XPEV/N trade ideas
XPEV XPeng Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on XPEV:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of XPEV XPeng prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 9.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-3-22,
for a premium of approximately $0.51.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
XPEV: Reversal From February 2024XPEV: Reversal From February 2024
After the price completed a bullish harmonic pattern near 7.8 we can see a clear bullish price reaction.
This movement could be also the beginning of a new bullish trend.
7.8 price zone was tested at the begining of February and so far the price is only rising
indicating for further growth.
Targets on the chart 12.30 and 17.50 are the swing targets of the pattern and 14.35
is also a very important target where the price may face a strong resistance zone.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XPEV in Bear TrendI dont see any signs of recovery
Until it breaks aways from this bear channel. I dont see any positive signs technically
Earnings coming soon and it looks like it will hit the bottom again or may be even go lower
if there is a miracle then it might reverse but that doesn't look like on the horizon technically!
STAY AWAY!!
XPEV Elliot Wave WXY CorrectionXPEV, at $23.62 in July 2023, may be in the Y wave of the Ellliot WXY Double Correction. Accordingly, it may end wave A, the first correction of the Y wave, around $11.5-12.3, which is the Anchored VWAP line, perform wave B, go up to around $15, and end the Elliot Double Correction wave with wave C between $8.5-10.
XPEV - wave 3 or wave 5Grml, I just noticed that my post from 2 weeks ago for this got deleted by mods :/
Pretty much mentioned this level for a hold, which now gave a nice reaction for starters...
We'll have to see if it holds.
An alterantive count, which would have the low as the finish of wave 4 instead of a wave 2 (from 2 weeks ago):
Even more bullish view would see the correction not as a wave 4, but as a second wave 2. Too early to focus on that though.
XPEV Long SwingThis is a beautiful chart. The elasticity is consistent throughout the history of this asset.
The thesis is basically summed up by a golden pocket retrace.
The most recent structure of this market was a wedge that broke up, we have now re created, with the same range(y-axis) and nearing the exact same time (x-axis) as the previous wedge.
If this 2nd wedge breaks up again (the pink arrow that is duplicated on my chart displays this) we are looking to test the next high at about $30.
XPeng G9 SUV earns 5-star safety rating from Euro NCAPChinese electric vehicle maker, XPeng Motors (NYSE:XPEV) announced Wednesday that the international model of their XPeng G9 SUV has received a five-star 2023 safety rating from Euro NCAP.
The five-star safety rating system by Euro NCAP is designed to assist consumers, families, and businesses in easily comparing vehicles and selecting the safest option suited to their requirements. These tests, mirroring real-life road dangers, set the benchmark in Europe for thorough automotive safety evaluations.
The XPeng G9's rating acknowledges its advanced body structure and extensive passive safety features, specifically engineered to safeguard passengers during collisions. These innovations collaborate to handle crash forces, diminish impact acceleration, and decrease the likelihood of injuries to occupants.
This achievement follows XPeng's five-star safety rating for the international model of the XPeng P7 in October, marking their second five-star rating this year.
Technical Analysis
Shares of XPEV are up 4.26% in mid-day trading.
The earnings estimate for the current quarter (Dec 2023) is -$0.46 per share, which is lower than the actual earnings of -$0.39 per share in the same quarter last year3. The revenue estimate for the current quarter is $1.89 billion, which is more than double the actual revenue of $733.4 million in the same quarter last year.
The growth estimates for XPEV are negative, with a projected decline of -7.5% in earnings for the current year (2023) and a projected decline of -5.74% in earnings for the next five years (per annum).
XPEV is facing some challenges in the market, despite its strong revenue growth. The stock price may continue to fluctuate in the near term, depending on the company’s performance and the market sentiment.
$XPEV Betting On TechnologyAfter receiving an investment from Volkswagen, XPeng Inc. (NYSE: XPEV) is on a roll as it successfully entered into a strategic partnership with ride-hailing giant Didi to acquire its smart EV unit. Through this acquisition, the company is expanding its presence into a new market segment which is the mass market since it intends to manufacture A-class segment EVs that target the Chinese vast middle class starting in 2024. Considering this venture’s potential to boost the company’s revenues in the coming years, the XPEV stock forecast appears to be bright for the long-term.
XPEV Fundamentals
Catering to a New Segment
As things stand, Didi and XPEV are in the midst of a strategic partnership to develop an A-class smart EV model under a new brand called MONA that targets the Chinese middle class. The vehicle is set to be launched in 2024, which is especially promising since its price is poised to be in the RMB 150 thousand range – making it widely affordable for middle class Chinese citizens.
This move is likely going to be extremely beneficial for the company moving forward, since the Chinese middle class is enormous. According to a Pew research study, the Chinese middle class grew between 2000 and 2018 from 39.1 million to 707 million which means that over 50% of the Chinese population is in the middle class. In this way, the company’s plan to venture into the mass market segment could aid its goal of reaching profitability in 2026.
Competition in the Mass Market
With this in mind, the Chinese EV market is currently obsessed with A-segment vehicles due to their affordability and maneuverability in congested areas. Having said that, XPEV’s entry into this segment will not be easy as the mass market segment is highly competitive. Currently, BYD and Wuling are giants in this segment as both companies have produced a number of best selling A-segment EVs which are currently wildly popular including BYD’s Seagull, Wuling’s Hongguang mini EV, and Wuling’s Bingo.
