APPLE SHARE - WHY BEARISH !!!!! Chart Story Tell That.Price action of Apple Shares looks bearish, atleast until level of 165.59 which is strong support. market has formed wedge pattern before taking a bearish run. it has further good support of 216 and then previous HL of the longer bull trend.
we are looking for selling opportunity if the market breaks the 191 support level. we can easily target TP1 of 216 and if that further breaks then we can plan TP2 as marked accordingly.
But the question is , why APPLE getting down > ?
AAPL34 trade ideas
Apple - Please look at this chart!Apple - NASDAQ:AAPL - is just wonderful:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Last month, Apple created a quite strong bullish rejection wick of about +25%. It was actually no surprise at all, because market structure was perfectly pushing price higher. Following the bullish break and retest pattern, new all time highs will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
AAPL 2025 Strategic Outlook: Overview of Primary CatalystsAfter trading around $200 intraday on May 27, Apple shares closed at $200.21—up 2.5% despite broad market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism.
Technical outlook remains bullish, as price action is still defined by
a rising bullish channel on higher time frames. expecting AAPL to bottom
out heading into Q3/Q4 2025 and then another bull run of 70-80%.
Here are the primary catalysts shaping Apple’s stock price in 2025, ranked 0–10:
AI integration and Apple Intelligence
Strength: 9/10
Rollout of on-device AI features (upgraded Siri, generative image tools, ChatGPT integration) expected to drive a renewed iPhone upgrade cycle.
Services segment growth
Strength: 8.5/10
App Store, Apple Music, iCloud and other services projected to grow double-digits, with new AI services adding billions in revenue.
Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies
Strength: 8/10
Shift toward higher-margin services and anticipated memory price declines could boost overall gross margin by roughly 50 basis points.
iPhone 17 product cycle
Strength: 7.5/10
Rumored polymer battery improvements and possible foldable models may spur meaningful hardware upgrades versus Android peers.
Vision Pro and hardware diversification
Strength: 7/10
Mixed-reality headset upgrades under Apple Intelligence will broaden appeal, though high price and modest enterprise traction limit near-term impact.
Share buybacks and dividend policy
Strength: 7/10
A planned $100 billion buyback in 2025, plus steady dividends, underpins valuation, though recent pullbacks hint at caution amid cost headwinds.
Supply-chain diversification and trade policies
Strength: 6.5/10
Ongoing U.S.-China tensions and potential tariffs create uncertainty; pivoting assembly to India and Vietnam helps mitigate risk.
Regulatory and antitrust pressures
Strength: 6/10
New EU rules may force Apple to open parts of its ecosystem, potentially weighing on Services revenues.
Macro and interest-rate environment
Strength: 5/10
A “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook raises discount rates on growth, tempering valuations for tech leaders.
Smartphone market competition
Strength: 5/10
Samsung and fast-growing Chinese OEMs intensify price and feature competition, especially in emerging markets.
⭐️Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025)
✅AI integration and Apple Intelligence: 9
✅Services segment growth: 8.5
✅Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies: 8
✅iPhone 17 product cycle: 7.5
✅Vision Pro and hardware diversification: 7
✅Share buybacks and dividend policy: 7
✅Supply-chain and trade policy risk: 6.5
✅Regulatory and antitrust pressures: 6
✅Macro and Fed policy: 5
✅Smartphone competition: 5
The TradingView Show with TradeStation: Bull Market or Fake Out?Join us for a timely TradingView live stream with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we break down the latest rebound in the markets and what it could mean for traders and investors. In this session, we’ll dive into:
What the recent bounce off the lows might signal about a potential bull market return
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APPLE Down -4% premarket on Trump's 25% Tariff. Buy opportunity?Apple Inc. (AAPL) is down -4% on pre-market trading following a warning by U.S. President Donald Trump that the company would have to pay a 25% tariff if phones sold in the U.S. were not made within its borders.
Along with a proposed 50% Tariff on goods from the European Union starting on June 01, these news have inflicted fear again in the markets following 6 weeks of a relief rebound on trade deal talks.
So are these announcements a dip buy opportunity for Apple or round 2 of correction?
Based on the stock's long-term pattern, which is a Channel Up, the recent rebound on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) is technically the start of its 2nd Bullish Leg. With the Bearish Legs having similar declines (-35% and -32% respectively), we can expect the Bullish Legs to have a proportional rise as well.
