Sudden Pivot on Twilio.TWLOHuge gap down, followed by a massive bearish candle and a healthy wick. Convincing divergences on RSX and BB%PCT, other indicators being long establish bearish. There may be a bounce off the 2-4 line in blue, but experience dictates that with a gap like that there is plenty more momentum pent up for more down ward motion.
TWLO trade ideas
TWLOKey Metrics & Global Reach
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Adoption & Scale:
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Over 300,000 companies and 10 million+ developers worldwide use Twilio’s
platform.
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The platform delivers over 130 billion text messages per year and supports
communications in 180+ countries.
Industry Penetration:
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In financial services, 8 of the top 10 U.S. banks and 9 of the top 10 insurers
rely on Twilio.
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Across sectors like healthcare, e-commerce, SaaS, and logistics, Twilio is a
critical communications backbone.
Industries Leveraging Twilio’s Services
1. Financial Services (Banking & Fintech):
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Use Cases: One-time passcodes, fraud alerts, transaction notifications.
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Examples:
■ Morgan Stanley uses secure, compliant text messaging for advisors and
clients.
■ Stripe leverages Twilio for two-factor authentication (2FA) to verify millions
of users and secure payments.
2. Healthcare:
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Use Cases: Appointment reminders, telehealth, patient outreach via
HIPAA-eligible APIs.
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Examples:
■ NYU Langone Health integrated Twilio for appointment reminders and
critical health messages, boosting patient engagement.
3. E-commerce & Retail:
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Use Cases: Order confirmations, shipping/delivery updates, customer service
chats, and promotional campaigns.
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Examples:
■ Instacart uses SMS for real-time order and delivery notifications.
■ Retailers also use Twilio’s omnichannel capabilities (including SendGrid
for email) to drive personalized marketing.
4. Software & SaaS:
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Use Cases: In-app notifications, user verification, embedded voice/SMS chat
features.
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Examples:
■ Platforms like Salesforce and HubSpot integrate Twilio for enhanced
customer communication.
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Additional Sectors: Marketing, media, education, and even public utilities find
Twilio’s flexible APIs invaluable.
5. Transportation & Logistics:
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Use Cases: Real-time ride updates, coordination between drivers and riders,
tracking alerts, and masked communications.
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Examples:
■ Uber sends live text updates to riders, while Lyft built a custom contact
center on Twilio Flex to support both riders and drivers.
Major Companies & Partnerships
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Uber:
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Uses Twilio’s SMS and voice APIs to send real-time ride status notifications and
enable privacy-preserving, masked calls.
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Twilio’s global reach has been critical as Uber scales into new cities.
Airbnb:
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Integrates Twilio for secure, anonymized communication between hosts and
guests, increasing booking success rates and response times.
Lyft:
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Built its customer support contact center on Twilio Flex, handling millions of
weekly interactions with a custom, scalable solution.
Instacart:
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Uses Twilio extensively for order confirmations, delivery updates, and two-way
communications between shoppers and customers.
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The platform’s near-instant messaging was essential to Instacart’s operational
success.
Morgan Stanley:
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Implements compliant client communications via Twilio, ensuring secure and
logged text messaging for financial advisors.
Stripe:
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Relies on Twilio Verify for sending one-time passcodes that secure logins and
payment confirmations for millions of users worldwide.
Shopify:
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Overhauled its customer support center using Twilio Flex, consolidating multiple
communication channels into one efficient system.
Additional Notable Partners/Users:
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Toyota Connected for connected car notifications, Reddit for account verification
and chat, HubSpot for marketing automation, Deliveroo for customer updates,
and even Netflix has leveraged Twilio SMS for user engagement.
Primary Use Cases & Applications
1. Two-Factor Authentication (2FA) & Verification:
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Widely implemented across industries to add an extra layer of security.
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Examples include banking apps and social platforms that use Twilio to verify
phone numbers via SMS or voice calls.
2. Customer Service & Call Centers:
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Twilio’s suite (including the Programmable Voice API and Flex) supports IVR
menus, intelligent call routing, and multi-channel support, enabling agents to
handle queries efficiently.
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Integration with CRM systems provides context-rich interactions, ensuring
personalized and prompt customer service.
3. SMS Alerts & Notifications:
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Utilized to provide time-sensitive alerts (e.g., shipping updates, appointment
reminders, ride status notifications) across industries.
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The reliability and speed of Twilio’s messaging are crucial for mission-critical
updates, as seen with Instacart and healthcare providers.
4. Marketing Campaigns & Engagement:
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Marketing teams use Twilio’s Messaging APIs (SMS, WhatsApp) and SendGrid
for email to run targeted campaigns, promotions, and customer engagement
initiatives.
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Twilio Engage and Segment help in unifying customer data for personalized
outreach.
5. Chatbots & Conversational Interfaces:
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Developers build SMS chatbots and AI-driven conversational agents using Twilio
Studio and integrations with platforms like Dialogflow.
