$AMZN 3 Monthly Green close to 100kThis is my CORE holding I am looking for 100k
Plan is to add more on every dip and pull back
Drop a LIKE and I will alert here!
AMZO34 trade ideas
Nancy Pelosi bought Amazon Calls! 📈 Bullish Opportunity: Amazon (AMZN)
1️⃣ Bullish Flag Pattern with Premarket Breakout:
Amazon has formed a classic bullish flag pattern, which is a reliable continuation signal in an uptrend. The price has already broken out of the flag channel in the premarket session, signaling strong bullish momentum and potential for significant upside.
2️⃣ Amazon’s Cloud Leadership is Poised to Strengthen:
AWS (Amazon Web Services) continues to lead the cloud infrastructure market, controlling 33% of the market—more than Azure and Google Cloud combined, according to Canalys.
CEO Andy Jassy noted four consecutive quarters of reaccelerating AWS growth, with an annualized revenue run rate of $110 billion.
3️⃣ AI Advancements Reasserting Dominance:
While Microsoft is seen as the leader in the AI revolution, Amazon is catching up fast. Over the past 18 months, AWS released nearly twice as many machine learning and generative AI features as competitors combined.
These advancements are expected to make Amazon a leader in AI throughout 2025, further enhancing its cloud and technology business.
4️⃣ E-commerce Profitability Soaring:
CEO Andy Jassy’s focus on cost-cutting and logistics efficiency is delivering results:
Operating income in Amazon’s North American e-commerce segment grew by 87% in the first nine months of 2024.
Automation advancements, like robotics in fulfillment centers, have reduced processing times and improved cost efficiency by 25% during peak times.
These measures are driving higher profitability in its flagship e-commerce business, helping Amazon increase margins and drive long-term growth.
5️⃣ Undervalued and Strong Growth Potential:
Simply Wall Street estimates Amazon is trading at 40.5% below fair value, offering an attractive entry point for investors.
6️⃣ Smart Money Confidence:
Nancy Pelosi recently purchased Amazon calls 3 days ago!
7️⃣ Analyst Ratings:
Consensus: Strong Buy from top analysts.
Average Price Target: $245 (near-term expectations).
High Price Target: $280 (bullish scenario).
🎯 Strategy:
Enter now : $225.94 - $228.50
First Target : $240 (First resistance after breakout).
Second Target : $260 (Measured move from the flagpole).
Third Target : $280 (High-end analyst expectations).
Stop Loss: Based on the risk management.
1/29/25 - $amzn - ST buying into $meta print1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMZN
ST buying into NASDAQ:META print
- i'm going to leave aside valuation at the moment, but to say: NASDAQ:AMZN is not cheap, it's not expensive and in a 1-day context, that doesn't matter
- went on a walk after resetting my feet taking some profits on NASDAQ:NXT today (the ST stuff - don't worry fam i still have a warchest of ITM leaps)... and some things occurred to me related to tonight's NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:META , NASDAQ:TSLA prints
1/ none of these companies are going to communicate taking down capex guidance for a few reasons. A) given what just happened this weekend, companies this BIG and LT-thinking need to communicate and act consistently and thoughtfully. perhaps in time, this will be the case, but they won't like say this (they don't even know), and in fact they're incentive is NOT to - which is point B) if say NASDAQ:META says they are taking down capex, but NASDAQ:MSFT isn't... then we're still at the phase where someone is likely seeing something the other isn't - and both will be "wrong" - prisoner's dilemma. furthermore, if you DO plan on taking capex guide down bc you see reason to do this - you would try to convince your "competition" to keep spend high and "waste" this amt such that they haven't figured out what you have AND they're less likely to try and figure out what you have such that you don't say take down capex guide.
as u guys know i write my stream of thought... no edits... it's for me, but if it benefits you, great! so hopefully the above makes sense, and if not we can hash out rest in comments.
SO! the conclusion here is, that if chip stocks/ e.g. NASDAQ:NVDA (and let's even throw NASDAQ:AAPL in there now, NASDAQ:GOOGL too) are looking for some confirmation even if it's incomplete about capex spend... the result will be net +ve $nvda... and hence, the marginal flows back into biggest stock, into ETFs/passive flows... into Q's... resumes.
...and drum roll... NASDAQ:AMZN is big and benefits flows. The 1/31 $140 calls are cheap b/c earnings IV isn't embedded this week :)
BUT WHAT ELSE IS GOING ON, why NASDAQ:AMZN for a second, unrelated reason?