On top of that, the 1W RSI rebounded on its multi-year Support, while the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, since the 2023 Bullish Leg that was complete on July 17 2023 almost touched the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we expect the price to disregard the news and continue rising up to the new 1.236 Fib and target $285.00.
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💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
APPLE On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 195.23 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 208.29
Recommended Stop Loss - 187.61
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Apple Stock Heist Blueprint – Precision Buy Setup Unlocked!🏴☠️ Apple Stock Heist: The Stealthy Long Setup
🎯 Entry Zone – Loot the Dip!
Current Price: $200.21
Action: Initiate long positions now or target pullbacks near the $193–$190 support zone.
Pro Tip: Place buy limits near swing lows/highs. Utilize chart alerts as your secret weapon.
🛡️ Stop Loss – Guard the Treasure!
Swing Traders: Position stop loss below the $190 support level.
Day Traders: Adjust stop loss according to your risk tolerance and order count.
TECHi
💰 Profit Target – Escape with the Loot!
Primary Target: $210 resistance zone.
Secondary Target: $227–$230 range.
⚔️ Scalpers vs. Swing Traders – Choose Your Weapon!
Scalpers: Focus on quick strikes. Enter long positions and exit swiftly.
Swing Traders: Trail stops and lock in gains as the price moves in your favor.
🌪️ Market Pulse – Bullish Winds Blowing!
Technical Indicators: Price is supported near $201, with potential to bounce back toward local resistance at $213.
RSI: Approximately 35 on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating oversold conditions and potential for a rebound.
TradingView
⚠️ News Trap Warning!
Upcoming Events: Monitor for any high-impact news that may affect Apple's stock price.
Strategy: Freeze trades or tighten stops ahead of major announcements.
🚨 Join the Trading Crew!
Engage: Like 👍 or Boost 🚀 this idea to fuel our next raid.
Support: Your engagement keeps the strategies alive!
🤑 Stay Locked In – The Next Big Score is Coming…
Timing: Watch the charts closely.
Action: Strike hard. Exit smarter.
Apple: Wave [2] Correction We now consider the dark green wave to be complete and thus place AAPL in the intermediate corrective movement of wave , which can be further subdivided into waves (A), (B), and (C) in magenta. Currently, only the last part of this (C) wave should be missing before the next impulsive uptrend unfolds towards the previous all-time high. We must still weigh our alternative scenario with a 34% probability: If the price falls below support at $168, this scenario with a new low for the blue wave alt.(IV) would be confirmed, although in this case, the price should not fall significantly below our previous Target Zone.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
APPLE: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 195.23
Stop - 188.82
Take - 206.74
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Apple (AAPL) share price slips towards psychological $200 levelApple (AAPL) share price slips towards psychological $200 level
Yesterday, Apple shares (AAPL) fell by 2.5%, edging closer to the key psychological threshold of $200. Moreover, the stock is underperforming the broader market, which reached new highs earlier this week — a move AAPL has yet to replicate.
Why is AAPL’s stock price declining?
According to media reports, investors may have grown concerned after OpenAI acquired a startup founded by Jony Ive, Apple’s former chief designer, for $6.5 billion.
The move is being interpreted as OpenAI’s first step toward launching a physical AI-powered device — one that could, eventually, pose a challenge to Apple’s hardware, even if not in the near term.
Technical analysis of the AAPL chart
Bulls may be hoping the AAPL price finds support at the confluence of two key levels:
→ the psychological $200 mark;
→ support from the second half of May (the lower blue trendline).
However, the broader technical context raises some bearish concerns:
→ the $215–222 zone, which previously acted as support, is now capping price advances (as highlighted by the arrows);
→ the red descending channel appears to define the current trend trajectory — and its relevance may be reinforced if the price drops and consolidates near its median line, signalling a balance between buying and selling pressure.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AAPL. LONG@193. SHORT@200. LONG@184. SHORT@206. May 23 2025. Overview -
Trump has announced that AAPL needs to pay 25% to the US for manufacturing the iPhone in India and not in the US.
The stock is currently trading at 194.32
IF-THEN STATEMENTS (INTRADAY PLAN) -
1. If the 193 level is held - we go long till 195-197.
2. If the price fakes out high to 195-197 - we wait for a sell confirmation (e.g. buyers being absorbed or selling pressure) and we go short.
3. If the 193-195 level is consolidating but with high selling aggression - we go short till 184 area.
4. If the 193 level doesn't hold at all - we wait for a second attempt and get an entry off of the VWAP, if possible. We stay bearish for the entire day (with 184 being out next potential pivot).
