$TTD load at 29-33NASDAQ:TTD first time ever, weekly RSI is < 30. There is a price where you just buy and forget regardless of technicals. That area looks like 29-33 to me.
TTD trade ideas
Opening (IRA): TTD May 16th -70C/October 17th 32.5C LCD*... for a 26.10 debit.
Comments: At or near 52-week lows. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The October 17th 32.5C is shown at the 50 strike to fit it on the chart).
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 26.10 debit
Break Even: 58.60/share
Max Profit: 11.40
ROC at Max: 43.7%
10% Max: 2.61
ROC at 10% Max: 10.0%
In this particular case, I'll look to take profit at 110% of what I put it on for and/or roll out the short call if it hits 50% max. Earnings are on 5/14, so my preference would be to take it off before then ... .
* -- Long Call Diagonal.
relentless sellingTTD has been taken to the woodshed. I outlined a few levels of interest. My plan of attack it to initiate 35% of my desired position around $60 (59.75 level given). After that i will start a DCA every 2 weeks. I'll add more at the 200 week MA (RED). If price got to the lower range i would ramp up the DCA considerably. Long term i still like this company.
$TTD to go below $60- Investors were paying too much for growth in NASDAQ:TTD
- It operates in a very competitive space.
- Leadership is solid however eps growth and gaap eps tells a different story. EPS growth is impressive but gaap eps is terrible. Stock based comp remain consistent but somehow gaap eps isn't growing as fast as non-gaap eps.
- Nonetheless, here's fair value for NASDAQ:TTD
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.79 | 2.21 | 2.85 | 3.89
EPS growth | 9.54% | 23.13% | 28.92% | 36.66%
For eps growth of 20%+ and company with a moat. Fair forward EPS is 30
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Bear Case ( p/e 20 ) | $35 | $44 | $57 | $77
Base Case (p/e 30 ) | $53.7 | $66.3 | 85.5 | $116
Bull Case (p/e 35 ) | $62 | $77 | $99 | $136
Idea is to buy close to fair value and hold it for period when there is optimism in the market or euphoria and/or valuation expansion where stock is assigned higher forward p/e multiple.
For me, NASDAQ:TTD is a buy under $65. However, I have started with a starter position at 80s because you many times good stocks bottom above its fair value.
I plan to build a position in increments because you never know how much stock will undercut on pessimism. However, the above intrinsic value based on EPS should help to identify the ranges
TTD longNASDAQ:TTD long
(The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is a technology company that provides a demand-side platform for digital advertising. Here's a quick overview:
1. Business: TTD specializes in programmatic advertising, using AI and data analytics to automate and optimize ad placements in real-time across various digital platforms.
2. Financial Performance:
- 2024 Revenue: $2.4 billion (26% year-over-year growth)
- Q4 2024 Revenue: $741 million (22% year-over-year growth)
3. Stock Performance:
- Current Price: $59.34 (as of March 24, 2025)
- Year-to-date performance: Down approximately 36%
4. Growth Drivers:
- Connected TV (CTV) advertising
- Shift to programmatic advertising
- Privacy-friendly advertising model
5. Challenges:
- Recent earnings miss and lower-than-expected Q1 2025 guidance
- Increased competition from major tech companies
- Economic slowdowns potentially impacting ad spending
6. Market Position:
- Leader in the demand-side platform (DSP) market
- Strong presence in CTV advertising
- No reliance on first-party data, unlike competitors like Google and Meta
Despite recent challenges, analysts remain generally bullish on TTD's long-term prospects in the growing digital advertising industry)
TTD LONG SET UP (The Trade Desk)Entry 1 $55.50
Entry 2 $45.50
Stop loss $35.50
Take profit 1- $65.50
(Close 25%)
Take profit 2- $75.50
(Close 50%)
Take profit 3-$90.50
(Close 75%)
Take profit 4-$110.50
(Close 100%)
Undervalued Stock TTD The Trade Desk buy IdeaDo not believe me when I say this stock is undervalued, do your own research.
Do not believe me when I say this stock has shown very high properbility for good upside moves from around end of March until mid of August for the last 10 years, do your own research.
Good upmove today, I am in.
Leave a like or comment, hit the bell, eat some birthday cake, and love what you are doing!
Cheers!
$TTD - Is it over?NASDAQ:TTD has been in a free fall, and it is currently the most oversold it has ever been. Nothing ever comes close.
One thing to note is that it tends to check back to $41 to $38 range after prolonged sell-offs like this. That support level has not been broken since 2021.
Judging by the extreme oversold levels in the MACD and RSI, it might be close to seller exhaustion. However, I would wait for confirmation.
If it reaches the $41 area, I’d be interested in going long with a stop around $35.
