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AAPL34 trade ideas

Apple - The Path For 2025 Is Clear!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing towards the downside Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Over the past couple of months Apple rallied more than +50% without showing any weakness on the smaller timeframes. Some profit taking is totally expected and with market structure perfectly aligning, this could develop into a significant correction. Levels to watch: $250, $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by basictradingtv
10
Apple Approaching Key Support! Will AAPL Rebound or Break Down?Analysis:
AAPL is trading within a descending wedge pattern, suggesting consolidation. The price is currently testing a critical support zone near $228, with a breakdown possibly leading to further downside. MACD shows a bearish momentum, while the Stochastic RSI indicates the stock is nearing oversold territory, potentially setting up a bounce. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance: $235, $242, $250 * Support: $227, $225, $220 Trade Scenarios: 1. Bullish Scenario: * Entry near $228–$227 support. * Target: $235, $240. * Stop-loss: Below $225. 2. Bearish Scenario: * Short entry below $227. * Target: $225, $220. * Stop-loss: Above $230. GEX Option Insights: * Highest Positive GEX Resistance: $235, aligning with a significant call wall. * PUT Wall Support: $227 and $225, indicating hedging activity at these levels. * IVR: 50.2, suggesting moderate volatility. * Directional Bias: Neutral to bearish unless the price reclaims $235. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly. Option Strategies Bullish Strategy (Rebound from Support): * Setup: * Trade: Buy a call spread. * Strike Prices: Buy the $230 Call and sell the $235 Call. * Rationale: If AAPL rebounds off the $227–$228 support zone, it may head toward the $235 resistance. * Expiration: 1–2 weeks out to limit theta decay while capitalizing on a short-term move. * Risk: Limited to the premium paid. * Reward: Defined by the difference in strike prices minus the cost. Bearish Strategy (Breakdown Below Support): * Setup: * Trade: Buy a put spread. * Strike Prices: Buy the $227 Put and sell the $220 Put. * Rationale: If AAPL breaks below the $227 support, it may test $225 and potentially $220. * Expiration: 1–2 weeks to capture momentum-driven downside. * Risk: Limited to the premium paid. * Reward: Defined by the difference in strike prices minus the cost. Neutral Strategy (Sideways Movement Near Support): * Setup: * Trade: Iron Condor. * Strikes: Sell the $235 Call and $225 Put, Buy the $240 Call and $220 Put. * Rationale: If AAPL consolidates between $227 and $235, the iron condor collects premium while maintaining limited risk. * Expiration: Short-term (e.g., 1 week) to maximize theta decay. * Risk: Defined and limited by the wings. * Reward: Premium collected. Important Notes * Monitor price action near $227–$228 support and $235 resistance for breakout/breakdown confirmation. * Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on intraday momentum. * Always size trades appropriately to manage risk.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
2
Apple (AAPL) | Time to Buy When Everyone is BearishHere's a trade setup idea based on recent analysis: Trade Plan: - Entry Zone: Consider a buy within the green support box (~$217.80 - $224.76). - Stop Loss: Place it below $213.56 to limit risk. Targets: - Target 1: $245.60 - Target 2: $269.22 (higher resistance zone) Reasoning: - The stock appears to be in a corrective phase within a strong uptrend. - Expecting a rebound from the green support area based on Fibonacci levels and Elliott Wave analysis. The overall trend remains bullish, with potential for higher highs after this pullback.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by MrStockWhale
AAPL at a Critical Level! Key Trade Setups for This Week Analysis: AAPL is showing significant weakness after a clear rejection near the $260-$265 resistance zone, forming a downward trajectory. It has broken below key support levels, now testing the $228-$230 range. The steep drop suggests bearish momentum is strong, as confirmed by the MACD crossing below zero and Stochastic RSI hovering in the oversold territory. Volume has also spiked, indicating potential capitulation in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance Levels: * $240: Psychological resistance, aligned with a call wall. * $244-$245: Major GEX resistance with limited upside if reached. * $260-$265: Strong overhead resistance zone. * Support Levels: * $227-$228: Current key support where PUT walls provide temporary stabilization. * $220: Next critical support, aligning with strong GEX negative levels. GEX Insights: * Gamma Exposure (GEX): * Negative GEX levels dominate, indicating market makers are positioned for higher volatility. * PUT support: Strong at $227-$225, but breaching this level could accelerate selling. * Options Activity: * IVR: Elevated at 53.3, signaling high implied volatility. * Call-to-Put Ratio: Puts dominate, with bearish bets intensifying near $227-$230. Trade Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Break above $232.50 with volume confirmation. * Target: $240 (first target), $244 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Below $228. Bearish Scenario: * Entry: Break below $227 with increasing selling pressure. * Target: $220 (first target), $213 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Above $232. Directional Bias: Bearish bias dominates, with a high likelihood of testing lower levels unless $227 holds firm. The broader structure points to a continuation of the downtrend, particularly if overall market sentiment remains weak. Actionable Suggestions: * For Scalpers: Focus on shorting rallies into resistance at $232-$235. * For Swing Traders: Monitor the $220-$227 zone for potential breakdown or bounce opportunities. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
Apple Significant Chart TopApple's stock has topped, and is rolling over. Bearish chart is glaringly obvious. KST peaked in early Dec 2024, and bearishly crossed before the final blowoff peak in the stock at 260 Support now is at 220. That looks short term shaky. Target for the move down is the prior high of 190. Buffet has been selling its enormous position in 2024 Rallies in this perennial bull market market leader should be sold, until further notice. AAPL Last 228.26 THE_UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by The_Unwind
