TWLO trade ideas
Measuring Profit Taking Pullbacks with StocksQuick 10 minute tutorial video on how to measure the recent pullbacks on stocks. Then use simple and repeatable tools to confirm the Elliottwave 4 pullback behaviour and ook for thos high probability 5th wave move.
This example is for TWLO but right now there are lots of stocks in the same situation running into the US Elections..
Twilio Nuzzles Old HighsEveryone knows about Zoom Video Communications , but Twilio is another cloud-based beneficiary of the coronavirus pandemic.
TWLO has had a trio of positive headlines this month:
10/2: Guidance raised
10/12: Acquires customer-data firm Segment
10/26: Earnings and revenue beat
TWLO has declined along with the rest of the market in the last two weeks. It’s now back around $285. That level was the old peak in August and its consolidation zone earlier this month before it sprinted toward $340. The pullback is also creating an oversold condition on stochastics.
Momentum followers may look for its upward continuation if the broader market stabilizes.
TradeStation is a pioneer in the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
The SaaS boom - Twilio at $40+ billion market cap!One company that I have always checked in on is Twilio. They send text messages on behalf of companies for two-factor authentication and other services like chat bots and custom messaging strategies for marketers or companies to communicate.
It is a cool company and it is definitely impressive. Hat tip to what they've started. And look at this boom. Now worth $40 billion.
They generate about $1.5 billion in revenue per year at the moment. So if you do the math, you can see they are trading somewhere in the realm of 30x-35x revenue. If they double their revenue in a year, they will be at at 15x revenue. If they double it again they will be at 7x revenue. And if they double it AGAIN they will still be at about 3.5x revenue. Those are some seriously bullish expectations and while maybe it is possible, I'm not sure I see the risk-reward here going forward.
Perhaps they could acquire some revenue and build new products to expand faster. However, that's also not talking about the rise of competition. Twilio is not the only company that does this. There are few big names emerging and as the tech becomes more known and understood, this should only increase with some companies potentially doing it themselves instead of using a third-party vendor.
Anyways, that's my quick report. Congrats to Twilio longs and the company in general. I am still watching it as I believe it is a good barometer for the SaaS space. But, my core takeaway here is I don't see the risk-reward to the long side and will be watching for some weakness to potentially make a small, calculated trade toward the downside.
Thanks for reading!