Something to take note of:
NASDAQ:TTD experienced a drawdown of 65% during the 2021 downtrend, which took 122 days to reach that level. If it were to fall a similar amount, it would be around $50. Currently, we are 69 days into the downtrend.
$TTD - The worst sell off in the history of sell offs?NASDAQ:TTD has been in a free fall, and it is currently the most oversold it has ever been. Nothing ever comes close.
One thing to note is that it tends to check back to $41 to $38 range after prolonged sell-offs like this. That support level has not been broken since 2021.
Judging by the extreme oversold levels in the MACD and RSI, it might be close to seller exhaustion. However, I would wait for confirmation.
If it reaches the $41 area, I’d be interested in going long with a stop around $35.
TTD LONG SET UP (The Trade Desk)Entry 1 $60.50
Entry 2 $45.50
Stop loss $30.50
Take profit 1- $80.50
(Close 25%)
Take profit 2- $100.50
(Close 50%)
Take profit 3-$120.00
(Close 75%)
Take profit 4-$140.00
(Close 100%)
TTD at multi month supportTTD has been beat to pieces the past month. However we have just reached a multi month support which could present a short term bounce
TTD - bought for a bounceSeems that nothing changed with the company fundamentals. Simply too oversold. Buying for a bounce.
Gap Filled, now what?Election spending sent earnings and the stock price to extremely exaggerated valuations. Now that the stock has been pummeled, what will be the next major driver for growth for this Wall St darling? They need to watch over their shoulder as AppLovin is looking to mount a challenge.
We are approaching an area of support, along with a gap being filled at $77. I'm watching the reaction at support, not trying to catch a falling knife. If the overall market tanks, this could continue to drop like a rock. So if I do trade this, I will keep a tight stop loss.
Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
$TTD - highly oversold here bounce to $85 incoming NASDAQ:TTD stock is down almost 50% since highs hitting 52 week lows on Friday. $70 looks a levels that it needs to hold and looks oversold at these levels. Looking for oversold bounce here as long as $70 holds for a move towards $76 and $85. Stock has a huge earnings gap above it
TTD: failed bullish setup = strong bearish moveFailed bullish formations become strong bearish moves. The proportional range to forecast a bullish break above the base becomes the forecast for a the low of the failure. Someday I'll see one of these in time for a massive short.
Note that the forecast is in between the 1.272 and 1.414 of a fib retrace anchored to a momentum crossover. They are also nearly aligned to the two AVWAPs that hand off from TTD's IPO. The middle marks the covid low.
The composite index is at a lower reading, but not an extreme that would mark a bottom. The detrended price oscillator is at it's lowest reading. Extremes can mark a bottom, but a higher low on the oscillator would give confirmation.
TTD LONG SET UPEntry 1 $75.00
Entry 2 $72.50
Stop loss $60.00
Take profit 1- $85.00
(Close 33%)
Take profit 2- $97.50
(Close 66%)
Take profit 3-$115.00
(Close 100%)
THE TRADE DESK BUY OPPORTUNITYThe earlier level now in hindsight was a weak demand zone which was broken. we are approaching the next significant demand zone which price can start the next bullish phase. Target previous all time high.
Good luck
Im loving $TTD down here in this demand zone on the DailyIf you see this then give me a boost. I think this a good area to buy shares or get some calls 2 to 3 month out
TTD, where do we go from here?A significant sell-off in The Trade Desk (TTD) followed its earnings report, driving the price toward a critical technical zone. The 76.45 - 80.16 range has historically acted as a strong support area, with multiple price interactions suggesting institutional buying interest in the past.
If the price holds this zone as support and RSI begins to recover, a potential bounce toward the 96.50 resistance level could occur. Price action at in this zone will be key—if buyers step in, a short-term rebound may follow. However, a break below 76 with rising volume could indicate further downside, potentially leading to lower support levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
BUY THE TRADE DESKThis is a market opportunity for us to buy The Trade Desk at a discount. Expecting this to keep setting all time highs so lets take advantage of this and ride the wave.
Good Luck
Contrarian Post Earnings Play with 20%+ upside potentialHuge sell-off post earnings. Market overreacted after a great year for TTD. Technically the sell-off can not be supported. When RSI was in such levels before, stock bounced back. Accumulation/Distribution Index is on the rise, meaning that we might have a positive divergence. Personally, it is the first time opening a long position in TTD. My entry was at $82.96. First resistance level is at $91 and second one is at $100. I will consider a partial close of my position at the $100 mark.
Wishing all of you sharp instincts, steady hands, and plenty of green days ahead! May your charts be clear, your entries precise, and your profits abundant. 🚀📈
