Sentiment Summary
Trend: Below key EMAs, but short-term bounce forming
Support Zone: $291–297
Resistance / Magnet: $302–305 (max pain + liquidity)
Volatility: VIX ~17.6 — neutral, supports option buying
News: Gov’t contracts + Fundstrat upgrade — potential upside fuel
✅ Final Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument TSLA
Strategy CALL (LONG)
Strike $305
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $23.30
Profit Target $28.00
Stop Loss $18.50
Size 1 contract
Entry Timing At open
Confidence 75%
💡 Rationale: Strong call wall + magnet effect at $305 with improving sentiment despite daily weakness — high-risk, short-duration swing setup.
⚠️ Key Risks & Considerations
Rejection at $297–300 zone could confirm further downside
Time decay will accelerate approaching midweek — exit quickly if thesis invalidates
Negative TSLA or macro news could reverse bounce fast
Limit size to protect portfolio: risk ≤3% of account
TSLA – Are You Buying Cheap or Buying Expensive?Tesla (TSLA) continues to trade within a long-standing macro range, well-defined by two behavioral zones:
🟩 Value Zone – Accumulation ($132 to $270.50):
This is where smart money tends to accumulate over time. Historically, moves from this zone lead to long-term rallies. Price spent multiple weeks here during major drawdowns — offering long-term entries at discounted value.
🟥 Premium Zone – Profit Taking ($270.50 to $409):
Above the midpoint ($270.50), price enters what can be considered the “expensive” territory. Historically, this area has acted as a supply zone, with frequent distribution and sharp reversals.
TSLA is currently sitting just above the midpoint, testing that equilibrium. Whether it consolidates for another leg higher or fails here could define the next swing move.
So ask yourself:
Are you buying value, or chasing premium?
TSLA-SELL strategy 3D Reg. channelThe share has retraced a bit and restarted its decline. Considering the technical picture of negative impacts and the ongoing statements between the two parties, the case is stronger for a much lower share price. I feel we may see $ 230 or lower breaking below channel support.
Strategy SELL @ $ 290-310 and take profit near $ 195 for now.
TESLA: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
TESLA
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry - 295.19
Sl - 276.74
Tp -325.39
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TSLA BUYBUY TSLA at 272.00 to 248.00, riding it back up to 470.00 to 515.00 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 213.00!
If anyone likes long mumbo jumbo garbage analysis, than this is NOT for you.
Also, if you are afraid of risk, failure, and want only a 100% sure thing, than
run as fast as you can from the markets, because it is definitely NOT for you.
WARNING: This is just my opinions of the market and its only for journaling purpose. This information and any publication here are NOT meant to be, and do NOT constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Trading any market instrument is a RISKY business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
Potential Head & Shoulder Forming On The WeeklyPotential Head & Shoulder Forming On The Weekly... Facing still resistance at the $350 area, and should retest support at $280 within the coming days/weeks. If 280 breaks, should retest $240 (the h&s neckline) and could crash to $100 if that doesn't hold.
Time to take profit/hedge imo