BABA34 trade ideas
$BABA DBABA on the daily has a potential for bottom. Shares safest best and defined risk to reward. Doing a light position isn't bad idea then can switch to baggie mode in the "long term".
BABA: DO I STILL BILIEVE IN BABA..... CAN THIS MAKE IT TO 100'S?Ticker Symbol: BABA
️Timeframe: 4HR
️BREAK OF TREND (STILL WAITNG FOR GREEN LINE CONFIRMATION)
️Investment Strategy: LONG
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
MONEY MOVEMENT SHIFTING UP AND GREEN RED DOT: BULLISH
ONCE THE TREND IS BROKEN, WE COULD SEE THIS MOVING HIGHER TO 100 LEVELS.
NOTE: KEEP IN MIND, MARKET IS IN SELL-OFF MODE.
Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.
Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
Alibaba May Face a Bearish TriangleAlibaba has been sliding for more than a year, and trend followers may see reasons to expect more downside.
The main pattern on this daily chart of the Chinese e-commerce giant is the series of lower highs since July 8. BABA has managed to hold support around $88 this month. The result could be a descending triangle, a potential sign of bearish continuation.
Next, the formation began after prices failed at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA). That could also suggest a longer-term downtrend remains in effect.
Third, notice how the 50-day SMA briefly rose in June and July as the previous trend paused. (This is highlighted by our Moving Average Speed custom script.) Then consider how it turned sharply negative again in recent sessions. Is that another sign of the downtrend resuming?
Finally you have the feeble and temporary bounce after BABA reported earnings on August 4. While the numbers beat estimates, the bigger macro weakness in China seems to be hurting the stock -- especially as the Yuan nears a 23-month low against the U.S. dollar:
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Baba On the watchLooking for a move up or down on baba, the short float has been nearly cut in half and impressive range for bigger buyers to buy in... Hopefully their some good news with tik tok and baba that we can see the upside in this stock we've been looking for.
Alibaba: more room to fall?Alibaba
Short Term
We look to Sell at 87.83 (stop at 92.37)
We look to set shorts in the early trade. The medium term bias remains bearish. Short term bearish momentum has stalled. However, with the intraday chart now highlighting lower highs we are possibly forming a descending triangle pattern.
Our profit targets will be 78.05 and 73.21
Resistance: 100.00 / 120.00 / 138.00
Support: 90.00 / 78.00 / 75.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
ABC BullishChina stocks have been unpredictable for a while now.
This does line up with an ABC Bullish pattern.
Stop under C.
Target is D.
This is not to long entry level (EL)
Low today was 88.52, so price came close to C but did not break C.
3 candle tails/shadows and 1 candle touch to this level.
No recommendation.
BABA AnalysisPrice is playing out as analyzed last week. Price is currently mitigating the bullish POI at 90.17 again after failing to make a higher high. Right now, I'm expecting price to take out the lows at 88.00 and possibly fill the fair value gap at 86.73.
BABA Potential for Bearish Drop| 18th August 2022On H4, with the price moving within the descending channel and below MA, we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from the sell entry at 88.18, which is in line with the 78.6% fibonacci retracement and previous swing low to the take profit at 79.25, which is in line with the swing low and 61.8% fibonacci projection. Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 98.05, which is in line with the overlap resistance.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
$BABA longterm entry 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Entry: $90
Take profit: $180
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Baba Hitting up a LONG swing on baba. Stops below 88.60. This as long as it holds support could turn around here headed back up to the triangle resitamce of 120$. Seems to have multiple weekly candles acting as support. Only a matter of time before the bulls can gain control which can easily flip this into a W pattern within the triangle.
Just my idea and I am putting in some trades here with stops below
BABA Bullish DivergenceLooking at the 8hr chart and indicator it seems like bullish divergence. Do you agree?
