TSLA technically turntUP... so the stock pops on a sob story. there will be action. pullback possible, but doesn't have to. 2-3 week rallies expected while the getting is good.
*weekly bullish close (engulfing)
*pullbacks should not be lower than prev week high (270 good)
*it's big tech earnings, so running during other strong tech success while down is a TSLA thing
tootles
TSLA trade ideas
Wajani Investments: TSLA AnalysisDaily chart
Observations: TSLA has tested a key level turning resistance into support with a double bottom, head and shoulder as seen from the W formation. If you zoom the chart properly, you'd see TSLA direction is uptrend and the above indicators show TSLA moving higher.
Always adapt to the market as it changes. The analysis done here is more of a guidance than fact.
Let me know your thoughts.
Thank you.
TSLA Long-term Key LevelsIdentified Long-term Key Levels for TSLA
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$TSLA Weekly RecapNASDAQ:TSLA Weekly Recap
Market Structure: Price broke out of the downtrend with a strong bullish engulfing candlestick, indicating a potential reversal.
Market Bias: A healthy retracement occurred in alignment with market sentiment — this pullback may be necessary to support a stronger move toward all-time highs.
BX-Trender: The weekly histogram flipped from red to green, suggesting increased accumulation and potential for upward momentum.
Telsa Bullish Recovery in Motion Tesla (TSLA) – Bullish Recovery in Motion
Chart Type: 2W (Biweekly)
Current Price: $292.03
Previous High: $488.54
Fibonacci Levels:
0.236 → $280.31
0.382 → $320.35
0.5 → $352.72
0.618 → $385.09
0.786 → $431.17
📈 Technical Breakdown:
Tesla has officially bounced from the major demand zone around $175–$215, forming a structural higher low.
We're currently testing the 0.236 Fib level after a clean bullish recovery. Volume appears steady, and if we hold above this level, we could see a move toward the $320–$352 region (Fib 0.382–0.5), which aligns with the upper structure zone.
The purple supply zone from the previous high near $488 marks a key resistance area long-term. However, price action suggests a possible mid-term continuation as long as this new support holds.
🧠 Trader’s Insight:
A lot of traders are only watching the daily and 4H charts. But when you zoom out to the biweekly (2W), the structure tells a very different story — one that still respects bullish continuation off a long-term retracement.
This recovery looks like a measured move, and we might see slow momentum upward before the market re-tests upper zones. I’m personally watching the $320.35–$385.09 levels for the next key decision.
📌 Tags
#TSLA #Tesla #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #FibLevels #BullishStructure #SwingTrading #LongTermInvesting #TradingView #MarketStructure #DemandZone #TeslaStock
TESLA: Short Trade Explained
TESLA
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short TESLA
Entry - 284.90
Sl - 298.09
Tp - 256.85
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Short term TSLA Price best guess road mapattached a TSLA trading road map; It will be fun to see if this is how things play out.short term: 1st try arrow now starting Mon small pullback, start up Tuesday peak by May 2?
Then pullback Starting May 2-3 Mid Mayto 288 chop for a week then back up ( if the market tanks to new lows then the red alternate arrow is more likely as all stocks strong and weak are sold.)
If TSLA holds 288 area then back up By July1 into about to early July (2nd try arrow)If iTSLA can do this and broad market isn't a mess then 400 will be reached in months ahead
TSLA has formed a Triple Bottom patternOn the daily chart, TSLA stabilized and rebounded from the low level, and the short-term market formed a potential triple bottom pattern. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 291.8. A breakthrough will start to rise, and the upper resistance is concerned about the 348.0-367.3 area.
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report
On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022.
Why Is TSLA Falling?
There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets):
→ Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology.
→ A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year.
→ Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors.
According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
We previously noted the importance of the $220 support level, which prevented the price from falling further during the first half of April (as indicated by the arrow), at a time when broader stock indices showed much more bearish trends.
That level still appears relevant for now, but it’s likely that the upcoming quarterly earnings report will trigger a sharp increase in volatility. Should investors find the results underwhelming, TSLA’s share price could fall to the lower boundary of the current descending channel (highlighted in red), potentially breaching the psychological $200-per-share mark.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$TSLA in penalty box. Stock remains range bound. After the new administration was elected in Nov 2024, AMEX:TSLY stock had a huge bull run since then. It doubled between Nov 2024 to Dec 2024. Since the stock has sold off heavily and has lost more than 50% of its value. It recently bounced back from the lows of 214 $ which was the 0.785 Fib Retracement level if we plot the Fib levels from its highs to the lows. And then it bounced back lower 254 $ which is the 0.618 Fib Level.
