US30 trade ideas
US30 - Potentail buy | wait on confirmationUS30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊
📌 Market Overview
🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone.
🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold.
🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet.
🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions.
🟩 BUY Setup (If Price Breaks Resistance & Retests)
✅ Break & close above 44,980 = Bullish confirmation.
✅ Wait for a retest at 44,805 or 44,861.
✅ Buy Entry: After price holds above resistance.
✅ Stop Loss (SL): Below 44,750 ❌.
✅ Take Profit (TP):
🎯 First target: 45,070.
🎯 Second target: 45,200+ 🚀.
✅ RR: 1:2 or better for solid risk management.
Do not risk more than 1% of your account.
Comment and follow for more cool Ideas
Nozuk,
US30 Potential Sell - Wait for confirmation US30 Trading Strategy 🚀📊
📌 Market Overview
🔹 Price Action: Hovering near Fib 0.5 (44,805.5) & Fib 0.618 (44,861.2) – critical resistance zone.
🔹 RSI (51.88): Neutral ⚖️ – not overbought, not oversold.
🔹 MACD: Histogram turning green 📈 – possible bullish momentum, but no strong confirmation yet.
🔹 Bollinger Bands: Price near the mid-band 📊 – no extreme conditions.
🟥 SELL Setup (If Price Rejects Resistance)
🔻 Wait for a bearish rejection at 44,805 - 44,980 (wicks, engulfing candles).
🔻 Sell Entry: Below 44,805 after confirmation.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL): Above 44,980 ❌.
🔻 Take Profit (TP):
🎯 First target: 44,680 (lower Bollinger Band).
🎯 Second target: 44,480 (Fib 0.886).
🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1:2 or better ✅.
Risk no more than 1% of your account.
Comment your thoughts and follow for more cool ideas.
Nozuk,
Dow Jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 44500 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 44500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Pre-News & Pre-Market Open Analysis: US30 Great morning to you all!
Pre-News & Pre-Market Open Analysis:
Key Levels to Watch:
Identify confluences between your weekly (green), hourly (blue), and 15-minute (yellow) Fib levels.
Look for areas where multiple levels align—these are strong reaction zones.
Identify strong support/resistance levels from previous highs and lows.
News Event Considerations (7:30 AM CT):
Volatility will increase near the release.
Expect potential liquidity grabs before the real move happens.
Consider waiting for the first reaction before entering any trades.
Indicators Check:
RSI: Currently at ~53, suggesting neutral momentum—watch for overbought/oversold zones.
MACD: Looks like it's slightly negative, suggesting a pullback or weak momentum. If it starts crossing bullish, that could indicate a potential reversal.
Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band—watch for a potential retracement if momentum weakens.
Game Plan:
Before the News:
Mark potential trade setups based on your fib confluences.
Avoid early entries—let the market show its direction first.
After the News Release:
If price spikes into a key level (like a strong fib resistance/support), wait for confirmation (e.g., candlestick pattern or RSI divergence).
If market trends strongly after the release, look for pullbacks to enter in the direction of momentum.
Based on your chart and the Fibonacci retracements, here’s how we can mark potential trade zones:
Key Trade Zones to Watch:
1. Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas)
Around 45,000 - 45,085:
This aligns with a previous high and is near the weekly fib 0.786 - 0.886 zone.
If price spikes here after news, look for rejection signs (e.g., wicks, RSI divergence, or MACD weakening).
44,810 - 44,850 (Mid-range Resistance):
Overlap of 1H fib 0.618 level and the EMA zone.
If price rejects from this level before the news, it could indicate a weaker bullish push.
2. Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas)
44,574 - 44,483 (Major Support Zone):
1H Fib 0.618 + Weekly Fib 0.382 confluence.
If price drops here after the news, watch for bullish confirmations (strong candle closes, RSI oversold).
44,380 - 44,250 (Deep Pullback Buy Zone):
1H Fib 0.786 - 0.886 level and aligns with past consolidation.
If news causes a liquidity sweep, this could be a strong reversal area.
Trading Approach:
Pre-News:
No aggressive entries; observe price reaction to key levels.