BABA Testing MA200 since Feb21The Last time BABA touch MA200 was in 22 Feb 2021. Since then, BABA has been trending downwards below MA200 line, struggling to even surpass the ichimoku cloud and the downwards channel
Some Positive Signs of Reversal
-break above parallel channel
-Candlestick interact with MA 200
-Candlestick went above ichimoku cloud during june-july 2022
-Higher high(HH) formed
-Higher Low(HL2) seems to retrace lesser than HL
-Lagging span went above candlesticks(currently within the clouds)
-High trading volume at 73.39(speculative support)
Currently BABA still in bearish mode
-moving under MA200 and underneath ichimoku cloud
Some Strategies :
Conservative: Wait for candlestick to go above both MA200 & ichimoku and enter during retracement. Stop loss 5-10% below 73. More Margin of Safety & Lesser Future Gain
More Aggressive: Enter now(on the lower part of black parallel channel). Set TP at 136 or Expected uptrend of 1:1 of Line B from HL2. Stop loss 5-10% below 73. Lesser Margin of Safety & More Future Gain
#ALIBABA #BABA
Price Action Intro - channels and ranges examples using BABA DA brief intro to PA - examples using this D chart of BABA.
See chart for notes and resources to learn more. Hope this helps some struggling traders that have 100 indicators and have no idea why trades fail etc. We have all been there. That next magic $300 indicator is really NOT the holy grail to fix all your woes. But RAW charts and PA just MAY BE the right answer. The problem.. it is DIFFICULT... it takes PREP and STUDY and LEARNING and SCREEN TIME. AND.. there are so so so many scammers in the trading world. I have listed 3 REAL DEAL mentors that are NOT scammers in the chart memo.
If this helps ONE trader avoid a number of my early pitfalls, I will be so happy.
Good luck on your trading journey!
BABA buy. We have a good opportunity to buy BABA after bears are showing weakness at support / demand area
BABA AnalysisPrice has been consolidating in this bullish POI at 90.17. Nothing has changed. I'm expecting price to take the lows at 88.0 before see an up move to take out the buy-side liquidity at 107.16.
BABA - TRADE PLANCheck out the trade plan for BABA today based on the technical analysis. Hit the thumbs up if you like the content.
$BABA with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $BABA after a Positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B with an expected accuracy of 75%.
Alibaba Breakout upsideAlibaba is in a descending triangle pattern. We expect that after the breakout the price will increase.
Entry level, Stop loss and Target price in the chart.
caught inside range 80 -124caught inside range 80 -124...add at bottom sell at top...for holding buy above 125 long term
Alibaba Group Holding Limited - Risk Assessment ReportAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) shares gained over 7% in pre-market trading August 4 after posting good results for its difficult first fiscal quarter. Both sales and earnings per share were higher than expected. For the June quarter, revenue was $30.7 billion, similar to the previous year. Even though it was the weakest rate of growth on record, investors welcomed it because consensus had previously predicted a fall for the very first time in Alibaba's history owing to sweeping city-wide lockdowns in April and May. Earnings for the June quarter also above consensus projections by $0.19 per share, coming in at $1.75, highlighting smart cost reductions in the face of inflationary pressures and the higher expenses of navigating through COVID interruptions.
However, sentiment toward Alibaba shares remains shaky. All of its gains from the May to July rise have been erased in recent weeks, with the stock now down over 22% since the start of the year. The broad theme for Alibaba stock remains volatility, as positive uptrends supported by signs of easing regulatory crackdowns, an improving COVID situation in China, and government stimulus to shore up the Chinese economy have been shattered in recent weeks by news of heightened concerns about a faltering domestic economy and renewed regulatory concerns. The market's scepticism over Alibaba shares is underscored by the limited gain in pre-market trading following a favourable earnings surprise this morning.
However, sentiment toward Alibaba shares remains shaky. All of its gains from the May to July rise have been erased in recent weeks, with the stock now down over 20% since the start of the year. The broad theme for Alibaba stock remains volatility, as optimistic uptrends bolstered by signs of easing regulatory crackdowns, improved COVID situation in China, and government stimulus to sustain the Chinese economy have been shattered in recent weeks by news of heightened concerns about a faltering domestic economy and renewed regulatory concerns. The market's scepticism over Alibaba shares is underscored by the limited gain in pre-market trading following a favourable earnings surprise this morning.
