US30 TodayAs long US30 is below41570 is still bearish
I expect today my pattern on H1 to entry sell with TP new LOW
US30 trade ideas
US30 Trade Outlook – 17/03/2025🚨 US30 Trade Outlook – 17/03/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 remains in a downtrend, but price is currently consolidating near the EMAs. The market is at a decision point, with a potential breakout or rejection looming.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Bearish Trend – Price still below major EMAs.
✅ Key Resistance – 41,255 - 41,400 is a crucial supply zone.
✅ Support Holding? – 41,000 is acting as a short-term floor.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔻 Short if rejection at 41,255, targeting 40,800 - 40,600.
🔹 Long if breakout & retest above 41,400, targeting 41,600 - 41,800.
⚡️ Patience is key. Wait for confirmations! 🔥
Dow Holds Steady Above 41,000Unlike the Nasdaq and SP500, Dow did not trace the full potential of its double top formation between 2024 and 2025 peaks, yet in a similar manner to the US indices, it rebounded from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the May 2024-Jan 2025 uptrend, coinciding with oversold levels on the 3-Day RSI previously seen in October 2023.
The Dow’s rebound from the 40,660 low aligns with the bottom end of the duplicated channel of its respected up-trend between May 2024 and Jan 2025, strengthening positive rebound opportunities in tandem with the broader market sentiment.
Should the Dow hold above the 41,000-mark, levels 41,700, 42,600, and 43,400 may come back to play. From the downside, a clean close back below the 40,600-mark can extend losses in the direction of the double top formation’s target, aligning with possible support levels at 40,200, 39,500, and 38,700.
Key Events to Watch:
- Trade war Developments
- FOMC Meeting on Wednesday
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
downtrendGiven the breakdown of the support range, it is expected that the continuation of the downward trend will form after the pullback to the resistance range.
If the green resistance range is broken, the above scenario will be invalidated.
US30 1HR // 17 March AnalysisWe can see that BLACKBULL:US30 is in a downtrend on the 1HR timeframe.
The price is near the our trendline and has touched our area of resistance around the 41500.00 once. Looking for the price to approach the area of resistance as well as trendline and show a good rejection for potential sells.
A good target would be the 40750.00 area.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
The Great Short of 2025I genuinely hope this doesn't happen, but we are squaring price at around 12.9k, 72 years after the half century bull market began.
US30US30 isn't ready for us to go back up yet, we need small correction before last drop and then we will look for buys.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
US30 Falling Wedge Breakout Setup – Bullish Momentum Building?📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Falling Wedge | Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀
🔍 Chart Analysis:
US30 is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This formation typically signals a potential bullish breakout as selling pressure weakens.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Breakout Zone: ~41,600 (upper wedge resistance)
✅ Next Resistance: 42,830 (100 SMA on 4H timeframe)
✅ Support: 40,800 (lower wedge support)
🎯 Trade Idea:
A confirmed breakout above 41,600 with strong volume could push price toward 42,830 and beyond.
Failure to break out may result in further consolidation within the wedge before a breakout attempt.
📢 What’s Your Take?
Do you see a breakout happening soon, or will US30 remain stuck in this wedge a bit longer? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
US30 Falling Wedge Breakout Setup – Bullish Momentum Building?📊 US30 (Dow Jones) Falling Wedge | Bullish Breakout Incoming? 🚀
🔍 Chart Analysis:
US30 is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe. This formation typically signals a potential bullish breakout as selling pressure weakens.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Breakout Zone: ~41,600 (upper wedge resistance)
✅ Next Resistance: 42,830 (100 SMA on 4H timeframe)
✅ Support: 40,800 (lower wedge support)
🎯 Trade Idea:
A confirmed breakout above 41,600 with strong volume could push price toward 42,830 and beyond.
Failure to break out may result in further consolidation within the wedge before a breakout attempt.
📢 What’s Your Take?