New Easy Play on Apple for EveryoneHello everyone, thank you for following me! If you're keeping up with the EASY PLAY idea series, here's a fresh one for 2025! As we've seen (and as you can check in my TW ideas), with AAPL, we've predicted every move: from the June idea with the pre-earnings candlestick pattern, to the March retracement stalemate with all targets hit, and up to the most recent idea with the triangle chart formation, which we fully achieved even before it was completed. With all these fantastic gains, we can confidently say that my technical approach to APPLE works. So, here’s a simple idea for any trader, which could lead us to even more profits! So let's proceed: we have Apple in a retracement phase after taking our profits with the target achieved using Fibonacci, precise and reliable. Apple dropped after reaching our target zone (see the Apple idea on my profile). Now, we move to buy in the lower green zone to sell immediately in the upper green zone, and the game is done! SIMPLE IDEAS ARE ALWAYS THE BEST.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TheAverageTrader00
APPLE Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 229.96 pivot level. Bias - Bullish My Stop Loss - 224.52 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 239.93 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Apple (AAPL) Breaking Below Bullish Channel?Chart Analysis: Apple's stock price has broken below a long-standing ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in its bullish structure. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel (Green Shaded Area): Price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the channel. This breakdown suggests increasing bearish pressure, especially as the price approaches key support levels. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $239.23, now acting as immediate resistance. 200-day SMA (red): Rising at $217.27, providing potential dynamic support. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 28.27, indicating oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce. MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending below the signal line in negative territory. What to Watch: Reactions near the 200-day SMA, as a bounce from this level could halt further declines. If bearish momentum continues, further downside towards $210-$215 is possible. A recovery above the 50-day SMA is needed to negate the bearish breakdown and restore confidence in the uptrend. Apple's break below the ascending channel warrants caution, but oversold conditions and proximity to key support levels could spark short-term volatility. -MW
NASDAQ:AAPL
by FOREXcom
AAPL: Testing Support with Bearish Signals🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy: 🩸 Short: Below $229.47, targeting $225 and $220. MACD remains bearish, and the price is below the 9-day EMA. 🩸 Long: Above $236.07, aiming for $240 and $246. A recovery above the 9-day EMA could trigger renewed buying interest. 🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands: 🩸 Resistance: $236.07 — A key level for bulls to reclaim upward momentum. 🩸 Support: $229.47 — Immediate support; breaking below this could intensify bearish pressure. Apple (AAPL) is trading under bearish pressure, with MACD indicating continued weakness and the price below the 9-day EMA ($236.07). Elevated selling volume supports the current downtrend. A sustained move above $236.07 is needed to signal a potential reversal. 👑 "Master the moment when the market tests your conviction." — LucanInvestor
NASDAQ:AAPL
by LucanInvestor
Strategy testing: is it enough? Hey everyone, I wanted to touch on a topic that I don’t think is discussed nearly enough here, and that topic is backtesting. How reliable is it really? Most people would assume that backtest results are solid. You get a backtest with a 74% success rate, and you think you've won the lottery! However, there are some grey areas when it comes to backtesting. In fact, backtesting should only be the first step in multiple phases one should go through to ensure a strategy is indeed profitable. First, let’s dispel some myths about accuracy vs. profitability. High accuracy = high profitability? This is false. A high accuracy does not always mean profitability. The considerations that must go into this fact are: - At what point are you taking profits? If a buy signal occurs and you take profits at about 0.50 cents from the buy signal, then this is not a feasible strategy or one with a great risk-reward (R:R) ratio. - How long are you holding? If the strategy has high accuracy but requires you to hold for 2 to 3 years before seeing profits, then this defeats the purpose of most trading strategies, as this is simply an investment strategy, which, in itself, is a solid approach. These are two common issues I see in strategies that lead to misleading “accuracy” results. Low accuracy = not profitable. This is false. Low accuracy strategies tend to be the best strategies because the focus of these strategies is usually on holding for major targets, with strict stop-loss parameters. You will be profitable infrequently, but when you win, you will win big. A real-life example of this would be Michael Burry’s successful short. While his successful short became the story of books and movies, his multiple failed attempts at making major shorts before and after this trade have been overshadowed by his success in the 2008 bubble short. Thus, Michael Burry has a low accuracy but a high profitability factor. How can we better decide on successful strategies? This is the question that any day or swing trader should be asking: How do we validate the efficacy or efficiency of our strategy? This is where things get somewhat complicated. The emphasis I see in the trading community is on just general accuracy and profit factor. I also see some discussions on Sharpe ratios. I think it’s important to understand these concepts before we continue. Accuracy: Accuracy is simply the number of successful trades over the total number of