- we've seen the consumer IS spending. while they might be virtually bankrupt (not everyone, but lots), credit IS flowing... airlines are crushing, black friday was huge this year, stonks had a good year (wealth effect +ve), the new admin in the US is jobs friendly, people are still riding high as a kite.
- so such that NASDAQ:META says "our ad biz is crushing" partially to their own AI efforts (respect!) but also bc incrementally there's more volume bc of consumer... that will translate into NASDAQ:AMZN beat, and the algos will arb this immediately tn.
- so while i have a smally flyer on NASDAQ:META into the print (i think they beat, but it's not a big position, just playing the game), i think an equally interesting bet here are ST near the money but still OTM c's on $amzn.
let's see. the setup looks interesting and it might be a 60/40, so keeping size small, but i try to take all bets where i think i could have a small edge and size/ risk manage accordingly.
V
$AMZN LONG after bull flag...This is a weekly of AMZN. I see a bull flag which had a breakout, a pullback, then so far a bullish engulfing weekly candle has been forming. Adding.
Amazon Reaches New All-Time High: Should You Buy Now...?AMAZON has successfully surpassed its previous all-time high and has maintained a position above this critical level. This upward momentum presents an opportunity for traders to consider entering a long position on a pullback. A strategic entry point for this trade could be set at $235.50, where we can potentially capitalize on a rebound as the stock stabilizes. It's essential to monitor volume and market sentiment during this pullback to ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for the trade.
Amazon's Tight Consolidation! Is AMZN Ready for a Breakout?Technical Analysis
Price Action Overview:
* Trend: AMZN is currently in a consolidation phase, forming a tightening symmetrical triangle pattern. This suggests a potential breakout, either upward or downward, depending on volume and market sentiment.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $241.78 (previous high) and $250 (gamma wall and psychological resistance).
* Support: $232.50 (gamma put support) and $218.93 (recent low).
Indicators:
* MACD: Slightly bearish divergence; momentum is fading, but it remains above the signal line.
* Stochastic RSI: Approaching overbought levels, indicating potential short-term resistance or consolidation.
Trading Plan
1. Bullish Scenario:
* Break above $241.78 with increased volume. Target $250 and $255.
* Entry: $242.
* Stop-Loss: $239.
* Profit Target: $250.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* Break below $232.50 with volume confirmation. Target $225 and $218.
* Entry: $232.
* Stop-Loss: $235.
* Profit Target: $225.
Options Strategy
1. Bullish:
* Call Option: Buy $245 Call (Expiration: 2/16/2025).
* Target: $250.
* Max Risk: Premium paid.
2. Bearish:
* Put Option: Buy $230 Put (Expiration: 2/16/2025).
* Target: $225.
* Max Risk: Premium paid.
GEX Analysis
* Positive Gamma: Strong resistance at $250, aligning with the highest positive NETGEX zone.
* Negative Gamma: Support at $232.50. A break below this level could trigger rapid price declines.
Conclusion and Directional Thoughts
AMZN is tightly coiled, and the direction will depend on whether it breaks the resistance at $241.78 or support at $232.50. With the current technical and gamma setup, a breakout is imminent. Bulls should watch for volume spikes above resistance, while bears should monitor breakdowns below key support.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Prices and market conditions can change; always manage risk and verify conditions before trading. PM for questions or detailed insights.
Amazon: Volatile!The Amazon stock has shown significant volatility recently but managed to recover its temporary losses of over 7% just as quickly. We still position the stock within the turquoise wave 3, which should have additional upside potential. Once this high is established—something that may have already occurred—we anticipate a wave 4 pullback before wave 5 completes the larger magenta wave (3) further to the upside. As you can see in the daily chart, this magenta wave (3) acts as a subwave of the green wave , which in turn should lead to the peak of the even larger beige wave III. Following this, we expect a more pronounced wave IV correction before another round of impulsive rallies drives the stock to new highs.
AMZN RESPECTING THE EMA 50?long from 220.52.
Trailing stop: 8%-10%.
Adding will occur if the 50 EMA is respected and the company's outlook is somewhat bullish as well.
Earnings are at the end of the month.
AMAZON going for a DIP on the 4HCrystal ball has spoken, AMZN is due for a small DIP.
Trend Analysis:
• The price is trading in an overall uptrend, respecting the 50 EMA (yellow) and 20 EMA (gold), indicating strong bullish momentum.