During News:
Expect liquidity grabs and fakeouts before a real trend is set.
Post-News:
If price rejects from resistance → Look for sell setups.
If price drops to strong support zones and holds → Look for buy setups.
Kepp in mind this is just. a pre-market analisys, onces the news have passed we will have a better understanding of what the market can head towares too!
comment your thoughts down bellow.
Follow for more.
Regards,
Nozuk
It's over for DOW JONES?#dowjones #DJI index has been forming a bearish double top and the first hard declination from this levels will probably confirm the trend reversal of DJ:DJI .Take care.
Dow Jones: Tariffs hit, next move awaits jobs data !This week's trading had a significant impact on the Dow Jones Index and its recent upward trend. After US President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on both Canada and Mexico over the weekend, US indices, including the Dow Jones, declined. The Dow reversed its upward trend and recorded a new low, just below 44,579.
Traders should monitor the current resistance levels at 44,700 and 44,800, as they present selling pressures that could extend the downward trend toward 44,108.
Conversely, a price increase above 45,072, accompanied by a daily candlestick closing above this level, would shift the outlook from negative to positive. This could open the door for further gains in the Dow Jones Index, potentially reaching new historical highs.
Note:
Markets are awaiting US employment data, set to be released today. Expectations indicate a decline in non-farm employment to 154,000, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. These figures are highly influential on market movements and the U.S. dollar.
US30 OFFERS A BUY OPPORTUNITY Price is offering a possible buy opportunity from the current price of 44,776 I anticipate price to rise all d way up to 45,071 following the upcoming NFP report that’s coming up few hours from now, a lesser than expected report can foster the buy activity
Correlation of Dow Jones to Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Today marks the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), a key labor market indicator that tends to generate high volatility in financial markets. This report, issued monthly by the Department of Labor, reflects the number of jobs created in the non-farm sector during the previous month and is a key determinant of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy.
Report Expectations
The latest U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, released on January 10, 2025, revealed an increase of 256,000 jobs in December 2024, exceeding market expectations that anticipated 160,000 new jobs. This increase represented the largest in nine months suggesting continued strength in the U.S. labor market. In addition, the unemployment rate declined to 4.1%, an improvement from the 4.2% recorded in November. Wage growth held steady, with average hourly earnings increasing by 0.3% month-over-month and 3.9% year-over-year. For the January 2025 report, to be released today, February 7, 2025, analysts are forecasting a slowdown in job creation. An increase of 170,000 jobs is expected, down from the number added in December. The unemployment rate is projected to hold steady at 4.1%. This moderation in job growth could reflect a normalization following earlier increases. A weaker-than-expected employment report could influence expectations about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, potentially affecting the U.S. dollar and broader financial markets. Investors will be watching this data to assess economic health and adjust their strategies accordingly.
If the figures beat expectations, they could reinforce the Fed's stance of keeping interest rates higher for longer, which would benefit the US dollar and put downward pressure on risky assets. Conversely, a disappointing data could open the door to a tightening of monetary policy, weakening the dollar and supporting equities and commodities.
Impact on markets
1. US Dollar and Forex: If NFP beats expectations, this could lead to an appreciation of the USD, especially against EUR, GBP and JPY. If not, the greenback could lose ground, pushing pairs such as EUR/USD above key resistances.
2. Stock markets: Wall Street tends to have a mixed reaction to NFP. Strong data could generate concerns about a tighter Fed, affecting the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. On the other hand, weak data could generate optimism about a possible monetary easing.