trades, multiplied by 100. So, 49 successful trades out of 50 total trades would equal an accuracy of 98%. Profit factor: Profit factor is the total gross profits divided by the total gross losses over the course of the strategy testing period. For example, if over the last 4 weeks, you made $800 and lost $250, your profit factor would be 800/250 = 3.2. Sharpe Ratio: Sharpe ratios are slightly more complex. This ratio attempts to evaluate the risk-adjusted return of an investment/portfolio or trading strategy. It works by taking the average return of the strategy/portfolio or investment and subtracting the risk-free rate. The risk-free rate can be something like government bills or a simple high-interest savings rate. Then, you take the remaining value and divide it by the standard deviation of the investment/portfolio or strategy profits. For example, let’s say your strategy generally yields 10%. The risk-free rate of a high-interest savings account is 2%. The standard deviation of your profit strategy is around 15% (this would be calculated by taking all of your returns from your strategy, both positive and negative, and calculating the standard deviation). In this case, the Sharpe ratio would equal 0.53. An excellent Sharpe ratio is >2. A Sharpe ratio <2 but >1 is considered good. The average Sharpe ratio for most returns is <1 and is more realistic. TradingView’s strategy tester actually provides you with a calculation of the Sharpe ratio. Simply apply a strategy to your chart and head over to the “performance summary” tab: In general, you should treat any Sharpe ratio >1 with extreme skepticism. So, are these approaches enough to determine how successful a strategy will be? No, absolutely not. Even with a good Sharpe ratio, an okay accuracy, and a high profit factor, you cannot be guaranteed that the strategy will be successful. Why not? This is a complex question, and I think it’s best answered from a biostatistics approach (mostly because this is my field, haha). In biostatistics and epidemiology, we have something that can be closely linked to stocks. It's called a “web of causation.” What this means is there are numerous factors that influence a person’s health, and it is very challenging to control and account for all these factors. Take a make-believe person, Mrs. Jones and her family. At first glance, Mrs. Jones and her family may appear well-dressed, affluent, well-groomed, and healthy. Now, let’s say we want to trade based on Mrs. and Mr. Jones’ likelihood of living to 80 years old (we are playing the insurance actuary’s job now, haha). The only information we have on this family is that they appear affluent, show no signs of illness, and they are pleasant people. Believe it or not, this is about all the information we have at a single point in time on a stock. That’s all we can really know at the time of trade execution. We can speculate further, but we can’t really know all of the impacting factors on the stock. Now, let’s say we buy calls on the Jones family living to 80 based on what we observe. Now, 12 years have passed, and Mr. Jones ends up ill and in the hospital. Two months later, he sadly passes away. Then, 1.5 years after that, Mrs. Jones sadly passes away from cancer. Your position is now worthless. What happened? We ignored and were not able to view the full picture. The Jones family had a lower socioeconomic status. Mr. Jones liked to drink over 4 alcoholic drinks per day. They lived in an older home that did not have sufficient insulation and protection from the elements. They also lived beneath a power grid distribution zone and right next to a high EMF emitting cellphone tower that was constructed right after the family moved in 11 years ago. Mrs. Jones’ family had all died 2 years ago, before the age of 68 from cancer, and Mr. Jones’ family had a history of health issues and alcoholism. We can visualize a web of causation through this image: Some of these things we could have found out, namely the socioeconomic status and Mr. Jones’ history of alcoholism. However, most of these things did not appear until midway through our bet. For example, at the time, we did not know that they would build a high EMF emitting tower right next to their house, and Mrs. Jones’ family did not die until 8 years into our position. So how could we have known? The truth is, we couldn’t have. It’s impossible! We could have done better due diligence by obtaining the current and most recent family history and socioeconomic situation. We could have obtained information on the location and house the family was living in. But most of these things happened along the way, and it would have been impossible to foresee them. This is the reality of stock trading. The issue with stocks is that it is impossible to know what the future holds for a company or the economy. The stock market has a multifaceted web of causations, such as the current economic status of a country, global affairs, war, presidency, a company’s overall financial stability, unexpected lawsuits, unexpected losses, bankruptcies, interest rates, and other economic disasters. Here’s what a web of causation could look like for the stock market: So, what can we do? Here are some tips for ensuring that we capture the most accurate picture we can of a strategy. We’ll start with some easy, quick-to-implement approaches and then go into some more advanced, higher-level approaches. Easier approaches: - Ensure you utilize a larger lookback period. TradingView has the ability to do what is called “deep backtesting.” This allows you to backtest a strategy from many weeks, months, and years in the past. Make use of this function! One of the biggest issues with strategy backtesting is focusing on a limited lookback period. This introduces bias and omits a vast amount of data. - Analyze the statistics presented in TradingView’s backtester performance summary. Be very skeptical of Sharpe ratios >= 1.2 and profit factors >= 1.5. Make sure you look at the entries and exits of the strategy, and the average trade length and profit: - Warning signs to look for are an abnormally long period of time in a trade (be sure it’s proportionate to the timeframe you are on—for example, 150 bars on the daily is almost a year!) and frequent trades with marginal profits. Advanced