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These bots handle customer inquiries and tasks, with the ability to escalate to live
agents when necessary.
User Roles Driving Twilio Adoption
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Software Developers:
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The primary users who integrate Twilio’s APIs and SDKs into applications,
handling everything from SMS verification to in-app chat and voice
communications.
IT Administrators & Architects:
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Oversee Twilio integration with back-end systems, manage provisioning, secure
API keys, and ensure compliance (e.g., HIPAA in healthcare).
Marketing Teams:
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Use Twilio’s no-code interfaces (like Segment or Campaign Studio) to design,
execute, and measure customer outreach campaigns.
Customer Support & Operations Teams:
○
Leverage Twilio-powered contact centers (like Flex) to enhance customer
service, manage automated alerts, and resolve issues across channels.
Conclusion
Twilio’s flexible, API-first platform is trusted by leading companies across diverse
industries—from financial services and healthcare to e-commerce, SaaS, and transportation. Its
key metrics (global reach, high message volumes, and robust developer community) underscore
its importance in modern digital communications. Companies such as Uber, Airbnb, Lyft,
Instacart, Morgan Stanley, Stripe, and Shopify not only use Twilio’s services but also partner
with it to innovate customer engagement, drive operational efficiency, and ensure secure,
real-time communications worldwide.
This summary draws on available evidence and examples from multiple sectors, reflecting both
the breadth and depth of Twilio’s market impact.
Broke Out Of The 20 Months Long ChannelBroken out of the 20 months long channel on the weekly chart. Massive Golden cross forming in the near future.
This is a high quality which has rarely disappointed in the past. Even without AI narrative this was a trusted company. This is definitely one of the AI play. ARK and Youtube analyst Sacha Yanshin like this stock (And Sacha is extremely picky).
TWLO pullback to $79MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM positive with slight turn downward
Price at 4.618 Fibonacci level
In at $91.50
Target is $78.96 or channel bottom
Stop loss is $95
TWLO, rebalance to FVG, then make a bullish liquidity run So, my current analysis is built around a bullish bias on this chart. I’ve identified a few key elements that are lining up to potentially signal a strong move upward:
Bullish Block Breaker: First, I've identified a bullish block breaker. This occurred when the price broke above a significant resistance level, indicating a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This breakout suggests that buyers have taken control, and it's often a sign of a potential trend reversal or continuation to the upside.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): After the bullish block breaker, the price left behind a Fair Value Gap. This gap is an area of price imbalance, where the market moved too quickly and didn't allow for a balanced trading range. I'm looking for the price to potentially retrace into this FVG, as the market often seeks to 'rebalance' itself by filling this gap. This rebalancing process can provide a strategic entry point.
Bullish Order Block with 50% Retracement: Within the area where the FVG resides, I've also identified a bullish order block. This is an area of previous consolidation before the strong upward move. What adds confluence here is the 50% retracement level within this order block. This 50% level is crucial because it often represents a fair value area within the order block itself. Institutions and smart money traders often look to add to their positions around this level. So, if the price can hold above this 50% mark within the order block, it significantly increases the chances of a bounce.
Confluence Zone: The combination of the FVG, the bullish order block, and the 50% retracement level creates a strong confluence zone. This area serves as a potential support level where I expect buyers to step in if the bullish bias is to continue.
Looking for a Liquidity Run: After potentially rebalancing in the FVG and finding support within the order block at the 50% retracement level, I’ll be looking for the price to make a move towards a liquidity run. The target here would be key liquidity zones, such as previous swing highs or resistance levels. These are areas where stop-loss orders from short sellers or breakout orders from buyers are likely concentrated, acting as a magnet for the price.
Twilio LONGWhy do I think that TWLO should be attractive BUY at these price levels: Our top pick Twilio (TWLO) reported Q2 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.87, beating estimates by $0.17, with revenue of $1.08 billion, up 4% year-over-year. The company reported more than 316,000 active customer accounts as of June 30, 2024, compared to over 304,000 in the prior year. Twilio’s Q3 revenue consensus is $1.09 billion, with Non-GAAP EPS consensus of $0.73.
For the third quarter of 2024, Twilio has provided the following guidance:
Revenue: Expected to be in the range of $1.085 billion to $1.095 billion.
Non-GAAP Income from Operations: Projected to be between $160 million and $170 million.
The provided guidance exceeds current market expectations.
From the valuation point of view: TWLO trades at P/BV ratio of just 1.08x, P/Sales of 2.43x, which is below peer group average. Given the updated valuation which takes into account the recent company guidance, we foresee attractive upside potential for the stock in the near-term.
