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NAS100 Future (Continuous futures contract)

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Testing Ideas - USTech 100 CFD ShortI have noticed this pattern in the past and it seemed to work. I am currently testing how ideas work so I would really appreciate constructive feedback. I am aware and know how to use the following indicators: RSI, MACD, Fibonacci, Stochastics, Bollinger Bands. DISCLAIMER: Please do not trade on this idea unless you agree with it and find more arguments for its validity. What I'm currently doing is learning how to spot patterns properly. I need to make a few mistakes. I like the tradingview ideas because I can see retroactively if it went well.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by gabisuciu
3
NASDAQ Index Overview: Current Market Drivers & Future ProspectsThe NASDAQ Composite Index, known for its heavy concentration in technology stocks, has experienced a rollercoaster ride in recent months. On Monday, the index declined by 0.52%, in stark contrast to the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which both saw gains. The NASDAQ’s dip amid the broader market's positive performance highlights the ongoing volatility and shifts in investor sentiment within the tech-heavy index. Let’s take a deeper look into the drivers influencing the NASDAQ Composite. Current Fundamental Drivers 1. Interest Rate Sensitivity: The NASDAQ Composite is heavily influenced by changes in interest rates due to its reliance on growth-oriented tech companies. Typically, technology stocks thrive in a low-interest-rate environment as their future earnings become more attractive. However, with the U.S. Federal Reserve poised to cut interest rates in its next meeting, the market is eagerly anticipating how significant these cuts will be. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is now a 67% chance of a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut. This possibility has drawn investor attention back to tech stocks, which are expected to benefit from reduced borrowing costs. A large rate cut could fuel another surge in technology stocks, but the sector has recently faced headwinds from profit-taking and sector rotation into financial and energy stocks. 2. AI and Semiconductor Influence: The Artificial Intelligence (AI) boom has been a key driver of NASDAQ’s gains in 2023. Notably, Nvidia, a leading player in AI-related hardware, has seen its stock rise nearly 136% this year, while Meta, which has developed its own AI model, has gained about 51%. The strong performance of these companies underscores the central role AI plays in bolstering the NASDAQ. Yet, the tech sector is not without challenges. Nvidia, despite being a linchpin of the AI movement, fell 1.95% on Monday, with broader semiconductor stocks also declining. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which tracks chipmakers, dropped by 1.31%. This indicates that while AI remains a powerful force, the sector’s performance is susceptible to short-term volatility and broader market conditions. 3. Global Factors: International developments have also played a role in the NASDAQ’s performance. For example, Japan's Nikkei 225 fell by 1.03% as the yen strengthened against the U.S. dollar, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 1.15%, signaling mixed sentiment in the Asia-Pacific markets. These fluctuations impact U.S. tech stocks, as many are global companies with exposure to international markets. The strengthening Japanese yen has been particularly significant as it can affect U.S. exports, including high-tech products, reducing profitability for tech giants that rely on global sales. The Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy decisions in October and December could further influence currency fluctuations and global tech performance. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, the NASDAQ Composite remains in a precarious position. As of this writing, the index is down by 0.47%, and the technical indicators offer a mixed picture of where it could be headed. 1. RSI Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the NASDAQ currently stands at 55.48. This suggests that the index has room for further upward movement, but is hovering in a neutral range. The RSI hasn’t entered the overbought zone, indicating that while the index has potential for growth, it could face resistance as it approaches key levels. 2. Trend Channel and Support Levels: The NASDAQ Composite has been trading within a rising trend channel since the fourth quarter of 2023. The index’s ability to maintain its position within this channel is crucial for its continued growth. The 16,000 pivot level serves as a significant support point. A breakdown below this level could catalyze a bearish move, leading to a potential reversal of the recent gains. Investors and traders are keenly awaiting guidance from U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose upcoming speech could provide critical insights into the Fed’s policy outlook. Any hawkish comments or signs of hesitancy in cutting rates may weigh heavily on the NASDAQ, especially given its reliance on lower borrowing costs. 3. Sector Rotation and Divergence: One notable observation is the sectoral shift from technology stocks into other parts of the market. On Monday, financial and energy stocks outperformed, with both sectors rising by over 1%. This divergence reflects the broader trend of investors reallocating capital in anticipation of lower rates. Financial stocks, in particular, have been beneficiaries of this rotation, as hedge funds made their largest purchases of financials since June 2023, according to Goldman Sachs. Outlook and Conclusion In summary, the NASDAQ Composite is at a crossroads, with fundamental and technical forces pulling in different directions. On the one hand, the prospect of significant interest rate cuts could revive enthusiasm for tech stocks, while on the other, the index’s technical indicators suggest caution, especially if it breaks below the critical 16,000 support level. For investors, the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting will be pivotal. If the central bank delivers a larger-than-expected rate cut, the NASDAQ could rally, with AI and tech stocks leading the charge. However, any disappointment from the Fed could trigger further sector rotation, pushing investors toward less volatile sectors like financials and energy. As always, in periods of uncertainty, it’s essential to stay vigilant and monitor both market fundamentals and technical indicators to navigate the path ahead. The NASDAQ’s next move will depend not only on economic data and Fed policy but also on the evolving trends in AI and global markets.