AAPL Stock Trading Plan 2025-05-25AAPL Stock Trading Plan (2025-05-25)
Final Trading Decision
Models’ Key Points
DS Report
Technical: Strong bearish—price ($195.27) below all EMAs (10/50/200) on M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold but in downtrend; bearish MACD; hugging lower Bollinger band. Sentiment: Rising VIX (22.29), negative tariff news, heavy institutional distribution. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56; stop $197.50; 3–4 week hold; confidence 70%.
LM Report
Technical: Bearish price vs EMAs; RSI near oversold; Bollinger lower‐band touch hints at bounce; bearish MACD. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; negative headlines. Trade: No trade—mixed oversold/bearish signals; confidence 55% (below 60% threshold).
GK Report
Technical: Bearish across daily/weekly; RSI approaching oversold; MACD bearish but weakening; Bollinger lower‐band proximity. Sentiment: Rising VIX; tariff news headwind. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $189.56; stop $200.35; 4 week hold; confidence 65%.
GM Report
Technical: Multi‐timeframe bearish—price below EMAs M30/daily/weekly; RSI oversold short‐term; strong bearish MACD. Sentiment: VIX up; negative tariff/profit‐risk headlines; 5-day −7.6% drop. Trade: Short at $195.00; target $187.50; stop $198.90; 3–4 week hold; position sizing example 25 shares on $10k equity; confidence 85%.
CD Report
Technical: Bearish across timeframes; RSI oversold; lower Bollinger band; MACD bearish but showing early convergence. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; tariff threat. Trade: Short at $195.27; target $189.56 (secondary $185.00); stop $202.41; 3–4 week hold; confidence 72%. Agreement and Disagreement
Agreement
Broadly bearish technical setup: price below key EMAs; bearish MACD; lower‐band Bollinger action. Negative fundamental catalyst: potential tariffs and geopolitical risk. Rising VIX supports risk‐off bias. Recommendation skewed toward shorting AAPL shares.
Disagreement
LM sees too much mixed signal (oversold + bearish) to trade; all others recommend a short. Entry divergences: $195.00 vs. $195.27. Stop‐loss levels range from $197.50 up to $202.41. Take-profit levels range from $189.56 down to $185.00 (secondary) or $187.50. Confidence varies 65%–85%. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Strongly Bearish
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Short AAPL shares Holding Period: 3–4 weeks Entry Timing: At market open (~$195.00) Position Sizing: Risk 1% of trading capital (e.g., 25 shares on a $10 000 account; scale accordingly) Entry Price: 195.00 Stop‐Loss: 198.90 (≈2% above entry; sits above recent resistance) Take‐Profit: 187.50 (below key support for a ~3.8% move) Confidence Level: 85%
Key Risks and Considerations
Severe oversold conditions could trigger a technical bounce. AAPL’s strong balance sheet may limit downside if market stress eases. Tariff news or policy reversal could abruptly shift sentiment. Monitor VIX and major support at $189.56 for early signs of exhaustion.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "short", "entry_price": 195.00, "stop_loss": 198.90, "take_profit": 187.50, "size": 25, "confidence": 0.85, "entry_timing": "open" }
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: AAPL 📉 Direction: SHORT 💰 Entry Price: 195.0 🛑 Stop Loss: 198.9 🎯 Take Profit: 187.5 📊 Size: 25 💪 Confidence: 85% ⏰ Entry Timing: open
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Ascending triangle pattern on daily?An ascending triangle is forming on the daily chart, resistance at ~211 USD, indicating that selling momentum is diminishing. Although there may be some further downside, recent economic pressures are leading to a healthy correction towards a long-term support trend that dates back to 2019. With some positive economic tailwinds, Apple could potentially offer good returns from this buying point.
BUY OPPORTUNITYTrade Signal: AAPL (Apple Inc.)
Buy Entry Price: $201.20
Take Profit (TP): $212.43
Stop Loss (SL): $197.00
Technical Analysis:
Price has formed an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal.
The stock is supported near $201 and expected to bounce back toward local resistance at around $213.
The RSI is at approximately 35 in 1Hr frame, indicating the stock is in the oversold territory, which suggests a potential rebound.
Fundamental Analysis:
Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $253, reflecting strong confidence in Apple’s growth prospects.
Apple’s upcoming WWDC 2025 Keynote (June 9th) is anticipated to showcase advancements in AI integration within its operating systems.
Expected announcements include developer access to Apple’s AI models and possible Gemini AI integration on iPhones.