We think that current price is a good entry point in TWLO (for swing traders and investors)
TWLO Twilio Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TWLO before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TWLO Twilio prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 62.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-7-19,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TWLO potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
-Price is moving in an Ascending triangle on weekly
- Trendline support
- Price bounce from support
- Positive Earnings
- TP till major Resistance
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 59.99
Stop Loss Level: 56.98
Take Profit Level 1: 63
Take Profit Level 2: 67.65
Take Profit Level 3: 74.34
Investments in the Communication Technology RevolutionTwilio Inc. (NYSE:TWLO) , a leading software developer for communications, presents an attractive investment opportunity amidst digital transformation. The company offers cloud communication solutions that enable enterprises to integrate voice calls, text messages, and other forms of communication directly into their applications and services. This unique platform makes Twilio an indispensable tool for businesses in the era of mobility and the Internet of Things.
Analysts highly value Twilio's potential, considering the growing demand for integrated communication solutions. In a context where companies aim to improve customer interaction and optimize their services, Twilio offers powerful and flexible tools to achieve these goals.
It's also worth noting that Twilio is actively expanding its product portfolio and geographic presence, providing the company with new markets and revenue sources. Acquisitions, such as SendGrid, have strengthened Twilio's position in the email segment, complementing its communication coverage.
Furthermore, the innovative approach to the development and implementation of new technologies supports Twilio's long-term growth and competitiveness in the market. Given the continuous increase in data volumes and the need for their processing, Twilio has significant potential for further expansion in the cloud communications field.
In conclusion, Twilio offers investors a unique opportunity to invest in a company at the forefront of communication technology innovations. Its products and services have broad applications across various sectors, from financial services to healthcare and retail, making TWLO shares an attractive choice for diversifying the investment portfolio and participating in the growth of the digital technology sector.
Twilio Faces Hurdles as CEO Change Raises Concerns About Future The winds of change are blowing through Twilio Inc., ( NYSE:TWLO ) as the company navigates a pivotal moment following the departure of its longtime CEO amidst pressure from activist investors. The latest earnings report from the software giant reveals a mixed bag of results, with revenue projections falling short of expectations and a strategic shift underway as new leadership takes the helm.
Revenue Results
Twilio's announcement of projected revenue for the current quarter, below analyst estimates, sent shockwaves through the market, triggering a 10% decline in the company's shares during extended trading. The departure of former CEO Jeff Lawson, replaced by Khozema Shipchandler, has raised concerns about the company's future trajectory and its ability to maintain growth momentum.
Shipchandler, in a conference call discussing the results, acknowledged the challenges ahead, particularly in the company's Segment business unit, which encompasses data and applications divisions. With activist investor Anson Funds advocating for divestment or a potential sale of these divisions, Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) finds itself at a crossroads, facing tough decisions about its strategic direction.
The emphasis on focusing efforts on core businesses, exemplified by the decision to discontinue smaller ventures such as the video product, reflects Twilio's ( NYSE:TWLO ) commitment to streamlining operations and optimizing resources. Chief Financial Officer Aidan Viggiano's assertion that the company is determined to "do fewer things better" underscores the urgency of the situation and the need for decisive action.
Despite posting fourth-quarter sales that exceeded expectations and announcing higher-than-guided results in the wake of the leadership transition, Twilio's ( NYSE:TWLO ) stock performance paints a sobering picture. With shares trading well below their record high of February 2021, investors are grappling with uncertainty about the company's ability to regain its footing and reignite growth in a competitive market landscape.
The specter of multiple rounds of job cuts since late 2022 looms large, highlighting the challenges Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) faces in maintaining its once-enviable revenue growth trajectory. Analysts, wary of further structural changes under the new CEO, are closely monitoring developments as the company embarks on a path of introspection and potential reorganization.
Conclusion:
As Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) confronts headwinds in the wake of CEO transition and activist investor pressure, the company finds itself at a critical juncture. The road ahead is fraught with challenges, but also opportunities for strategic renewal and transformation. How Twilio ( NYSE:TWLO ) navigates these turbulent waters will shape its future trajectory and determine its ability to reclaim its position as a leader in the software industry.
TWLO $64.55 | a Salesforce 2.0 Ai poweredonly a matter of time Google or Amazon takes a position just like how it discretely hooked up with SNAP
a superstock in the bPO crm space
great that its crm products cater across industries
with a USP on IDENTITY verification wc is utmost importance for security
this is Bi Business Intelligence for a brave new Ai world
this ZONE is for accumulation or Dollar cost positioning
for a big fund takes 18months to acquire significant shares
then wait for the next 100 days to generate ALPHA gains back to fresh high s
TWLO Twilio Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold TWLO on this massive valuation:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TWLO Twilio prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 54usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $3.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TWLO May Go All the Way to ZERODaily Chart of TWLO
TWLO is forming 4th corrective wave of downtrend Motive Wave 1-2-3-4-5. The 4th wave is a contracting triangle formation. 4th leg of this triangle is complete. The 5th leg is usually 61.8 percent retracement of 3rd leg.
After formation of the 5th leg of the triangle, TWLO may commence a steep 5th impulse wave, ending below USD 10.
See charts below for the larger picture and 3-3-3-3-3 wave in the triangular formation.