DAX H1 | Potential bullish bounce?DAX (GER30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 21,467.75 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 21,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 22,576.90 which is a swing-high resistance.
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GER30 trade ideas
Ger40 dax SeekingPips short SELL UP here hight Reward to Risk🌟Good morning ladies and gentlemen.🌟
I like the Reward to Risk profile on this setup over 7r ✅️
Although it's one of my lower win rate strategies it's a simple set and forget trade setup with the statistics to backbup my plan.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 is short with Stop Loss above the highest high this morning.
On the feed that I am using that high 21839.5
I'M LOOKING for a GAP FILL🚥
Technical Analysis WeeklyStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 remains in a bearish trend but is currently undergoing a prolonged correction. It’s trading at 21,122, hovering just around its 20-day VWAP of 21,120. The RSI reads 47, suggesting a stabilisation in momentum. Support is found at 19,360, while resistance sits higher at 22,687.
UK 100 is in a bearish correction phase, trading at 8,293, back over its VWAP of 8071. RSI at 50 indicates neutral momentum. Support lies at 7,509, while resistance is overhead at 8,633.
Wall Street continues to correct within a broader bearish context. Currently priced at 38,588, it's just below its VWAP of 40,901. With an RSI of 40.8, momentum remains on the weak side. Support is seen at 37,161, while resistance looms near 43,021.
Brent Crude is correcting within a bearish trend, trading at 6,621—just below its VWAP of 6,691. RSI at 45.7 reflects subdued momentum. Support is found at 5,903, while resistance remains a stretch away at 7,479.
Gold maintains its bullish impulsive trend, pushing to fresh highs at 3,446. It is trading well above its VWAP of 3,446, confirming the strong trend. The RSI at 78.3 places it firmly in overbought territory, signalling powerful momentum but also increased risk of sudden turnaround. Support is marked at 2,893, while resistance now matches the current price.
The weak US dollar means EUR/USD is advancing in a bullish impulsive move, now at 1.1465, trading comfortably above the VWAP of 1.1137. RSI stands at 70.2, suggesting overbought conditions may limit further upside short term. Support lies at 1.0633, with resistance at
GBP/USD is climbing steadily in an impulsive bullish phase, priced at 1.3368 and trading above the VWAP of 1.3051. The RSI of 72.1 indicates overbought territory. Support is seen at 1.2653, while resistance is just ahead at 1.3448.
USD/JPY remains in a bearish impulsive trend, currently at 140.66 and well beneath its VWAP of 145.17. RSI at 30.7 puts it right on the edge of oversold territory. Support is nearby at 139.11, while resistance sits at 151.23.
DAX INTRADAY decision point at 21520The DAX40 continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which was subsequently rejected near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 21,520.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A failure to break above 21,520, followed by renewed selling pressure, would likely confirm a bearish reversal, with downside targets at:
20,333 – Near-term support
19,557 – Medium-term support
18,780 – Long-term support level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly above 21,520 on a daily basis, the bearish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend gains toward:
21,880 – Immediate resistance
22,330 – Major upside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bearish below 21,520, with rallies into that level offering potential short opportunities. A daily close above 21,520, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bullish continuation toward higher resistance levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX IMPORTANT resistance retest at 21520? The DAX40 continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which was subsequently rejected near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 21,520.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A failure to break above 21,520, followed by renewed selling pressure, would likely confirm a bearish reversal, with downside targets at:
20,333 – Near-term support
19,557 – Medium-term support
18,780 – Long-term support level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly above 21,520 on a daily basis, the bearish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend gains toward:
21,880 – Immediate resistance
22,330 – Major upside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bearish below 21,520, with rallies into that level offering potential short opportunities. A daily close above 21,520, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bullish continuation toward higher resistance levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Technical Analysis WeeklyStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 remains in a bearish market but has entered a correction following last week’s big turnaround. It is trading at 20,805, still below its 20-day VWAP of 21,478. The RSI at 43 suggests weak momentum, but not extreme oversold conditions. Support is in place at 19,120, while a breakout above resistance at 23,836 would be needed to challenge the current trend.
UK 100 is in a bearish correction phase, hovering at 8,105 and just under the VWAP of 8,147. With an RSI of 42, momentum remains muted but no longer extremely weak. Support is seen at 7,428, and resistance looms at 8,865.
Wall Street continues to correct within a broader bearish trend. It trades at 40,409, slightly below the VWAP of 40,734. RSI at 48 indicates neutral momentum, showing signs of consolidation. Key support is found at 37,241, while resistance stands at 44,228.
Brent Crude is in a bearish impulsive move, with price down to 6,445, firmly beneath the VWAP of 6,895. RSI at 39 signals persistent bearish pressure. Immediate support lies at 5,964, and resistance caps upside potential way back up at 7,826.
Gold continues to show strength, advancing in an impulsive bullish trend to yet more record highs. It trades at 3,231, above its VWAP of 3,084. The RSI at 69 places it just shy of overbought levels, suggesting momentum remains strong. Support rests at 2,921, while resistance is close at 3,231.
