Scary TechnicalsMACD over bought on a monthly historically suggest we have a 40-80% decline in equity prices soon.
NAS100 trade ideas
US100-bearish bias Bearish indications:
Bearish divergence in day time frame.
Moving average indicates bearish move.
Bearish engulfer candle from resistance.
Trend line resistance respected at 20108
LLLH formation.
Support broken at 19938
Resistance respected at 20146
Bearish divergence in 15 min time frame
Bullish indications:
Trend line resistance is broken
In 1 hr moving average is getting respected to red green candle. But it cannot be trusted.
Bearish set up from the resistance at 20150 or 20310 which is also fib 0.618 once the formation of bearish chart patterns.
NEW IDEA FOR NAS100The Nasdaq-100 index in the four-hour time frame has broken the support of the floor of the first ascending channel downwards, and now, on the condition of maintaining and not registering any four-hour close candle time above the important resistance range in the range of 2014-2017, it can reach the support. The floor of the second ascending channel has decreased in the range of 19511.
USNAS100 / Bearish Pressure with Potential Retest OpportunitiesTechnically:
The price has dropped precisely as anticipated. It is now expected to reach 20008, with a stabilization below the 20008 level likely extending the decline toward 19740.
Bearish Scenario: While trading below 20130, the price may attempt to reach 20008 and 19860. A break below 19740 would pave the way for further declines toward 19520.
Bullish Scenario: Stabilization above 20130 would open the path to 20240. Further strength above this level could create a bullish zone targeting 20420.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20130
Resistance Levels: 20240, 20330, 20420
Support Levels: 19990, 19860, 19740
Trend outlook:
- Bullish above 20130
- Bearish below 20020
previous idea:
NASDSAQ INDEX (US100): Bullish Confirmation After Breakout
US100 Index updated the all-time high, violating a solid daily horizontal resistance.
After a breakout, the market retested the broken structure and started to consolidate
on an hourly time frame.
A violation of the upper boundary of the range is a strong intraday bullish continuation.
It indicates that with a high probability, the price will go up.
Next goal - 20920
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US100 (NDQ): Trend in 4H time framePlease pay special attention to the very accurate trends, and colored levels.
Its a very sensitive setup, please be careful.
BEST,
MT
NAS - THE TIME HAS COMEShort NAS at 20615-20585
STOP LOSS AT 20696
Target at 20545-35 One it hit take partial profit and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 20485-96
Target 3 at 20415-26
being wary of the electionI am looking to buy at either 20548 or the region from 22/23rd of October again.
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS TRIANGLE PATTERN Here on Nas100 price form a triangle pattern so if line 20146.7 break then trader is likely to look for LONG and expect a profit target of 20288.3 and 20442.4 . Use money management
NASDAQ: Forming the new Low of the Channel UpNasdaq is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.183, MACD = 55.990, ADX = 31.366) as the price is trading sideways on an upward slope at the bottom of the 1 month Channel Up. This is technically the new HL formation process and it is taking place under the 4H MA200 this time. The formation however of a 4H MACD Bullish Cross under 0.000 has been the most reliable buy indicator in the last two months, so it is a good enough reason to buy for us, since the risk factor at the bottom of the Channel Up is so low. The HH that followed the last HL was pcied on the 1.236 Fibonacci level and since the symmetry inside this pattern is high so far (Bearish waves indentical), our target is under the 1.236 Fib extension (TP = 20,750).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NAS100USD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4H NAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Recent Price Movement ,The price has reached a new historical level, breaking past the last all-time high (ATH) of 20,788.
Current Target , Prices are trying to approach 21,125. As long as there’s upward pressure, there’s potential for growth.
Potential Retest of Support , Before continuing to increase, prices might retest an old supply zone between 20,788 and 20,662. This area serves as a potential support level, and if the price remains above it, there’s a higher chance for further increases.
Upside Target , If prices stabilize above this support zone, there’s a chance of reaching a new ATH around 21,125. If it breaks this level, the next historical zone lies between 21,200 and 21,350.
Downside Risk, If prices fall below the old supply zone, it could indicate a decline, with a potential target of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,482 and 20,335. This level represents a potential lower support area if the price trend reverses.
NASDAQ - Nasdaq will lose the 20,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the range of 20,000 is broken, we can witness the continuation of the decline
If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions up to the bottom of the ascending channel
The U.S. jobs report for October indicated that only 12,000 new jobs were added to the labor market, significantly below expectations. This drop was primarily due to strikes, particularly at Boeing, and the impacts of recent storms. In October 2024, 512,000 workers were unable to work due to hurricanes Helen and Milton, much higher than the historical average of 47,000. These conditions led to a slowdown in job growth for October. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, but revised data from previous months show a decline in job growth.
Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the U.S. stock market will grow by the end of the year, driven by various factors. The end of October marks reduced sales by investment and pension funds, which could support stock price growth. This outlook contrasts with the consensus on Wall Street, which expects stock prices to decline after the presidential election. However, Goldman Sachs believes that stock market growth will continue under current conditions.
A survey by the Conference Board shows that 51.4% of American consumers expect stock prices to rise over the next 12 months. This represents the highest optimism level recorded since the survey began in 1987, although experts remain skeptical.
Warren Buffett continued selling a significant portion of his Apple shares in the third quarter of 2024, selling nearly a quarter of his holdings. This move reduced Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in Apple to 300 million shares, representing a 67.2% decrease from the end of the third quarter last year. Despite these sales, Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves have reached $325.2 billion. Buffett indicated that some sales might be due to tax reasons, but the volume of sales suggests other factors may also be at play. Interestingly, Berkshire did not purchase any stocks during this period.
Next week’s U.S. election will be in the spotlight, with market participants in a state of uncertainty as it is unclear whether conclusive results will be announced immediately after polls close on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, central banks will also be in focus; the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its monetary policy on Tuesday, followed by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
Additionally, markets await the release of the U.S. ISM Services PMI on Tuesday, weekly jobless claims data on Thursday, and the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index on Friday. These data points could significantly influence market direction during this crucial week.
Nick Timiraos, an economic analyst from The Wall Street Journal, believes the U.S. jobs report will not significantly alter expectations for a 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
JPMorgan analysts suggest that if Trump wins the election, more expansionary fiscal policies will be implemented, which could increase the budget deficit and inflation. As a result, the Fed may pause rate cuts. Conversely, if Kamala Harris wins, the economy is expected to continue its slow and steady path, and the Fed would likely proceed with a rate cut in November; however, with a Trump victory, this cut may be halted in December.
NAS100 H1The Nasdaq index is still looking to drop to the demand zone at 19778 levels, so we are looking to buy from these levels.
Our targets are: 20044
2nd target: 20400
3rd target: 20661
4th target: 20915
Stop loss when the hourly candle closes below the level: 19613
NASDAQ Rejected on the 1hour MA50 but bottom is in.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a monthly Channel Up.
Despite getting rejected today on the 1hour MA50, the Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up has been priced in.
This is a good buy opportunity. Target 20350 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level).
Previous chart:
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Downside unfolding in NASDAQ 100NASDAQ:NDX has finally started giving confirmation of downmove with weekly negative close and a strong bearish engulfing. We might see a pullback in wave 2/B early next week after which downmove should continue. Watch the video for levels and more details.
NAS100 Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 20,379.97.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 20,800.00 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NAS100 sell offMy forecast is that Nas100 will first take the previous day's high which correlates with a FVG created when price shifted to the downside.
I have identified liquidity above the PDH to get an entry on the 50% fib retracement and my stop would be just above. Ill wait for confirmation at my POI to get an entry and manage the trade to Thursday's low.
NAS100We looking For Buying Opportunities As we are still inside the bullish trend resulting buys to the upside|1H TIMEFRAME
NASDAQ_1Dhello
Analysis of the Nasdaq index in the medium and long term The index is in a channel and an upward trend, the important number is 20,000, and by maintaining the high price of this number, the upward trend continues towards the target number of 23,700 and 25,500. The percentage of growth in this wave is 25%. We are an index buyer and we will benefit from this growth.
NAS100 pullback to 20657MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
Bonus if a TTM Squeeze in in play.
I hold until target is reached or end of year, when I can book a loss.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
(buying SQQQ)
Price above or near channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM positive
Price at Fibonacci level
In at $21145
Target is $100 or channel top bottom
NO STOP LOSS. will hold to year end.
adding to short position if price reaches 21,900
New Supply Block Active on NAS/NQMassive supply block above the range with buyers trapped above volume profile Point of Control (dashed white line)
The bearish block that got traded through was supposed to give bears a way out as price travelled back into it but they held their positions short meaning none of them really got scared by the rally above that block
We can assume this is an institutional shorting block and they want a better point to long from down below. The weekly stochastic is also sitting above 90 but we have not lost support of the daily 50EMA with daily stochastic around 30 and RSI in a neutral position around 50
There are clear targets in sellside with no bullish imbalance to halt price from dropping until the 19,000 range
Cheers to those who understand these levels 🔑
NASDAQ Retracement: Awaiting Bullish Confirmation Around Key SupI am anticipating a retracement around the 20,000 to 20,020 level on NASDAQ before seeking an entry. I’ll be waiting for bullish confirmation signals in line with my methodology. Notably, we've swept the current day’s low along with some sessions from last week, suggesting a possible move to take out last week's low after first reaching last Friday’s high.
Good luck, and stay disciplined!
NAS100USD New position updatedIf break resistance 20780 above then It’s going up till 23240
The stock market is highly volatile. Please be very careful with your investments.