Although Alibaba's valuation seems reasonable at present levels, given its strong balance sheet and continued dominance in e-commerce and cloud-computing services in China, the stock is nonetheless overshadowed by dangers that are in flux. The instability of Alibaba's comeback over the last year demonstrates that the fundamental dangers to the stock continue to overshadow any advantageous valuation. With all of Alibaba's key underlying concerns continuing in a very volatile condition with no structural signs of change, the stock has practically nothing to stand on its own against the extra challenge of brewing broad-based macro headwinds. Alibaba might fall in the short term as its primary Chinese market and surrounding overseas markets battle with a weakening macroeconomic environment, making it a high-risk investment decision despite what appear to be good pricing compared to rivals in a comparable company.
Risk Factors
The decline in Alibaba shares occurred in late 2020, when rising regulatory worries prompted a valuation adjustment in U.S listed Chinese securities. Since then, the condition has deteriorated as regulatory obstacles began to have an impact on Alibaba's basic performance. Subsequent macroeconomic challenges, like COVID interruptions in China and a deteriorating local and global economy, have only worsened the bad outcomes.
Despite recent optimism emanating from the conclusion of high-profile inquiries, such as the cybersecurity inquiry into DiDi Global (OTCPK:DIDIY) and the announcement of fresh gaming license permits, regulatory concerns remain apparent, and investors' trust is eroding. Markets continued to penalise the stock at the first indication of regulatory shortcomings, as seen by recent drops in response to reports that Alibaba was fined $375,000 in early July for breaking state guidelines on past acquisition disclosures. Its cloud division was being probed for its possible involvement in one of the country's greatest ever data breaches.
Regulatory probing of Alibaba's operations has had additional negative effects on its core performance. Due to growing national security concerns in the public sector, the company's cloud-computing business, Alicloud, is gradually declining in market share to its state-backed counterparts. In China, the unit's market share plummeted from 45.9 percent in 2019 to 36.7 percent in 2021, while state-backed rival Huawei's cloud market share more than quadrupled during the same period. Despite remaining China's top public cloud service provider, Alicloud is no longer the favoured option as the CCP intensifies efforts for data security within government entities. As a result, the Chinese government has eliminated foreign PCs and has accelerated the transition from private clouds like Alicloud to governmental cloud platforms, jeopardizing Alibaba's unified bottom-line performance. This is supported by a slowdown in Alibaba's highly successful cloud business in the first quarter, when sales increased by only 9% year on year, the weakest rate on record.
Alibaba annual report FY22
Chinese stocks are still kept captive by the HFCAA, as the US SEC ramps up efforts to guarantee that all securities on the United States stock market are governed by the same regulations and regulatory procedures, particularly complying with PCAOB audit inspection requirements. Investors' worries about the prospect of the company being delisted have recently returned as Alibaba was recently added to the list of delinquent firms whose auditors have disobeyed PCAOB inspection requirements. This essentially starts a countdown for Alibaba, putting it at risk of delisting from the NYSE if Chinese officials are unable to achieve a settlement with the SEC and PCAOB on giving up the books of its domestic firms for scrutiny.
The global economy's slowdown threatens to undermine Alibaba's recent change in focus to expanding its overseas e-commerce platforms. During the June quarter, Alibaba's foreign commerce retail sector sales fell by 2.7% year on year, while order volumes fell by 4.1% year on year. Rising inflation and restrictive central bank policies in Alibaba's key abroad markets, like the United States and Europe, have resulted in lower consumer discretionary spending, complicating Alibaba's efforts to compensate for domestic commerce slowdown with worldwide growth.
In the long run, we anticipate that the combined business will expand at a moderate five-year CAGR of 5.7 percent, with Alicloud serving as the catalyst. As noted in the preceding study, Beijing's regulatory makeover of the private sector over the last two years has fundamentally altered the exponential growth that Chinese big tech previously enjoyed. we anticipate that any long-term revival in Alibaba's business would be modest. However, given the macro uncertainties in both domestic and international markets, Alibaba's share price could possibly hit $70-75 range
BABA long term trend. (OUTBREAK) looking at the long term trend. we recently broke out of an 18 month downward channel. now doing a retest. probably bouncing up in the coming months.