EUR/USD is surging in a bullish impulsive phase, trading at 1.1392 and significantly above its VWAP of 1.0955. RSI is elevated at 75, indicating overbought territory and scope for some kind of consolidation. Support is located at 1.0543, and price is currently testing resistance at 1.1392.
GBP/USD continues its impulsive bullish move, currently trading at 1.3130, just above the VWAP of 1.2940. RSI at 63 reflects solid bullish momentum. Support sits at 1.2733, while resistance coincides with the current high at 1.3130.
USD/JPY is in a bearish impulsive move, trading at 142.73, beneath the VWAP of 147.65. The RSI at 34 suggests weakening momentum, close to oversold but not extreme. Support is nearby at 142.43, with resistance up at 153.06.
DAX: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 20.353.80 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 21.097.51.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Make German Index Great Again? DAX Moves in Silence While the World Screams 📊⚡
It’s loud out there — tariffs flying, currencies shifting, old alliances shaking.
We’ve got Trump hinting at tariffs against U.S. allies and China, the Euro flexing, the dollar facing devaluation talk, and a tangled mess of energy politics with Russia and Germany in the middle. All of this creates layers of macro uncertainty…
But in the middle of all that chaos?
📈 The chart speaks. And it’s speaking clearly.
🎯 What We’re Watching
On the 8H and 30M chart, DAX has printed a beautiful technical structure. And regardless of how things unfold on the political stage, the price action is offering us a clean framework.
🔹 Key S/R at 20,552
We are hovering around this pivotal level. Above it? Bulls regain control. Below it? Things get choppy, fast.
🔹 Main Support: 18,896
This is the level to hold. It’s structurally valid and tested. A break below here triggers the deeper scenario.
🔹 Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (60%) — If 20,552 holds, DAX can re-ignite a rally toward:
22,248: interim resistance
23,870: all-time high zone
28,035: macro extension target
Bearish Case (40%) — If the key level is lost and we fall through 18,896, look out below:
16,978 minor support
14,408 becomes the "bad scenario" support
🔄 So… What Now?
We're not fortune tellers, and this isn't about guessing what the next political headline will be. We don’t need to understand the full implications of the euro/dollar dynamic or predict whether Germany will pivot on energy policy.
This is about the chart. Period.
📌 Above 20,552? I’m long toward 22K+
📌 Below it? I prepare for the slide
⚠️ Key decision zone right now. Market structure is everything.
Don’t get caught up in macro debates. The world may be unstable — but price action remains our anchor.
Trade the level, not the noise.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
DAX40 INTRADAY oversold bounce capped at 21520The DAX40 continues to exhibit bearish sentiment, aligning with the prevailing downward trend. Recent price action suggests that the index experienced an oversold rally, which was subsequently rejected near a key resistance zone — the previous intraday consolidation level around 21,520.
This area now serves as a critical pivot point. A failure to break above 21,520, followed by renewed selling pressure, would likely confirm a bearish reversal, with downside targets at:
20,333 – Near-term support
19,557 – Medium-term support
18,780 – Long-term support level
However, if price breaks and closes firmly above 21,520 on a daily basis, the bearish scenario would be invalidated. In that case, the DAX40 could extend gains toward:
21,880 – Immediate resistance
22,330 – Major upside target
Conclusion
The bias remains bearish below 21,520, with rallies into that level offering potential short opportunities. A daily close above 21,520, however, would shift sentiment and open the door for bullish continuation toward higher resistance levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dax Monthly - hitting fib cluster levelDAX monthly chart hitting fibonacci extension cluster level
The Dax typically leads the Dow to some degree, and has a deeply overbought RSI now at a potential resistance zone
Likely to have a retracement in the short to medium term
Not trading this, but highlighting as it may indicate that other western indices may follow suit and struggle to increase in the next 2-6 months
DAX: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 20,299.80 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 19,659.04.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DAX daily Imbalance Chart Structure & Pattern
The DAX was previously moving within a clear ascending channel, indicating bullish momentum.
A breakdown of this ascending structure has led to a sharp selloff.
Price is now reacting to strong historical demand zones, marked by purple horizontal boxes.
📉 Price Action & Market Behavior
Current price: 19,988.34 EUR
There was a massive drop from the highs around 23,000 EUR to nearly 18,000 EUR.
Today’s candle shows a strong bullish wick, suggesting a bounce off the 18,800–19,200 support zone.
Volume is extremely elevated, indicating capitulation or aggressive repositioning.
📊 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Current RSI: 27.52 — deeply in oversold territory, which often precedes short-term rebounds or consolidation phases.
If RSI crosses back above 30, that could be a buy trigger for counter-trend traders.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance:
20,800
21,200
Support Zones:
19,200 – 18,800 (currently bouncing from here)
18,000 – 17,600 (next level if current support fails)
📈 Trade Setups
1. Short-Term Rebound / Relief Rally (Bullish Idea):
Entry: Around 19,900–20,000 (after confirmation of support holding)
Target 1: 20,800
Target 2: 21,200
Stop Loss: Below 19,200
2. Bearish Continuation (If support breaks):
Entry: Break below 18,800 with volume
Target: 18,000
Stop Loss: Above 19,300
🧠 Summary
The DAX has sharply broken its bullish structure and is now in a correction phase.
