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BLX trade ideas

Next Stop $25K BitcoinWARNING!!!! Chart may induce seizures I have some serious chart shame about this one but IDC my point is still valid (I moved my magic bold white line ) I think I'm calling it, Bitcoin bear over. as soon as the weekly moving averages started trending up @ the yellow arrows, despite all of what's going on in the world I turned bullish. I'm scared. Feelings check: -70%/30% lows are in. (in bitcoin) -50/50 we retest lows again similar to 2015 (even if spx makes new lows Bitcoin will hold the door) One more US rate hike to come 30% chance we see a 2000/ 2008 type bear market. I will be selling 25K no matter what 80% chance we don't see Oversold US Oil as an indication of market bottom like other bear markets due to huge supply issues (Even though the demand destruction is huge) this will likely lead to higher inflation for longer and the FED will be forced to admit defeat with the interest rate hikes because of the_________ breaking.
BNC:BLXLong
by merchtank19
Buy bitcoin Nov13 2022 to Jan 13 2023...Or right now...And update to one of my previous bitcoin cycle charts. I KNOW ITS VERY BUSY, I HAVE ADHD! (and my charts are for me anyways.. i know what i mean) Over simplification: Bitcoin bottoms Mid Jan 13 2015, Mid Dec 2018, so now it must bottom Mid Nov 2022 Bitcoin still only down 70%ish needs to go down >80%ish All this correlates with my magic thick white trendline of the BTCUSD bottoms during bear market, seems to always break down under that trend line indication VERY oversold (capitulation) You(ie: me ) wanted an easy button, here it is! Over simplified Bull Case: My Dashed green and blue Fib lines from last cycle = Buy (doesn't work for 2015 cycle at all...) Miner capitulation ( hashrate MA cross) = buy Bitcoin didn't go up as much as previous cycles so it wont go down as much
BNC:BLXLong
by merchtank19
5
BTC - a bit of retrospectionEvery correction (widely known as "bear market") of a parabolic BTC move ended up in a touch of the supporting curve - which is also flattening and bigger parabolic moves can now have bigger retracement periods. All of previous corrections (which happened during an on-going multimarket bubble growht!) have something in common - a support that finally got breached - since that moment - the price entered a consolidation period - for about 100 to max 300 days. A situation that hasn't occurred before was the covid crash, which looks like an excuse to form a bottom by touching that curve. This time we are far away from it - setting some kind of resistance on $18k area, but I have no doubt it will get breached - the only question is if we will go higher and then dump in a Covid 2020 way, or will we gradually bleed out until reaching the bottom - my personal bottomest bottom sits at $8-9k.
BNC:BLXShort
by TheSecretsOfTrading
Blx macro ending diagonal idea!Although we havent confirmed bottom yet we still have same legacy top trend line! BBlx has broken 21/233 ema bearish for the first time in history of weekly chart. I expect 10-13k bottom but we are near the 1-1 fib of our correction and historically corrections have bounced at the .786! Not claiming a bottom here but when we are finished correcting I think this Elliot wave count will hold true! Rules for ending diagonal: * Ending diagonals consist of 5 waves, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. * Each wave subdivides into threes. Waves 1 and 4 overlap in price. * Wave 3 can not be the shortest among waves 1, 3 and 5. * Wave 1 is usually the longest, but not necessarily. * Usually occurs in a wave 5 of an impulse and wave C of an A-B-C correction
BNC:BLX
by Cryptoholics_Anonymous
2
BTC - 4 Yr Cycle Bottom/Top DatesOf course there is tons of economic uncertainty and this bear market is truly different, but based on the facts in the charts we can learn some key information. Based on our 4 year cycle theories this leads us to believe things will not be different as we are following our patterns perfectly. Black arrow - This date range shows us that between 365-400 days our bottom will be put in from our cycle top. If this plays out this cycle, we should see a bear market bottom sometime around the end of December 2022. This would coincide with previous cycles and make since for tax purposes. Blue arrow- The blue date range shows us that between 1100-1140 days after hitting our bear market bottom we reach our previous ATH. If we hit our bottom in December 2022 this would put us back to $65-69k around mid November 2024 which is right in line with US elections and the significance they have had in the past with crypto cycles. Purple arrow- This date range shows us the the time from our bear market bottom to our next cycle peak. So far our past 2 cycles have been exactly 1064 days. If we hit our bear market bottom in December 2022 this should put our next cycle peak around the beginning of December 2025. Again this is just a theory based on previous cycles. The dates are very correlated and make a lot of sense. I do not know what price our bear market bottom will be our next cycle top, but based on these trends I can tell you the date we might hit those key moments in the macro trend.