Do you see a breakout happening soon, or will US30 remain stuck in this wedge a bit longer? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
Dow JonesDOW JONES SPOT PRICE
MTF Analysis Price Time Frame Trend
Dow JonesYearly Demand 37,779 HTF UP
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand 36,952 HTF UP
Dow JonesQtrly Demand BUFL 40,077 HTF UP
38,269
Dow JonesMonthly Demand 40,077 MTF Down
Dow JonesWeekly Demand 39,628 MTF Down
Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 40,077 MTF Down
39,927
Dow Jones 240 M 39,027 LTF Down
Dow Jones 180 M 38,704 LTF Down
Dow Jones 120 M LTF Down
Dow Jones 60 M LTF Down
38,866
39,021
ENTRY -1 Long 39,628
SL 39,021
RISK 607
Target as per Entry 44,575
RR 8
Last High 44,575
Last Low 37,612
Short buy retrace to 42420 areaShort buy as the recession is increasing. I like the profit take at 42420 and sell at 42425 area
US30 Shorts US30 broke below weekly support so I’ll continue looking for sells. I’d look for sells around the 41,800 area to push towards the 40,200-40,000 area.
$DJI with rear green dayRear green day for the Industrial Average. Weekly charts are at crucial support trend line since 2020 low. The daily chart printed green day on Friday, but the Double Top target is further down. If we don't see a meaningful reversal in the next couple of days, the bleeding will continue
US30 BROKE NECKLINE!Price broke through the neckline area of 42290.8 what next do we expect from the daily timeframe? A further decline is expected to occur if we’d get some form of intraday retracement the next support level could be around 39797.1
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟣Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong (e.g., 16.9% for S&P 500 proxies)—bullish, but US30 firms face tariff uncertainty.
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, no cuts signaled—real yields ~1% (10-year Treasury 3.8%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: PCE 2.6% (Jan 2025)—persistent inflation supports Fed stance, bearish for stocks.
Growth: U.S. consumer spending wanes (Schwab)—mixed, neutral impact.
Geopolitics: Trump tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—short-term volatility, long-term bullish for U.S. firms.
🟤Macro Economics
Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, which has led to a strengthening of the US dollar.
US Economy: The US economy has been showing signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rates decreasing.
Global Economy: The global economy has been experiencing a slowdown, with many countries experiencing recession.
⚪Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~55,000 contracts (down from 65,000)—cooling bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in gains.
Open Interest: ~125,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.
🔴Market Sentimental Analysis
Bullish Sentiment: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Sentiment: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42200.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets.
🔵Positioning Analysis
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in US30, expecting a breakout above 45,000.
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in US30, expecting a correction.
🟠Quantitative Analysis
Technical Indicators: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Moving Averages: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 44,404, providing resistance for US30 prices.
🟡Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00—USD softness aids equities—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise signals risk-off, bearish for US30.
NDX: ~20,000, tech softening—correlated pressure on US30—bearish.
Bonds: U.S. 10-year 3.8%—yield stability neutral.
🟢News and Events Analysis
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 15-16, with investors expecting a potential rate hike.
US Economic Data: The US economic data, including the Non-Farm Payrolls report, is being closely watched for its impact on US30 prices.
🟣Next Trend Move
Bullish Trend: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Trend: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
🔴Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Outlook: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Outlook: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
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DJI since the launch of BitcoinDJI chart since the launch of BTC. It helps us understand if equities(DJI) and Bitcoin(BTC) movements are correlated.
Time analysis US30 , Mar -11- 2025I think we'll see some reverse around March 21 ,
You guys say;
TP ? SL? E?
DOW JOUNES WEAK TREND
41600-41300
Support: This is a price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand. For the DJIA, support levels are often identified by looking at previous lows or using technical indicators like moving averages.
Resistance: This is a price level where an uptrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of supply. Resistance levels for the DJIA can be identified by looking at previous highs or using technical indicator
dow up sideDow up side best move ment dow
Support: This is a price level where a downtrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of demand. For the DJIA, support levels are often identified by looking at previous lows or using technical indicators like moving averages.
Resistance: This is a price level where an uptrend can be expected to pause due to a concentration of supply. Resistance levels for the DJIA can be identified by looking at previous highs or using technical indicator
US30 SCENARIO 12/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw lhboot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
US30 SCENARIO 13/03/2025English : According to our analysis, we anticipate a BEARISH scenario.
Morocan Darija : kanchofo d'apres l'analyse dyalna antsanaw lhboot
ATENTION : I only share my ideas, not signals.
Dow INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 41640Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41640
Resistance Level 2: 41956
Resistance Level 3: 42450
Support Level 1: 40650
Support Level 2: 40080
Support Level 3: 39650
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