Current bounce from oversold RSI and support zone may give a temporary rally.
However, the overall trend has shifted bearish, and a lower high or failed bounce could trigger further downside.
It's a key inflection point — great for active traders watching for a bounce vs breakdown confirmation.
DAX INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 20820The DAX 40 Index is showing a bearish trend, with recent price action breaking below a key support level around 20820. This level acted as a consolidation zone and is now a key resistance.
An oversold bounce from current levels is possible, but if the price fails to break back above 20820, it could head lower toward the next support levels at 19550, 18780, and 17240 over time.
On the other hand, if the index breaks and closes above 20820, the bearish outlook would be invalidated, and the index could move higher to test 21100, and possibly 21870.
Conclusion
Below 20820 = bearish bias remains
Watch for a rejection at 20820 for short setups
Break and daily close above 20820 = shift to bullish outlook targeting higher levels
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DAX Shows Upward Reaction from Key Support ZoneThe DAX is feeling the effects of a "Black Monday" scenario early on. The blue trendline that began in August was broken on Friday, and now the longer-term trend that started in October 2023 is being tested. This trendline, along with the major support zone just below it, could act as a potential turning point before a deeper selloff.
If the 18,800–18,920 zone holds, this pullback might turn into a solid buying opportunity. However, there is a clear reason behind the panic selling, and that concern still remains. If fear escalates into full-blown panic and the 18,800–18,920 support zone is broken (not just a bear trap or a temporary downward spike), the rout is likely to continue through the rest of the week.
German 40 Index – Another Potentially Busy Week AheadLast week popular trades were sacrificed in the global risk sell off. The Germany 40 index fell 9% on the week to close at 20,344, a level last seen in early January. The rush into the relative safety of bonds and cash on Thursday/Friday in response to President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs of 20% on the EU ensured the Germany 40 index moved into correction territory. This is officially a dip of 10% from its previous high of 23,479, which amazingly was only seen 3 weeks ago on March 18th.
The negative mood has carried over into early trading on Monday with the Germany 40 experiencing a gap open lower, which has seen it trade to a new low at 19,592 before finding some initial buying interest again.
Looking forward, US reciprocal tariffs, retaliation and trade war escalation may well be top of traders’ agendas again. The latest round of US tariffs are due to kick in on Wednesday April 9th, making this date potentially pivotal in helping traders to determine whether President Trump is using them as a negotiating tool or is really committed and in it for the long haul.
Also important could be the strength of retaliation from the EU. Weekend news has highlighted a raft of potential measures, ranging from imposing its own tariffs on US imports, higher taxes on US companies or even specifically targeting big American technology companies.
We saw on Friday, what China's strong retaliatory response did to risk sentiment, after the world’s two biggest economies escalated their trade war. A strong response from the EU may have similar consequences, while a more measured approach may provide some support for the Germany 40, and other European indices. This will only become clearer when events occur, and price action can be judged in real time.
Technical Update: Sentiment Changes Everything
A recent theme supporting the Germany 40 index was rotation out of US markets into German assets (i.e. selling of US stocks to reinvest in German companies), which helped maintain the positive price action seen over the first 2 ½ months of 2025.
However, when sentiment changes as dramatically as it appears to have done last week, traders switch to a ‘sell all stocks’ scenario, meaning nothing is safe from capitulation, with even the recent stronger performers, such as the Germany 40, experiencing strong selling pressure.
This activity was reflected within the Germany 40 index by sharp price declines that first saw closing breaks under support provided by the March 11th last correction low at 22240. This then culminated in the sharp acceleration to the downside seen after Wednesday’s reciprocal tariff announcement from President Trump.
What Are The Longer Term Potential Implications for the Germany 40 Index?
Last week’s and so far, this morning’s lower opening, has seen breaks under what would normally be viewed by traders as possible important support, represented by the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci retracement of August 5th, 2024, to March 18th, 2025, strength. These levels stood at 20945 and 20290 respectively. This may now lead to a more extended phase of price weakness, although it’s not guaranteed.
If this were to be the case traders may begin to look for deeper downside levels which might be viewed as the next potential support within the current decline. It might be argued that this morning’s opening level has already seen a test of a first support at 19653, which is the December 20th session low. However, if it were to give way, it might then be the 61.8% Fibonacci level which stands at 19436, that may become the next downside focus.
How About Potential Resistance Levels?
After such a sharp decline in price over a relatively short period of time, it’s possible to see an upside recovery develop, and it shouldn’t be forgotten that there might be potential for this to occur at some point over the course of the coming week.
However, what might now be viewed as possible resistance to any price bounce?
Friday’s low trade stands at 20318 and if any potential rallies see tests of this level, how it is defended on a closing basis may be important. Successful upside breaks may be a sign that a more extended price rally is materialising. The focus could then switch to a potential stronger resistance at 21076, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the March/April weakness.
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DAX Is Oversold! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX fell down sharply
But will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 20,230 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A strong bullish rebound
Buy!
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