BNC:BLX
by VIAQUANT
2
Pi Cycle bottom indicator is good in determining Bitcoin lowsThere are many metrics that a long term investor should consider in trying to time buying Bitcoin near bear market lows. One indicator is the Pi Cycle bottom indicator. This is the BLX daily chart which goes back to the Jan 2015 and Dec 2018 lows. The 2015 Bitcoin bear market low was Jan 14th at $163.88. The Pi cycle bottom indicator showed that was exactly the day for Bitcoin's bear market bottom. The 2018 Bitcoin bear market low was Dec 15th at $3148.33. The Pi cycle bottom indicator appeared one day after the Bitcoin bear market bottom. The 2022 Bitcoin bear market low may have been June 18th at $17567. The Pi cycle bottom indicator appeared on July 13th, 25 days after what may have been the Bitcoin bear market bottom. This is one of 10-15 on chain metrics I have followed to help time when to buy Bitcoin near bear market lows. I bought from late 2018 to July 2020. Now I have been buying Bitcoin since June 2022 by dollar cost averaging. I am a long term Bitcoin investor.
BNC:BLXLong
by shubbs
BTCUSD - 200 Weekly SMA to the rescue (again)? 🤔What's up traders, gamblers, hodlers? Been a while since I last posted an analysis and this was mostly because I've been in denial that we were in a bear market. Bias is a b#... There is hope though... You see, in the 2 previous bear markets about halfway between halvings, bitcoin has found its bottom on the 200 weekly SMA which acted as support. So maybe, just maybe this might happen again? I know that past performance is no guarantee for the future, but hey, if it happened twice, it could happen again, right? Additionally, the time that has elapsed since the previous halving is about the same as the previous times this happened, which might increase the chances that we'll see bitcoin slowly turn around and start running up towards the next halving. ⚠️BUT .... the financial markets are very shaky, supply shocks, inflation, conflicts ... for a lot of traders and investors this is a RISK-OFF period, so don't expect a sudden turnaround, and keep in mind that just because it happened twice before, it does not necessarily have to happen again. How am I dealing with this situation? You probably know that I'm a strong proponent of HODLing and DCAing. I'm an investor, not a trader. So I've not sold a single satoshi, and I plan on starting to put some buy orders in to DCA considering that the potential upside from here is so much larger than the potential downside ... But this is my money, my decision, and definitely not advice for any of you. So what do you think? ... Will the weekly 200 SMA be the bitcoin SuperHero again and come to the rescue? Share your thoughts in the comments, and if you made it this far reading, you might as well click that thumbs-up button. ;) Have a great day, and whatever you do, don't invest more than you can afford to lose. ✌🏽
BNC:BLX
by Nico.Muselle
74
FIB SPIRALS RESEARCH IIEXPERIMENTAL SERIES OF FRACTAL RESEARCH WORKS How can fib spiral affect and decrypt the randomness of fluctuations in financial markets. This is basically what our eyes miss, but inner voice feels it, I call it map of chances. The actual math behind intuition of mass consciousness in the market and why the price action chooses to behave in certain way, accordingly creating shapes which continuously determine its path. For example, when a pullback retraces to 0.618 and reverses. This is what's behind the very action of your expectations coinciding with outcome of the price fluctuations. I often put this spiral on trends to find its path or limits. The price will always react upon reaching fib spirals, whether it just follows the path or reverses when price surpasses them (breakout). It mimics and justifies the potential trends just like sine waves but in an advanced way considering the rate of change . Interconnectedness of fractal's critical points predetermines it's fate. I didn't want to publish this work because it can raise too many questions. But I'm also the one who has some questions too. EXAMPLE OF JUSTIFIED USE OF FIB SPIRAL. This phenomenon is quite interesting. When it's handled in the right way, it can do miracles and I'm just raising common awareness about this magnificent tool. Throughout time, I'll be consistently updating this idea with new content of whatever I find out about application cases as such Logical deductions are yet to be made. This problem can be solved by method of exclusion.
BNC:BLX
by fract
4
DXY (is it time to see relief in crypto market?)TVC:DXY Finally it's time to watch us dollar index closely as it is approaching the upper boundary of long time frame ascending channel. us dollar index shows the strength of USD against other assets. RSI looks overbought and i am expecting to see some green candles for crypto in coming weeks. Historically we can see how crypto market reacted to these critical levels of DXY chart and this is one reason for me to get interested in DXY current chart. this does not mean bear market is finished but it shows we can see bounce before real crypto winter comes. in the TOTAL chart i will go deeper in TA and see what is in it for us to be more curious. as always DYOR before taking any financial decisions.
BNC:BLXShort
by bitcharger
2