• Recent price action has formed higher highs and higher lows, maintaining bullish structure.
JP StochDemark Indicator Insights:
• The indicator is approaching overbought levels, currently crossing above the 80 threshold, which signals potential exhaustion in the short term.
• Bearish divergence is forming as price makes new highs while the indicator fails to confirm.
• Previous occurrences of such setups led to short-term pullbacks before continuation.
Support & Resistance Levels:
• Immediate resistance at $236-$238, aligning with recent highs.
• Short-term support at $ 225 , where moving averages align.
• Strong demand zone around $210-$215, coinciding with prior consolidation.
Trade Signal & Probability:
Bullish Bias : Continuation likely if price sustains above $ 230 with momentum confirmation.
Bearish Pullback : A corrective dip to the $225 zone is probable if momentum weakens.
Target Levels : Upside targets at $240 (psychological resistance) and $250 if momentum persists.
Risk Levels : Watch for breakdown below $225, which could trigger further downside to $215.
Conclusion :
Momentum remains bullish but overbought signals suggest caution.
Monitor for a healthy retracement before continuation. A break above $238 could confirm further bullish momentum.
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AMAZON - preparation for the Christmas Rally?Hi , dear traders we are watching how Amazon has formulated a very strong assending channel, currently their financials have been doing amazing and we are approaching the Christmas Rally and the finalization of the Q4 earnings. Their recent announcment that they would do heavy investing in AI would be extremely beneficial for the company and sould conclude the continuation of their bullrun.
Entry at 201$
Target 235$
Elliott Wave View: Amazon (AMZN) Impulsive Rally in ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave View in Amazon (AMZN) suggests rally to 233 on 12.16..2024 ended wave ((3)). The stock then pullback in wave ((4)) which unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave (W) ended at 218.35 and wave (X) bounce ended at 230. Wave (Y) lower ended at 215.57 which completed wave ((4)) as the 30 minutes chart below shows.
The stock has resumed higher in wave ((5)). It has managed to break above wave ((3)) at 233 and made all-time high. This confirms the next leg higher has started and opens up short term bullish sequence. Up from wave ((4)), wave (i) ended at 221.82 and wave (ii) ended at 216.2. Wave (iii) higher ended at 223.44 and wave (iv) ended at 220.75. Final leg wave (v) ended at 225.31 which completed wave ((i))
The stock then corrected in wave ((ii)) at 220.01. The stock has resumed higher and soon should complete wave ((iii)). It will then pullback in wave ((iv)) before turning higher again in wave ((v)) to end wave 1. Near term, as far as pivot at 215.57 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
AMZN: Resistance Test at $240 – Breakout or Rejection?🔥 LucanInvestor's Strategy:
🩸 Short: Below $235, targeting $225. If EMA 9 fails to hold, downside pressure may accelerate.
🩸 Long: Above $240, targeting $260. A strong breakout could confirm bullish continuation.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Commands:
🩸 Resistance: $240 — A key level that needs to be broken for upside momentum.
🩸 Support: $225 — EMA 200 aligns as a crucial trend support.
Amazon has built strong momentum, bouncing off key support levels, but now faces a major test at resistance. MACD is signaling strength, but confirmation is key.
👑 "The market doesn’t wait—position yourself before the move."
Interesting Simetry in $AMZNStarting from the 5th of August 2024 every time NASDAQ:AMZN reaches an important Fibonacci level retraces around 7%, then moves higher.
Once it reached 0.618, the Fibonacci level corrected by 6.86% in 5 days and then moved higher.
We have another wave up followed by another correction this time 7.62% in 9 days.
And again another wave up followed by a correction of 7.51% in 10 days to Fibonacci level 1
Once it reached 1.618 Fib level retraced to 1.382 Fib level Correcting 7.24% in 18 days this time.
Mo money Mo money AMZN to the moon ? AMZN: Bull Flag on Daily Chart
Amazon (AMZN) is forming a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, indicating potential for further upward movement. This pattern typically suggests a continuation of the prior uptrend after a period of consolidation.
Key observations:
Bull Flag Structure: After a strong upward surge, AMZN has entered a consolidation phase, creating a flag-like formation with parallel downward-sloping lines.
Volume Dynamics: The initial breakout was accompanied by high volume, while the consolidation phase has seen diminishing volume, a classic characteristic of a bull flag.
Support and Resistance Levels: The resistance level is observed around , with support at , defining the flag boundaries.