3. Commodities: Gold tends to react in reversal to the dollar. If the NFP strengthens the USD, gold could retreat; if the data is weak, it could overcome key resistances. In oil, a strong reading could indicate higher energy demand, benefiting crude oil prices.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Ticker AT: USAIND) Analysis
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is a key event in particular, for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), as it reveals the health of the U.S. labor market and can set the tone for stocks on Wall Street. A strong report could benefit many of the Dow30 majors, from Goldman Sachs to Caterpillar. However, that initial euphoria may quickly fade if investors begin to fear that the Federal Reserve will take this data as a reason to keep interest rates higher for longer. In that case, the Dow may turn downward, as a high rate environment makes financing for companies more expensive and reduces growth expectations. On the other hand, when NFP disappoints and shows lower job creation, the market reaction can be more complex. If the data suggests a controlled slowdown, the Dow could find support in the expectation that the Fed will loosen its monetary stance, which would reduce borrowing costs and stimulate business growth. However, if the report is too weak and points to a possible recession, panic may take hold in the markets, sending the Dow Jones into steep declines as investors seek refuge in safer assets such as gold or Treasuries. In short, the Dow Jones is particularly sensitive to NFP because it reflects the balance between growth and monetary policy. A figure that is too strong or too weak can generate sharp movements, while a figure in line with expectations tends to generate stability. That is why every NFP release is a time of high tension on Wall Street.
If we look at the chart, the latest NPF data supported the index and pushed it to the highs, and it is currently hitting resistance for the third time at 45,110 points at its current all-time high. If the payrolls data is as bad as expected, it is very likely that the price will fall again to test the 42,000 points being its support at 41,788.80 points. RSI is currently 61.57% overbought with only a few hours to go before the key event of the month. The long term Control Point (POC) is located in the 34,000 points zone, being this its previous accumulation zone. The current accumulation zone is located at the average of 39,500 points.
Conclusion
Today's NFP will play a crucial role in the market's perception of the direction of the Fed's monetary policy in which the trends on the dollar and on this index in particular may be affected in order to face the whole month, prior to the corporate results of the companies that make up the index.
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WHAT'S FLOWING: TRUMP | METALS | INDEX | BTC
Key Observations from the Charts
1. USD/MXN (US Dollar to Mexican Peso) – Bullish
• The pair is trending upwards, with price breaking above recent resistance.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles confirm bullish momentum.
2. USD/CNH (US Dollar to Chinese Yuan) – Bullish
• Price is pushing higher, breaking past previous resistance.
• The red-to-green shift in Heikin Ashi candles signals continued strength in USD.
3. USD/CAD (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) – Bullish
• Strong rally with momentum building.
• The price is well above the moving average zone (green/red shaded area).
4. AUD/JPY & AUD/USD (vs. USD/JPY) – Bearish
• Weakness in AUD is visible as it trends downward.
• The Heikin Ashi candles are mostly red, indicating a downtrend.
5. XAG/EUR (Silver to Euro) – Bullish
• Price is breaking higher, suggesting demand for silver.
• Potential move toward the next resistance.
6. XAU/USD vs. XAG/USD (Gold & Silver to USD) – Bullish
• Both gold and silver are pushing higher.
• Potential rotation into precious metals as a hedge against market uncertainty.
7. GER40 (DAX Index, Germany) – Bullish
• The index is maintaining an uptrend.
• Strong green Heikin Ashi candles show continuation.
8. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) – Bearish
• Continues to push higher with momentum.
• Uptrend remains intact.
9. SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) – Slightly Bearish
• Market remains near highs, with some consolidation.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles still dominate, but some resistance forming.
What’s Flowing Today?
• Strong USD Trends: USD is pushing higher against MXN, CNH, and CAD, reflecting dollar strength.
• Precious Metals Rising: Gold and Silver are both trending up, likely as a hedge against market risks.
• Equities Holding Strong: US & European indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones, and DAX) are maintaining bullish trends.
• AUD Weakness: AUD/JPY and AUD/USD are selling off, signaling risk aversion in currency markets.
Market Themes to Watch
• Risk-on vs. Risk-off Sentiment: Precious metals moving higher suggests some defensive positioning, but stocks remain strong.
• US Dollar Strength: USD showing dominance across multiple pairs.
• Commodities & Inflation Hedge: Metals rallying could indicate inflation expectations creeping back into the market.
correctionIt is expected that the correction will progress to the specified support range, then we are expected to see the start of the upward trend.
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 44,276.40
1st Support: 43,763.49
1st Resistance: 44,991.93
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US30 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is testing our sell entry level at 44,728.54, a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
A successful rejection at this resistance could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 44,029.64, where buyers may step in near a previous support level.