AMEX:TSLY is steadily trading within these 2 Fib levels and seems that it fails to break out of this pattern. The stock seems to build a base between 250 and 214 which can be a good place to accumulate the stock. With Elon distracted by DOGE affairs it seems we are missing any catalyst for this stock. So NASDAQ:TSLA fans can keep on accumulating here and wait for a breakout. But to all my NASDAQ:TSLA fans there are already breaks out in other large caps in progress. Look at $MSFT. More regarding NASDAQ:MSFT in the upcoming blogs
Verdict: NASDAQ:TSLA accumulate between 214 – 250 $ if you need to. Else look for other mega caps.
Either a triangle start forming or a flat just completed. $TSLAThe Friday bounce was huge and expected, but be really cautious as its very a typical Tesla move.
At this point, i believe the triangle to be complete in next 2-3weeks(likely), or a flat just complete(also acceptable though i'm leaning less toward this scenario).
And, I bought puts yesterday, let's see what this plays out.
Just sharing my honest thought here, feel free to challenge my view and post opposing counts, always willing to learn new knowledge.
Tesla Suspends Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Were Often WrongTesla Pulls the Plug on Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Weren't Worth Much Anyway
Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth that has captivated and often confounded investors for over a decade, has made another move guaranteed to stir debate: it's suspending its forward-looking guidance. For many companies, withdrawing financial forecasts signals significant uncertainty or a major strategic shift, often sending shares tumbling. While Tesla's stock undoubtedly reacts to such news, a deeper look reveals a compelling argument: Tesla's official guidance, particularly in recent years, had become such a moving target, so frequently untethered from eventual reality, that its predictive value was already deeply questionable. Suspending it might simply be acknowledging the obvious.
For years, Tesla's earnings calls and investor communications were punctuated by ambitious, often audacious, targets set by CEO Elon Musk and the company. These weren't just vague aspirations; they were often specific numbers for vehicle deliveries, production ramps, timelines for new technologies like Full Self-Driving (FSD), and launch dates for anticipated models like the Cybertruck or the Semi. The market, enthralled by Tesla's disruptive potential and Musk's charismatic pronouncements, frequently hung on these words, baking them into valuation models and trading strategies.
However, the history of Tesla meeting these self-imposed targets is, charitably speaking, inconsistent. The guidance often veered into the quixotic, reflecting a potent blend of extreme optimism, engineering ambition, and perhaps a dash of Musk's famed "reality distortion field."
Consider the infamous "production hell" of the Model 3 ramp-up. Initial targets were wildly optimistic, projecting volumes that the company struggled immensely to achieve, facing bottlenecks in battery production and assembly line automation. While Tesla eventually overcame these hurdles, the timeline and cost deviated significantly from early guidance. Similarly, the promise of Full Self-Driving has been a perennial "next year" phenomenon. While the capabilities of Tesla's Autopilot and FSD Beta have advanced significantly, the arrival of true Level 4 or 5 autonomy, capable of operating without driver supervision under virtually all conditions – as often implied by the timelines suggested in guidance – remains elusive, years behind schedules hinted at in past forecasts.
The Cybertruck provides another stark example. Unveiled in 2019 with a projected start date that came and went multiple times, its eventual, limited launch in late 2023 was years behind schedule, and scaling its unique manufacturing process remains a challenge. Guidance around its ramp-up has been adjusted repeatedly.
This pattern isn't necessarily born from deliberate deception, but rather from a confluence of factors inherent to Tesla's DNA and the volatile industries it operates in:
1. Aggressive Goal Setting: Musk is known for setting incredibly ambitious "stretch goals" intended to motivate teams to achieve breakthroughs. While effective internally, translating these aspirational targets directly into public financial guidance is fraught with risk.
2. Underestimation of Complexity: Bringing revolutionary products to mass market – whether it's a new vehicle platform, a complex software suite like FSD, or novel battery technology – involves navigating unforeseen engineering, manufacturing, supply chain, and regulatory hurdles. Initial guidance often seemed to underestimate these complexities.
3. Market Volatility: The EV market itself is dynamic. Consumer demand shifts, government incentives change, raw material costs fluctuate, and competition intensifies – all factors that can derail even well-laid plans and render guidance obsolete.