Moving Averages: AMZN is holding above the , which may provide additional support and align with the bullish outlook.
Potential Breakout: A breakout above the upper boundary of the flag could propel AMZN toward , based on the flagpole's length projection.
Watch for a breakout with increasing volume to confirm the bullish continuation. Keep an eye on broader market trends and any news that may influence AMZN's price action.
Amazon (AMZN) Continuation Breakout in FocusChart Analysis:
Amazon's price action showcases a breakout from a consolidation channel (green shaded area), confirming the resumption of its broader uptrend.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support (Blue):
The price continues to respect the ascending trendline originating from September 2024 lows.
This trendline acts as a dynamic support zone, reinforcing the bullish structure.
2️⃣ Consolidation Channel Breakout:
After a brief consolidation in a descending channel, the price has broken out to the upside, signaling bullish continuation.
A decisive daily close above the channel confirms renewed buying interest.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $217.48, rising and providing strong dynamic support.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at $192.35, further underpinning the long-term bullish trend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 60.32, signaling strong upward momentum but still below overbought levels.
MACD: Positive crossover continues to support the bullish momentum.
What to Watch:
Sustained trading above the breakout level to confirm the continuation of the rally.
Potential resistance near $240-$250, the next significant zone to watch.
Pullbacks to the 50-day SMA or the ascending trendline could provide buying opportunities for trend followers.
Amazon's breakout from consolidation and its adherence to the ascending trendline suggest the stock is poised for further gains, supported by strong momentum and rising moving averages.
-MW
$AMZN - pre earnings break outAMZN - Stock continues to move higher after breaking out of the channel. Stock still strong on charts as long as $235 holds. watching for $240 AND $250 next levels of resistance. if fails to hold we can see a retest of $230 and $225. Stock is strong on indicators with earnings end of the month. possible pre earnings run
Bullish continuation? NASDAQ:AMZN is looking at a continuation of uptrend after a strong bullish break out of the flag formation. Breakout was relatively healthy as there isn't any parabolic break. We expect prices to continue its strong momentum and break above the key resistance at 233.70.
Long-term MACD remain strong and healthy. Stochastic Oscillator though confirmed the overbought signal earlier on, but selling pressure remain weak based on price action and the %K and % D line may performed a positive crossover soon. 23-period ROC is back above the zero line and confirming the rising momentum. Volume is relatively healthy.
AMAZON - Next day delivery of GAINS!NASDAQ:AMZN 📦
🔹Green H5 Indicator
🔹9ema Bullish Cross
🔹Bull Flag
🔹Bullish Wr%
🔹Volume Shelf Launch
🎯$233🎯$243 before March! ⏲️
Not financial advice
Amazon’s Stock Stuck in a Downhill Slope or Ready to Escape ?Amazon's stock price movement on a 4-hour timeframe, presenting a descending channel pattern. This pattern is often associated with bearish sentiment, as it reflects a market structure characterized by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a consistent effort by sellers to dominate price action.
Currently, the price is trading near the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as a dynamic resistance level. Historically, such resistance zones within descending channels tend to attract selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. If the price fails to break above this resistance and shows rejection signs (e.g., long wicks or bearish candlesticks), it could confirm a continuation of the downtrend, targeting the lower boundary of the channel as the next support level.
It is crucial to monitor this resistance area closely, as a breakout above the channel could shift the sentiment from bearish to bullish. For such a breakout to be credible, it must be accompanied by strong volume and decisive candlestick patterns, such as a bullish engulfing or a breakout gap. In that scenario, the price could invalidate the descending channel and initiate a reversal, targeting higher resistance levels.
Additionally, the broader market context and fundamental factors should be considered. If the stock is supported by positive catalysts or market sentiment, it could strengthen the likelihood of a breakout. Conversely, weak sentiment or negative news could intensify the bearish momentum, leading to further downside.
The chart currently reflects a bearish bias due to the descending channel structure. However, the key to determining the next move lies in the price action and volume near the upper resistance line, which will decide whether the pattern continues or reverses.
$AMZN FlaggingNASDAQ:AMZN if that flag plays out, we are looking at $255 area.
As always, I share my opinions and trades. I’m not suggesting anyone follow my trades. You do you.
$AMZN long to $260 measured move targetThis is a daily of AMZN. It shows an initial move into the bull flag, a breakout-pullback, and an expected measured move to a TP of $160/share. Time period 3-6 months. Best of luck and good trading.-Mr Joseph