These vehicles accomplished monumental feats in terms of sales since for example, Wuling’s Hongguang mini EV recorded more sales in China than Tesla’s Model Y in 2022. That said, Bingo and Seagull also recorded impressive sales so far in 2023 as Bingo recorded 20 thousand sales in July, while Seagull recorded 23.5 thousand sales in June. To see the extent of these numbers, XPEV had 11 thousand deliveries last July across its portfolio of EVs.
When XPEV’s MONA Project enters the market, it will likely enjoy the benefits of China’s current A-segment fad. That said, Mona will be competing with Bingo, and Seagull, which are likely going to be much more affordable. As is, Bingo is sold at around RMB 59.8 thousand, while Seagull’s price could vary between RMB 78 and 95 thousand. On the other hand, XPEV’s MONA will likely be priced at around the RMB 150 thousand price point.
Although XPEV is outmatched when it comes to affordability, it still has a major edge over its competition in this segment which is its portfolio of EV technology. One of the features that the company could introduce into this segment is its X NGP navigational software which is approved for autonomous driving in several Chinese provinces. So despite the discrepancy in pricing, more customers may find the difference in EV tech worth the higher price point which could make the company secure a substantial share of the mass market segment. For this reason, the XPEV stock forecast could be extremely bright for the long term.
XPEV Financials
According to its Q2 2023 report, XPEV experienced a significant decrease in assets from RMB 71.4 billion at the beginning of the year to RMB 66.6 billion. This was due to the company’s cash balance decreasing from RMB 14.6 billion to RMB 11 billion, and its short term investments plummeting from RMB 1.2 billion to RMB 462 million. On the other hand,its liabilities remained relatively unchanged at around RMB 34 billion.
When it comes to revenue, the company experienced a significant YoY decrease from RMB 14.8 billion to RMB 9 billion. This occurred as a result of waning car sales which fell from RMB 13.9 billion to RMB 7.9 billion as a result of less deliveries that could be attributed to the price war Tesla started in the Chinese market. Meanwhile, expenses slightly decreased from RMB 5.7 billion to RMB 5.5 billion. Despite this, the revenue decline led the company’s net loss to increase YoY from RMB 4.4 billion to RMB 5.1 billion.
Technical Analysis
XPEV Stock is in a neutral trend as it is trading in a sideways channel between $18.09 and $19.93. Looking at the indicators, the stock is trading above the 200, 50, and 21 MAs which is a bullish sign. Meanwhile, the RSI is overbought at 78 and the MACD is approaching a bearish crossover.
As for the fundamentals, the XPEV stock forecast appears to be bullish thanks to its recent partnership with Didi since it allows the company to enter the mass market segment. Given the size of this market, the company may be on track to reach profitability in 2026 as it expects due to the expected surge in sales once the MONA Project hits the market. With this in mind, investors could wait for the stock to test its $18.09 support and hold it before entering a long position ahead of the company’s expected growth in the coming years.
XPEV Forecast
After its deal with Didi, XPEV might be well-positioned to capture a significant share of the Chinese mass market segment due to its EV technology that is more advanced than its competition in this segment. As is, the targeted population of the Chinese middle class represents more than 50% of China’s population which could see the company record impressive deliveries once the MONA project hits the market in 2024. As the company’s first real attempt to mass produce EVs in the Chinese market, its goal of reaching profitability in 2026 may not be far-fetched. For this reason, the XPEV stock forecast could be extremely bullish for the long term.
Is XPEV making a move higher ? LONGXPEV on the 2H chart had a summer peak with the announcement of the collaboration with
VW which then ran into quicksand. Price fell down to the support and demand zone and
now appears to be rising despite a miss on the earnings report. It seems that with the
US markets in quagmire, some investors and traders are diversifying offshore. XPEV, NIO, BABA
and BIDU may be benefiting. XPEC seems to have a good RS profile with the lower time frame
above the higher time frame and both of the above the 50 level. I will look for a long swing
trade entry on the 15-30 minute time frames targeting a price of 22 for a 25% return
XPEVXPEV a few weeks back had the hype and excitement of the VW deal marked on the 1H chart
as a head and shoulders from which it has falled onto a thick support and demand zone
at the present. The ZL MACD indicator shows a line cross under the histogram which has
went red to green. On the dual TF RS indicator the greenlower TF has crossed above the
black higher TF and they are both rising reflecting two green candles marking a reversal.
I will get in this long trade early an plan to get 16-18% out of it.
XPeng is the future of CarsXPeng is one of the biggest Electric Car Brands in China. The Chinese Government announced that it wants to support Clean Energy and Electric Cars. Also Volkswagen published a Cooperation with XPeng to produce Cars together. This is a Sign, that the European Car Producers know that China is ahead of them. XPeng has low Production Costs and a Quality that is getting as good as in Europe. However, their last Quarter Results were negative and the Quarter Results that will be published on August 18th will probably be negative , too. The Stock has risen 200% in one Month and is overbought . Since June XPeng is in a Rising Broadening Wedge that might breaks out to the Downside , because this Pattern is bearish and the Stock is way to overbought. The Target of the Pattern is 8 Dollars, but I think 10-12 Dollars are more realistic. I will update you when a Breakout happens!
Have nice Day!
XPEV: Time to big moveHi all. My English has not improved, so I will apologize every time =)
So, today we will analyze the company XPENG.
The instrument has been in the consolidation stage for a long time, which gives us complete confidence in a good upward momentum. Now we should test the $12 area and go higher. The potential is huge, I would like to see a price in the region of $24-26.
Good luck and don't forget to subscribe✅ This investment idea is not a recommendation for action.
See you later =)