Approaches: Most quantitative traders and financial institutions apply something called forward testing. Forward testing includes a number of statistical tests that can determine whether the results of the backtest are statistically significant. For example, applying a simple Chi-Square test can determine whether there is a statistically significant difference between the number of winning trades and losing trades. A t-test can be applied to a bond/fixed interest rate account performance and your strategy to compare whether there is a statistically significant difference between the profits yielded by your strategy vs. a safe investment or high-interest savings position. These can be accomplished in Python, R, Excel, or even Pine Script (using my SPTS library, which gives you the ability to calculate a paired and one-tailed t-test right within Pine Script). The details on how to do this are higher level and beyond the scope of this article, but I will continue the series on backtesting/forward testing into the future with some examples of how one can forward test within Pine Script and Excel. Another method is by omitting future data points, testing the strategy's success over a specified period, and then executing it on the future points to see if the results compare. If you notice a marked difference between the previous period and the forward period, this should signal alarm bells. For example: The above chart shows the difference that can happen due to changing sentiments and economic circumstances, and that a strategy can be inconsistent and contingent on external factors beyond our knowledge or control. Conclusion And that’s it! This will mark my first educational article of 2025! Hopefully, you learned something and take this to apply to your trading. Be careful, and as always, safe trades, everyone!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Steversteves
15
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies. Current Market Overview Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups. Support and Resistance Levels Support Zones: $228.75 $224.05 $217.13 Resistance Zones: $237.05 $242.41 $244.67 Key Levels for Monitoring: Powerful Resistance at $258.55 Critical Support at $217.55 Technical Indicators Analysis Moving Averages (1-hour interval): MA50: $238.39 MA100: $241.09 MA200: $247.59 Relative Strength Index (RSI): 1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone) Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal) Volume Indicators: MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted). Key Patterns and Historical Analysis From recent pattern sequences: January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure. January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals. January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation. These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout. Price Action Analysis Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include: Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support. A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05. Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Fundamental Insights Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term. Trading Strategy Short-Term Strategy: Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level. Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk. Targets: $237.05 $242.41 Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle. Medium-Term Strategy: Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions. Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34. Use trailing stops to secure profits. Long-Term Strategy: Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level. Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon. Risk Management Employ disciplined risk management: Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2. Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade. Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range). Market Outlook 1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout. 2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared. 3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement. Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases. Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray. Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel. How to Use Rays Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes. Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely. Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior. Conclusion Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions. For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder! Stay disciplined and trade safely, Denis Mikheev TheWaved™
NASDAQ:AAPL
by brandlabelden
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240 The last time Apple (AAPL) stock traded below the $240 mark was in late November last year. Bearish sentiment is being driven by negative news surrounding the company: → CNBC reports analysts' views that the excessively thin design of the new iPhone SE 4 models will complicate sales in China. The analysts also note a decline in the appeal of the Apple Intelligence feature. → Investment firm Moffett Nathanson downgraded Apple’s stock rating from "Neutral" to "Sell" and lowered its target price for AAPL from $202 to $188. According to analysts, the 30% growth in Apple stock for 2024 is largely unjustified. → Criticism from Mark Zuckerberg, who believes that Apple has not invented anything groundbreaking for a long time. As we mentioned on 27 December, Apple’s stock appeared overbought and vulnerable to a correction. Technical analysis of the AAPL chart today shows that the price has dropped to: → The median of the current channel (marked in blue); → The $235 level, which previously acted as resistance. Therefore, it is plausible that in the short term, this block formed by these two lines may provide support to the falling price. This hypothesis is supported by the long lower wick on Friday’s candle, indicating increased buyer activity. According to TipRanks: → Analysts' 12-month price target for AAPL stock averages $244.77; → Of 29 analysts surveyed, 19 recommend buying AAPL stock, while 3 recommend selling. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by FXOpen
1