15 bets better than betting on Trump/Harris victory!If you think markets will move significantly after the Election result read this article!
Let me help analyze this from a trading/investing perspective.
The key differences between these approaches:
1. Strangle Options Strategy:
- Has defined risk (maximum loss is premium paid)
- Based on measurable market movements
- Regulated through established financial markets
- Success depends on significant price movement in either direction
- Multiple exit opportunities before expiration
- Average expected profits shown in the table range from 53-320%
2. Election Markets:
- Binary outcome
- Current pricing suggests narrower potential returns
- Less liquidity than major stock options
- Single outcome date
- Not regulated in the same way as securities markets
I'd encourage focusing on the following:
1. Your risk tolerance
2. Your expertise in the chosen market
3. The regulatory framework you're comfortable operating within
4. Your ability to actively manage positions
5. Your overall investment strategy and goals