The stop loss is placed at 45,433.97, just above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, allowing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish outlook remains valid.
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US30 the best position to BUY.This index had no brakes pushing up with a great momentum, which is good for operations that are long and locked in profits, but it has a high volatility downwards, a resistance will be close to finding liquidity for buyers. I prefer to wait for a smart shopping area after a pullback to enter long.
NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025.
Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish)
Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish)
Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy)
NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K
Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1%
Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend.
Plan Of Action.
Wait 5 - 15 min after data release.
Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest.
Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest).
Execute with Proper Risk Management.
STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!!
Support & Resistence
Resistence - 44725 - 44750
Support - 44525 -44500
Technicals
Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50.
US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
IS US 30 TRENDING UP CREATING A BULLISH ORDER FLOW?I see us30 respecting bullish order blocks and creating liquidity pools on the downside will it even come back on the discounted levels
Before Unemployment Claim Day trade - Potential scenarios US30 🛠️ Trade Execution Plan
✅ Step 1: Key Levels to Watch
📊 Resistance:
🔴 45,070 – 45,100 → Major breakout level
🟢 Target if bullish: 45,250+
📊 Support:
🟡 44,550 → First downside target
🟢 44,266 → Stronger support level
🔴 43,753 → Deep pullback level (if sell-off happens)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Stronger-than-expected labor market)
🔹 What to look for:
Unemployment claims come in lower than expected (good for economy).
US30 breaks and holds above 45,100 (watch for a retest confirmation).
Momentum increases on MACD & RSI stays above 50.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Buy above 45,100 if price closes above this level on the 5m or 15m chart.
🎯 Targets:
🎯 First TP: 45,250
🎯 Second TP: 45,400
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Below 44,950
📉 Bearish Scenario (Weaker labor market, higher claims)
🔹 What to look for:
Higher unemployment claims = weak labor market = market drops.
US30 rejects 45,070 and fails to break 45,000.
RSI turns downward, MACD shows red bars increasing.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Sell below 44,900 if price fails to break above 45,000 and starts dropping.
🎯 Targets:
🎯 First TP: 44,550
🎯 Second TP: 44,266
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Above 45,050
⏳ Best Trading Approach (Timing)
1️⃣ Right at 8:30 AM ET (Initial Spike)
Price whipsaws up & down due to fast orders.
❌ Avoid immediate entry! Wait 5-10 minutes for direction.
2️⃣ 8:35 - 8:45 AM ET (Retest Confirmation)
If price breaks a key level & retests, enter on confirmation.
3️⃣ 9:30 AM ET (Stock Market Open Reaction)
Second big move might come at NYSE open.
🎯 Final Tips
Don’t rush the trade. Let the market show direction before entering.
Stick to stop-loss & take-profit levels.
Use smaller lot size if volatility is extreme.
If unsure, stay out! There will always be another trade.
Do not risk more than 1% of your account.
Follow for more cool ideas.
-Nozuk
Sell!Hello, trader.
Price action should go above to rest above the liquidity and take it to go back all the way down to daily support zone
US30 SELL AT SUPPLY ZONE SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on Us30 price has form a supply around zone of 44801.11 and is likely to continue falling so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 43616.84 and 42379.15 . Use money management
US30 Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
US30 broke the rising
Support line and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
US30 Stuck at all time high providing an intraday shortUS30 is having difficulties passing the 44800 resistance level and provided an intraday short opportunity.
US30 Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum Holds Above 44410US30 Technical Analysis
The price maintains bullish momentum as it has already stabilized above the pivot line at 44410.
As long as it trades above 44410, the price is expected to push higher toward 44620 and 44760.
However, if a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes below 44410, a bearish move is likely, with potential targets at 44250 and 44075.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 44410
Resistance Levels: 44620, 44760, 44920
Support Levels: 44260, 44150, 44075
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while above 44410
Bearish below 44410
US30hello everyone, the price reversed from previous support level, the price is still trading in straight pattern, today after ism news price stayed strong.. price may continue bullish and reach or break the main resistance level and make all time high price