Analyst optimism is supported by potential partnership talks with Alphabet (Google), aiming to finalize by mid-2025.
However, Apple must demonstrate continued success in its AI initiatives (Apple Intelligence) to drive demand and justify investor enthusiasm.
#AAPL - Pivot Point: $197.81#AAPL Trading Update — May 29, 2025
Current Price: $201.36
Pivot Point: $197.81
Upside Targets:
1️⃣ $209.99 — First resistance level to watch for profit booking
2️⃣ $216.49 — Confirmation of bullish momentum if price breaks above
3️⃣ $223.50 — Stronger resistance, potential for trend continuation
4️⃣ $230.50 — Longer-term target signaling significant upside potential
Downside Targets:
1️⃣ $185.65 — Immediate support, key level for bulls to defend
2️⃣ $179.13 — A more significant retracement level, watch for bounce or breakdown
3️⃣ $172.13 — Possible floor if selling pressure intensifies
4️⃣ $165.12 — Strong support zone, critical for trend reversal risk
Support Level: $192.17 — Acts as the first buffer zone; a break below could trigger further downside
Resistance Level: $203.49 — Short-term resistance; a clear breakout above this level would open the door to upside targets
AAPL fractalThis whole year has been sort of a fractal for 2020 through 2022 for AAPL. Kind of crazy if you look at it. Lots of 5 wave falling wedges this year, and actually 2022 was one big falling wedge, sort of.
Expecting one more drop and then it's bull market back on. Can't believe I'm saying that but that's what the charts say.
APPLE I Stock Forecast and Price Target Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** APPLE Analysis - Listen to video!
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AAPL watch $218 above $208 below: Key bounds into EarningsAAAPL to release a consequential earnings report today.
We have well proven fibs and zones to watch for reaction.
What happens here may well define the next 1-4 YEARS.
$ 217.86-219.87 above is immediate resistance
$ 208.26-208.68 is tested but tired support.
$ 196.65-197.33 is a good stop-hunt support.
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AAPL Bounce at 200 EMA- Remains in ascending channelAAPL has been in ascending price channel since August 2020. At the end of April we saw a retest of support where it temporarily broke through, tested the 200 ema, bounced, then broke back above the previous support line. I believe AAPL will remain in this channel and price will continue to rise with an eventual retest of resistance.
AAPL Opportunity Behind the Noise🍏Apple’s trading around $205, and while it’s not at bargain basement levels, there’s real opportunity if you look beyond the headlines.
📰 What’s going on?
Trump’s back in the news pushing for Apple to shift iPhone production back to the U.S. and markets don’t like it. But here’s the thing: Apple’s already working on reducing China risk by moving production to India and ramping up AI features. The long-term vision? Still solid.
📊 The setup I’m watching:
Entry levels:
🔹 $194 – Light buy
🔹 $180 – Add with confidence
🔹 $166 – Back up the truck?
Targets:
🎯 $209 – Easy bounce
🎯 $230 – Mid-term strength
🎯 $260+ – Full recovery mode
💡 Why I like this play:
Apple isn’t just a phone company. It’s a cash-flow machine sitting on mountains of capital, pushing hard into AI, and building a services empire. Tariff talk can shake the chart, but that’s often when smart entries happen.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice—just sharing my personal trade plan. Do your own research and always protect your capital.
If you're waiting for the "perfect" moment, you might just miss the move. Stay alert. 📈💬
Apple Might Be StuckThe broader market has rebounded sharply in the last month, but Apple might be getting left behind.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the April 15 peak of $212.94. The smartphone giant probed that level in early May and again last week without breaking it. (The more recent high was also slightly lower.) That may suggest resistance is in place.
Second, the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500 are back to levels from late February and early March. AAPL’s smaller bounce compared with the broader market may reflect weaker relative strength.
Third, the stock is below its 200-day simple day moving average (SMA). That also contrasts with the bigger indexes, which are above their respective 200-day SMAs.
Fourth, the 50-day SMA had a “death cross” below the 200-day SMA in early April and has remained there since.
Next, stochastics are dipping from an overbought condition.
Finally, AAPL is one of the most active underliers in the options market. (Its average volume of 1.1 million contracts ranks third in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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Apple respite before sell offApple bounced straight of major support at circa $170, with the SMI now also rising we could see a few weeks of short term respite before continuing down to test the major support line again. Also notice a backtest of the rising trend at around 21%.
Long term view is still bearish, don't think we've seen the yearly bottoms yet. Will be interesting to see how this plays out especially with bonds.