4. The "Musk Factor": Elon Musk's public statements, sometimes made spontaneously on social media or during earnings calls, often became de facto guidance, even if not formally enshrined. His optimism could inflate expectations beyond what the operational side of the business could reliably deliver on a set schedule.
Given this history, why did the market continue to pay such close attention? Part of it was the sheer scale of Tesla's ambition and its undeniable success in revolutionizing the automotive industry. Investors betting on disruption were often willing to overlook missed targets, focusing instead on the long-term vision. Past stock performance also created a feedback loop; as the stock soared despite missed guidance, it reinforced the idea that the specific numbers mattered less than the overall trajectory and narrative. Guidance served as a signal of intent and ambition, even if the execution timeline slipped.
However, the context has shifted dramatically. Tesla is no longer the lone wolf in a nascent EV market. Competition is fierce, particularly from Chinese automakers like BYD, but also from legacy manufacturers finally hitting their stride with compelling EV offerings. Global EV demand growth, while still present, has slowed from its previously exponential pace. Tesla itself has engaged in significant price cuts globally to maintain volume, putting pressure on its once-stellar automotive margins.
In this more challenging environment, the luxury of consistently missing ambitious targets wears thin. The decision to suspend guidance now can be interpreted in several ways:
• Pragmatic Realism: Management may genuinely lack visibility into near-term demand, production capabilities (especially with new models or processes), or the impact of macroeconomic factors. Suspending guidance is arguably more responsible than issuing forecasts they have low confidence in.
• Strategic Pivot: Tesla is increasingly emphasizing its future potential in AI, robotics (Optimus), and autonomous ride-sharing (Robotaxi). These ventures have even longer and more uncertain development timelines than vehicle production. Focusing investor attention away from quarterly delivery numbers might be part of a strategy to reframe the company's narrative around these future bets.
• Avoiding Accountability: A more cynical take is that suspending guidance removes a key benchmark against which management's performance can be judged, particularly during a period of slowing growth and heightened competition.
Regardless of the primary motivation, the practical implication for investors is clear: the already thin reed of Tesla's official guidance is now gone entirely. This forces a greater reliance on analyzing tangible results – actual deliveries, reported margins, cash flow generation, progress on FSD adoption rates, and demonstrable advancements in new ventures – rather than promises of future performance.
The suspension underscores that investing in Tesla requires a strong belief in its long-term vision and its ability to execute on extremely complex technological and manufacturing challenges, often without a clear, company-provided roadmap for the immediate future. The focus must shift from parsing guidance to meticulously evaluating performance, competitive positioning, and the plausibility of its next-generation bets.
In conclusion, Tesla's decision to stop issuing formal guidance is less of a shockwave and more of a formal acknowledgment of a long-standing reality. Its forecasts were often more aspirational than operational, reflecting a culture of ambitious goal-setting within a highly volatile industry. While the absence of guidance introduces a new layer of uncertainty, savvy investors likely already applied a significant discount factor to Tesla's projections. The company's future success now hinges more transparently than ever not on what it promises for tomorrow, but on what it demonstrably delivers today. The quixotic forecasts may be gone, but the fundamental challenge of execution remains.
TSLAThe Future of Tesla Stocks: 2025 Outlook
Current Situation
As of late April 2025, Tesla (TSLA) is trading at approximately $284.95, with notable volatility
Bullish scenarios: Some forecasts see TSLA reaching $360 or even as high as $800.70 by year-end, especially if Tesla executes well on new products and technology.
Bearish scenarios: More cautious analysts, such as those at Wells Fargo, warn of a possible drop toward $130 if deliveries and margins disappoint, citing intense competition and slowing demand.
Most forecasts for 2025 fall between $284 and $800, highlighting high uncertainty and volatility in the stock’s outlook.
Key Drivers for Tesla’s Stock Performance
1. Vehicle Deliveries and Production
Tesla is expected to deliver between 1.95 million and 2.5 million vehicles in 2025, with growth driven by new models like the Cybertruck and more affordable vehicles.
Any production setbacks or failure to meet targets could pressure the stock.
2. Technological Innovation
Success in rolling out Full Self-Driving (FSD) features and the anticipated Robotaxi service could be transformative, potentially boosting profit margins and investor sentiment.
However, delays or regulatory hurdles could dampen optimism.
3. Competition and Market Share
Tesla faces growing competition from legacy automakers and new EV entrants, especially in China and Europe.