NASDAQ:NDX
by DEXWireNews
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea (NASDAQ)👀 👉 Here's my take on the current NAS100 (NASDAQ) situation: NASDAQ-100 Technical Outlook The NASDAQ-100 index is showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart, with a notable shift in market structure. We're seeing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals bearish momentum. This could potentially drive prices down to test previous support levels. Key Levels and Entry Strategy I'm currently eyeing a short entry, but I'm not jumping in just yet. My strategy is to wait for a clear break of the current structure, followed by a retest of the range lows. This approach allows for a more favourable risk-reward ratio and increases the probability of a successful trade. Broader Market Context Seasonal Patterns Historical data reveals an interesting seasonal trend: bears have often dominated the market from mid-September onwards over the past 5-6 years. This aligns with our current technical outlook and adds weight to the bearish thesis. Technical Indicators The MACD is showing a bearish signal on the daily chart, further supporting our downside bias . Additionally, the RSI at 55.95 suggests there's still room for downward movement before we hit oversold territory. Trade Idea Given the technical setup and seasonal tendencies, I'm looking to short the NAS100 on a break and retest of the current range lows. Key resistance levels to watch are around 17,511 (50-day moving average) and 17,480 (20-day moving average). Remember, while this analysis provides a solid foundation, always conduct your own due diligence and adhere to strict risk management principles. The tech sector can be volatile, so position sizing is crucial. 📉✅
FX:NAS100Short
by tradingwithanthony
NAS100USD: Sell with Focus on Daily FVG!Greetings, Traders! Brief Description🖊️: Currently, NAS100USD has switched to a bearish institutional structure. After retracing into a Balanced Price Range (BPR), price is respecting this zone, signaling a potential continuation toward the downside. The BPR reflects an area where price was delivered at fair value, balancing both buy and sell sides. I am closely watching for confirmation entries on lower timeframes to ride this bearish momentum toward my targets, which align with the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) and H1 sell stops. Things I Have Seen👀: Bearish Momentum📉: Price is trading within a BPR, suggesting a continuation towards the downside after retracing into this zone. Balanced Price Range Resistance 🟥: The BPR is expected to act as a resistance level, guiding price lower. Bearish Targets🎯: Sell-Side Liquidity : Targeting sell stops on the H1 timeframe. Daily FVG : Expecting a draw toward the Fair Value Gap, where inefficiencies in price delivery exist. What's Important Now❗ Monitor price action during the New York afternoon session for volatility and look for sell confirmations on lower timeframes to align with the overall bearish bias. Happy Trading, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NAS100 TRADE UPDATE - PERFECT SET UPNAS100 4H - As you can see this pair has played out perfectly for us over the course of the last few days, not only did we predict a bullish market trading us higher but we also predicted the area at which we wanted to see price revere from. Price has traded into the zone we marked out and has traded us nicely into the 50% mark before showing great signs of a rejection, not only could we have got involved in this market with a pending order but we could also look to get involved now from the initial pullback. As we know with price breaking structure to the downside, its confirmed to us that the correction trading us up and into the zone has finished and a new trend trading us lower is now in play, well with bearish structure we are presented with Lower Highs and Lower Lows. With price now setting a High breaking the last Low to create a lower one, we can now expect price to pullback to trade into a fractal area of Supply in order to set a new Lower High. This is where we can look to get involved in this market from.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Lukegforex
2
NASDAQ The index is well supported to hit 25k by mid 2025.Last week (September 09, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal on Nasdaq (NDX) right as the price was testing the 1D MA200, a strong Support on its 2-year Channel Up: The index duly delivered and we've completed 5 straight green days already. Not only that but the 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50, practically confirmed the bullish extension into this week. The current week however isn't just a typical one, as we anticipate the Fed Rate Decision on Wednesday and even though the expectations are fixed on at least a 0.25% cut, the volatility is expected to be high. As a result, to filter out this short-term noise, we will resort today to the wider 1W time-frame, which helps keeping a more accurate long-term perspective. In fact it was the same chart we published 6 months ago (March 18, see chart below), which very accurately laid out the Support that you needed to calmly buy on the long-term, which as you can see, it has been a recurring signal since 2010: Every time the price broke above a Resistance, it was the ultimate buy entry if re-tested later as a Support. That happened in mid April and that's what happened last week as well. In fact, the index made a strong rejection on the 1.5 Channel Fibonacci level and then tested and held the 1W MA50, confirming the emergence of a Channel Up (orange) similar to June 2020 - November 2021. The 1W RSI similarities between the two fractals are also further evidence of this. As a result, we expect Nasdaq to reach as high as 25000 by mid 2025 (a little lower than our previous 6-month estimate but still good enough to be an excellent buy opportunity even now). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
NAS100: Three days traders long in the market (scalp)Hi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range ✅ Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout ✅ 3 Days Short Breakout Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump ✅ Dump&Pump Frontside ✅ Backside 4. THESIS: Long: Secondary, although my main thesis is short, day 3 long breakout traders in th market is not necessary a reversal signal, it can also keep going pushing higher, especially on Monday which setup the high low of the week. Depending on how it will setup after 9:30am NYT (equity opening), if a buy low is presented I can be willing to take a long trade. Short: Primary, the market is out of balance, in breakout and is consolidating after an interesting pump performed on Friday during the NY session. London session of today placed a LL into the current LOD, and if it pumps back up in the closing price or any other relevant level, I will be shorting NAS back to at least the Friday LOD. Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by GianniPichichero
21
USNAS100 / Huge Correction...Nasdaq Technical Analysis The price remains on track to reach 19535 or 19680, after which a significant retest down to 19290 and potentially 19160 is possible before resuming the upward move. Sustained stability above 19535 would further support a rally toward 19680 and 19970. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 19535 Resistance Levels: 19680, 19810, 19970 Support Levels: 19290, 19160, 18920 Expected Trading Range Today: 19160 to 19625 Trend: The market is highly sensitive; an uptrend is expected above 19535, while a downtrend may develop if the price remains below this level.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi