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The monthly on btcusd.The March Candle closes with approximately +16%, creating a price structure above the previous historical high drawn in 2021. A very strong signal regarding the long term, this favors the bulls in trying to snatch convenient prices until the short period will allow it by correcting on the most important supports. The last price structure that could act as support is in the 58k USD area, although between 63k and 61k USD there is another interesting area. What is striking is the fact that only in the January candle there was a correction, so looking at the fractal you notice similarities more with the bullish movement of 2016/17 than with the previous one 2020/21. Perhaps a new paradigm given that the main players in this market have changed.
BNC:BLX
by Melupira89
BTC - Psychology of a Market CycleIn this analysis, I endeavor to elucidate the dynamics of market sentiment and investor psychology as reflected in the price action of Bitcoin. Drawing from past interactions and observations on social media platforms, I aim to integrate qualitative insights with quantitative data derived from Bitcoin price charts. By doing so, I seek to provide a nuanced understanding of how various market emotions manifest and influence Bitcoin's price movements across different phases of its market cycle. Please note that the following assessment is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice or a recommendation to purchase any investment product. Investors should carefully consider their own risk tolerance and financial situation before making any investment decisions.
BNC:BLX
by cryptochi1986
Unveiling the Power of RSI's Hidden Bullish Divergence.Greetings, friends and speculators. Let's take a moment to examine the Crypto King's relationship with the 2-month RSI indicator. The RSI has proven itself as a powerful tool, accurately identifying the exact bottom on three separate occasions. During the bear market lows of 2015, 2018, and 2022, a hidden bullish divergence emerged, signaling the conclusion of the downtrend and the initiation of a new "Mark Up" Phase. Interestingly, there has been an approximately 20% increase in the duration between these hidden bullish divergences. If we extrapolate this trend to the current period, we might anticipate a market bottom around July 2027. However, approach this prediction with caution, past performance does not guarantee future returns. To confirm a valid Hidden Bullish Divergence, the bulls need to maintain the price above the 2022 lows while ensuring that the RSI makes a lower low. Apart from indicating market bottoms, the RSI indicator also aids in pinpointing optimal exit points. Notably, RSI levels surpassing 90 historically denoted the conclusion of the bull run. With the current RSI hovering around the 70 mark, it suggests that the bulls still possess plenty of ammunition as they advance further. I should note that RSI has made a lower high during the last 2 market tops, one could assume that a lower high in this bull frenzy would fail to penetrate the 90+ level. If you recall my BTC post from September 2021, I advised bulls to start dollar-cost averaging into positions. At that time, BTC was experiencing an "Accumulation" phase, and it's clear that we've transitioned into a "MarkUp" phase now. As we approach the final Bitcoin halving, there is no doubt that an interesting time is upon us. To all those who weathered the brutal bear market, I salute you. Much Love & Good Luck! SPECUALTIVE SETUP, DYOR + DD. What is Hidden Bullish Divergence? A hidden bullish divergence is a setup where the oscillator forms lower lows at the same time that the price is forming higher lows. This setup is frequently seen in situations where the price has been in consolidation or has performed a pullback from an uptrend. What is RSI? The Relative Strength Index, or RSI for short, is one of the most popular technical indicators among the trading community. It belongs to the family of oscillators, or technical tools used to determine overbought or oversold conditions. It’s used to gauge the market sentiment. Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. A popular way of reading RSI values is to look for divergences that occur when a new high or a new low of the price isn’t confirmed by the RSI readings. displays on a vertical range of 0 to 100. Readings close to 0 are viewed as “oversold”, while those closer to 100 are a sign of “overbought” market conditions. Unlike some other momentum indicators, readings can’t go below 0 or higher than 100.
BNC:BLX
by bL1TZZ
2
Re-test of Rising Wedge Breakdown May Signal TopIf Bitcoin is unable to get above the bottom of this long-term rising wedge, the top may be in when it fails to reclaim it upon re-test. It could still go as high as 85-106k, or even higher the longer it takes to reach wedge bottom. Given this turns out to be true, when this top is finally in we may see the deepest and longest correction in Bitcoin's history, targeting 1.5k, or even lower. This could also be considered the makings of a double-top with a higher 2nd high, very similar to the structure of the previous ATH's double-top, but repeated on a larger scale. We may also see two attempts to re-test, just as we saw two highs last time. A possible secondary signal that this is the likely scenario that will occur may be if the US Dollar Index continues up above its fall of 2022 highs: Best of luck with your analyses and trading, and I hope you've found some valuable insight in the ideas we share together here.
BNC:BLX
by dudebruhwhoa
BTC - 10 Year Time Behavior - BULLISH RALLY TO CONTINUEBased on past 10 year price behavior, BINANCE:BTCUSDT is set to continue its bullish rally until August 2025. Keep in mind there might be pull backs along the way. Bullish and bearish rallies have been following a very similar time behavior the last 10 years, as pointed out in the chart. Bearish rallies are averaging 12.6 months over the last 10 years. Bullish rallies are averaging 32.5 months over the last 10 years. WE can expect to reach the high for this bullish rally in August 2025. After August 2025, we can expect to see a pull back for 12-14 months, based on previous 10 year price action. For now, look for Long entries on higher timeframes (Daily, 4 HR)!
BNC:BLXLong
by Tempo_Trades
If the ratio between ATH is decreasing by a half, then ....If the ratio between ATH is decreasing by a half, then i can predict the next ATH ... just math! For this theorie, i just looked at the decreasing of percent for each all time high to the next one. This is like x 64 ... x 32 ... x 16 (but not so accurate) We saw a major bullrun from 0.39 USD to round about 30 USD ( ~ 77x ) We saw the next ATH at 1 143 USD ( ~ 38 x ) We saw the last ATH at 19 417 USD ( ~ 17 x ) The multiplication is cut in half each time. Because of this i predict the next 2 ATH just by using simple math: 19 417 x 8 = 155 336 USD 155 336 x 4 = 621 344 USD In the chart, the values are not perfect because of scale, but i think you get the point ;-) No financial advice! I just want to leave it here and visit in 2021 and 2025 :-)
BNC:BLXLong
by Crypto-Coin-Trader
15
The Toppiest Top is in the CHARTS. BTC TO 200K OCTOBER 2025The chart shows the BTC cycles - green box is the bull run which usually lasts about 1064 days from absolute bottom to new ATH. Followed by the bear market marked by a red box lasting about 364 days. The new ATH each cycle is also historically 75-78 days after halving event. A fibonacci extension drawn from absolute bottom to ATH in the 2nd cycle and from ATH to bottom, shows that the 3.382 level predicted the next ATH for the 3rd cycle. Doing the same fib extensions in the 3rd cycle give us the red circle area. These 2 fib levels combined with 78~ days post halving and 1064~ days post absolute bottom show us that around October 13 2025 we could see a new ATH at anywhere between 176k to maximum of 225k.
BNC:BLXLong
by lemister22
60-70k still in the cards for winter Bitcoin Sideways with no bounce until spring, then 150k; or heavy whipsaw volatility to kickstart bullrun to 150k? Either way i see BTC at a 6 figure price point later this year. The setup though, is unknown, given my 2 speculations above. Although there was a scare this past wk, btc creen bollinger bands on the weekly have remained in the heavy upward pressure position, this will drag price up yet another week. Cant call bear until next sundays close. So we remain bullish. If upward pressure ceases; will update. Unlikely.
BNC:BLXLong
by creengrack