Its EV market share has slipped below 50% in key regions, raising concerns about sustaining growth.
4. Financial Performance
Revenue is projected to grow by 17.5% to $117.2 billion in 2025, with EPS also expected to rise.
Margins are under pressure due to price cuts and rising costs, a key risk factor.
5. External and Market Risks
Macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rates and consumer demand, will influence stock performance.
CEO Elon Musk’s leadership and public perception remain influential but can also be a source of volatility.
Long-Term Potential: Despite short-term risks, many analysts consider Tesla a strong long-term play due to its innovation and brand strength.
Conclusion
The future of Tesla stock in 2025 is highly uncertain, with forecasts ranging from significant gains to steep declines. Key factors include delivery growth, technological breakthroughs, margin management, and competitive pressures. While the long-term outlook remains positive for many analysts, short-term risks and volatility should not be underestimated. Investors should monitor Tesla’s execution on new products, regulatory developments, and broader market trends for directional cues.
TSLA watch $253.47 (again) Golden Genesis fib to determine trendTSLA back to the Golden Genesis fib that we keep harping about.
This is a BIG deal, as the most important level of this epoc for it.
Many PINGs (exact hits) have made all traders keenly aware of it.
What happens here will say a LOT to a LOT of traders and algos.
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Full view of the "Genesis Sequence"
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$TSLA : The road to 400 $In this space we have discussed about NASDAQ:TSLA multiple times. In one of our very recent blogs on 21 April 2025, we flipped bullish for the first time and presented a case to accumulate NASDAQ:TSLA between 214 $ – 250 $. Congrats to everyone who did it. On Friday’s close the stock is above 250 $ and its currently sitting above its 20-Day and 50-Day SMA. This can be taken as a first bullish sign and maybe the start of a primary reversal trend towards up. After some turbulent time and more than a 50% dip the stock is holding up very well.
As Elon will be back on the helm of the NASDAQ:TSLA we can expect some more macro tailwind for the stock itself. In the daily chart below, we see that the RSI chart has flipped bullish and on the Fib retracement levels we are well above the 0.382 Fib retracement levels which is at 272 $. The next stop as per the chart is 310 $ @ 0.5 Fib level. My assessment is that once the momentum is flipped bullish the stock can end above 400 $ once this is all said and done.
Verdict: Go Long $TSLA. 400 $ see you there $TSLA.
TSLA
TSLA Did break through a resistance line but this amount of price volitlity was unexpected, there is a big resistance line at around 287-288. Price will most likely consolidate or bounce down. Price could breakthrough and bounce back then continue on upwards. I have never seen this before not even with the Covid crash. Someone else probably has but I sure haven’t. I will probably buy the rebound if it breaks through and enter a long position but as of right now unsure.
NASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla: At a Crossroads – Accumulation or Breakdown?One of the most talked-about stocks right now — Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA . And for good reason. Between the constant media buzz around Elon Musk and the recent surge in vandalism against Tesla vehicles, it’s been getting plenty of attention. But I’m not here to talk politics or headlines — I’m here for the chart.
And honestly? It’s looking better than you’d think. Despite all the noise, price has held steady in the $225 to $270 range, showing signs of a sideways accumulation phase — right at the Point of Control (POC) since 2021. That’s a pretty strong area, technically speaking.
Over the next few weeks, we’re likely to get clarity:
Either we break above $350, which opens up serious upside potential,
Or we break down toward the Volume Area Low — specifically the 2024 VAL at $161.18.
The real danger zone? Below $138. If price breaks that level, we have to assume that Wave 2 isn’t done yet — even though it was originally considered complete in 2023.
Until then, the structure actually looks constructive: we’ve been putting in higher lows and higher highs since 2023, which signals a potential uptrend.
How far that uptrend goes is hard to call. But if we break and hold above $325, then a pullback toward $300–$270 could offer a clean entry opportunity.
On the flip side, yes — if the market collapses and Wave II is still unfolding, we could be staring at $175, $125, or even as low as $75–$50 in an extreme scenario. And that would be wild for a stock that once touched $485.
But that’s why it’s crucial to zoom out. Ask yourself:
What do I want from Tesla — long-term conviction or short-term plays?
Then build your view. If the macro fits, dial into the lower time frames to find your edge. The setup is building — and it’s looking like Tesla is prepping for a big move.
Question is: which direction are you positioned for?